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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: B Toner

Oxford 1–1 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 3.70 fair 3.06
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 3.72
Away 1.96 fair 2.47
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.84
Over 2.5 2.05 fair 2.19

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Oxford Middlesbrough
9 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 8
16 Fouls 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (183 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.17 – 1.33
Home / Draw / Away
OxfordDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.8% 0–1 10.9% 1–0 9.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Oxford before this match, all matches
0.87points / match
1.07scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 16:22
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.93points / match
1.27scored / match
0.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:13
Oxford all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.07 Goals scored 1.27
1.47 Goals conceded 0.87
2.53 Total goals 2.13
13.27 Shots 12.33
3.60 Shots on target 3.93
14.00 Shots faced 10.67
3.93 Corners 5.13
7.33 Corners against 4.80
10.40 Fouls 9.40
1.13 Yellow cards 1.93
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.87 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

20% Wins 53%
27% Draws 33%
53% Losses 13%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
60% Over 1.5 goals 67%
60% Over 2.5 goals 47%
33% Over 3.5 goals 7%
7% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 53%
13% Clean sheets 33%
40% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
40% Losses 33%
80% Over 0.5 goals 67%
53% Over 1.5 goals 20%
27% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Oxford before this match, at home
0.86points / match
1.00scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:11
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.25scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:9
Oxford at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.25
1.57 Goals conceded 1.13
2.57 Total goals 2.38
16.29 Shots 13.25
3.71 Shots on target 3.63
9.86 Shots faced 10.00
4.86 Corners 5.75
6.43 Corners against 4.00
9.71 Fouls 10.13
1.29 Yellow cards 2.63
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.38
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

14% Wins 38%
43% Draws 38%
43% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
57% Over 1.5 goals 75%
57% Over 2.5 goals 50%
43% Over 3.5 goals 13%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 50%
14% Clean sheets 25%
43% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 25%
29% Draws 25%
43% Losses 50%
86% Over 0.5 goals 75%
57% Over 1.5 goals 25%
29% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Oxford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 West Brom – Oxford 2–1 (0–0) 1.713.405.00 2.10 1.73
04.11.25 Oxford – Stoke 0–3 (0–2) 3.303.052.30 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Oxford – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.302.45 2.20 1.67
25.10.25 Sheffield Weds – Oxford 1–2 (0–2) 2.703.252.50 2.05 1.80
22.10.25 Wrexham – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.403.75 2.00 1.85
18.10.25 Oxford – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.052.95 2.50 1.53
04.10.25 Watford – Oxford 2–1 (2–1) 1.963.253.90 2.00 1.80
01.10.25 QPR – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 2.013.403.50 2.00 1.80
27.09.25 Oxford – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.202.25 2.10 1.73
21.09.25 Bristol City – Oxford 1–3 (0–2) 1.564.205.25 1.93 1.93

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.252.65 2.30 1.62
04.11.25 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
01.11.25 Watford – Middlesbrough 3–0 (2–0) 2.653.402.45 2.05 1.80
25.10.25 Middlesbrough – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 1.683.604.75 2.00 1.85
22.10.25 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.66 1.93 1.93
17.10.25 Middlesbrough – Ipswich 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 2.10 1.73
04.10.25 Portsmouth – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.25 2.03 1.83
30.09.25 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.80
27.09.25 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.88 1.98
19.09.25 Middlesbrough – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.30 2.10 1.73

Oxford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.25 Oxford – Stoke 0–3 (0–2) 3.303.052.30 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Oxford – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.302.45 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Oxford – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.052.95 2.50 1.53
27.09.25 Oxford – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.202.25 2.10 1.73
13.09.25 Oxford – Leicester 2–2 (2–1) 4.203.501.81 2.10 1.73
30.08.25 Oxford – Coventry 2–2 (1–2) 4.503.601.71 2.00 1.85
09.08.25 Oxford – Portsmouth 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 2.10 1.73
26.04.25 Oxford – Sunderland 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.252.38 2.20 1.67
18.04.25 Oxford – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 8.005.001.36 1.83 2.03
09.04.25 Oxford – QPR 1–3 (0–2) 2.503.202.80 2.30 1.62

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.25 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
01.11.25 Watford – Middlesbrough 3–0 (2–0) 2.653.402.45 2.05 1.80
22.10.25 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.66 1.93 1.93
04.10.25 Portsmouth – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.25 2.03 1.83
27.09.25 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.88 1.98
13.09.25 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.20 2.10 1.73
23.08.25 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 2.253.403.10 1.93 1.93
16.08.25 Millwall – Middlesbrough 0–3 (0–0) 2.153.253.40 2.30 1.62
03.05.25 Coventry – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.803.20 1.57 2.38
21.04.25 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.15 1.90 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Oxford winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
2matches
5.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.25E1 Middlesbrough – Oxford 2–1 (0–1) 1.603.905.50 1.88 1.98
23.11.24E1 Oxford – Middlesbrough 2–6 (1–3) 5.004.201.60 1.83 2.03

