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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: R Ricardo

Stoke 2–1 Swansea

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.81 fair 2.03
Draw 3.50 fair 3.86
Away 4.20 fair 4.03
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.83
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.20

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Swansea
8 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 7
16 Fouls 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (239 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.51 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawSwansea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.4% 1–1 12.3% 2–0 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.30scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 26:19
Swansea before this match, all matches
1.15points / match
1.05scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 21:27
Stoke all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 1.05
0.95 Goals conceded 1.35
2.25 Total goals 2.40
11.85 Shots 10.90
4.15 Shots on target 3.50
12.15 Shots faced 12.85
5.80 Corners 4.70
5.00 Corners against 4.40
10.75 Fouls 10.15
1.90 Yellow cards 2.05
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

45% Wins 30%
15% Draws 25%
40% Losses 45%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
60% Over 1.5 goals 70%
45% Over 2.5 goals 45%
15% Over 3.5 goals 20%
5% Over 4.5 goals 10%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
35% Both teams scored 55%
35% Clean sheets 25%
35% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 10%
35% Draws 55%
30% Losses 35%
65% Over 0.5 goals 65%
30% Over 1.5 goals 35%
15% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Swansea all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
1.78points / match
1.67scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:7
Swansea before this match, away
0.89points / match
0.89scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 8:12
Stoke at home away Swansea

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 0.89
0.78 Goals conceded 1.33
2.44 Total goals 2.22
13.11 Shots 10.11
4.78 Shots on target 3.33
9.00 Shots faced 14.33
6.00 Corners 4.33
4.56 Corners against 5.11
10.67 Fouls 10.67
1.78 Yellow cards 2.22
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

56% Wins 22%
11% Draws 22%
33% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
56% Over 1.5 goals 67%
44% Over 2.5 goals 44%
22% Over 3.5 goals 11%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 44%
33% Clean sheets 22%
22% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 11%
22% Draws 67%
22% Losses 22%
78% Over 0.5 goals 44%
22% Over 1.5 goals 33%
22% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Swansea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.25 Ipswich – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.755.50 1.88 1.98
06.12.25 Sheffield United – Stoke 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.303.60 2.10 1.73
29.11.25 Stoke – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 1.623.805.00 1.80 2.00
25.11.25 Stoke – Charlton 3–0 (3–0) 1.683.704.75 2.00 1.80
22.11.25 Leicester – Stoke 2–1 (2–0) 1.963.403.70 1.85 2.00
08.11.25 Stoke – Coventry 0–1 (0–0) 2.823.602.25 1.80 2.00
04.11.25 Oxford – Stoke 0–3 (0–2) 3.303.052.30 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Stoke – Bristol City 5–1 (3–0) 2.323.302.85 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Portsmouth – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.052.57 2.00 1.80
21.10.25 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.202.95 2.30 1.62

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.25 Swansea – Portsmouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.00 1.80
06.12.25 Swansea – Oxford 2–0 (2–0) 2.053.403.60 2.10 1.73
29.11.25 West Brom – Swansea 3–2 (0–2) 1.683.254.33 2.20 1.67
25.11.25 Swansea – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.053.60 2.50 1.53
22.11.25 Bristol City – Swansea 3–0 (2–0) 2.103.253.40 2.10 1.73
08.11.25 Swansea – Ipswich 1–4 (0–1) 3.503.502.01 2.05 1.80
05.11.25 Preston – Swansea 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.053.40 2.20 1.67
01.11.25 Charlton – Swansea 1–1 (0–0) 2.013.503.50 2.30 1.62
25.10.25 Swansea – Norwich 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.253.20 1.93 1.93
22.10.25 Swansea – QPR 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.253.40 2.10 1.73

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Stoke – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 1.623.805.00 1.80 2.00
25.11.25 Stoke – Charlton 3–0 (3–0) 1.683.704.75 2.00 1.80
08.11.25 Stoke – Coventry 0–1 (0–0) 2.823.602.25 1.80 2.00
01.11.25 Stoke – Bristol City 5–1 (3–0) 2.323.302.85 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Stoke – Wrexham 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.75 2.00 1.85
27.09.25 Stoke – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.93 1.93
13.09.25 Stoke – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.35 2.30 1.62
30.08.25 Stoke – West Brom 0–1 (0–1) 2.653.202.65 2.10 1.73
09.08.25 Stoke – Derby 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.50 1.53
25.04.25 Stoke – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–1) 2.353.303.00 2.10 1.73

