Stoke 1–3 Middlesbrough – England Championship, 25 Feb 2025

Match facts

Stoke Middlesbrough

12 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 6

5 Corners 1

10 Fouls 6

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (406 league matches this season so far).

Result Stoke to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.76

Expected goals 1.45 – 1.34

Home / Draw / Away

40% 25% 35%

StokeDrawMiddlesbrough

Under / Over 2.5 goals

47% 53%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

43% 57%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

15% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.9% 1–0 8.9% 2–1 8.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches

1.06points / match

1.00scored / match

1.33conceded / match

8 11 14

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 33:44

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches

1.33points / match

1.55scored / match

1.36conceded / match

12 8 13

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 51:45

Stoke all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.55

1.33 Goals conceded 1.36

2.33 Total goals 2.91

10.73 Shots 13.94

3.61 Shots on target 4.91

15.79 Shots faced 10.36

4.39 Corners 5.21

6.52 Corners against 5.00

11.52 Fouls 9.52

2.39 Yellow cards 1.55

0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.82

0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

24% Wins 36%

33% Draws 24%

42% Losses 39%

85% Over 0.5 goals 97%

73% Over 1.5 goals 70%

39% Over 2.5 goals 48%

21% Over 3.5 goals 33%

6% Over 4.5 goals 21%

6% Over 5.5 goals 15%

48% Both teams scored 55%

27% Clean sheets 27%

39% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 36%

61% Draws 36%

21% Losses 27%

58% Over 0.5 goals 79%

30% Over 1.5 goals 39%

9% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches

1

W

D

1

D

1

3

L

D

2

1

W

2

L

3

1

W

2

4

L

Middlesbrough all matches

D

1

W

1

D

1

2

L

2

W

1

2

L

2

3

L

1

3

L

1

L

1

2

L

Stoke before this match, at home

1.38points / match

1.31scored / match

1.13conceded / match

5 7 4

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 21:18

Middlesbrough before this match, away

1.13points / match

1.69scored / match

1.63conceded / match

5 3 8

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 27:26

Stoke at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.31 Goals scored 1.69

1.13 Goals conceded 1.63

2.44 Total goals 3.31

11.50 Shots 13.00

3.81 Shots on target 5.31

12.56 Shots faced 11.50

5.19 Corners 4.88

6.19 Corners against 5.63

11.13 Fouls 9.56

2.44 Yellow cards 1.69

0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.75

0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

31% Wins 31%

44% Draws 19%

25% Losses 50%

81% Over 0.5 goals 100%

69% Over 1.5 goals 75%

44% Over 2.5 goals 63%

31% Over 3.5 goals 38%

6% Over 4.5 goals 25%

6% Over 5.5 goals 19%

56% Both teams scored 69%

31% Clean sheets 19%

31% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 31%

56% Draws 38%

19% Losses 31%

56% Over 0.5 goals 75%

31% Over 1.5 goals 31%

13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home

2

1

W

1

D

2

L

2

D

2

L

1

W

D

3

1

W

Middlesbrough away

4

1

W

6

2

W

1

D

1

3

L

3

D

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.25	Norwich – Stoke	4–2 (1–1)	1.65	4.00	5.00	1.93	1.93
15.02.25	Stoke – Swansea	3–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.40	2.88	2.10	1.73
12.02.25	Bristol City – Stoke	2–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.70	5.00	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Hull – Stoke	1–2 (1–1)	1.91	3.40	4.00	2.05	1.80
25.01.25	Stoke – Oxford	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.30	3.80	2.10	1.73
22.01.25	Portsmouth – Stoke	3–1 (2–1)	2.45	3.25	2.88	2.00	1.85
18.01.25	West Brom – Stoke	1–1 (0–1)	1.73	3.80	4.50	2.00	1.85
04.01.25	Stoke – Plymouth	0–0 (0–0)	1.65	4.33	4.33	1.67	2.20
01.01.25	Burnley – Stoke	0–0 (0–0)	1.53	3.80	6.50	2.20	1.67
29.12.24	Stoke – Sunderland	1–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.60	2.20	2.03	1.83

Middlesbrough all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.25	Bristol City – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
15.02.25	Middlesbrough – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.90	5.50	1.62	2.30
12.02.25	Sheffield United – Middlesbrough	3–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.10	1.93	1.93
03.02.25	Middlesbrough – Sunderland	2–3 (1–1)	2.35	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
25.01.25	Preston – Middlesbrough	2–1 (1–0)	3.25	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73
21.01.25	Middlesbrough – West Brom	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	3.75	2.00	1.85
18.01.25	Portsmouth – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	4.50	3.60	1.75	1.67	2.20
04.01.25	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	1–1 (1–1)	1.57	4.20	5.25	1.73	2.10
01.01.25	Hull – Middlesbrough	0–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.50	2.10	1.88	1.98
29.12.24	Middlesbrough – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.73

