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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Busby

Stoke 2–0 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.75 fair 2.98
Draw 3.30 fair 3.92
Away 2.60 fair 2.44
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.90 fair 2.07
Over 2.5 1.95 fair 1.94

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Middlesbrough
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 3
16 Fouls 5
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (410 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.80
Expected goals 1.29 – 1.45
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 0–1 9.4% 1–2 8.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.03points / match
0.91scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 31:48
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.42scored / match
1.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 47:49
Stoke all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

0.91 Goals scored 1.42
1.41 Goals conceded 1.48
2.32 Total goals 2.91
12.09 Shots 13.94
3.32 Shots on target 5.06
11.47 Shots faced 11.79
6.18 Corners 6.36
4.88 Corners against 4.94
12.32 Fouls 11.30
2.35 Yellow cards 1.70
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.74 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

26% Wins 39%
24% Draws 15%
50% Losses 45%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
62% Over 1.5 goals 85%
41% Over 2.5 goals 58%
26% Over 3.5 goals 27%
12% Over 4.5 goals 15%
3% Over 5.5 goals 6%
44% Both teams scored 61%
26% Clean sheets 18%
41% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 18%
47% Draws 42%
38% Losses 39%
71% Over 0.5 goals 67%
41% Over 1.5 goals 39%
12% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
1.12points / match
0.71scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 12:21
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.44points / match
1.88scored / match
1.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 30:29
Stoke at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

0.71 Goals scored 1.88
1.24 Goals conceded 1.81
1.94 Total goals 3.69
13.41 Shots 14.13
3.35 Shots on target 5.00
10.00 Shots faced 12.31
6.76 Corners 5.56
3.65 Corners against 5.19
12.88 Fouls 11.00
2.53 Yellow cards 1.88
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

29% Wins 44%
24% Draws 13%
47% Losses 44%
82% Over 0.5 goals 100%
47% Over 1.5 goals 94%
35% Over 2.5 goals 88%
18% Over 3.5 goals 44%
12% Over 4.5 goals 31%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
29% Both teams scored 81%
35% Clean sheets 6%
53% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

12% Wins 19%
59% Draws 31%
29% Losses 50%
47% Over 0.5 goals 75%
24% Over 1.5 goals 44%
6% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Cardiff – Stoke 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.252.63 2.30 1.60
17.02.24 Stoke – Coventry 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.83 2.03
14.02.24 Stoke – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.10 1.70
10.02.24 Blackburn – Stoke 3–1 (3–1) 2.403.602.88 1.67 2.15
03.02.24 Stoke – Leicester 0–5 (0–2) 4.203.751.83 1.90 1.95
27.01.24 Sunderland – Stoke 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 2.05 1.80
20.01.24 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.80
13.01.24 Rotherham – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.601.91 2.03 1.83
01.01.24 Stoke – Ipswich 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.93 1.93
29.12.23 Watford – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.05 1.75

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Middlesbrough – Plymouth 0–2 (0–2) 1.444.507.00 1.53 2.40
17.02.24 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.65 2.20
14.02.24 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–2 (0–2) 1.704.004.50 1.95 1.90
04.02.24 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.85 2.00
20.01.24 Middlesbrough – Rotherham 1–1 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.62 2.25
13.01.24 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.402.55 2.05 1.75
01.01.24 Middlesbrough – Coventry 1–3 (1–1) 1.953.753.60 1.75 2.05
29.12.23 Huddersfield – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.95 1.90
26.12.23 Rotherham – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 5.754.001.60 1.75 2.05

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.24 Stoke – Coventry 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.83 2.03
14.02.24 Stoke – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.10 1.70
03.02.24 Stoke – Leicester 0–5 (0–2) 4.203.751.83 1.90 1.95
20.01.24 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.80
01.01.24 Stoke – Ipswich 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.93 1.93
23.12.23 Stoke – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.603.40 2.10 1.70
12.12.23 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
09.12.23 Stoke – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.254.00 2.25 1.62
25.11.23 Stoke – Blackburn 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.75 2.05
04.11.23 Stoke – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.70

