Derby 0–2 Fleetwood Town – England League One, 18 Mar 2023

Match facts

Derby Fleetwood Town

15 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 8

13 Fouls 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (431 league matches this season so far).

Result Derby to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.92

Expected goals 1.57 – 0.93

Home / Draw / Away

52% 25% 22%

DerbyDrawFleetwood Town

Under / Over 2.5 goals

55% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 48%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 12.9% 1–1 12% 2–0 10.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches

1.78points / match

1.64scored / match

0.97conceded / match

18 10 8

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 59:35

Fleetwood Town before this match, all matches

1.19points / match

1.03scored / match

1.06conceded / match

10 13 13

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 37:38

Derby all matches all matches Fleetwood Town

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 1.03

0.97 Goals conceded 1.06

2.61 Total goals 2.08

14.06 Shots 11.56

5.08 Shots on target 3.44

9.64 Shots faced 14.00

5.72 Corners 4.67

4.53 Corners against 5.72

10.06 Fouls 12.31

1.72 Yellow cards 2.28

0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

50% Wins 28%

28% Draws 36%

22% Losses 36%

83% Over 0.5 goals 92%

72% Over 1.5 goals 67%

53% Over 2.5 goals 39%

31% Over 3.5 goals 8%

19% Over 4.5 goals 3%

3% Over 5.5 goals 0%

50% Both teams scored 56%

42% Clean sheets 28%

25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 28%

36% Draws 44%

17% Losses 28%

67% Over 0.5 goals 69%

31% Over 1.5 goals 22%

14% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches

2

1

W

5

W

2

3

L

1

D

2

W

1

4

L

2

W

2

D

1

2

L

3

2

W

Fleetwood Town all matches

2

L

2

3

L

2

1

W

1

W

D

1

W

1

W

1

L

2

L

1

D

Derby before this match, at home

2.22points / match

2.06scored / match

0.78conceded / match

12 4 2

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 37:14

Fleetwood Town before this match, away

1.22points / match

1.11scored / match

1.11conceded / match

5 7 6

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 20:20

Derby at home away Fleetwood Town

Per match

2.06 Goals scored 1.11

0.78 Goals conceded 1.11

2.83 Total goals 2.22

14.89 Shots 10.56

5.50 Shots on target 3.39

8.17 Shots faced 14.28

5.78 Corners 3.94

3.72 Corners against 5.89

10.50 Fouls 12.50

1.83 Yellow cards 2.39

1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.61

0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

67% Wins 28%

22% Draws 39%

11% Losses 33%

89% Over 0.5 goals 94%

78% Over 1.5 goals 72%

61% Over 2.5 goals 44%

33% Over 3.5 goals 11%

17% Over 4.5 goals 0%

6% Over 5.5 goals 0%

50% Both teams scored 61%

50% Clean sheets 22%

11% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

61% Wins 28%

28% Draws 39%

11% Losses 33%

72% Over 0.5 goals 78%

33% Over 1.5 goals 33%

11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home

D

4

W

1

W

4

W

2

1

W

5

W

1

D

2

W

2

W

2

D

Fleetwood Town away

2

D

1

D

2

1

W

1

2

L

3

W

1

L

2

1

W

D

1

L

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.03.23	Oxford – Derby	2–3 (1–2)	3.60	3.50	2.00	1.98	1.88
07.03.23	Plymouth – Derby	2–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.60	2.55	1.95	1.90
04.03.23	Derby – Shrewsbury	2–2 (2–0)	1.65	4.00	5.25	2.08	1.73
28.02.23	Derby – Cheltenham	2–0 (1–0)	1.33	4.75	10.00	1.75	2.05
25.02.23	Barnsley – Derby	4–1 (3–1)	3.00	3.30	2.40	2.08	1.73
18.02.23	Derby – Charlton	2–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.00	6.00	1.88	1.98
14.02.23	Derby – Lincoln	1–1 (0–1)	1.44	4.33	7.50	2.00	1.85
11.02.23	Wycombe – Derby	3–2 (1–0)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.98	1.88
04.02.23	Derby – Morecambe	5–0 (1–0)	1.33	5.00	10.00	1.70	2.10
24.01.23	Port Vale – Derby	1–2 (0–0)	3.80	3.40	2.00	2.25	1.62

