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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Smith

Middlesbrough 3–1 QPR

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.86 fair 2.05
Draw 3.70 fair 4.08
Away 3.80 fair 3.76
Under 2.5 1.91 fair 2.11
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.91 fair 1.90

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough QPR
18 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
9 Corners 4
13 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (242 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.82
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawQPR
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 1–0 10.1% 2–1 9.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.95points / match
1.50scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 30:21
QPR before this match, all matches
1.55points / match
1.35scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 27:30
Middlesbrough all matches all matches QPR

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.35
1.05 Goals conceded 1.50
2.55 Total goals 2.85
12.95 Shots 13.60
4.00 Shots on target 3.90
10.30 Shots faced 12.05
5.60 Corners 5.10
4.55 Corners against 5.10
9.50 Fouls 10.45
1.60 Yellow cards 1.85
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

55% Wins 45%
30% Draws 20%
15% Losses 35%
95% Over 0.5 goals 90%
75% Over 1.5 goals 70%
55% Over 2.5 goals 60%
15% Over 3.5 goals 35%
10% Over 4.5 goals 15%
5% Over 5.5 goals 5%
65% Both teams scored 70%
25% Clean sheets 25%
15% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 30%
25% Draws 35%
40% Losses 35%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
30% Over 1.5 goals 35%
15% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
QPR all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
2.22points / match
1.44scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 13:9
QPR before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.10scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:16
Middlesbrough at home away QPR

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.10
1.00 Goals conceded 1.60
2.44 Total goals 2.70
12.33 Shots 11.60
4.00 Shots on target 3.30
11.78 Shots faced 15.10
5.33 Corners 4.20
5.67 Corners against 7.20
9.00 Fouls 10.00
0.89 Yellow cards 1.70
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 1.30

How often Full Time

67% Wins 40%
22% Draws 20%
11% Losses 40%
89% Over 0.5 goals 90%
67% Over 1.5 goals 60%
56% Over 2.5 goals 50%
11% Over 3.5 goals 30%
11% Over 4.5 goals 10%
11% Over 5.5 goals 10%
67% Both teams scored 60%
33% Clean sheets 30%
11% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 20%
33% Draws 20%
33% Losses 60%
67% Over 0.5 goals 80%
22% Over 1.5 goals 40%
22% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
QPR away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.25 Charlton – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 3.303.252.10 2.10 1.73
05.12.25 Hull – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–4) 2.953.502.20 1.73 2.10
29.11.25 Middlesbrough – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.605.00 2.20 1.67
25.11.25 Middlesbrough – Coventry 2–4 (1–2) 2.573.402.55 1.93 1.93
22.11.25 Oxford – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 3.703.301.96 2.05 1.80
08.11.25 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.252.65 2.30 1.62
04.11.25 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
01.11.25 Watford – Middlesbrough 3–0 (2–0) 2.653.402.45 2.05 1.80
25.10.25 Middlesbrough – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 1.683.604.75 2.00 1.85
22.10.25 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.66 1.93 1.93

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.25 QPR – Birmingham 2–1 (1–0) 2.853.302.35 1.98 1.88
06.12.25 QPR – West Brom 3–1 (1–0) 2.403.053.05 2.20 1.67
29.11.25 Norwich – QPR 3–1 (3–1) 2.503.402.75 2.00 1.85
26.11.25 Blackburn – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.403.25 2.05 1.80
22.11.25 QPR – Hull 3–2 (1–1) 2.053.253.60 1.98 1.88
08.11.25 Sheffield United – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.603.50 1.95 1.90
05.11.25 QPR – Southampton 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.252.45 1.95 1.90
01.11.25 QPR – Ipswich 1–4 (1–1) 3.503.502.01 1.90 1.95
25.10.25 Derby – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.252.65 2.10 1.73
22.10.25 Swansea – QPR 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.253.40 2.10 1.73