Swansea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 West Brom – Swansea 3–2 (0–2) 1.683.254.33 2.20 1.67
22.11.25 Bristol City – Swansea 3–0 (2–0) 2.103.253.40 2.10 1.73
05.11.25 Preston – Swansea 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.053.40 2.20 1.67
01.11.25 Charlton – Swansea 1–1 (0–0) 2.013.503.50 2.30 1.62
18.10.25 Southampton – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.80 2.03 1.83
30.09.25 Blackburn – Swansea 1–2 (1–1) 2.573.102.65 2.20 1.67
20.09.25 Birmingham – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.38 1.57
30.08.25 Sheffield Weds – Swansea 0–2 (0–0) 3.253.302.20 2.20 1.67
09.08.25 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.98 1.88
26.04.25 Millwall – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.30 2.38 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsSwansea wins
8matches
2.75goals / match
63%over 2.5
63%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.25E1 Stoke – Swansea 3–1 (0–0) 2.453.402.88 2.10 1.73
05.10.24E1 Swansea – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 1.98 1.88
10.04.24E1 Swansea – Stoke 3–0 (1–0) 2.403.303.00 2.03 1.83
12.12.23E1 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
21.02.23E1 Swansea – Stoke 1–3 (1–2) 2.203.253.50 2.10 1.73
31.08.22E1 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.60 1.98 1.88
08.02.22E1 Stoke – Swansea 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.40 2.37 1.57
17.08.21E1 Swansea – Stoke 1–3 (0–1) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Coventry 20 13 5 2 51 22 +29 44 WWWWLD
2 Middlesbrough 20 11 6 3 30 21 +9 39 WDLWWW
3 Millwall 20 10 5 5 24 26 -2 35 DLWWWD
4 Ipswich 20 9 7 4 34 19 +15 34 DWLDWW
5 Preston 20 8 8 4 27 21 +6 32 DLDWDD
6 Hull 20 9 4 7 33 34 -1 31 WLLWLW
7 QPR 20 9 4 7 27 30 -3 31 DWWLWW
8 Stoke 20 9 3 8 26 19 +7 30 LLWLLL
9 Southampton 20 8 6 6 34 28 +6 30 WWWLWW
10 Bristol City 20 8 6 6 28 23 +5 30 DWLWLD
11 Birmingham 20 8 4 8 29 25 +4 28 LWDWLL
12 Watford 20 7 7 6 28 26 +2 28 DWDLWD
13 Leicester 20 7 7 6 27 26 +1 28 WWLLWD
14 West Brom 21 8 4 9 25 28 -3 28 LDWLLW
15 Wrexham 20 6 9 5 24 23 +1 27 WDWDDL
16 Derby 20 7 6 7 27 29 -2 27 WLWLLD
17 Sheffield United 21 7 2 12 25 31 -6 23 WWWWDL
18 Swansea 20 6 5 9 21 27 -6 23 LLLLWW
19 Charlton 19 6 5 8 19 25 -6 23 WLLLLL
20 Blackburn 19 6 4 9 19 24 -5 22 LWLDDD
21 Oxford 20 4 7 9 21 28 -7 19 LDDWLD
22 Portsmouth 19 4 5 10 15 26 -11 17 DLWLLL
23 Norwich 20 3 5 12 22 33 -11 14 LLDWLD
24 Sheffield Weds 19 1 6 12 15 37 -22 9 DLLLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Coventry 9 7 2 0 25 7 +18 23 WWWWWW
2 Ipswich 11 6 4 1 19 9 +10 22 LWDDWW
3 Watford 11 6 4 1 19 12 +7 22 WWDDWD
4 Birmingham 9 6 2 1 21 8 +13 20 DLWWWW
5 Middlesbrough 9 6 2 1 13 9 +4 20 DWDWLW
6 Hull 11 6 2 3 18 18 0 20 WDWLLW
7 West Brom 10 5 4 1 13 8 +5 19 WDWDWW
8 Preston 11 5 4 2 15 11 +4 19 LWWLDD
9 Millwall 10 6 1 3 12 12 0 19 WWWDWW
10 Southampton 10 5 3 2 16 10 +6 18 DLWWWW
11 QPR 10 5 2 3 16 14 +2 17 LLLWWW
12 Stoke 9 5 1 3 15 7 +8 16 DWWLWL
13 Wrexham 10 4 4 2 15 13 +2 16 DWWWWD
14 Bristol City 11 4 3 4 16 13 +3 15 WWLWLD
15 Swansea 11 4 3 4 13 15 -2 15 LWLLWW
16 Charlton 9 4 2 3 11 11 0 14 WWDWLL
17 Leicester 9 3 4 2 11 10 +1 13 DDLDWL
18 Derby 11 3 4 4 14 17 -3 13 WWWLLD
19 Sheffield United 10 3 2 5 12 12 0 11 WLDWWD
20 Portsmouth 10 3 2 5 9 11 -2 11 WLLDWL
21 Oxford 9 2 4 3 10 13 -3 10 LWDLDW
22 Blackburn 10 1 3 6 9 16 -7 6 LWLLDD
23 Norwich 9 1 1 7 9 15 -6 4 LLLLDW
24 Sheffield Weds 10 0 2 8 5 24 -19 2 LLLDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Coventry 11 6 3 2 26 15 +11 21 WLWWLD
2 Middlesbrough 11 5 4 2 17 12 +5 19 WLDDWW
3 Blackburn 9 5 1 3 10 8 +2 16 LLWWWD
4 Millwall 10 4 4 2 12 14 -2 16 WDLLWD
5 Bristol City 9 4 3 2 12 10 +2 15 DWLDLW
6 Leicester 11 4 3 4 16 16 0 15 LLWLWD
7 Derby 9 4 2 3 13 12 +1 14 DLWWWL
8 Stoke 11 4 2 5 11 12 -1 14 LWWLLL
9 QPR 10 4 2 4 11 16 -5 14 WWLDWL
10 Preston 9 3 4 2 12 10 +2 13 DLWDDW
11 Ipswich 9 3 3 3 15 10 +5 12 LWWWLD
12 Southampton 10 3 3 4 18 18 0 12 DLLWWL
13 Sheffield United 11 4 0 7 13 19 -6 12 WLLWWL
14 Hull 9 3 2 4 15 16 -1 11 LWWLLW
15 Wrexham 10 2 5 3 9 10 -1 11 LDDDDL
16 Norwich 11 2 4 5 13 18 -5 10 LLDLLD
17 Oxford 11 2 3 6 11 15 -4 9 LWLDLD
18 Charlton 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9 LWDLLL
19 West Brom 11 3 0 8 12 20 -8 9 LLLLLL
20 Swansea 9 2 2 5 8 12 -4 8 WDDLLL
21 Birmingham 11 2 2 7 8 17 -9 8 WLLDLL
22 Sheffield Weds 9 1 4 4 10 13 -3 7 DLDLLD
23 Watford 9 1 3 5 9 14 -5 6 DLLDWL
24 Portsmouth 9 1 3 5 6 15 -9 6 LDLLLL

