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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Herczeg

Leicester 1–1 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.15 fair 2.68
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 3.57
Away 3.20 fair 2.88
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.72
Over 2.5 1.98 fair 2.39

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leicester Middlesbrough
6 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 6
18 Fouls 11
6 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (155 league matches this season so far).
Result Leicester to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.20 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
LeicesterDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.2% 1–0 11.4% 0–1 10.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Leicester before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.15scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 15:14
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.92points / match
1.23scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:11
Leicester all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 1.23
1.08 Goals conceded 0.85
2.23 Total goals 2.08
14.15 Shots 12.31
4.31 Shots on target 3.92
11.54 Shots faced 10.85
6.77 Corners 5.23
4.31 Corners against 4.92
10.15 Fouls 9.31
1.54 Yellow cards 2.08
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

31% Wins 54%
38% Draws 31%
31% Losses 15%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
77% Over 1.5 goals 62%
38% Over 2.5 goals 46%
15% Over 3.5 goals 8%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
62% Both teams scored 46%
23% Clean sheets 38%
23% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 31%
15% Draws 38%
54% Losses 31%
85% Over 0.5 goals 62%
15% Over 1.5 goals 15%
8% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leicester all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Leicester before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:5
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.57points / match
1.29scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:8
Leicester at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.29
0.83 Goals conceded 1.14
1.83 Total goals 2.43
16.00 Shots 12.71
5.33 Shots on target 3.57
9.17 Shots faced 10.57
8.67 Corners 5.71
3.67 Corners against 4.14
9.67 Fouls 10.00
1.17 Yellow cards 2.86
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

33% Wins 43%
50% Draws 29%
17% Losses 29%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 71%
17% Over 2.5 goals 57%
0% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 43%
33% Clean sheets 29%
33% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 29%
17% Draws 29%
33% Losses 43%
83% Over 0.5 goals 71%
0% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leicester at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leicester all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Leicester – Blackburn 0–2 (0–1) 1.763.904.00 2.00 1.85
25.10.25 Millwall – Leicester 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.202.65 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Hull – Leicester 2–1 (2–0) 3.253.502.10 1.85 2.00
18.10.25 Leicester – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–0) 1.623.755.00 1.98 1.88
04.10.25 Swansea – Leicester 1–3 (0–1) 2.353.502.70 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Leicester – Wrexham 1–1 (1–0) 1.613.755.00 1.90 1.95
26.09.25 West Brom – Leicester 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 2.20 1.67
20.09.25 Leicester – Coventry 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.65 1.73 2.10
13.09.25 Oxford – Leicester 2–2 (2–1) 4.203.501.81 2.10 1.73
29.08.25 Leicester – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.252.85 2.20 1.67

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Watford – Middlesbrough 3–0 (2–0) 2.653.402.45 2.05 1.80
25.10.25 Middlesbrough – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 1.683.604.75 2.00 1.85
22.10.25 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.66 1.93 1.93
17.10.25 Middlesbrough – Ipswich 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 2.10 1.73
04.10.25 Portsmouth – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.25 2.03 1.83
30.09.25 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.80
27.09.25 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.88 1.98
19.09.25 Middlesbrough – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.30 2.10 1.73
13.09.25 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.20 2.10 1.73
30.08.25 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.10 1.90 1.95

Leicester at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Leicester – Blackburn 0–2 (0–1) 1.763.904.00 2.00 1.85
18.10.25 Leicester – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–0) 1.623.755.00 1.98 1.88
30.09.25 Leicester – Wrexham 1–1 (1–0) 1.613.755.00 1.90 1.95
20.09.25 Leicester – Coventry 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.65 1.73 2.10
29.08.25 Leicester – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.252.85 2.20 1.67
10.08.25 Leicester – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (0–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.53 2.50
18.05.25E0 Leicester – Ipswich 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
03.05.25E0 Leicester – Southampton 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.602.88 1.68 2.05
20.04.25E0 Leicester – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 11.006.251.22 1.44 2.75
07.04.25E0 Leicester – Newcastle 0–3 (0–3) 6.504.201.48 1.62 2.30

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Watford – Middlesbrough 3–0 (2–0) 2.653.402.45 2.05 1.80
22.10.25 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.66 1.93 1.93
04.10.25 Portsmouth – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.25 2.03 1.83
27.09.25 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.88 1.98
13.09.25 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.20 2.10 1.73
23.08.25 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 2.253.403.10 1.93 1.93
16.08.25 Millwall – Middlesbrough 0–3 (0–0) 2.153.253.40 2.30 1.62
03.05.25 Coventry – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.803.20 1.57 2.38
21.04.25 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.15 1.90 1.95
12.04.25 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 2.883.252.45 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leicester winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.24E1 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.65 2.20
11.11.23E1 Middlesbrough – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.602.30 1.70 2.10

