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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Martin

Middlesbrough 2–0 Stoke

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.60 fair 2.03
Draw 4.00 fair 3.87
Away 5.00 fair 4.01
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.85
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 2.17

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Stoke
26 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 2
10 Fouls 17
4 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (76 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.00
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.2% 1–1 12.2% 2–0 9.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.00scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:5
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.67scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 4:9
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.67
0.83 Goals conceded 1.50
1.83 Total goals 2.17
17.33 Shots 10.50
4.50 Shots on target 2.83
7.00 Shots faced 13.67
8.17 Corners 4.50
3.83 Corners against 5.50
10.00 Fouls 11.50
0.83 Yellow cards 2.17
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 0%
33% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
17% Over 2.5 goals 50%
17% Over 3.5 goals 17%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 17%
33% Draws 67%
50% Losses 17%
83% Over 0.5 goals 33%
33% Over 1.5 goals 17%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Stoke all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:3
Stoke before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 1:4
Middlesbrough at home away Stoke

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.33
1.00 Goals conceded 1.33
2.33 Total goals 1.67
21.00 Shots 10.33
5.67 Shots on target 3.67
6.00 Shots faced 17.67
10.00 Corners 4.67
4.33 Corners against 5.33
10.00 Fouls 12.67
0.33 Yellow cards 2.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
67% Draws 0%
0% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%
33% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 0%
33% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 0%
33% Draws 100%
33% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 0%
67% Over 1.5 goals 0%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
14.09.24 Middlesbrough – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 1.454.207.00 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.751.85 1.90 1.95
24.08.24 Middlesbrough – Portsmouth 2–2 (1–2) 1.454.337.00 1.73 2.10
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
10.08.24 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.33 1.73 2.08
04.05.24 Middlesbrough – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
27.04.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 1.93 1.93
22.04.24 Middlesbrough – Leeds 3–4 (2–3) 4.203.801.80 1.73 2.10
13.04.24 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.20 1.62 2.30

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.24 Stoke – Hull 1–3 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Oxford – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.98 1.88
31.08.24 Plymouth – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.70 2.10
24.08.24 Stoke – West Brom 1–2 (1–2) 2.553.202.80 2.30 1.62
17.08.24 Watford – Stoke 3–0 (0–0) 2.633.252.70 2.05 1.80
10.08.24 Stoke – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.602.70 1.83 2.03
04.05.24 Stoke – Bristol City 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.403.75 1.90 1.95
27.04.24 Southampton – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 1.754.334.00 1.53 2.50
20.04.24 Stoke – Plymouth 3–0 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 1.93 1.93
13.04.24 Sheffield Weds – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.10 1.73

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Middlesbrough – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 1.454.207.00 1.73 2.10
24.08.24 Middlesbrough – Portsmouth 2–2 (1–2) 1.454.337.00 1.73 2.10
10.08.24 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.33 1.73 2.08
04.05.24 Middlesbrough – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
22.04.24 Middlesbrough – Leeds 3–4 (2–3) 4.203.801.80 1.73 2.10
06.04.24 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.804.20 1.80 2.00
01.04.24 Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.83 2.03
16.03.24 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.75 2.05
06.03.24 Middlesbrough – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.08
24.02.24 Middlesbrough – Plymouth 0–2 (0–2) 1.444.507.00 1.53 2.40