Stoke   Swansea

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Coventry 20 6 14 2.5 1.1 13 5 2 51 22 44 UOOOOU
2 6 Hull 20 6 14 1.6 1.7 9 4 7 33 34 31 OOUOOU
3 9 Southampton 20 6 14 1.7 1.4 8 6 6 34 28 30 OOOOOO
4 7 QPR 20 8 12 1.4 1.5 9 4 7 27 30 31 UOUOOO
5 2 Middlesbrough 20 9 11 1.5 1.1 11 6 3 30 21 39 OUOOOO
6 11 Birmingham 20 9 11 1.4 1.2 8 4 8 29 25 28 OOUOOO
7 12 Watford 20 9 11 1.4 1.3 7 7 6 28 26 28 UOUOOU
8 13 Leicester 20 9 11 1.4 1.3 7 7 6 27 26 28 OOOOOO
9 17 Sheffield United 21 10 11 1.2 1.5 7 2 12 25 31 23 OOOOUU
10 24 Sheffield Weds 19 8 11 0.8 1.9 1 6 12 15 37 9 UOOUOU
11 4 Ipswich 20 10 10 1.7 0.9 9 7 4 34 19 34 UUOUOU
12 14 West Brom 21 11 10 1.2 1.3 8 4 9 25 28 28 OUOOOU
13 16 Derby 20 10 10 1.4 1.4 7 6 7 27 29 27 OOOOOU
14 21 Oxford 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 4 7 9 21 28 19 OUUOUU
15 23 Norwich 20 10 10 1.1 1.6 3 5 12 22 33 14 OOUOOU
16 3 Millwall 20 11 9 1.2 1.3 10 5 5 24 26 35 UOUOUU
17 8 Stoke 20 11 9 1.3 0.9 9 3 8 26 19 30 UOOOOU
18 10 Bristol City 20 11 9 1.4 1.1 8 6 6 28 23 30 UOUUUO
19 18 Swansea 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 21 27 23 OOOOUU
20 5 Preston 20 12 8 1.4 1.1 8 8 4 27 21 32 UOUOUU
21 19 Charlton 19 11 8 1.0 1.3 6 5 8 19 25 23 UUOOOO
22 20 Blackburn 19 11 8 1.0 1.3 6 4 9 19 24 22 OOUUUU
23 22 Portsmouth 19 11 8 0.8 1.4 4 5 10 15 26 17 UOOOUU
24 15 Wrexham 20 14 6 1.2 1.1 6 9 5 24 23 27 UUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 6 Hull 11 4 7 1.6 1.6 6 2 3 18 18 20 OUOUOU
2 7 QPR 10 3 7 1.6 1.4 5 2 3 16 14 17 OOOOOO
3 12 Watford 11 4 7 1.7 1.1 6 4 1 19 12 22 OOUUOU
4 1 Coventry 9 3 6 2.8 0.8 7 2 0 25 7 23 OUOOOO
5 4 Ipswich 11 5 6 1.7 0.8 6 4 1 19 9 22 OUUUOU
6 9 Southampton 10 4 6 1.6 1.0 5 3 2 16 10 18 UUOOOO
7 10 Bristol City 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 4 3 4 16 13 15 OUUOUO
8 11 Birmingham 9 3 6 2.3 0.9 6 2 1 21 8 20 OOOOOO
9 24 Sheffield Weds 10 4 6 0.5 2.4 0 2 8 5 24 2 OUOUOO
10 2 Middlesbrough 9 4 5 1.4 1.0 6 2 1 13 9 20 UOUOOO
11 5 Preston 11 6 5 1.4 1.0 5 4 2 15 11 19 UOOOUU
12 17 Sheffield United 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 3 2 5 12 12 11 UOUOOU
13 18 Swansea 11 6 5 1.2 1.4 4 3 4 13 15 15 UOOOUU
14 20 Blackburn 10 5 5 0.9 1.6 1 3 6 9 16 6 OOOUUU
