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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Herczeg

Ipswich 1–0 Stoke

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.57 fair 2.21
Draw 3.75 fair 3.87
Away 5.50 fair 3.47
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 1.93
Over 2.5 1.88 fair 2.07

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ipswich Stoke
16 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
3 Corners 4
11 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (234 league matches this season so far).
Result Ipswich to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
IpswichDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 10.9% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Ipswich before this match, all matches
1.63points / match
1.74scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 33:19
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.58points / match
1.37scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 26:18
Ipswich all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.74 Goals scored 1.37
1.00 Goals conceded 0.95
2.74 Total goals 2.32
15.68 Shots 12.16
5.00 Shots on target 4.32
10.16 Shots faced 11.95
5.37 Corners 5.89
4.16 Corners against 5.11
10.63 Fouls 10.74
1.63 Yellow cards 1.95
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

42% Wins 47%
37% Draws 16%
21% Losses 37%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
84% Over 1.5 goals 63%
53% Over 2.5 goals 47%
26% Over 3.5 goals 16%
16% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
63% Both teams scored 37%
26% Clean sheets 37%
16% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 37%
47% Draws 37%
21% Losses 26%
68% Over 0.5 goals 63%
26% Over 1.5 goals 32%
5% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ipswich all matches
Stoke all matches
Ipswich before this match, at home
1.90points / match
1.80scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 18:9
Stoke before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.10scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:11
Ipswich at home away Stoke

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.10
0.90 Goals conceded 1.10
2.70 Total goals 2.20
17.70 Shots 11.30
5.80 Shots on target 3.90
9.30 Shots faced 14.60
5.50 Corners 5.80
4.50 Corners against 5.60
10.00 Fouls 10.80
1.50 Yellow cards 2.10
0.90 1st-half goals scored 0.30
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

50% Wins 40%
40% Draws 20%
10% Losses 40%
90% Over 0.5 goals 90%
80% Over 1.5 goals 70%
60% Over 2.5 goals 50%
30% Over 3.5 goals 10%
10% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 30%
40% Clean sheets 40%
20% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 20%
50% Draws 50%
0% Losses 30%
70% Over 0.5 goals 50%
40% Over 1.5 goals 40%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ipswich at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ipswich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Ipswich – Coventry 3–0 (1–0) 2.203.502.95 1.73 2.10
02.12.25 Blackburn – Ipswich 1–1 (0–0) 3.903.501.96 2.00 1.80
28.11.25 Oxford – Ipswich 2–1 (1–0) 5.503.801.61 1.91 1.91
25.11.25 Hull – Ipswich 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.601.71 1.85 2.00
22.11.25 Ipswich – Wrexham 0–0 (0–0) 1.513.806.00 1.88 1.98
08.11.25 Swansea – Ipswich 1–4 (0–1) 3.503.502.01 2.05 1.80
04.11.25 Ipswich – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 1.663.605.00 1.90 1.95
01.11.25 QPR – Ipswich 1–4 (1–1) 3.503.502.01 1.90 1.95
25.10.25 Ipswich – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 1.713.604.50 2.00 1.85
21.10.25 Ipswich – Charlton 0–3 (0–0) 1.563.705.75 2.10 1.73

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Sheffield United – Stoke 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.303.60 2.10 1.73
29.11.25 Stoke – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 1.623.805.00 1.80 2.00
25.11.25 Stoke – Charlton 3–0 (3–0) 1.683.704.75 2.00 1.80
22.11.25 Leicester – Stoke 2–1 (2–0) 1.963.403.70 1.85 2.00
08.11.25 Stoke – Coventry 0–1 (0–0) 2.823.602.25 1.80 2.00
04.11.25 Oxford – Stoke 0–3 (0–2) 3.303.052.30 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Stoke – Bristol City 5–1 (3–0) 2.323.302.85 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Portsmouth – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.052.57 2.00 1.80
21.10.25 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.202.95 2.30 1.62
18.10.25 Stoke – Wrexham 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.75 2.00 1.85