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Oxford – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.98 1.88
31.08.24 Plymouth – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.70 2.10
17.08.24 Watford – Stoke 3–0 (0–0) 2.633.252.70 2.05 1.80
27.04.24 Southampton – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 1.754.334.00 1.53 2.50
13.04.24 Sheffield Weds – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.10 1.73
10.04.24 Swansea – Stoke 3–0 (1–0) 2.403.303.00 2.03 1.83
29.03.24 Hull – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 1.953.753.75 1.98 1.88
09.03.24 Preston – Stoke 1–2 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.08 1.73
05.03.24 Leeds – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.00 1.53 2.40
24.02.24 Cardiff – Stoke 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.252.63 2.30 1.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsStoke wins
6matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24E1 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.95 1.90
28.10.23E1 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–2 (0–2) 1.754.004.33 1.75 2.05
14.03.23E1 Middlesbrough – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 1.95
17.08.22E1 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
30.04.22E1 Middlesbrough – Stoke 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.20 2.10 1.72
11.12.21E1 Stoke – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 7 5 1 1 12 5 +7 16
2 Sunderland 6 5 0 1 13 4 +9 15
3 Blackburn 7 4 3 0 14 6 +8 15
4 Sheffield United 6 4 2 0 9 3 +6 14
5 Burnley 6 4 1 1 13 4 +9 13
6 Leeds 6 3 2 1 9 4 +5 11
7 Norwich 7 3 2 2 11 9 +2 11
8 Swansea 6 3 1 2 7 4 +3 10
9 Watford 6 3 1 2 10 9 +1 10
10 Oxford 6 3 0 3 10 8 +2 9
11 Derby 7 3 0 4 10 10 0 9
12 Middlesbrough 6 2 2 2 6 5 +1 8
13 Plymouth 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
14 Bristol City 6 2 2 2 8 12 -4 8
15 QPR 7 1 4 2 8 11 -3 7
16 Sheffield Weds 7 2 1 4 9 14 -5 7
17 Luton 7 2 1 4 6 11 -5 7
18 Hull 6 1 3 2 5 7 -2 6
19 Stoke 6 2 0 4 4 9 -5 6
20 Millwall 6 1 2 3 9 9 0 5
21 Coventry 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
22 Preston 6 1 2 3 3 9 -6 5
23 Portsmouth 6 0 3 3 7 13 -6 3
24 Cardiff 6 0 1 5 1 13 -12 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 4 4 0 0 11 3 +8 12
2 Sunderland 3 3 0 0 6 0 +6 9
3 Oxford 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
4 Derby 4 3 0 1 7 3 +4 9
5 Burnley 3 2 1 0 8 2 +6 7
6 Watford 3 2 1 0 6 2 +4 7
7 Swansea 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
8 Sheffield Weds 4 2 1 1 8 5 +3 7
9 Bristol City 3 2 1 0 7 5 +2 7
10 Plymouth 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
11 Sheffield United 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
12 West Brom 3 2 1 0 2 0 +2 7
13 Norwich 3 1 2 0 7 4 +3 5
14 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
15 Leeds 3 1 1 1 5 4 +1 4
16 Preston 3 1 1 1 1 2 -1 4
17 Millwall 3 1 0 2 5 4 +1 3
18 Coventry 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
19 Stoke 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
20 Luton 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
21 QPR 3 0 2 1 3 5 -2 2
22 Hull 3 0 2 1 1 3 -2 2
23 Portsmouth 3 0 1 2 1 6 -5 1
24 Cardiff 3 0 0 3 0 6 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 4 3 0 1 10 5 +5 9
2 Sheffield United 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
3 Leeds 3 2 1 0 4 0 +4 7
4 Sunderland 3 2 0 1 7 4 +3 6
5 Burnley 3 2 0 1 5 2 +3 6
6 Norwich 4 2 0 2 4 5 -1 6
7 QPR 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5
8 Hull 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
9 Luton 4 1 1 2 2 4 -2 4
10 Blackburn 3 0 3 0 3 3 0 3
11 Middlesbrough 3 1 0 2 2 2 0 3
12 Swansea 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3
13 Watford 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
14 Stoke 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 3
15 Portsmouth 3 0 2 1 6 7 -1 2
16 Millwall 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
17 Coventry 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
18 Preston 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
19 Plymouth 3 0 1 2 1 6 -5 1
20 Bristol City 3 0 1 2 1 7 -6 1
21 Cardiff 3 0 1 2 1 7 -6 1
22 Oxford 3 0 0 3 4 7 -3 0
23 Derby 3 0 0 3 3 7 -4 0
24 Sheffield Weds 3 0 0 3 1 9 -8 0

