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England Championship · ·Referee: A Backhouse

Portsmouth 1–0 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 3.00 fair 3.18
Draw 3.40 fair 3.70
Away 2.25 fair 2.41
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.81
Over 2.5 2.03 fair 2.23

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Portsmouth Middlesbrough
8 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 1
2 Corners 8
13 Fouls 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (99 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 2.00
Expected goals 1.13 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
PortsmouthDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.8% 0–1 11.4% 1–0 9.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Portsmouth before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
0.88scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:9
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
2.25points / match
1.50scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:5
Portsmouth all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.50
1.13 Goals conceded 0.63
2.00 Total goals 2.13
13.00 Shots 10.75
3.50 Shots on target 3.75
12.88 Shots faced 11.25
5.63 Corners 4.88
4.25 Corners against 5.25
10.50 Fouls 10.00
2.25 Yellow cards 2.63
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.13

How often Full Time

25% Wins 63%
38% Draws 38%
38% Losses 0%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
63% Over 1.5 goals 63%
38% Over 2.5 goals 50%
13% Over 3.5 goals 13%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
38% Clean sheets 50%
25% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 25%
13% Draws 63%
50% Losses 13%
88% Over 0.5 goals 38%
25% Over 1.5 goals 13%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Portsmouth all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Portsmouth before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:6
Middlesbrough before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:4
Portsmouth at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.00
1.50 Goals conceded 1.00
2.50 Total goals 3.00
17.25 Shots 11.00
3.75 Shots on target 3.25
12.25 Shots faced 11.50
7.25 Corners 5.00
3.00 Corners against 5.00
8.25 Fouls 12.25
1.75 Yellow cards 4.25
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

25% Wins 50%
25% Draws 50%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 75%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 75%
25% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 25%
0% Draws 50%
50% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Portsmouth at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Portsmouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.25 Portsmouth – Watford 2–2 (1–0) 2.103.403.25 2.10 1.73
27.09.25 Ipswich – Portsmouth 2–1 (2–0) 1.493.906.25 1.80 2.00
20.09.25 Portsmouth – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–1) 1.514.106.00 1.88 1.98
14.09.25 Southampton – Portsmouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.904.50 1.85 2.00
30.08.25 Portsmouth – Preston 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
23.08.25 West Brom – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.604.50 2.03 1.83
16.08.25 Portsmouth – Norwich 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.75 1.98 1.88
09.08.25 Oxford – Portsmouth 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 2.10 1.73
03.05.25 Portsmouth – Hull 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.602.30 1.95 1.90
26.04.25 Sheffield Weds – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.903.25 1.88 1.98

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.25 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.80
27.09.25 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.88 1.98
19.09.25 Middlesbrough – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.30 2.10 1.73
13.09.25 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.20 2.10 1.73
30.08.25 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.10 1.90 1.95
23.08.25 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 2.253.403.10 1.93 1.93
16.08.25 Millwall – Middlesbrough 0–3 (0–0) 2.153.253.40 2.30 1.62
09.08.25 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.98 1.88
03.05.25 Coventry – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.803.20 1.57 2.38
26.04.25 Middlesbrough – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.335.25 1.53 2.50

Portsmouth at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.25 Portsmouth – Watford 2–2 (1–0) 2.103.403.25 2.10 1.73
20.09.25 Portsmouth – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–1) 1.514.106.00 1.88 1.98
30.08.25 Portsmouth – Preston 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
16.08.25 Portsmouth – Norwich 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.75 1.98 1.88
03.05.25 Portsmouth – Hull 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.602.30 1.95 1.90
21.04.25 Portsmouth – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.703.40 2.10 1.73
12.04.25 Portsmouth – Derby 2–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.63 1.50
29.03.25 Portsmouth – Blackburn 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.30 2.10 1.73
12.03.25 Portsmouth – Plymouth 1–2 (0–1) 1.673.705.00 1.93 1.93
09.03.25 Portsmouth – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 7.504.501.40 1.73 2.10