Fleetwood Town all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.03.23	Fleetwood Town – Port Vale	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.30	2.45	2.15	1.67
07.03.23	Wycombe – Fleetwood Town	2–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.98	1.88
04.03.23	Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town	1–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.20	2.88	2.25	1.68
25.02.23	Fleetwood Town – Morecambe	1–0 (1–0)	1.75	3.60	4.75	2.02	1.83
21.02.23	Fleetwood Town – Cambridge	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.15	1.67
18.02.23	Plymouth – Fleetwood Town	0–0 (0–0)	1.60	4.20	5.50	1.90	1.95
14.02.23	Fleetwood Town – Peterboro	1–0 (1–0)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.90	1.95
11.02.23	Charlton – Fleetwood Town	1–2 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	4.20	1.83	2.02
04.02.23	Fleetwood Town – Burton	2–3 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.08	1.73
24.01.23	Fleetwood Town – Portsmouth	0–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.20	2.45	2.05	1.75

Derby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.23	Derby – Shrewsbury	2–2 (2–0)	1.65	4.00	5.25	2.08	1.73
28.02.23	Derby – Cheltenham	2–0 (1–0)	1.33	4.75	10.00	1.75	2.05
18.02.23	Derby – Charlton	2–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.00	6.00	1.88	1.98
14.02.23	Derby – Lincoln	1–1 (0–1)	1.44	4.33	7.50	2.00	1.85
04.02.23	Derby – Morecambe	5–0 (1–0)	1.33	5.00	10.00	1.70	2.10
21.01.23	Derby – Bolton	2–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.60	3.80	2.05	1.75
02.01.23	Derby – Accrington	4–0 (3–0)	1.62	4.00	5.50	1.93	1.93
30.12.22	Derby – Cambridge	1–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.20	6.50	2.00	1.80
17.12.22	Derby – Forest Green	4–0 (2–0)	1.44	4.50	7.50	1.73	2.08
03.12.22	Derby – Sheffield Weds	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.30	2.05	1.75

Fleetwood Town away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.03.23	Wycombe – Fleetwood Town	2–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.98	1.88
04.03.23	Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town	1–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.20	2.88	2.25	1.68
18.02.23	Plymouth – Fleetwood Town	0–0 (0–0)	1.60	4.20	5.50	1.90	1.95
11.02.23	Charlton – Fleetwood Town	1–2 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	4.20	1.83	2.02
21.01.23	Sheffield Weds – Fleetwood Town	1–0 (1–0)	1.40	4.75	8.00	1.80	2.05
01.01.23	Shrewsbury – Fleetwood Town	0–3 (0–2)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.15	1.67
29.12.22	Barnsley – Fleetwood Town	2–1 (0–0)	1.62	3.75	5.75	1.95	1.90
10.12.22	Milton Keynes Dons – Fleetwood Town	1–2 (0–0)	2.20	3.25	3.40	2.10	1.70
02.12.22	Ipswich – Fleetwood Town	1–1 (1–0)	1.30	5.00	10.00	1.66	2.15
12.11.22	Bristol Rvs – Fleetwood Town	2–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.30	3.40	1.93	1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Derby winsDrawsFleetwood Town wins

1matches

0.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.08.22E2	Fleetwood Town – Derby	0–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.30	2.10	2.07	1.72

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield Weds	35	23	9	3	62	23	+39	78
2	Plymouth	36	22	8	6	63	41	+22	74
3	Ipswich	36	20	12	4	70	31	+39	72
4	Barnsley	34	20	6	8	55	29	+26	66
5	Derby	36	18	10	8	59	35	+24	64
6	Bolton	38	18	10	10	52	31	+21	64
7	Peterboro	37	19	3	15	63	47	+16	60
8	Wycombe	36	18	6	12	50	34	+16	60
9	Shrewsbury	36	16	7	13	47	39	+8	55
10	Portsmouth	36	14	12	10	49	42	+7	54
11	Exeter	35	12	10	13	47	45	+2	46
12	Charlton	36	11	12	13	50	48	+2	45
13	Lincoln	36	9	18	9	33	38	-5	45
14	Bristol Rvs	36	12	9	15	50	58	-8	45
15	Port Vale	36	12	8	16	36	50	-14	44
16	Fleetwood Town	36	10	13	13	37	38	-1	43
17	Cheltenham	36	11	7	18	29	46	-17	40
18	Burton	35	10	8	17	44	68	-24	38
19	Oxford	36	9	9	18	38	48	-10	36
20	Accrington	35	8	11	16	30	55	-25	35
21	Milton Keynes Dons	36	9	6	21	32	54	-22	33
22	Morecambe	37	7	12	18	36	61	-25	33
23	Cambridge	36	8	6	22	27	57	-30	30
24	Forest Green	36	5	8	23	28	69	-41	23