Stoke at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.25	Stoke – Swansea	3–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.40	2.88	2.10	1.73
25.01.25	Stoke – Oxford	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.30	3.80	2.10	1.73
04.01.25	Stoke – Plymouth	0–0 (0–0)	1.65	4.33	4.33	1.67	2.20
29.12.24	Stoke – Sunderland	1–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.60	2.20	2.03	1.83
26.12.24	Stoke – Leeds	0–2 (0–1)	6.25	4.20	1.50	1.90	1.95
14.12.24	Stoke – Cardiff	2–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.30	3.25	1.90	1.95
30.11.24	Stoke – Burnley	0–2 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.30	2.20	1.67
26.11.24	Stoke – Preston	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.60	2.10	1.73
09.11.24	Stoke – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.25	2.80	2.20	1.67
02.11.24	Stoke – Derby	2–1 (1–0)	2.20	3.40	3.25	2.03	1.83

Middlesbrough away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.25	Bristol City – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
12.02.25	Sheffield United – Middlesbrough	3–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.10	1.93	1.93
25.01.25	Preston – Middlesbrough	2–1 (1–0)	3.25	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73
18.01.25	Portsmouth – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	4.50	3.60	1.75	1.67	2.20
01.01.25	Hull – Middlesbrough	0–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.50	2.10	1.88	1.98
21.12.24	Plymouth – Middlesbrough	3–3 (1–0)	6.00	4.50	1.48	1.57	2.38
10.12.24	Leeds – Middlesbrough	3–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.70	4.75	1.93	1.93
06.12.24	Burnley – Middlesbrough	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.10	1.73
23.11.24	Oxford – Middlesbrough	2–6 (1–3)	5.00	4.20	1.60	1.83	2.03
05.11.24	QPR – Middlesbrough	1–4 (0–2)	3.50	3.60	1.95	1.88	1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 3 2

Stoke winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins

7matches

2.29goals / match

29%over 2.5

43%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.09.24E1	Middlesbrough – Stoke	2–0 (1–0)	1.60	4.00	5.00	1.73	2.10
02.03.24E1	Stoke – Middlesbrough	2–0 (1–0)	2.75	3.30	2.60	1.95	1.90
28.10.23E1	Middlesbrough – Stoke	0–2 (0–2)	1.75	4.00	4.33	1.75	2.05
14.03.23E1	Middlesbrough – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	1.70	3.80	5.00	1.90	1.95
17.08.22E1	Stoke – Middlesbrough	2–2 (1–1)	2.70	3.20	2.75	2.20	1.66
30.04.22E1	Middlesbrough – Stoke	3–1 (2–0)	1.80	3.80	4.20	2.10	1.72
11.12.21E1	Stoke – Middlesbrough	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.10	3.20	2.20	1.66

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	34	22	9	3	71	21	+50	75
2	Sheffield United	34	22	6	6	48	26	+22	72
3	Burnley	34	18	14	2	43	9	+34	68
4	Sunderland	34	17	11	6	50	31	+19	62
5	West Brom	34	12	15	7	44	31	+13	51
6	Blackburn	34	15	6	13	39	34	+5	51
7	Coventry	34	14	8	12	46	42	+4	50
8	Bristol City	34	12	13	9	43	38	+5	49
9	Watford	34	14	6	14	45	48	-3	48
10	Norwich	34	12	11	11	55	47	+8	47
11	Millwall	34	11	12	11	34	34	0	45
12	Sheffield Weds	34	12	9	13	46	54	-8	45
13	Middlesbrough	33	12	8	13	51	45	+6	44
14	QPR	34	11	11	12	40	43	-3	44
15	Preston	34	9	15	10	36	41	-5	42
16	Swansea	34	11	7	16	37	46	-9	40
17	Portsmouth	34	10	9	15	43	56	-13	39
18	Oxford	34	9	11	14	34	49	-15	38
19	Stoke	33	8	11	14	33	44	-11	35
20	Hull	33	8	9	16	33	43	-10	33
21	Cardiff	33	7	12	14	36	55	-19	33
22	Plymouth	34	6	12	16	36	68	-32	30
23	Derby	34	7	8	19	33	47	-14	29
24	Luton	34	7	7	20	31	55	-24	28