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Middlesbrough – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.605.00 2.20 1.67
25.11.25 Middlesbrough – Coventry 2–4 (1–2) 2.573.402.55 1.93 1.93
08.11.25 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.252.65 2.30 1.62
25.10.25 Middlesbrough – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 1.683.604.75 2.00 1.85
17.10.25 Middlesbrough – Ipswich 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 2.10 1.73
30.09.25 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.80
19.09.25 Middlesbrough – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.30 2.10 1.73
30.08.25 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.10 1.90 1.95
09.08.25 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.98 1.88
26.04.25 Middlesbrough – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.335.25 1.53 2.50

QPR away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Norwich – QPR 3–1 (3–1) 2.503.402.75 2.00 1.85
26.11.25 Blackburn – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.403.25 2.05 1.80
08.11.25 Sheffield United – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.603.50 1.95 1.90
25.10.25 Derby – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.252.65 2.10 1.73
22.10.25 Swansea – QPR 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.253.40 2.10 1.73
04.10.25 Bristol City – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 1.713.504.50 1.85 2.00
27.09.25 Sheffield Weds – QPR 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.402.45 2.00 1.80
13.09.25 Wrexham – QPR 1–3 (0–2) 1.863.504.00 1.93 1.93
23.08.25 Coventry – QPR 7–1 (5–0) 1.554.205.50 1.95 1.90
16.08.25 Watford – QPR 2–1 (2–1) 2.153.103.60 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsQPR wins
8matches
3.75goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.25E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.304.33 2.03 1.83
05.11.24E1 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
09.03.24E1 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.98 1.88
02.09.23E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 0–2 (0–1) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
18.02.23E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (0–0) 1.554.205.75 1.88 1.98
06.08.22E1 QPR – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–1) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
09.02.22E1 QPR – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.623.202.87 2.20 1.66