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Plymouth	18	16	1	1	36	13	+23	49
2	Sheffield Weds	19	13	5	1	42	14	+28	44
3	Derby	18	12	4	2	37	14	+23	40
4	Bolton	19	12	4	3	28	11	+17	40
5	Ipswich	18	11	6	1	40	12	+28	39
6	Barnsley	17	12	1	4	32	16	+16	37
7	Peterboro	18	11	2	5	33	21	+12	35
8	Wycombe	18	10	4	4	28	16	+12	34
9	Shrewsbury	18	10	2	6	28	22	+6	32
10	Portsmouth	18	7	8	3	28	18	+10	29
11	Exeter	17	7	5	5	24	20	+4	26
12	Lincoln	18	4	13	1	16	14	+2	25
13	Morecambe	19	6	7	6	24	25	-1	25
14	Port Vale	18	7	4	7	18	22	-4	25
15	Charlton	18	6	6	6	29	23	+6	24
16	Burton	18	6	5	7	21	29	-8	23
17	Cambridge	18	6	4	8	16	21	-5	22
18	Cheltenham	17	6	4	7	14	20	-6	22
19	Fleetwood Town	18	5	6	7	17	18	-1	21
20	Bristol Rvs	18	5	6	7	22	28	-6	21
21	Accrington	17	5	5	7	20	27	-7	20
22	Oxford	18	5	3	10	22	26	-4	18
23	Milton Keynes Dons	18	3	4	11	12	25	-13	13
24	Forest Green	18	4	1	13	13	32	-19	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield Weds	16	10	4	2	20	9	+11	34
2	Ipswich	18	9	6	3	30	19	+11	33
3	Barnsley	17	8	5	4	23	13	+10	29
4	Wycombe	18	8	2	8	22	18	+4	26
5	Peterboro	19	8	1	10	30	26	+4	25
6	Plymouth	18	6	7	5	27	28	-1	25
7	Portsmouth	18	7	4	7	21	24	-3	25
8	Bolton	19	6	6	7	24	20	+4	24
9	Derby	18	6	6	6	22	21	+1	24
10	Bristol Rvs	18	7	3	8	28	30	-2	24
11	Shrewsbury	18	6	5	7	19	17	+2	23
12	Fleetwood Town	18	5	7	6	20	20	0	22
13	Charlton	18	5	6	7	21	25	-4	21
14	Exeter	18	5	5	8	23	25	-2	20
15	Lincoln	18	5	5	8	17	24	-7	20
16	Milton Keynes Dons	18	6	2	10	20	29	-9	20
17	Port Vale	18	5	4	9	18	28	-10	19
18	Oxford	18	4	6	8	16	22	-6	18
19	Cheltenham	19	5	3	11	15	26	-11	18
20	Burton	17	4	3	10	23	39	-16	15
21	Accrington	18	3	6	9	10	28	-18	15
22	Forest Green	18	1	7	10	15	37	-22	10
23	Morecambe	18	1	5	12	12	36	-24	8
24	Cambridge	18	2	2	14	11	36	-25	8

Derby Fleetwood Town

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Peterboro	37	14	23	1.7	1.3	19	3	15	63	47	60
2	2	Plymouth	36	15	21	1.8	1.1	22	8	6	63	41	74
3	14	Bristol Rvs	36	15	21	1.4	1.6	12	9	15	50	58	45
4	3	Ipswich	36	16	20	1.9	0.9	20	12	4	70	31	72
5	18	Burton	35	15	20	1.3	1.9	10	8	17	44	68	38
6	5	Derby	36	17	19	1.6	1.0	18	10	8	59	35	64
7	22	Morecambe	37	18	19	1.0	1.6	7	12	18	36	61	33
8	24	Forest Green	36	17	19	0.8	1.9	5	8	23	28	69	23
9	4	Barnsley	34	17	17	1.6	0.9	20	6	8	55	29	66
10	9	Shrewsbury	36	19	17	1.3	1.1	16	7	13	47	39	55
11	15	Port Vale	36	19	17	1.0	1.4	12	8	16	36	50	44
12	10	Portsmouth	36	20	16	1.4	1.2	14	12	10	49	42	54
13	12	Charlton	36	20	16	1.4	1.3	11	12	13	50	48	45
14	19	Oxford	36	20	16	1.1	1.3	9	9	18	38	48	36
15	6	Bolton	38	23	15	1.4	0.8	18	10	10	52	31	64
16	8	Wycombe	36	21	15	1.4	0.9	18	6	12	50	34	60
17	20	Accrington	35	20	15	0.9	1.6	8	11	16	30	55	35
18	23	Cambridge	36	21	15	0.8	1.6	8	6	22	27	57	30
19	11	Exeter	35	21	14	1.3	1.3	12	10	13	47	45	46
20	16	Fleetwood Town	36	22	14	1.0	1.1	10	13	13	37	38	43
21	17	Cheltenham	36	22	14	0.8	1.3	11	7	18	29	46	40
22	21	Milton Keynes Dons	36	22	14	0.9	1.5	9	6	21	32	54	33
23	1	Sheffield Weds	35	22	13	1.8	0.7	23	9	3	62	23	78
24	13	Lincoln	36	26	10	0.9	1.1	9	18	9	33	38	45