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	17	14	2	1	44	8	+36	44
2	Sheffield United	17	12	2	3	25	13	+12	38
3	Sunderland	17	10	6	1	28	13	+15	36
4	Burnley	17	9	8	0	22	4	+18	35
5	Bristol City	17	9	5	3	25	13	+12	32
6	Blackburn	17	10	2	5	24	14	+10	32
7	Watford	17	10	2	5	22	17	+5	32
8	West Brom	17	8	7	2	23	11	+12	31
9	Norwich	17	8	6	3	41	23	+18	30
10	Coventry	17	9	3	5	28	20	+8	30
11	Portsmouth	17	8	5	4	26	16	+10	29
12	Oxford	17	8	5	4	24	22	+2	29
13	Preston	17	6	9	2	19	14	+5	27
14	Middlesbrough	17	7	5	5	24	19	+5	26
15	QPR	17	7	5	5	26	22	+4	26
16	Millwall	17	7	4	6	19	15	+4	25
17	Plymouth	17	6	7	4	30	28	+2	25
18	Swansea	17	6	5	6	24	19	+5	23
19	Luton	17	6	5	6	19	19	0	23
20	Stoke	16	5	7	4	21	18	+3	22
21	Sheffield Weds	17	5	7	5	26	25	+1	22
22	Derby	17	6	3	8	19	16	+3	21
23	Cardiff	16	6	3	7	19	20	-1	21
24	Hull	17	2	7	8	17	23	-6	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	17	10	4	3	23	13	+10	34
2	Burnley	17	9	6	2	21	5	+16	33
3	Leeds	17	8	7	2	27	13	+14	31
4	Sunderland	17	7	5	5	22	18	+4	26
5	Sheffield Weds	17	7	2	8	20	29	-9	23
6	West Brom	17	4	8	5	21	20	+1	20
7	Coventry	17	5	5	7	18	22	-4	20
8	Hull	16	6	2	8	16	20	-4	20
9	Millwall	17	4	8	5	15	19	-4	20
10	Blackburn	17	5	4	8	15	20	-5	19
11	Middlesbrough	16	5	3	8	27	26	+1	18
12	QPR	17	4	6	7	14	21	-7	18
13	Bristol City	17	3	8	6	18	25	-7	17
14	Norwich	17	4	5	8	14	24	-10	17
15	Swansea	17	5	2	10	13	27	-14	17
16	Watford	17	4	4	9	23	31	-8	16
17	Preston	17	3	6	8	17	27	-10	15
18	Stoke	17	3	4	10	12	26	-14	13
19	Cardiff	17	1	9	7	17	35	-18	12
20	Portsmouth	17	2	4	11	17	40	-23	10
21	Oxford	17	1	6	10	10	27	-17	9
22	Derby	17	1	5	11	14	31	-17	8
23	Luton	17	1	2	14	12	36	-24	5
24	Plymouth	17	0	5	12	6	40	-34	5

Stoke Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	34	11	23	1.3	1.6	10	9	15	43	56	39
2	9	Watford	34	13	21	1.3	1.4	14	6	14	45	48	48
3	12	Sheffield Weds	34	15	19	1.4	1.6	12	9	13	46	54	45
4	7	Coventry	34	16	18	1.4	1.2	14	8	12	46	42	50
5	22	Plymouth	34	16	18	1.1	2.0	6	12	16	36	68	30
6	10	Norwich	34	17	17	1.6	1.4	12	11	11	55	47	47
7	16	Swansea	34	17	17	1.1	1.4	11	7	16	37	46	40
8	4	Sunderland	34	18	16	1.5	0.9	17	11	6	50	31	62
9	13	Middlesbrough	33	17	16	1.5	1.4	12	8	13	51	45	44
10	14	QPR	34	18	16	1.2	1.3	11	11	12	40	43	44
11	24	Luton	34	18	16	0.9	1.6	7	7	20	31	55	28
12	1	Leeds	34	19	15	2.1	0.6	22	9	3	71	21	75
13	15	Preston	34	19	15	1.1	1.2	9	15	10	36	41	42
14	8	Bristol City	34	20	14	1.3	1.1	12	13	9	43	38	49
15	21	Cardiff	33	19	14	1.1	1.7	7	12	14	36	55	33
16	23	Derby	34	20	14	1.0	1.4	7	8	19	33	47	29
17	5	West Brom	34	21	13	1.3	0.9	12	15	7	44	31	51
18	6	Blackburn	34	21	13	1.1	1.0	15	6	13	39	34	51
19	19	Stoke	33	20	13	1.0	1.3	8	11	14	33	44	35
20	2	Sheffield United	34	22	12	1.4	0.8	22	6	6	48	26	72
21	18	Oxford	34	22	12	1.0	1.4	9	11	14	34	49	38
22	20	Hull	33	21	12	1.0	1.3	8	9	16	33	43	33
23	11	Millwall	34	25	9	1.0	1.0	11	12	11	34	34	45
24	3	Burnley	34	27	7	1.3	0.3	18	14	2	43	9	68