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.24 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.65 2.20
14.02.24 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.75
13.01.24 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.402.55 2.05 1.75
29.12.23 Huddersfield – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.95 1.90
26.12.23 Rotherham – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 5.754.001.60 1.75 2.05
16.12.23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.20 1.73 2.08
02.12.23 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25
25.11.23 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 3–2 (2–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85
04.11.23 Plymouth – Middlesbrough 3–3 (2–1) 4.003.601.91 1.60 2.30
24.10.23 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
40%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.23E1 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–2 (0–2) 1.754.004.33 1.75 2.05
14.03.23E1 Middlesbrough – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 1.95
17.08.22E1 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
30.04.22E1 Middlesbrough – Stoke 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.20 2.10 1.72
11.12.21E1 Stoke – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 34 25 3 6 70 29 +41 78
2 Leeds 35 22 7 6 65 28 +37 73
3 Ipswich 34 21 9 4 68 45 +23 72
4 Southampton 34 20 7 7 65 42 +23 67
5 West Brom 35 17 8 10 51 33 +18 59
6 Hull 34 16 7 11 50 43 +7 55
7 Norwich 34 15 7 12 59 51 +8 52
8 Preston 34 15 7 12 47 52 -5 52
9 Coventry 35 13 12 10 52 42 +10 51
10 Sunderland 34 14 5 15 46 39 +7 47
11 Cardiff 35 14 5 16 40 48 -8 47
12 Watford 34 11 11 12 50 47 +3 44
13 Bristol City 35 12 8 15 39 40 -1 44
14 Middlesbrough 33 13 5 15 47 49 -2 44
15 Plymouth 34 10 10 14 53 57 -4 40
16 Blackburn 34 11 6 17 48 60 -12 39
17 Swansea 34 10 9 15 43 55 -12 39
18 Birmingham 33 10 8 15 38 51 -13 38
19 Huddersfield 35 8 14 13 41 56 -15 38
20 Millwall 34 9 9 16 33 47 -14 36
21 QPR 34 9 8 17 32 45 -13 35
22 Stoke 34 9 8 17 31 48 -17 35
23 Sheffield Weds 34 9 5 20 28 53 -25 32
24 Rotherham 34 3 10 21 30 66 -36 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 17 13 4 0 38 12 +26 43
2 Leicester 17 13 1 3 34 11 +23 40
3 Ipswich 17 12 4 1 44 27 +17 40
4 West Brom 18 12 3 3 29 14 +15 39
5 Southampton 17 11 2 4 41 22 +19 35
6 Norwich 17 11 2 4 31 18 +13 35
7 Sunderland 17 10 0 7 29 21 +8 30
8 Preston 17 9 3 5 27 29 -2 30
9 Coventry 17 7 8 2 24 17 +7 29
10 Plymouth 17 8 4 5 38 30 +8 28
11 Birmingham 16 7 6 3 23 18 +5 27
12 Hull 17 7 5 5 24 17 +7 26
13 Bristol City 18 7 3 8 21 20 +1 24
14 Cardiff 17 7 3 7 20 21 -1 24
15 Huddersfield 18 5 7 6 22 24 -2 22
16 Sheffield Weds 17 6 4 7 19 21 -2 22
17 Middlesbrough 17 6 3 8 17 20 -3 21
18 Blackburn 17 6 3 8 24 28 -4 21
19 Watford 17 5 5 7 27 23 +4 20
20 Stoke 17 5 4 8 12 21 -9 19
21 QPR 17 4 5 8 19 25 -6 17
22 Swansea 17 4 5 8 18 25 -7 17
23 Millwall 17 4 4 9 14 27 -13 16
24 Rotherham 17 3 6 8 17 23 -6 15
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 17 12 2 3 36 18 +18 38
2 Ipswich 17 9 5 3 24 18 +6 32
3 Southampton 17 9 5 3 24 20 +4 32
4 Leeds 18 9 3 6 27 16 +11 30
5 Hull 17 9 2 6 26 26 0 29
6 Watford 17 6 6 5 23 24 -1 24
7 Middlesbrough 16 7 2 7 30 29 +1 23
8 Cardiff 18 7 2 9 20 27 -7 23
9 Coventry 18 6 4 8 28 25 +3 22
10 Preston 17 6 4 7 20 23 -3 22
11 Swansea 17 6 4 7 25 30 -5 22
12 West Brom 17 5 5 7 22 19 +3 20
13 Millwall 17 5 5 7 19 20 -1 20
14 Bristol City 17 5 5 7 18 20 -2 20
15 QPR 17 5 3 9 13 20 -7 18
16 Blackburn 17 5 3 9 24 32 -8 18
17 Sunderland 17 4 5 8 17 18 -1 17
18 Norwich 17 4 5 8 28 33 -5 17
19 Stoke 17 4 4 9 19 27 -8 16
20 Huddersfield 17 3 7 7 19 32 -13 16
21 Plymouth 17 2 6 9 15 27 -12 12
22 Birmingham 17 3 2 12 15 33 -18 11
23 Sheffield Weds 17 3 1 13 9 32 -23 10
24 Rotherham 17 0 4 13 13 43 -30 4

