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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Herczeg

Stoke 1–2 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 3.00 fair 2.43
Draw 3.30 fair 3.63
Away ✓ 2.30 fair 3.19
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 1.75
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.34

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Middlesbrough
10 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 7
5 Corners 4
11 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (330 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.29 – 1.09
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 1–0 11.9% 0–1 10%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.52points / match
1.19scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 32:23
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.81points / match
1.48scored / match
1.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 40:28
Stoke all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 1.48
0.85 Goals conceded 1.04
2.04 Total goals 2.52
11.52 Shots 14.37
4.00 Shots on target 4.15
11.81 Shots faced 10.52
5.85 Corners 6.26
4.78 Corners against 4.33
10.89 Fouls 9.26
2.04 Yellow cards 1.52
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.37 1st-half goals conceded 0.48

How often Full Time

44% Wins 52%
19% Draws 26%
37% Losses 22%
89% Over 0.5 goals 93%
56% Over 1.5 goals 70%
41% Over 2.5 goals 52%
11% Over 3.5 goals 22%
4% Over 4.5 goals 11%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
33% Both teams scored 56%
41% Clean sheets 26%
37% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
44% Draws 30%
22% Losses 37%
56% Over 0.5 goals 70%
22% Over 1.5 goals 26%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
1.62points / match
1.38scored / match
0.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 18:10
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.57points / match
1.43scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 20:17
Stoke at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.43
0.77 Goals conceded 1.21
2.15 Total goals 2.64
12.23 Shots 14.57
4.38 Shots on target 4.07
9.62 Shots faced 9.43
6.31 Corners 6.21
4.15 Corners against 3.64
10.77 Fouls 9.07
2.00 Yellow cards 2.07
0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.15 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

46% Wins 43%
23% Draws 29%
31% Losses 29%
85% Over 0.5 goals 100%
54% Over 1.5 goals 79%
46% Over 2.5 goals 50%
15% Over 3.5 goals 21%
8% Over 4.5 goals 14%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
46% Both teams scored 57%
38% Clean sheets 14%
31% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 36%
38% Draws 21%
15% Losses 43%
62% Over 0.5 goals 79%
15% Over 1.5 goals 29%
15% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 Stoke – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.73
04.01.26 Norwich – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.05 1.93 1.93
01.01.26 Hull – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 2.323.203.05 2.10 1.73
29.12.25 Stoke – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.252.50 2.05 1.80
26.12.25 Stoke – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.253.40 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Watford – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.203.20 1.91 1.91
13.12.25 Stoke – Swansea 2–1 (1–0) 1.813.504.20 2.10 1.73
10.12.25 Ipswich – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.755.50 1.88 1.98
06.12.25 Sheffield United – Stoke 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.303.60 2.10 1.73
29.11.25 Stoke – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 1.623.805.00 1.80 2.00

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.01.26 West Brom – Middlesbrough 2–3 (0–1) 2.503.252.70 2.10 1.73
04.01.26 Middlesbrough – Southampton 4–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.73 2.10
01.01.26 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.053.252.25 2.10 1.73
29.12.25 Middlesbrough – Hull 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.904.50 1.73 2.10
26.12.25 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.604.33 1.93 1.93
20.12.25 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.653.402.45 1.85 2.00
13.12.25 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (2–0) 1.863.703.80 1.91 1.91
09.12.25 Charlton – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 3.303.252.10 2.10 1.73
05.12.25 Hull – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–4) 2.953.502.20 1.73 2.10
29.11.25 Middlesbrough – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.605.00 2.20 1.67

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 Stoke – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.73
29.12.25 Stoke – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.252.50 2.05 1.80
26.12.25 Stoke – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.253.40 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 Stoke – Swansea 2–1 (1–0) 1.813.504.20 2.10 1.73
29.11.25 Stoke – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 1.623.805.00 1.80 2.00
25.11.25 Stoke – Charlton 3–0 (3–0) 1.683.704.75 2.00 1.80
08.11.25 Stoke – Coventry 0–1 (0–0) 2.823.602.25 1.80 2.00
01.11.25 Stoke – Bristol City 5–1 (3–0) 2.323.302.85 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Stoke – Wrexham 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.75 2.00 1.85
27.09.25 Stoke – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.93 1.93