18.08.21E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 2–3 (1–0) 2.403.253.00 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 20 13 5 2 51 22 +29 44
2 Middlesbrough 20 11 6 3 30 21 +9 39
3 Preston 21 9 8 4 29 22 +7 35
4 Millwall 20 10 5 5 24 26 -2 35
5 Ipswich 20 9 7 4 34 19 +15 34
6 Stoke 21 10 3 8 28 20 +8 33
7 Hull 20 9 4 7 33 34 -1 31
8 QPR 20 9 4 7 27 30 -3 31
9 Southampton 21 8 6 7 35 30 +5 30
10 Bristol City 20 8 6 6 28 23 +5 30
11 Birmingham 20 8 4 8 29 25 +4 28
12 Watford 20 7 7 6 28 26 +2 28
13 Leicester 20 7 7 6 27 26 +1 28
14 West Brom 21 8 4 9 25 28 -3 28
15 Wrexham 20 6 9 5 24 23 +1 27
16 Derby 20 7 6 7 27 29 -2 27
17 Sheffield United 21 7 2 12 25 31 -6 23
18 Charlton 19 6 5 8 19 25 -6 23
19 Swansea 21 6 5 10 22 29 -7 23
20 Blackburn 19 6 4 9 19 24 -5 22
21 Oxford 21 4 7 10 22 30 -8 19
22 Norwich 21 4 5 12 24 34 -10 17
23 Portsmouth 19 4 5 10 15 26 -11 17
24 Sheffield Weds 19 1 6 12 15 37 -22 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 9 7 2 0 25 7 +18 23
2 Ipswich 11 6 4 1 19 9 +10 22
3 Watford 11 6 4 1 19 12 +7 22
4 Birmingham 9 6 2 1 21 8 +13 20
5 Middlesbrough 9 6 2 1 13 9 +4 20
6 Hull 11 6 2 3 18 18 0 20
7 Stoke 10 6 1 3 17 8 +9 19
8 West Brom 10 5 4 1 13 8 +5 19
9 Preston 11 5 4 2 15 11 +4 19
10 Millwall 10 6 1 3 12 12 0 19
11 Southampton 10 5 3 2 16 10 +6 18
12 QPR 10 5 2 3 16 14 +2 17
13 Wrexham 10 4 4 2 15 13 +2 16
14 Bristol City 11 4 3 4 16 13 +3 15
15 Swansea 11 4 3 4 13 15 -2 15
16 Charlton 9 4 2 3 11 11 0 14
17 Leicester 9 3 4 2 11 10 +1 13
18 Derby 11 3 4 4 14 17 -3 13
19 Sheffield United 10 3 2 5 12 12 0 11
20 Portsmouth 10 3 2 5 9 11 -2 11
21 Oxford 10 2 4 4 11 15 -4 10
22 Norwich 10 2 1 7 11 16 -5 7
23 Blackburn 10 1 3 6 9 16 -7 6
24 Sheffield Weds 10 0 2 8 5 24 -19 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 11 6 3 2 26 15 +11 21
2 Middlesbrough 11 5 4 2 17 12 +5 19
3 Preston 10 4 4 2 14 11 +3 16
4 Blackburn 9 5 1 3 10 8 +2 16
5 Millwall 10 4 4 2 12 14 -2 16
6 Bristol City 9 4 3 2 12 10 +2 15
7 Leicester 11 4 3 4 16 16 0 15
8 Derby 9 4 2 3 13 12 +1 14
9 Stoke 11 4 2 5 11 12 -1 14
10 QPR 10 4 2 4 11 16 -5 14
11 Ipswich 9 3 3 3 15 10 +5 12
12 Southampton 11 3 3 5 19 20 -1 12
13 Sheffield United 11 4 0 7 13 19 -6 12
14 Hull 9 3 2 4 15 16 -1 11
15 Wrexham 10 2 5 3 9 10 -1 11
16 Norwich 11 2 4 5 13 18 -5 10
17 Oxford 11 2 3 6 11 15 -4 9
18 Charlton 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
19 West Brom 11 3 0 8 12 20 -8 9
20 Swansea 10 2 2 6 9 14 -5 8
21 Birmingham 11 2 2 7 8 17 -9 8
22 Sheffield Weds 9 1 4 4 10 13 -3 7
23 Watford 9 1 3 5 9 14 -5 6
24 Portsmouth 9 1 3 5 6 15 -9 6