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.88 1.98
13.09.25 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.20 2.10 1.73
23.08.25 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 2.253.403.10 1.93 1.93
16.08.25 Millwall – Middlesbrough 0–3 (0–0) 2.153.253.40 2.30 1.62
03.05.25 Coventry – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.803.20 1.57 2.38
21.04.25 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.15 1.90 1.95
12.04.25 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 2.883.252.45 2.10 1.73
04.04.25 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–2) 2.803.402.40 1.98 1.88
15.03.25 Luton – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.302.63 1.95 1.90
08.03.25 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.402.50 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Portsmouth winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
2matches
3.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.25E1 Portsmouth – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 4.503.601.75 1.67 2.20
24.08.24E1 Middlesbrough – Portsmouth 2–2 (1–2) 1.454.337.00 1.73 2.10

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 9 5 4 0 27 7 +20 19
2 Middlesbrough 8 5 3 0 12 5 +7 18
3 Stoke 9 4 3 2 11 6 +5 15
4 West Brom 8 4 2 2 9 7 +2 14
5 Bristol City 8 3 4 1 14 8 +6 13
6 Leicester 8 3 4 1 10 7 +3 13
7 Preston 8 3 4 1 9 7 +2 13
8 Swansea 8 3 3 2 9 7 +2 12
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 8 6 +2 12
10 Hull 9 3 3 3 14 16 -2 12
11 QPR 8 3 3 2 11 13 -2 12
12 Birmingham 9 3 3 3 8 11 -3 12
13 Millwall 8 3 2 3 6 12 -6 11
14 Ipswich 7 2 4 1 12 7 +5 10
15 Wrexham 9 2 4 3 14 15 -1 10
16 Southampton 8 2 4 2 10 11 -1 10
17 Watford 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9
18 Portsmouth 8 2 3 3 7 9 -2 9
19 Norwich 8 2 2 4 10 11 -1 8
20 Derby 8 1 4 3 10 14 -4 7
21 Blackburn 8 2 1 5 7 11 -4 7
22 Oxford 8 1 3 4 9 11 -2 6
23 Sheffield Weds 9 1 3 5 8 20 -12 6
24 Sheffield United 9 1 0 8 3 16 -13 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 0 4 1 +3 10
2 Hull 5 3 1 1 9 8 +1 10
3 Coventry 4 2 2 0 11 2 +9 8
4 Ipswich 4 2 2 0 10 4 +6 8
5 Leicester 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
6 QPR 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
7 Birmingham 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8
8 Preston 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8
9 Charlton 4 2 1 1 5 2 +3 7
10 Stoke 4 2 1 1 5 3 +2 7
11 Watford 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
12 Swansea 4 1 3 0 5 4 +1 6
13 Bristol City 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
14 Southampton 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
15 West Brom 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
16 Portsmouth 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
17 Wrexham 5 0 3 2 7 10 -3 3
18 Millwall 4 1 0 3 1 9 -8 3
19 Oxford 4 0 2 2 4 6 -2 2
20 Derby 4 0 2 2 5 8 -3 2
21 Blackburn 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
22 Sheffield Weds 5 0 1 4 1 14 -13 1
23 Norwich 4 0 0 4 4 8 -4 0
24 Sheffield United 4 0 0 4 2 8 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 5 3 2 0 16 5 +11 11
2 West Brom 4 3 0 1 6 4 +2 9
3 Bristol City 4 2 2 0 8 2 +6 8
4 Middlesbrough 4 2 2 0 8 4 +4 8
5 Norwich 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8
6 Stoke 5 2 2 1 6 3 +3 8
7 Millwall 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8
8 Wrexham 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
9 Swansea 4 2 0 2 4 3 +1 6
10 Blackburn 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
11 Sheffield Weds 4 1 2 1 7 6 +1 5
12 Leicester 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
13 Preston 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
14 Portsmouth 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
15 Southampton 4 1 2 1 6 7 -1 5
16 Derby 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5
17 Charlton 4 1 2 1 3 4 -1 5
18 Oxford 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4
19 QPR 4 1 1 2 6 11 -5 4
20 Birmingham 5 1 1 3 3 8 -5 4
21 Sheffield United 5 1 0 4 1 8 -7 3
22 Ipswich 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
23 Watford 4 0 2 2 3 5 -2 2
24 Hull 4 0 2 2 5 8 -3 2