Ipswich at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Ipswich – Coventry 3–0 (1–0) 2.203.502.95 1.73 2.10
22.11.25 Ipswich – Wrexham 0–0 (0–0) 1.513.806.00 1.88 1.98
04.11.25 Ipswich – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 1.663.605.00 1.90 1.95
25.10.25 Ipswich – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 1.713.604.50 2.00 1.85
21.10.25 Ipswich – Charlton 0–3 (0–0) 1.563.705.75 2.10 1.73
05.10.25 Ipswich – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 1.533.905.75 1.73 2.10
27.09.25 Ipswich – Portsmouth 2–1 (2–0) 1.493.906.25 1.80 2.00
12.09.25 Ipswich – Sheffield United 5–0 (1–0) 1.763.504.50 1.95 1.90
30.08.25 Ipswich – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 1.493.906.50 2.00 1.80
17.08.25 Ipswich – Southampton 1–1 (1–1) 2.103.503.30 1.88 1.98

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Sheffield United – Stoke 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.303.60 2.10 1.73
22.11.25 Leicester – Stoke 2–1 (2–0) 1.963.403.70 1.85 2.00
04.11.25 Oxford – Stoke 0–3 (0–2) 3.303.052.30 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Portsmouth – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.052.57 2.00 1.80
21.10.25 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.202.95 2.30 1.62
04.10.25 Blackburn – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.70 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.80
20.09.25 QPR – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.653.202.55 2.10 1.73
23.08.25 Southampton – Stoke 1–2 (0–0) 1.733.804.50 1.98 1.88
16.08.25 Sheffield Weds – Stoke 0–3 (0–1) 3.903.401.95 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ipswich winsDrawsStoke wins
2matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24E1 Stoke – Ipswich 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.93 1.93
12.08.23E1 Ipswich – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.603.40 1.90 1.95

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 20 13 5 2 51 22 +29 44
2 Middlesbrough 20 11 6 3 30 21 +9 39
3 Millwall 19 10 4 5 23 25 -2 34
4 Preston 20 8 8 4 27 21 +6 32
5 Ipswich 19 8 7 4 33 19 +14 31
6 QPR 20 9 4 7 27 30 -3 31
7 Stoke 19 9 3 7 26 18 +8 30
8 Southampton 20 8 6 6 34 28 +6 30