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 16 11 4 1 43 15 +28 37
2 Middlesbrough 15 8 5 2 19 13 +6 29
3 Stoke 15 8 3 4 21 10 +11 27
4 Bristol City 16 7 5 4 25 18 +7 26
5 Preston 16 7 5 4 21 16 +5 26
6 Hull 15 7 4 4 26 24 +2 25
7 Millwall 15 7 4 4 17 20 -3 25
8 Ipswich 14 6 5 3 26 16 +10 23
9 Derby 15 6 5 4 20 19 +1 23
10 Charlton 16 6 5 5 17 17 0 23
11 Birmingham 15 6 3 6 20 17 +3 21
12 Leicester 15 5 6 4 18 16 +2 21
13 Southampton 16 5 6 5 23 22 +1 21
14 Wrexham 15 5 6 4 20 19 +1 21
15 West Brom 16 6 3 7 16 19 -3 21
16 Watford 15 5 5 5 19 18 +1 20
17 Blackburn 15 6 1 8 16 20 -4 19
18 QPR 15 5 4 6 17 23 -6 19
19 Swansea 16 4 5 7 15 22 -7 17
20 Portsmouth 15 3 5 7 12 20 -8 14
21 Oxford 15 3 4 8 16 22 -6 13
22 Sheffield United 15 3 1 11 11 26 -15 10
23 Norwich 15 2 3 10 14 23 -9 9
24 Sheffield Weds 15 1 5 9 12 29 -17 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 8 6 2 0 22 6 +16 20
2 Watford 8 5 2 1 14 8 +6 17
3 Middlesbrough 7 5 2 0 9 4 +5 17
4 Preston 9 5 2 2 13 9 +4 17
5 Hull 8 5 2 1 15 12 +3 17
6 Ipswich 8 4 3 1 15 9 +6 15
7 Birmingham 7 4 2 1 15 6 +9 14
8 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 14 10 +4 14
9 Charlton 8 4 2 2 10 9 +1 14
10 Stoke 7 4 1 2 11 5 +6 13
11 Millwall 8 4 1 3 8 10 -2 13
12 West Brom 7 3 3 1 7 5 +2 12
13 Wrexham 8 3 3 2 12 12 0 12
14 Derby 8 3 3 2 10 10 0 12
15 Leicester 7 2 4 1 7 6 +1 10
16 Southampton 7 2 3 2 7 7 0 9
17 Swansea 8 2 3 3 9 13 -4 9
18 QPR 7 2 2 3 8 10 -2 8
19 Portsmouth 8 2 2 4 6 9 -3 8
20 Oxford 7 1 3 3 7 11 -4 6
21 Blackburn 7 1 1 5 7 13 -6 4
22 Sheffield United 7 1 1 5 4 11 -7 4
23 Sheffield Weds 8 0 2 6 3 18 -15 2
24 Norwich 7 0 0 7 5 13 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 8 5 2 1 21 9 +12 17
2 Blackburn 8 5 0 3 9 7 +2 15
3 Stoke 8 4 2 2 10 5 +5 14
4 Bristol City 7 3 3 1 11 8 +3 12
5 Southampton 9 3 3 3 16 15 +1 12
6 Middlesbrough 8 3 3 2 10 9 +1 12
7 Millwall 7 3 3 1 9 10 -1 12
8 Leicester 8 3 2 3 11 10 +1 11
9 Derby 7 3 2 2 10 9 +1 11
10 QPR 8 3 2 3 9 13 -4 11
11 Preston 7 2 3 2 8 7 +1 9
12 Wrexham 7 2 3 2 8 7 +1 9
13 Norwich 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9
14 Charlton 8 2 3 3 7 8 -1 9
15 West Brom 9 3 0 6 9 14 -5 9
16 Ipswich 6 2 2 2 11 7 +4 8
17 Hull 7 2 2 3 11 12 -1 8
18 Swansea 8 2 2 4 6 9 -3 8
19 Oxford 8 2 1 5 9 11 -2 7
20 Birmingham 8 2 1 5 5 11 -6 7
21 Sheffield Weds 7 1 3 3 9 11 -2 6
22 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 6 11 -5 6
23 Sheffield United 8 2 0 6 7 15 -8 6
24 Watford 7 0 3 4 5 10 -5 3