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.01.26 West Brom – Middlesbrough 2–3 (0–1) 2.503.252.70 2.10 1.73
01.01.26 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.053.252.25 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.653.402.45 1.85 2.00
09.12.25 Charlton – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 3.303.252.10 2.10 1.73
05.12.25 Hull – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–4) 2.953.502.20 1.73 2.10
22.11.25 Oxford – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 3.703.301.96 2.05 1.80
04.11.25 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
01.11.25 Watford – Middlesbrough 3–0 (2–0) 2.653.402.45 2.05 1.80
22.10.25 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.66 1.93 1.93
04.10.25 Portsmouth – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.25 2.03 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
9matches
2.22goals / match
33%over 2.5
44%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.25E1 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.80
25.02.25E1 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.402.35 1.93 1.93
28.09.24E1 Middlesbrough – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.00 1.73 2.10
02.03.24E1 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.95 1.90
28.10.23E1 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–2 (0–2) 1.754.004.33 1.75 2.05
14.03.23E1 Middlesbrough – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 1.95
17.08.22E1 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
30.04.22E1 Middlesbrough – Stoke 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.20 2.10 1.72
11.12.21E1 Stoke – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 28 17 7 4 61 31 +30 58
2 Ipswich 27 14 8 5 47 24 +23 50
3 Middlesbrough 27 14 7 6 40 28 +12 49
4 Hull 27 14 5 8 45 39 +6 47
5 Millwall 28 13 7 8 32 35 -3 46
6 Preston 28 11 10 7 36 29 +7 43
7 Watford 27 11 9 7 38 32 +6 42
8 Stoke 27 12 5 10 32 23 +9 41
9 Wrexham 28 10 11 7 40 35 +5 41
10 Derby 28 11 8 9 38 36 +2 41
11 Bristol City 28 11 7 10 38 31 +7 40
12 QPR 28 11 7 10 38 39 -1 40
13 Birmingham 28 10 8 10 38 37 +1 38
14 Leicester 28 10 8 10 39 41 -2 38
15 Southampton 28 9 9 10 40 40 0 36
16 Swansea 28 10 6 12 31 35 -4 36
17 Sheffield United 27 10 2 15 36 40 -4 32
18 Charlton 27 8 8 11 27 34 -7 32
19 West Brom 28 9 4 15 31 43 -12 31
20 Norwich 28 8 6 14 35 40 -5 30
21 Portsmouth 26 7 8 11 23 36 -13 29
22 Blackburn 27 7 7 13 25 36 -11 28
23 Oxford 27 5 9 13 25 35 -10 24
24 Sheffield Weds 27 1 8 18 18 54 -36 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 14 11 2 1 31 11 +20 35
2 Ipswich 15 10 4 1 29 11 +18 34
3 Watford 15 8 5 2 24 15 +9 29
4 Middlesbrough 13 8 3 2 20 11 +9 27
5 Birmingham 13 7 5 1 27 13 +14 26
6 Millwall 14 8 2 4 17 17 0 26
7 Swansea 15 7 4 4 20 18 +2 25
8 Wrexham 15 6 6 3 26 22 +4 24
9 QPR 13 7 2 4 24 17 +7 23
10 Southampton 14 6 5 3 19 13 +6 23
11 Preston 15 6 5 4 19 16 +3 23
12 Hull 13 7 2 4 19 19 0 23
13 Leicester 13 6 4 3 19 15 +4 22
14 West Brom 14 6 4 4 18 19 -1 22
15 Bristol City 14 6 3 5 23 15 +8 21
16 Stoke 13 6 3 4 18 10 +8 21
17 Charlton 13 6 3 4 15 14 +1 21
18 Portsmouth 13 5 3 5 14 14 0 18
19 Sheffield United 12 5 2 5 18 13 +5 17
20 Derby 14 4 5 5 17 20 -3 17
21 Oxford 14 3 6 5 13 17 -4 15
22 Blackburn 13 2 4 7 13 20 -7 10
23 Norwich 13 3 1 9 12 19 -7 10
24 Sheffield Weds 15 0 4 11 7 32 -25 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hull 14 7 3 4 26 20 +6 24
2 Derby 14 7 3 4 21 16 +5 24
3 Coventry 14 6 5 3 30 20 +10 23
4 Middlesbrough 14 6 4 4 20 17 +3 22
5 Preston 13 5 5 3 17 13 +4 20
6 Norwich 15 5 5 5 23 21 +2 20
7 Stoke 14 6 2 6 14 13 +1 20
8 Millwall 14 5 5 4 15 18 -3 20
9 Bristol City 14 5 4 5 15 16 -1 19
10 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 12 16 -4 18
11 Wrexham 13 4 5 4 14 13 +1 17
12 QPR 15 4 5 6 14 22 -8 17
13 Ipswich 12 4 4 4 18 13 +5 16
14 Leicester 15 4 4 7 20 26 -6 16
15 Sheffield United 15 5 0 10 18 27 -9 15
16 Watford 12 3 4 5 14 17 -3 13
17 Southampton 14 3 4 7 21 27 -6 13
18 Birmingham 15 3 3 9 11 24 -13 12
19 Swansea 13 3 2 8 11 17 -6 11
20 Charlton 14 2 5 7 12 20 -8 11
21 Portsmouth 13 2 5 6 9 22 -13 11
22 Oxford 13 2 3 8 12 18 -6 9
23 West Brom 14 3 0 11 13 24 -11 9
24 Sheffield Weds 12 1 4 7 11 22 -11 7