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 13 8 4 1 36 12 +24 28
2 Middlesbrough 13 7 4 2 16 11 +5 25
3 Stoke 13 7 3 3 18 9 +9 24
4 Millwall 13 7 3 3 16 15 +1 24
5 Bristol City 13 6 4 3 21 16 +5 22
6 Preston 13 6 4 3 17 12 +5 22
7 Hull 13 6 4 3 22 20 +2 22
8 Charlton 13 5 5 3 15 11 +4 20
9 Ipswich 12 5 4 3 21 14 +7 19
10 Watford 13 5 3 5 17 16 +1 18
11 Birmingham 13 5 3 5 15 15 0 18
12 West Brom 13 5 3 5 12 14 -2 18
13 QPR 13 5 3 5 16 21 -5 18
14 Leicester 13 4 5 4 15 14 +1 17
15 Wrexham 13 4 5 4 19 19 0 17
16 Swansea 13 4 5 4 13 13 0 17
17 Derby 13 4 5 4 16 17 -1 17
18 Oxford 13 3 4 6 15 17 -2 13
19 Blackburn 12 4 1 7 12 17 -5 13
20 Portsmouth 13 3 4 6 10 17 -7 13
21 Southampton 13 2 6 5 13 19 -6 12
22 Sheffield United 13 3 0 10 10 23 -13 9
23 Norwich 13 2 2 9 12 20 -8 8
24 Sheffield Weds 13 1 4 8 10 25 -15 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Watford 7 5 1 1 13 7 +6 16
2 Coventry 6 4 2 0 16 3 +13 14
3 Ipswich 7 4 2 1 14 8 +6 14
4 Preston 7 4 2 1 10 6 +4 14
5 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 7 3 +4 14
6 Hull 7 4 2 1 12 10 +2 14
7 Stoke 6 4 1 1 11 4 +7 13
8 Millwall 7 4 0 3 7 9 -2 12
9 Birmingham 6 3 2 1 11 6 +5 11
10 Charlton 6 3 2 1 8 4 +4 11
11 Bristol City 7 3 2 2 11 9 +2 11
12 Leicester 6 2 3 1 6 5 +1 9
13 West Brom 6 2 3 1 5 4 +1 9
14 Wrexham 7 2 3 2 11 12 -1 9
15 Derby 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9
16 Swansea 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9
17 QPR 6 2 2 2 7 8 -1 8
18 Portsmouth 7 2 1 4 6 9 -3 7
19 Oxford 6 1 3 2 7 8 -1 6
20 Southampton 6 1 3 2 4 6 -2 6
21 Blackburn 6 1 1 4 6 11 -5 4
22 Sheffield United 6 1 0 5 4 11 -7 3
23 Sheffield Weds 7 0 1 6 2 17 -15 1
24 Norwich 6 0 0 6 4 11 -7 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 7 4 2 1 20 9 +11 14
2 Millwall 6 3 3 0 9 6 +3 12
3 Bristol City 6 3 2 1 10 7 +3 11
4 Stoke 7 3 2 2 7 5 +2 11
5 Middlesbrough 7 3 2 2 9 8 +1 11
6 QPR 7 3 1 3 9 13 -4 10
7 Charlton 7 2 3 2 7 7 0 9
8 Blackburn 6 3 0 3 6 6 0 9
9 West Brom 7 3 0 4 7 10 -3 9
10 Wrexham 6 2 2 2 8 7 +1 8
11 Preston 6 2 2 2 7 6 +1 8
12 Swansea 6 2 2 2 5 4 +1 8
13 Hull 6 2 2 2 10 10 0 8
14 Leicester 7 2 2 3 9 9 0 8
15 Derby 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8
16 Norwich 7 2 2 3 8 9 -1 8
17 Oxford 7 2 1 4 8 9 -1 7
18 Birmingham 7 2 1 4 4 9 -5 7
19 Sheffield Weds 6 1 3 2 8 8 0 6
20 Southampton 7 1 3 3 9 13 -4 6
21 Portsmouth 6 1 3 2 4 8 -4 6
22 Sheffield United 7 2 0 5 6 12 -6 6
23 Ipswich 5 1 2 2 7 6 +1 5
24 Watford 6 0 2 4 4 9 -5 2