Stoke   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Blackburn 34 9 25 1.4 1.8 11 6 17 48 60 39
2 15 Plymouth 34 11 23 1.6 1.7 10 10 14 53 57 40
3 3 Ipswich 34 12 22 2.0 1.3 21 9 4 68 45 72
4 17 Swansea 34 12 22 1.3 1.6 10 9 15 43 55 39
5 4 Southampton 34 13 21 1.9 1.2 20 7 7 65 42 67
6 7 Norwich 34 13 21 1.7 1.5 15 7 12 59 51 52
7 8 Preston 34 13 21 1.4 1.5 15 7 12 47 52 52
8 1 Leicester 34 14 20 2.1 0.9 25 3 6 70 29 78
9 6 Hull 34 14 20 1.5 1.3 16 7 11 50 43 55
10 2 Leeds 35 16 19 1.9 0.8 22 7 6 65 28 73
11 9 Coventry 35 16 19 1.5 1.2 13 12 10 52 42 51
12 10 Sunderland 34 15 19 1.4 1.1 14 5 15 46 39 47
13 14 Middlesbrough 33 14 19 1.4 1.5 13 5 15 47 49 44
14 12 Watford 34 16 18 1.5 1.4 11 11 12 50 47 44
15 24 Rotherham 34 16 18 0.9 1.9 3 10 21 30 66 19
16 11 Cardiff 35 18 17 1.1 1.4 14 5 16 40 48 47
17 18 Birmingham 33 16 17 1.2 1.5 10 8 15 38 51 38
18 19 Huddersfield 35 18 17 1.2 1.6 8 14 13 41 56 38
19 23 Sheffield Weds 34 17 17 0.8 1.6 9 5 20 28 53 32
20 5 West Brom 35 20 15 1.5 0.9 17 8 10 51 33 59
21 20 Millwall 34 19 15 1.0 1.4 9 9 16 33 47 36
22 21 QPR 34 19 15 0.9 1.3 9 8 17 32 45 35
23 13 Bristol City 35 21 14 1.1 1.1 12 8 15 39 40 44
24 22 Stoke 34 20 14 0.9 1.4 9 8 17 31 48 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Ipswich 17 3 14 2.6 1.6 12 4 1 44 27 40
2 15 Plymouth 17 3 14 2.2 1.8 8 4 5 38 30 28
3 4 Southampton 17 4 13 2.4 1.3 11 2 4 41 22 35
4 8 Preston 17 4 13 1.6 1.7 9 3 5 27 29 30
5 2 Leeds 17 5 12 2.2 0.7 13 4 0 38 12 43
6 10 Sunderland 17 5 12 1.7 1.2 10 0 7 29 21 30
7 16 Blackburn 17 5 12 1.4 1.6 6 3 8 24 28 21
8 12 Watford 17 7 10 1.6 1.4 5 5 7 27 23 20
9 17 Swansea 17 7 10 1.1 1.5 4 5 8 18 25 17
10 1 Leicester 17 8 9 2.0 0.6 13 1 3 34 11 40
11 7 Norwich 17 8 9 1.8 1.1 11 2 4 31 18 35