Stoke   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Hull 27 9 18 1.7 1.4 14 5 8 45 39 47
2 14 Leicester 28 10 18 1.4 1.5 10 8 10 39 41 38
3 15 Southampton 28 10 18 1.4 1.4 9 9 10 40 40 36
4 1 Coventry 28 11 17 2.2 1.1 17 7 4 61 31 58
5 12 QPR 28 11 17 1.4 1.4 11 7 10 38 39 40
6 24 Sheffield Weds 27 11 16 0.7 2.0 1 8 18 18 54 11
7 17 Sheffield United 27 12 15 1.3 1.5 10 2 15 36 40 32
8 19 West Brom 28 13 15 1.1 1.5 9 4 15 31 43 31
9 2 Ipswich 27 13 14 1.7 0.9 14 8 5 47 24 50
10 3 Middlesbrough 27 13 14 1.5 1.0 14 7 6 40 28 49
11 7 Watford 27 13 14 1.4 1.2 11 9 7 38 32 42
12 10 Derby 28 14 14 1.4 1.3 11 8 9 38 36 41
13 13 Birmingham 28 14 14 1.4 1.3 10 8 10 38 37 38
14 20 Norwich 28 14 14 1.2 1.4 8 6 14 35 40 30
15 5 Millwall 28 15 13 1.1 1.2 13 7 8 32 35 46
16 16 Swansea 28 15 13 1.1 1.2 10 6 12 31 35 36
17 23 Oxford 27 14 13 0.9 1.3 5 9 13 25 35 24
18 6 Preston 28 16 12 1.3 1.0 11 10 7 36 29 43
19 9 Wrexham 28 16 12 1.4 1.2 10 11 7 40 35 41
20 11 Bristol City 28 16 12 1.4 1.1 11 7 10 38 31 40
21 22 Blackburn 27 15 12 0.9 1.3 7 7 13 25 36 28
22 8 Stoke 27 16 11 1.2 0.9 12 5 10 32 23 41
23 18 Charlton 27 16 11 1.0 1.3 8 8 11 27 34 32
24 21 Portsmouth 26 15 11 0.9 1.4 7 8 11 23 36 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 QPR 13 3 10 1.8 1.3 7 2 4 24 17 23
2 2 Ipswich 15 6 9 1.9 0.7 10 4 1 29 11 34
3 1 Coventry 14 6 8 2.2 0.8 11 2 1 31 11 35
4 7 Watford 15 7 8 1.6 1.0 8 5 2 24 15 29
5 9 Wrexham 15 7 8 1.7 1.5 6 6 3 26 22 24
6 24 Sheffield Weds 15 7 8 0.5 2.1 0 4 11 7 32 4
7 3 Middlesbrough 13 6 7 1.5 0.8 8 3 2 20 11 27
8 4 Hull 13 6 7 1.5 1.5 7 2 4 19 19 23
9 5 Millwall 14 7 7 1.2 1.2 8 2 4 17 17 26
10 6 Preston 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 5 4 19 16 23
11 11 Bristol City 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 6 3 5 23 15 21
12 13 Birmingham 13 6 7 2.1 1.0 7 5 1 27 13 26
13 14 Leicester 13 6 7 1.5 1.2 6 4 3 19 15 22