9 Bristol City 19 8 5 6 26 21 +5 29
10 Birmingham 20 8 4 8 29 25 +4 28
11 Watford 20 7 7 6 28 26 +2 28
12 Hull 19 8 4 7 31 34 -3 28
13 Wrexham 19 6 9 4 24 21 +3 27
14 Leicester 19 7 6 6 25 24 +1 27
15 Derby 19 7 5 7 26 28 -2 26
16 West Brom 20 7 4 9 23 28 -5 25
17 Sheffield United 20 7 2 11 25 29 -4 23
18 Swansea 20 6 5 9 21 27 -6 23
19 Charlton 19 6 5 8 19 25 -6 23
20 Blackburn 19 6 4 9 19 24 -5 22
21 Oxford 20 4 7 9 21 28 -7 19
22 Portsmouth 19 4 5 10 15 26 -11 17
23 Norwich 20 3 5 12 22 33 -11 14
24 Sheffield Weds 19 1 6 12 15 37 -22 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 9 7 2 0 25 7 +18 23
2 Watford 11 6 4 1 19 12 +7 22
3 Birmingham 9 6 2 1 21 8 +13 20
4 Middlesbrough 9 6 2 1 13 9 +4 20
5 Ipswich 10 5 4 1 18 9 +9 19
6 Preston 11 5 4 2 15 11 +4 19
7 Millwall 10 6 1 3 12 12 0 19
8 Southampton 10 5 3 2 16 10 +6 18
9 QPR 10 5 2 3 16 14 +2 17
10 Hull 10 5 2 3 16 18 -2 17
11 Stoke 9 5 1 3 15 7 +8 16
12 West Brom 9 4 4 1 11 8 +3 16
13 Wrexham 10 4 4 2 15 13 +2 16
14 Swansea 11 4 3 4 13 15 -2 15
15 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 14 11 +3 14
16 Charlton 9 4 2 3 11 11 0 14
17 Leicester 9 3 4 2 11 10 +1 13
18 Derby 10 3 3 4 13 16 -3 12
19 Sheffield United 10 3 2 5 12 12 0 11
20 Portsmouth 10 3 2 5 9 11 -2 11
21 Oxford 9 2 4 3 10 13 -3 10
22 Blackburn 10 1 3 6 9 16 -7 6
23 Norwich 9 1 1 7 9 15 -6 4
24 Sheffield Weds 10 0 2 8 5 24 -19 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 11 6 3 2 26 15 +11 21
2 Middlesbrough 11 5 4 2 17 12 +5 19
3 Blackburn 9 5 1 3 10 8 +2 16
4 Bristol City 9 4 3 2 12 10 +2 15
5 Millwall 9 4 3 2 11 13 -2 15
6 Derby 9 4 2 3 13 12 +1 14
7 Leicester 10 4 2 4 14 14 0 14
8 Stoke 10 4 2 4 11 11 0 14
9 QPR 10 4 2 4 11 16 -5 14
10 Preston 9 3 4 2 12 10 +2 13
11 Ipswich 9 3 3 3 15 10 +5 12
12 Southampton 10 3 3 4 18 18 0 12
13 Sheffield United 10 4 0 6 13 17 -4 12
14 Wrexham 9 2 5 2 9 8 +1 11
15 Hull 9 3 2 4 15 16 -1 11
16 Norwich 11 2 4 5 13 18 -5 10
17 Oxford 11 2 3 6 11 15 -4 9
18 Charlton 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
19 West Brom 11 3 0 8 12 20 -8 9
20 Swansea 9 2 2 5 8 12 -4 8
21 Birmingham 11 2 2 7 8 17 -9 8
22 Sheffield Weds 9 1 4 4 10 13 -3 7
23 Watford 9 1 3 5 9 14 -5 6
24 Portsmouth 9 1 3 5 6 15 -9 6