Leicester   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 13 4 9 2.8 0.9 8 4 1 36 12 28
2 7 Hull 13 4 9 1.7 1.5 6 4 3 22 20 22
3 10 Watford 13 5 8 1.3 1.2 5 3 5 17 16 18
4 24 Sheffield Weds 13 5 8 0.8 1.9 1 4 8 10 25 7
5 5 Bristol City 13 6 7 1.6 1.2 6 4 3 21 16 22
6 9 Ipswich 12 5 7 1.8 1.2 5 4 3 21 14 19
7 13 QPR 13 6 7 1.2 1.6 5 3 5 16 21 18
8 18 Oxford 13 6 7 1.2 1.3 3 4 6 15 17 13
9 21 Southampton 13 6 7 1.0 1.5 2 6 5 13 19 12
10 2 Middlesbrough 13 7 6 1.2 0.8 7 4 2 16 11 25
11 4 Millwall 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 7 3 3 16 15 24
12 15 Wrexham 13 7 6 1.5 1.5 4 5 4 19 19 17
13 19 Blackburn 12 6 6 1.0 1.4 4 1 7 12 17 13
14 22 Sheffield United 13 7 6 0.8 1.8 3 0 10 10 23 9
15 23 Norwich 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 2 2 9 12 20 8
16 6 Preston 13 8 5 1.3 0.9 6 4 3 17 12 22
17 11 Birmingham 13 8 5 1.2 1.2 5 3 5 15 15 18
18 12 West Brom 13 8 5 0.9 1.1 5 3 5 12 14 18
19 14 Leicester 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 4 5 4 15 14 17
20 20 Portsmouth 13 8 5 0.8 1.3 3 4 6 10 17 13
21 3 Stoke 13 9 4 1.4 0.7 7 3 3 18 9 24
22 8 Charlton 13 9 4 1.2 0.8 5 5 3 15 11 20
23 16 Swansea 13 9 4 1.0 1.0 4 5 4 13 13 17
24 17 Derby 13 9 4 1.2 1.3 4 5 4 16 17 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Watford 7 1 6 1.9 1.0 5 1 1 13 7 16
2 7 Hull 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 4 2 1 12 10 14
3 9 Ipswich 7 2 5 2.0 1.1 4 2 1 14 8 14
4 5 Bristol City 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 3 2 2 11 9 11
5 15 Wrexham 7 3 4 1.6 1.7 2 3 2 11 12 9
6 19 Blackburn 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 1 1 4 6 11 4
7 24 Sheffield Weds 7 3 4 0.3 2.4 0 1 6 2 17 1
8 1 Coventry 6 3 3 2.7 0.5 4 2 0 16 3 14
9 4 Millwall 7 4 3 1.0 1.3 4 0 3 7 9 12
10 6 Preston 7 4 3 1.4 0.9 4 2 1 10 6 14
11 11 Birmingham 6 3 3 1.8 1.0 3 2 1 11 6 11
12 13 QPR 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 2 2 2 7 8 8
13 16 Swansea 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9
14 18 Oxford 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 1 3 2 7 8 6
15 20 Portsmouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.3 2 1 4 6 9 7
16 22 Sheffield United 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 1 0 5 4 11 3
17 23 Norwich 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 0 0 6 4 11 0
18 2 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 1.2 0.5 4 2 0 7 3 14
19 3 Stoke 6 4 2 1.8 0.7 4 1 1 11 4 13
20 8 Charlton 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 3 2 1 8 4 11
21 21 Southampton 6 4 2 0.7 1.0 1 3 2 4 6 6
22 12 West Brom 6 5 1 0.8 0.7 2 3 1 5 4 9
23 14 Leicester 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 2 3 1 6 5 9
24 17 Derby 7 6 1 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 7 1 6 2.9 1.3 4 2 1 20 9 14
2 21 Southampton 7 2 5 1.3 1.9 1 3 3 9 13 6
3 2 Middlesbrough 7 3 4 1.3 1.1 3 2 2 9 8 11
4 7 Hull 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 2 2 2 10 10 8
5 12 West Brom 7 3 4 1.0 1.4 3 0 4 7 10 9
6 13 QPR 7 3 4 1.3 1.9 3 1 3 9 13 10
7 14 Leicester 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 3 9 9 8
8 18 Oxford 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 2 1 4 8 9 7
9 24 Sheffield Weds 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 1 3 2 8 8 6
10 4 Millwall 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 3 3 0 9 6 12
11 5 Bristol City 6 3 3 1.7 1.2 3 2 1 10 7 11
12 17 Derby 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8
13 22 Sheffield United 7 4 3 0.9 1.7 2 0 5 6 12 6
14 23 Norwich 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 2 3 8 9 8
15 3 Stoke 7 5 2 1.0 0.7 3 2 2 7 5 11
16 6 Preston 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 2 7 6 8
17 8 Charlton 7 5 2 1.0 1.0 2 3 2 7 7 9
18 9 Ipswich 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 1 2 2 7 6 5
19 10 Watford 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 0 2 4 4 9 2
20 11 Birmingham 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 2 1 4 4 9 7
21 15 Wrexham 6 4 2 1.3 1.2 2 2 2 8 7 8
22 19 Blackburn 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 3 0 3 6 6 9
23 20 Portsmouth 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 3 2 4 8 6
24 16 Swansea 6 5 1 0.8 0.7 2 2 2 5 4 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40