Middlesbrough   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Sheffield Weds 7 2 5 1.3 2.0 2 1 4 9 14 7
2 23 Portsmouth 6 1 5 1.2 2.2 0 3 3 7 13 3
3 1 West Brom 7 3 4 1.7 0.7 5 1 1 12 5 16
4 3 Blackburn 7 3 4 2.0 0.9 4 3 0 14 6 15
5 9 Watford 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 3 1 2 10 9 10
6 10 Oxford 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 3 0 3 10 8 9
7 11 Derby 7 3 4 1.4 1.4 3 0 4 10 10 9
8 14 Bristol City 6 2 4 1.3 2.0 2 2 2 8 12 8
9 17 Luton 7 3 4 0.9 1.6 2 1 4 6 11 7
10 2 Sunderland 6 3 3 2.2 0.7 5 0 1 13 4 15
11 5 Burnley 6 3 3 2.2 0.7 4 1 1 13 4 13
12 7 Norwich 7 4 3 1.6 1.3 3 2 2 11 9 11
13 13 Plymouth 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
14 15 QPR 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 1 4 2 8 11 7
15 19 Stoke 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 2 0 4 4 9 6
16 20 Millwall 6 3 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 3 9 9 5
17 8 Swansea 6 4 2 1.2 0.7 3 1 2 7 4 10
18 21 Coventry 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
19 22 Preston 6 4 2 0.5 1.5 1 2 3 3 9 5
20 4 Sheffield United 6 5 1 1.5 0.5 4 2 0 9 3 14
21 6 Leeds 6 5 1 1.5 0.7 3 2 1 9 4 11
22 12 Middlesbrough 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 2 2 2 6 5 8
23 18 Hull 6 5 1 0.8 1.2 1 3 2 5 7 6
24 24 Cardiff 6 5 1 0.2 2.2 0 1 5 1 13 1
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Blackburn 4 1 3 2.8 0.8 4 0 0 11 3 12
2 17 Luton 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
3 5 Burnley 3 1 2 2.7 0.7 2 1 0 8 2 7
4 7 Norwich 3 1 2 2.3 1.3 1 2 0 7 4 5
5 9 Watford 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 1 0 6 2 7
6 11 Derby 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 3 0 1 7 3 9
7 13 Plymouth 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
8 14 Bristol City 3 1 2 2.3 1.7 2 1 0 7 5 7
9 16 Sheffield Weds 4 2 2 2.0 1.2 2 1 1 8 5 7
10 19 Stoke 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
11 20 Millwall 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 0 2 5 4 3
12 21 Coventry 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
13 23 Portsmouth 3 1 2 0.3 2.0 0 1 2 1 6 1
14 2 Sunderland 3 2 1 2.0 0.0 3 0 0 6 0 9
15 4 Sheffield United 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
16 6 Leeds 3 2 1 1.7 1.3 1 1 1 5 4 4
17 8 Swansea 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
18 10 Oxford 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
19 12 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
20 15 QPR 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 0 2 1 3 5 2
21 1 West Brom 3 3 0 0.7 0.0 2 1 0 2 0 7
22 18 Hull 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 2 1 1 3 2
23 22 Preston 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 1 1 1 1 2 4
24 24 Cardiff 3 3 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 3 0 6 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 West Brom 4 0 4 2.5 1.2 3 0 1 10 5 9
2 10 Oxford 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 0 0 3 4 7 0
3 16 Sheffield Weds 3 0 3 0.3 3.0 0 0 3 1 9 0
4 23 Portsmouth 3 0 3 2.0 2.3 0 2 1 6 7 2
5 2 Sunderland 3 1 2 2.3 1.3 2 0 1 7 4 6
6 9 Watford 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
7 11 Derby 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 0 0 3 3 7 0
8 14 Bristol City 3 1 2 0.3 2.3 0 1 2 1 7 1
9 15 QPR 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 2 1 5 6 5
10 22 Preston 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
11 3 Blackburn 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 0 3 0 3 3 3
12 5 Burnley 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 0 1 5 2 6
13 7 Norwich 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 2 0 2 4 5 6
14 8 Swansea 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 1 0 2 2 3 3
15 13 Plymouth 3 2 1 0.3 2.0 0 1 2 1 6 1
16 17 Luton 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 1 1 2 2 4 4
17 18 Hull 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
18 19 Stoke 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 1 0 2 1 4 3
19 20 Millwall 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
20 24 Cardiff 3 2 1 0.3 2.3 0 1 2 1 7 1
21 4 Sheffield United 3 3 0 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
22 6 Leeds 3 3 0 1.3 0.0 2 1 0 4 0 7
23 12 Middlesbrough 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 0 2 2 2 3
24 21 Coventry 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40