Portsmouth   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Hull 9 2 7 1.6 1.8 3 3 3 14 16 12
2 1 Coventry 9 3 6 3.0 0.8 5 4 0 27 7 19
3 23 Sheffield Weds 9 3 6 0.9 2.2 1 3 5 8 20 6
4 15 Wrexham 9 4 5 1.6 1.7 2 4 3 14 15 10
5 16 Southampton 8 3 5 1.2 1.4 2 4 2 10 11 10
6 2 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 1.5 0.6 5 3 0 12 5 18
7 5 Bristol City 8 4 4 1.8 1.0 3 4 1 14 8 13
8 11 QPR 8 4 4 1.4 1.6 3 3 2 11 13 12
9 17 Watford 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9
10 19 Norwich 8 4 4 1.2 1.4 2 2 4 10 11 8
11 21 Blackburn 8 4 4 0.9 1.4 2 1 5 7 11 7
12 22 Oxford 8 4 4 1.1 1.4 1 3 4 9 11 6
13 3 Stoke 9 6 3 1.2 0.7 4 3 2 11 6 15
14 6 Leicester 8 5 3 1.2 0.9 3 4 1 10 7 13
15 7 Preston 8 5 3 1.1 0.9 3 4 1 9 7 13
16 12 Birmingham 9 6 3 0.9 1.2 3 3 3 8 11 12
17 13 Millwall 8 5 3 0.8 1.5 3 2 3 6 12 11
18 14 Ipswich 7 4 3 1.7 1.0 2 4 1 12 7 10
19 18 Portsmouth 8 5 3 0.9 1.1 2 3 3 7 9 9
20 20 Derby 8 5 3 1.2 1.8 1 4 3 10 14 7
21 24 Sheffield United 9 6 3 0.3 1.8 1 0 8 3 16 3
22 4 West Brom 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 4 2 2 9 7 14
23 8 Swansea 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 3 3 2 9 7 12
24 9 Charlton 8 6 2 1.0 0.8 3 3 2 8 6 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Hull 5 1 4 1.8 1.6 3 1 1 9 8 10
2 14 Ipswich 4 1 3 2.5 1.0 2 2 0 10 4 8
3 15 Wrexham 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 0 3 2 7 10 3
4 17 Watford 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7
5 19 Norwich 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 0 0 4 4 8 0
6 23 Sheffield Weds 5 2 3 0.2 2.8 0 1 4 1 14 1
7 1 Coventry 4 2 2 2.8 0.5 2 2 0 11 2 8
8 5 Bristol City 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
9 7 Preston 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8
10 13 Millwall 4 2 2 0.2 2.2 1 0 3 1 9 3
11 16 Southampton 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
12 18 Portsmouth 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
13 21 Blackburn 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
14 22 Oxford 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 0 2 2 4 6 2
15 24 Sheffield United 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 0 0 4 2 8 0
16 2 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 1.0 0.2 3 1 0 4 1 10
17 3 Stoke 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 1 1 5 3 7
18 6 Leicester 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
19 8 Swansea 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 3 0 5 4 6
20 9 Charlton 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 1 1 5 2 7
21 11 QPR 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
22 12 Birmingham 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8
23 20 Derby 4 3 1 1.2 2.0 0 2 2 5 8 2
24 4 West Brom 4 4 0 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 5 1 4 3.2 1.0 3 2 0 16 5 11
2 2 Middlesbrough 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 2 2 0 8 4 8
3 10 Hull 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 0 2 2 5 8 2
4 11 QPR 4 1 3 1.5 2.8 1 1 2 6 11 4
5 16 Southampton 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 2 1 6 7 5
6 23 Sheffield Weds 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 1 2 1 7 6 5
7 3 Stoke 5 3 2 1.2 0.6 2 2 1 6 3 8
8 4 West Brom 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 3 0 1 6 4 9
9 5 Bristol City 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 2 2 0 8 2 8
10 6 Leicester 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
11 12 Birmingham 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 1 3 3 8 4
12 15 Wrexham 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
13 20 Derby 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 2 1 5 6 5
14 21 Blackburn 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
15 22 Oxford 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4
16 7 Preston 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
17 8 Swansea 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 0 2 4 3 6
18 9 Charlton 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 2 1 3 4 5
19 13 Millwall 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8
20 17 Watford 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 2 2 3 5 2
21 18 Portsmouth 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
22 19 Norwich 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 2 2 0 6 3 8
23 24 Sheffield United 5 4 1 0.2 1.6 1 0 4 1 8 3
24 14 Ipswich 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51