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Peterboro	18	6	12	1.8	1.2	11	2	5	33	21	35
2	3	Ipswich	18	7	11	2.2	0.7	11	6	1	40	12	39
3	5	Derby	18	7	11	2.1	0.8	12	4	2	37	14	40
4	19	Oxford	18	7	11	1.2	1.4	5	3	10	22	26	18
5	2	Plymouth	18	8	10	2.0	0.7	16	1	1	36	13	49
6	4	Barnsley	17	7	10	1.9	0.9	12	1	4	32	16	37
7	9	Shrewsbury	18	8	10	1.6	1.2	10	2	6	28	22	32
8	24	Forest Green	18	8	10	0.7	1.8	4	1	13	13	32	13
9	1	Sheffield Weds	19	10	9	2.2	0.7	13	5	1	42	14	44
10	14	Bristol Rvs	18	9	9	1.2	1.6	5	6	7	22	28	21
11	22	Morecambe	19	10	9	1.3	1.3	6	7	6	24	25	25
12	10	Portsmouth	18	10	8	1.6	1.0	7	8	3	28	18	29
13	11	Exeter	17	9	8	1.4	1.2	7	5	5	24	20	26
14	12	Charlton	18	10	8	1.6	1.3	6	6	6	29	23	24
15	15	Port Vale	18	10	8	1.0	1.2	7	4	7	18	22	25
16	18	Burton	18	10	8	1.2	1.6	6	5	7	21	29	23
17	20	Accrington	17	9	8	1.2	1.6	5	5	7	20	27	20
18	6	Bolton	19	12	7	1.5	0.6	12	4	3	28	11	40
19	8	Wycombe	18	11	7	1.6	0.9	10	4	4	28	16	34
20	16	Fleetwood Town	18	12	6	0.9	1.0	5	6	7	17	18	21
21	17	Cheltenham	17	11	6	0.8	1.2	6	4	7	14	20	22
22	23	Cambridge	18	12	6	0.9	1.2	6	4	8	16	21	22
23	21	Milton Keynes Dons	18	13	5	0.7	1.4	3	4	11	12	25	13
24	13	Lincoln	18	15	3	0.9	0.8	4	13	1	16	14	25

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Bristol Rvs	18	6	12	1.6	1.7	7	3	8	28	30	24
2	18	Burton	17	5	12	1.4	2.3	4	3	10	23	39	15
3	2	Plymouth	18	7	11	1.5	1.6	6	7	5	27	28	25
4	7	Peterboro	19	8	11	1.6	1.4	8	1	10	30	26	25
5	22	Morecambe	18	8	10	0.7	2.0	1	5	12	12	36	8
6	3	Ipswich	18	9	9	1.7	1.1	9	6	3	30	19	33
7	15	Port Vale	18	9	9	1.0	1.6	5	4	9	18	28	19
8	21	Milton Keynes Dons	18	9	9	1.1	1.6	6	2	10	20	29	20
9	23	Cambridge	18	9	9	0.6	2.0	2	2	14	11	36	8
10	24	Forest Green	18	9	9	0.8	2.1	1	7	10	15	37	10
11	5	Derby	18	10	8	1.2	1.2	6	6	6	22	21	24
12	6	Bolton	19	11	8	1.3	1.1	6	6	7	24	20	24
13	8	Wycombe	18	10	8	1.2	1.0	8	2	8	22	18	26
14	10	Portsmouth	18	10	8	1.2	1.3	7	4	7	21	24	25
15	12	Charlton	18	10	8	1.2	1.4	5	6	7	21	25	21
16	16	Fleetwood Town	18	10	8	1.1	1.1	5	7	6	20	20	22
17	17	Cheltenham	19	11	8	0.8	1.4	5	3	11	15	26	18
18	4	Barnsley	17	10	7	1.4	0.8	8	5	4	23	13	29
19	9	Shrewsbury	18	11	7	1.1	0.9	6	5	7	19	17	23
20	13	Lincoln	18	11	7	0.9	1.3	5	5	8	17	24	20
21	20	Accrington	18	11	7	0.6	1.6	3	6	9	10	28	15
22	11	Exeter	18	12	6	1.3	1.4	5	5	8	23	25	20
23	19	Oxford	18	13	5	0.9	1.2	4	6	8	16	22	18
24	1	Sheffield Weds	16	12	4	1.2	0.6	10	4	2	20	9	34

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.