Oxford   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 16 5 11 2.7 0.9 11 4 1 43 15 37
2 6 Hull 15 4 11 1.7 1.6 7 4 4 26 24 25
3 13 Southampton 16 6 10 1.4 1.4 5 6 5 23 22 21
4 21 Oxford 15 6 9 1.1 1.5 3 4 8 16 22 13
5 24 Sheffield Weds 15 6 9 0.8 1.9 1 5 9 12 29 8
6 4 Bristol City 16 8 8 1.6 1.1 7 5 4 25 18 26
7 8 Ipswich 14 6 8 1.9 1.1 6 5 3 26 16 23
8 16 Watford 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 5 5 5 19 18 20
9 17 Blackburn 15 7 8 1.1 1.3 6 1 8 16 20 19
10 18 QPR 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 5 4 6 17 23 19
11 2 Middlesbrough 15 8 7 1.3 0.9 8 5 2 19 13 29
12 5 Preston 16 9 7 1.3 1.0 7 5 4 21 16 26
13 7 Millwall 15 8 7 1.1 1.3 7 4 4 17 20 25
14 11 Birmingham 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 3 6 20 17 21
15 15 West Brom 16 9 7 1.0 1.2 6 3 7 16 19 21
16 19 Swansea 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 4 5 7 15 22 17
17 22 Sheffield United 15 8 7 0.7 1.7 3 1 11 11 26 10
18 23 Norwich 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 2 3 10 14 23 9
19 9 Derby 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 6 5 4 20 19 23
20 12 Leicester 15 9 6 1.2 1.1 5 6 4 18 16 21
21 14 Wrexham 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 5 6 4 20 19 21
22 20 Portsmouth 15 9 6 0.8 1.3 3 5 7 12 20 14
23 3 Stoke 15 10 5 1.4 0.7 8 3 4 21 10 27
24 10 Charlton 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 6 5 5 17 17 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Hull 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 5 2 1 15 12 17
2 16 Watford 8 2 6 1.8 1.0 5 2 1 14 8 17
3 1 Coventry 8 3 5 2.8 0.8 6 2 0 22 6 20
4 4 Bristol City 9 4 5 1.6 1.1 4 2 3 14 10 14
5 5 Preston 9 4 5 1.4 1.0 5 2 2 13 9 17
6 8 Ipswich 8 3 5 1.9 1.1 4 3 1 15 9 15
7 17 Blackburn 7 2 5 1.0 1.9 1 1 5 7 13 4
8 11 Birmingham 7 3 4 2.1 0.9 4 2 1 15 6 14
9 14 Wrexham 8 4 4 1.5 1.5 3 3 2 12 12 12
10 18 QPR 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 2 2 3 8 10 8
11 19 Swansea 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 3 9 13 9
12 21 Oxford 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 3 7 11 6
13 23 Norwich 7 3 4 0.7 1.9 0 0 7 5 13 0
14 24 Sheffield Weds 8 4 4 0.4 2.2 0 2 6 3 18 2
15 2 Middlesbrough 7 4 3 1.3 0.6 5 2 0 9 4 17
16 7 Millwall 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 4 1 3 8 10 13
17 10 Charlton 8 5 3 1.2 1.1 4 2 2 10 9 14
18 13 Southampton 7 4 3 1.0 1.0 2 3 2 7 7 9
19 20 Portsmouth 8 5 3 0.8 1.1 2 2 4 6 9 8
20 22 Sheffield United 7 4 3 0.6 1.6 1 1 5 4 11 4
21 3 Stoke 7 5 2 1.6 0.7 4 1 2 11 5 13
22 9 Derby 8 6 2 1.2 1.2 3 3 2 10 10 12
23 15 West Brom 7 5 2 1.0 0.7 3 3 1 7 5 12
24 12 Leicester 7 6 1 1.0 0.9 2 4 1 7 6 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Southampton 9 2 7 1.8 1.7 3 3 3 16 15 12
2 1 Coventry 8 2 6 2.6 1.1 5 2 1 21 9 17
3 6 Hull 7 2 5 1.6 1.7 2 2 3 11 12 8
4 12 Leicester 8 3 5 1.4 1.2 3 2 3 11 10 11
5 15 West Brom 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 3 0 6 9 14 9
6 21 Oxford 8 3 5 1.1 1.4 2 1 5 9 11 7
7 24 Sheffield Weds 7 2 5 1.3 1.6 1 3 3 9 11 6
8 2 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 3 3 2 10 9 12
9 7 Millwall 7 3 4 1.3 1.4 3 3 1 9 10 12
10 9 Derby 7 3 4 1.4 1.3 3 2 2 10 9 11
11 18 QPR 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 3 2 3 9 13 11
12 22 Sheffield United 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 2 0 6 7 15 6
13 3 Stoke 8 5 3 1.2 0.6 4 2 2 10 5 14
14 4 Bristol City 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 3 3 1 11 8 12
15 8 Ipswich 6 3 3 1.8 1.2 2 2 2 11 7 8
16 11 Birmingham 8 5 3 0.6 1.4 2 1 5 5 11 7
17 17 Blackburn 8 5 3 1.1 0.9 5 0 3 9 7 15
18 19 Swansea 8 5 3 0.8 1.1 2 2 4 6 9 8
19 20 Portsmouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 1 3 3 6 11 6
20 23 Norwich 8 5 3 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9
21 5 Preston 7 5 2 1.1 1.0 2 3 2 8 7 9
22 10 Charlton 8 6 2 0.9 1.0 2 3 3 7 8 9
23 14 Wrexham 7 5 2 1.1 1.0 2 3 2 8 7 9
24 16 Watford 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 0 3 4 5 10 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40