Middlesbrough   QPR

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Southampton 21 6 15 1.7 1.4 8 6 7 35 30 30
2 1 Coventry 20 6 14 2.5 1.1 13 5 2 51 22 44
3 7 Hull 20 6 14 1.6 1.7 9 4 7 33 34 31
4 8 QPR 20 8 12 1.4 1.5 9 4 7 27 30 31
5 2 Middlesbrough 20 9 11 1.5 1.1 11 6 3 30 21 39
6 11 Birmingham 20 9 11 1.4 1.2 8 4 8 29 25 28
7 12 Watford 20 9 11 1.4 1.3 7 7 6 28 26 28
8 13 Leicester 20 9 11 1.4 1.3 7 7 6 27 26 28
9 17 Sheffield United 21 10 11 1.2 1.5 7 2 12 25 31 23
10 21 Oxford 21 10 11 1.0 1.4 4 7 10 22 30 19
11 22 Norwich 21 10 11 1.1 1.6 4 5 12 24 34 17
12 24 Sheffield Weds 19 8 11 0.8 1.9 1 6 12 15 37 9
13 5 Ipswich 20 10 10 1.7 0.9 9 7 4 34 19 34
14 6 Stoke 21 11 10 1.3 1.0 10 3 8 28 20 33
15 14 West Brom 21 11 10 1.2 1.3 8 4 9 25 28 28
16 16 Derby 20 10 10 1.4 1.4 7 6 7 27 29 27
17 19 Swansea 21 11 10 1.0 1.4 6 5 10 22 29 23
18 3 Preston 21 12 9 1.4 1.0 9 8 4 29 22 35
19 4 Millwall 20 11 9 1.2 1.3 10 5 5 24 26 35
20 10 Bristol City 20 11 9 1.4 1.1 8 6 6 28 23 30
21 18 Charlton 19 11 8 1.0 1.3 6 5 8 19 25 23
22 20 Blackburn 19 11 8 1.0 1.3 6 4 9 19 24 22
23 23 Portsmouth 19 11 8 0.8 1.4 4 5 10 15 26 17
24 15 Wrexham 20 14 6 1.2 1.1 6 9 5 24 23 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Hull 11 4 7 1.6 1.6 6 2 3 18 18 20
2 8 QPR 10 3 7 1.6 1.4 5 2 3 16 14 17
3 12 Watford 11 4 7 1.7 1.1 6 4 1 19 12 22
4 1 Coventry 9 3 6 2.8 0.8 7 2 0 25 7 23
5 5 Ipswich 11 5 6 1.7 0.8 6 4 1 19 9 22
6 9 Southampton 10 4 6 1.6 1.0 5 3 2 16 10 18
7 10 Bristol City 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 4 3 4 16 13 15
8 11 Birmingham 9 3 6 2.3 0.9 6 2 1 21 8 20
9 21 Oxford 10 4 6 1.1 1.5 2 4 4 11 15 10
10 22 Norwich 10 4 6 1.1 1.6 2 1 7 11 16 7
11 24 Sheffield Weds 10 4 6 0.5 2.4 0 2 8 5 24 2
12 2 Middlesbrough 9 4 5 1.4 1.0 6 2 1 13 9 20
13 3 Preston 11 6 5 1.4 1.0 5 4 2 15 11 19
14 6 Stoke 10 5 5 1.7 0.8 6 1 3 17 8 19
15 17 Sheffield United 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 3 2 5 12 12 11
16 19 Swansea 11 6 5 1.2 1.4 4 3 4 13 15 15
17 20 Blackburn 10 5 5 0.9 1.6 1 3 6 9 16 6
18 4 Millwall 10 6 4 1.2 1.2 6 1 3 12 12 19
19 15 Wrexham 10 6 4 1.5 1.3 4 4 2 15 13 16
20 16 Derby 11 7 4 1.3 1.5 3 4 4 14 17 13
21 18 Charlton 9 5 4 1.2 1.2 4 2 3 11 11 14
22 23 Portsmouth 10 6 4 0.9 1.1 3 2 5 9 11 11
23 13 Leicester 9 6 3 1.2 1.1 3 4 2 11 10 13
24 14 West Brom 10 7 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 1 13 8 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Southampton 11 2 9 1.7 1.8 3 3 5 19 20 12
2 1 Coventry 11 3 8 2.4 1.4 6 3 2 26 15 21
3 13 Leicester 11 3 8 1.5 1.5 4 3 4 16 16 15
4 7 Hull 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 3 2 4 15 16 11
5 14 West Brom 11 4 7 1.1 1.8 3 0 8 12 20 9
6 2 Middlesbrough 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 5 4 2 17 12 19
7 16 Derby 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 4 2 3 13 12 14
8 17 Sheffield United 11 5 6 1.2 1.7 4 0 7 13 19 12
9 4 Millwall 10 5 5 1.2 1.4 4 4 2 12 14 16
10 6 Stoke 11 6 5 1.0 1.1 4 2 5 11 12 14
11 8 QPR 10 5 5 1.1 1.6 4 2 4 11 16 14
12 11 Birmingham 11 6 5 0.7 1.5 2 2 7 8 17 8
13 19 Swansea 10 5 5 0.9 1.4 2 2 6 9 14 8
14 21 Oxford 11 6 5 1.0 1.4 2 3 6 11 15 9
15 22 Norwich 11 6 5 1.2 1.6 2 4 5 13 18 10
16 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 1 4 4 10 13 7
17 3 Preston 10 6 4 1.4 1.1 4 4 2 14 11 16
18 5 Ipswich 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 3 3 3 15 10 12
19 12 Watford 9 5 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 5 9 14 6
20 18 Charlton 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9
21 23 Portsmouth 9 5 4 0.7 1.7 1 3 5 6 15 6
22 10 Bristol City 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 4 3 2 12 10 15
23 20 Blackburn 9 6 3 1.1 0.9 5 1 3 10 8 16
24 15 Wrexham 10 8 2 0.9 1.0 2 5 3 9 10 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51