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Coventry	17	5	12	1.6	1.2	9	3	5	28	20	30
2	10	Norwich	17	6	11	2.4	1.4	8	6	3	41	23	30
3	17	Portsmouth	17	6	11	1.5	0.9	8	5	4	26	16	29
4	22	Plymouth	17	6	11	1.8	1.6	6	7	4	30	28	25
5	1	Leeds	17	7	10	2.6	0.5	14	2	1	44	8	44
6	9	Watford	17	7	10	1.3	1.0	10	2	5	22	17	32
7	14	QPR	17	7	10	1.5	1.3	7	5	5	26	22	26
8	4	Sunderland	17	9	8	1.6	0.8	10	6	1	28	13	36
9	16	Swansea	17	9	8	1.4	1.1	6	5	6	24	19	23
10	24	Luton	17	9	8	1.1	1.1	6	5	6	19	19	23
11	8	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.5	0.8	9	5	3	25	13	32
12	12	Sheffield Weds	17	10	7	1.5	1.5	5	7	5	26	25	22
13	19	Stoke	16	9	7	1.3	1.1	5	7	4	21	18	22
14	2	Sheffield United	17	11	6	1.5	0.8	12	2	3	25	13	38
15	6	Blackburn	17	11	6	1.4	0.8	10	2	5	24	14	32
16	13	Middlesbrough	17	11	6	1.4	1.1	7	5	5	24	19	26
17	18	Oxford	17	11	6	1.4	1.3	8	5	4	24	22	29
18	20	Hull	17	11	6	1.0	1.4	2	7	8	17	23	13
19	23	Derby	17	11	6	1.1	0.9	6	3	8	19	16	21
20	5	West Brom	17	12	5	1.4	0.6	8	7	2	23	11	31
21	11	Millwall	17	12	5	1.1	0.9	7	4	6	19	15	25
22	15	Preston	17	12	5	1.1	0.8	6	9	2	19	14	27
23	21	Cardiff	16	11	5	1.2	1.2	6	3	7	19	20	21
24	3	Burnley	17	13	4	1.3	0.2	9	8	0	22	4	35

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Sheffield Weds	17	5	12	1.2	1.7	7	2	8	20	29	23
2	17	Portsmouth	17	5	12	1.0	2.4	2	4	11	17	40	10
3	9	Watford	17	6	11	1.4	1.8	4	4	9	23	31	16
4	13	Middlesbrough	16	6	10	1.7	1.6	5	3	8	27	26	18
5	15	Preston	17	7	10	1.0	1.6	3	6	8	17	27	15
6	16	Swansea	17	8	9	0.8	1.6	5	2	10	13	27	17
7	21	Cardiff	17	8	9	1.0	2.1	1	9	7	17	35	12
8	4	Sunderland	17	9	8	1.3	1.1	7	5	5	22	18	26
9	5	West Brom	17	9	8	1.2	1.2	4	8	5	21	20	20
10	23	Derby	17	9	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	11	14	31	8
11	24	Luton	17	9	8	0.7	2.1	1	2	14	12	36	5
12	6	Blackburn	17	10	7	0.9	1.2	5	4	8	15	20	19
13	8	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.1	1.5	3	8	6	18	25	17
14	22	Plymouth	17	10	7	0.4	2.4	0	5	12	6	40	5
15	2	Sheffield United	17	11	6	1.4	0.8	10	4	3	23	13	34
16	7	Coventry	17	11	6	1.1	1.3	5	5	7	18	22	20
17	10	Norwich	17	11	6	0.8	1.4	4	5	8	14	24	17
18	14	QPR	17	11	6	0.8	1.2	4	6	7	14	21	18
19	18	Oxford	17	11	6	0.6	1.6	1	6	10	10	27	9
20	19	Stoke	17	11	6	0.7	1.5	3	4	10	12	26	13
21	20	Hull	16	10	6	1.0	1.2	6	2	8	16	20	20
22	1	Leeds	17	12	5	1.6	0.8	8	7	2	27	13	31
23	11	Millwall	17	13	4	0.9	1.1	4	8	5	15	19	20
24	3	Burnley	17	14	3	1.2	0.3	9	6	2	21	5	33

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.