Ipswich   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 20 6 14 2.5 1.1 13 5 2 51 22 44
2 8 Southampton 20 6 14 1.7 1.4 8 6 6 34 28 30
3 12 Hull 19 5 14 1.6 1.8 8 4 7 31 34 28
4 6 QPR 20 8 12 1.4 1.5 9 4 7 27 30 31
5 2 Middlesbrough 20 9 11 1.5 1.1 11 6 3 30 21 39
6 10 Birmingham 20 9 11 1.4 1.2 8 4 8 29 25 28
7 11 Watford 20 9 11 1.4 1.3 7 7 6 28 26 28
8 17 Sheffield United 20 9 11 1.2 1.4 7 2 11 25 29 23
9 24 Sheffield Weds 19 8 11 0.8 1.9 1 6 12 15 37 9
10 5 Ipswich 19 9 10 1.7 1.0 8 7 4 33 19 31
11 14 Leicester 19 9 10 1.3 1.3 7 6 6 25 24 27
12 15 Derby 19 9 10 1.4 1.5 7 5 7 26 28 26
13 16 West Brom 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 7 4 9 23 28 25
14 21 Oxford 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 4 7 9 21 28 19
15 23 Norwich 20 10 10 1.1 1.6 3 5 12 22 33 14
16 3 Millwall 19 10 9 1.2 1.3 10 4 5 23 25 34
17 7 Stoke 19 10 9 1.4 0.9 9 3 7 26 18 30
18 18 Swansea 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 21 27 23
19 4 Preston 20 12 8 1.4 1.1 8 8 4 27 21 32
20 9 Bristol City 19 11 8 1.4 1.1 8 5 6 26 21 29
21 19 Charlton 19 11 8 1.0 1.3 6 5 8 19 25 23
22 20 Blackburn 19 11 8 1.0 1.3 6 4 9 19 24 22
23 22 Portsmouth 19 11 8 0.8 1.4 4 5 10 15 26 17
24 13 Wrexham 19 13 6 1.3 1.1 6 9 4 24 21 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 QPR 10 3 7 1.6 1.4 5 2 3 16 14 17
2 11 Watford 11 4 7 1.7 1.1 6 4 1 19 12 22
3 12 Hull 10 3 7 1.6 1.8 5 2 3 16 18 17
4 1 Coventry 9 3 6 2.8 0.8 7 2 0 25 7 23
5 5 Ipswich 10 4 6 1.8 0.9 5 4 1 18 9 19
6 8 Southampton 10 4 6 1.6 1.0 5 3 2 16 10 18
7 10 Birmingham 9 3 6 2.3 0.9 6 2 1 21 8 20
8 24 Sheffield Weds 10 4 6 0.5 2.4 0 2 8 5 24 2
9 2 Middlesbrough 9 4 5 1.4 1.0 6 2 1 13 9 20
10 4 Preston 11 6 5 1.4 1.0 5 4 2 15 11 19
11 9 Bristol City 10 5 5 1.4 1.1 4 2 4 14 11 14
12 17 Sheffield United 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 3 2 5 12 12 11
13 18 Swansea 11 6 5 1.2 1.4 4 3 4 13 15 15
14 20 Blackburn 10 5 5 0.9 1.6 1 3 6 9 16 6
15 21 Oxford 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 2 4 3 10 13 10
16 23 Norwich 9 4 5 1.0 1.7 1 1 7 9 15 4
17 3 Millwall 10 6 4 1.2 1.2 6 1 3 12 12 19
18 7 Stoke 9 5 4 1.7 0.8 5 1 3 15 7 16
19 13 Wrexham 10 6 4 1.5 1.3 4 4 2 15 13 16
20 15 Derby 10 6 4 1.3 1.6 3 3 4 13 16 12
21 19 Charlton 9 5 4 1.2 1.2 4 2 3 11 11 14
22 22 Portsmouth 10 6 4 0.9 1.1 3 2 5 9 11 11
23 14 Leicester 9 6 3 1.2 1.1 3 4 2 11 10 13
24 16 West Brom 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 4 4 1 11 8 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 11 3 8 2.4 1.4 6 3 2 26 15 21
2 8 Southampton 10 2 8 1.8 1.8 3 3 4 18 18 12
3 12 Hull 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 3 2 4 15 16 11
4 14 Leicester 10 3 7 1.4 1.4 4 2 4 14 14 14
5 16 West Brom 11 4 7 1.1 1.8 3 0 8 12 20 9
6 2 Middlesbrough 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 5 4 2 17 12 19
7 15 Derby 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 4 2 3 13 12 14
8 17 Sheffield United 10 4 6 1.3 1.7 4 0 6 13 17 12
9 3 Millwall 9 4 5 1.2 1.4 4 3 2 11 13 15
10 6 QPR 10 5 5 1.1 1.6 4 2 4 11 16 14
11 7 Stoke 10 5 5 1.1 1.1 4 2 4 11 11 14
12 10 Birmingham 11 6 5 0.7 1.5 2 2 7 8 17 8
13 21 Oxford 11 6 5 1.0 1.4 2 3 6 11 15 9
14 23 Norwich 11 6 5 1.2 1.6 2 4 5 13 18 10
15 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 1 4 4 10 13 7
16 5 Ipswich 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 3 3 3 15 10 12
17 11 Watford 9 5 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 5 9 14 6
18 18 Swansea 9 5 4 0.9 1.3 2 2 5 8 12 8
19 19 Charlton 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9
20 22 Portsmouth 9 5 4 0.7 1.7 1 3 5 6 15 6
21 4 Preston 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 3 4 2 12 10 13
22 9 Bristol City 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 4 3 2 12 10 15
23 20 Blackburn 9 6 3 1.1 0.9 5 1 3 10 8 16
24 13 Wrexham 9 7 2 1.0 0.9 2 5 2 9 8 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51