12 18 Birmingham 16 7 9 1.4 1.1 7 6 3 23 18 27
13 19 Huddersfield 18 9 9 1.2 1.3 5 7 6 22 24 22
14 21 QPR 17 8 9 1.1 1.5 4 5 8 19 25 17
15 23 Sheffield Weds 17 8 9 1.1 1.2 6 4 7 19 21 22
16 20 Millwall 17 9 8 0.8 1.6 4 4 9 14 27 16
17 5 West Brom 18 11 7 1.6 0.8 12 3 3 29 14 39
18 6 Hull 17 10 7 1.4 1.0 7 5 5 24 17 26
19 9 Coventry 17 10 7 1.4 1.0 7 8 2 24 17 29
20 11 Cardiff 17 10 7 1.2 1.2 7 3 7 20 21 24
21 24 Rotherham 17 10 7 1.0 1.4 3 6 8 17 23 15
22 13 Bristol City 18 12 6 1.2 1.1 7 3 8 21 20 24
23 22 Stoke 17 11 6 0.7 1.2 5 4 8 12 21 19
24 14 Middlesbrough 17 12 5 1.0 1.2 6 3 8 17 20 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Middlesbrough 16 2 14 1.9 1.8 7 2 7 30 29 23
2 6 Hull 17 4 13 1.5 1.5 9 2 6 26 26 29
3 16 Blackburn 17 4 13 1.4 1.9 5 3 9 24 32 18
4 7 Norwich 17 5 12 1.6 1.9 4 5 8 28 33 17
5 9 Coventry 18 6 12 1.6 1.4 6 4 8 28 25 22
6 17 Swansea 17 5 12 1.5 1.8 6 4 7 25 30 22
7 1 Leicester 17 6 11 2.1 1.1 12 2 3 36 18 38
8 24 Rotherham 17 6 11 0.8 2.5 0 4 13 13 43 4
9 11 Cardiff 18 8 10 1.1 1.5 7 2 9 20 27 23
10 15 Plymouth 17 8 9 0.9 1.6 2 6 9 15 27 12
11 3 Ipswich 17 9 8 1.4 1.1 9 5 3 24 18 32
12 4 Southampton 17 9 8 1.4 1.2 9 5 3 24 20 32
13 5 West Brom 17 9 8 1.3 1.1 5 5 7 22 19 20
14 8 Preston 17 9 8 1.2 1.4 6 4 7 20 23 22
15 12 Watford 17 9 8 1.4 1.4 6 6 5 23 24 24
16 13 Bristol City 17 9 8 1.1 1.2 5 5 7 18 20 20
17 18 Birmingham 17 9 8 0.9 1.9 3 2 12 15 33 11
18 19 Huddersfield 17 9 8 1.1 1.9 3 7 7 19 32 16
19 22 Stoke 17 9 8 1.1 1.6 4 4 9 19 27 16
20 23 Sheffield Weds 17 9 8 0.5 1.9 3 1 13 9 32 10
21 2 Leeds 18 11 7 1.5 0.9 9 3 6 27 16 30
22 10 Sunderland 17 10 7 1.0 1.1 4 5 8 17 18 17
23 20 Millwall 17 10 7 1.1 1.2 5 5 7 19 20 20
24 21 QPR 17 11 6 0.8 1.2 5 3 9 13 20 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40