14 15 Southampton 14 7 7 1.4 0.9 6 5 3 19 13 23
15 16 Swansea 15 8 7 1.3 1.2 7 4 4 20 18 25
16 17 Sheffield United 12 5 7 1.5 1.1 5 2 5 18 13 17
17 19 West Brom 14 7 7 1.3 1.4 6 4 4 18 19 22
18 23 Oxford 14 7 7 0.9 1.2 3 6 5 13 17 15
19 8 Stoke 13 7 6 1.4 0.8 6 3 4 18 10 21
20 20 Norwich 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 3 1 9 12 19 10
21 21 Portsmouth 13 7 6 1.1 1.1 5 3 5 14 14 18
22 22 Blackburn 13 7 6 1.0 1.5 2 4 7 13 20 10
23 10 Derby 14 9 5 1.2 1.4 4 5 5 17 20 17
24 18 Charlton 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 6 3 4 15 14 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Hull 14 3 11 1.9 1.4 7 3 4 26 20 24
2 14 Leicester 15 4 11 1.3 1.7 4 4 7 20 26 16
3 15 Southampton 14 3 11 1.5 1.9 3 4 7 21 27 13
4 1 Coventry 14 5 9 2.1 1.4 6 5 3 30 20 23
5 10 Derby 14 5 9 1.5 1.1 7 3 4 21 16 24
6 17 Sheffield United 15 7 8 1.2 1.8 5 0 10 18 27 15
7 19 West Brom 14 6 8 0.9 1.7 3 0 11 13 24 9
8 20 Norwich 15 7 8 1.5 1.4 5 5 5 23 21 20
9 24 Sheffield Weds 12 4 8 0.9 1.8 1 4 7 11 22 7
10 3 Middlesbrough 14 7 7 1.4 1.2 6 4 4 20 17 22
11 12 QPR 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 4 5 6 14 22 17
12 13 Birmingham 15 8 7 0.7 1.6 3 3 9 11 24 12
13 5 Millwall 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 5 5 4 15 18 20
14 7 Watford 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 3 4 5 14 17 13
15 16 Swansea 13 7 6 0.8 1.3 3 2 8 11 17 11
16 18 Charlton 14 8 6 0.9 1.4 2 5 7 12 20 11
17 22 Blackburn 14 8 6 0.9 1.1 5 3 6 12 16 18
18 23 Oxford 13 7 6 0.9 1.4 2 3 8 12 18 9
19 2 Ipswich 12 7 5 1.5 1.1 4 4 4 18 13 16
20 6 Preston 13 8 5 1.3 1.0 5 5 3 17 13 20
21 8 Stoke 14 9 5 1.0 0.9 6 2 6 14 13 20
22 11 Bristol City 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 5 4 5 15 16 19
23 21 Portsmouth 13 8 5 0.7 1.7 2 5 6 9 22 11
24 9 Wrexham 13 9 4 1.1 1.0 4 5 4 14 13 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40