15 21 Oxford 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 2 4 3 10 13 10 UUOOUO
16 23 Norwich 9 4 5 1.0 1.7 1 1 7 9 15 4 UUUOUO
17 3 Millwall 10 6 4 1.2 1.2 6 1 3 12 12 19 OUUUUO
18 8 Stoke 9 5 4 1.7 0.8 5 1 3 15 7 16 UUOUOO
19 15 Wrexham 10 6 4 1.5 1.3 4 4 2 15 13 16 UUOUUU
20 16 Derby 11 7 4 1.3 1.5 3 4 4 14 17 13 UUOOOU
21 19 Charlton 9 5 4 1.2 1.2 4 2 3 11 11 14 OOUUOO
22 22 Portsmouth 10 6 4 0.9 1.1 3 2 5 9 11 11 UOUUOU
23 13 Leicester 9 6 3 1.2 1.1 3 4 2 11 10 13 UUUUOO
24 14 West Brom 10 7 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 1 13 8 19 OUOUOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Coventry 11 3 8 2.4 1.4 6 3 2 26 15 21 OOUOOU
2 9 Southampton 10 2 8 1.8 1.8 3 3 4 18 18 12 UOOOOO
3 13 Leicester 11 3 8 1.5 1.5 4 3 4 16 16 15 OUOOOO
4 6 Hull 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 3 2 4 15 16 11 OOUOOO
5 14 West Brom 11 4 7 1.1 1.8 3 0 8 12 20 9 OUUOOO
6 2 Middlesbrough 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 5 4 2 17 12 19 UOUUOO
7 16 Derby 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 4 2 3 13 12 14 UUOOOO
8 17 Sheffield United 11 5 6 1.2 1.7 4 0 7 13 19 12 OOOOOU
9 3 Millwall 10 5 5 1.2 1.4 4 4 2 12 14 16 OOOOUU
10 7 QPR 10 5 5 1.1 1.6 4 2 4 11 16 14 OUUUUO
11 8 Stoke 11 6 5 1.0 1.1 4 2 5 11 12 14 UUOOOU
12 11 Birmingham 11 6 5 0.7 1.5 2 2 7 8 17 8 UUOUOO
13 21 Oxford 11 6 5 1.0 1.4 2 3 6 11 15 9 UOOUUU
14 23 Norwich 11 6 5 1.2 1.6 2 4 5 13 18 10 UOUOOU
15 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 1 4 4 10 13 7 OOUOUU
16 4 Ipswich 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 3 3 3 15 10 12 OOOUOU
17 12 Watford 9 5 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 5 9 14 6 OUOUOO
18 18 Swansea 9 5 4 0.9 1.3 2 2 5 8 12 8 OUUOOO
19 19 Charlton 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9 UOUUOO
20 22 Portsmouth 9 5 4 0.7 1.7 1 3 5 6 15 6 OUOOOU
21 5 Preston 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 3 4 2 12 10 13 OOUUUO
22 10 Bristol City 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 4 3 2 12 10 15 UUOUUU
23 20 Blackburn 9 6 3 1.1 0.9 5 1 3 10 8 16 OUUUOU
24 15 Wrexham 10 8 2 0.9 1.0 2 5 3 9 10 11 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10