Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Woods

Derby 4–0 Accrington

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.62 fair 1.82
Draw 4.00 fair 4.00
Away 5.50 fair 4.96
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 1.81
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 2.24

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Accrington
15 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 5
14 Fouls 12
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (285 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.60 – 0.86
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawAccrington
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.6% 1–1 11.7% 2–0 10.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.65points / match
1.26scored / match
0.74conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 29:17
Accrington before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.95scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 21:34
Derby all matches all matches Accrington

Per match

1.26 Goals scored 0.95
0.74 Goals conceded 1.55
2.00 Total goals 2.50
13.70 Shots 13.82
4.61 Shots on target 3.82
9.91 Shots faced 12.32
6.04 Corners 5.95
4.61 Corners against 5.55
10.04 Fouls 12.05
1.91 Yellow cards 2.36
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.18
0.26 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

43% Wins 23%
35% Draws 32%
22% Losses 45%
74% Over 0.5 goals 95%
57% Over 1.5 goals 68%
39% Over 2.5 goals 41%
17% Over 3.5 goals 23%
9% Over 4.5 goals 9%
4% Over 5.5 goals 5%
39% Both teams scored 45%
48% Clean sheets 23%
39% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 14%
52% Draws 41%
13% Losses 45%
52% Over 0.5 goals 64%
26% Over 1.5 goals 18%
4% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Accrington all matches
Derby before this match, at home
2.09points / match
1.73scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 19:10
Accrington before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.64scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 7:16
Derby at home away Accrington

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 0.64
0.91 Goals conceded 1.45
2.64 Total goals 2.09
13.45 Shots 14.91
4.91 Shots on target 3.73
9.45 Shots faced 11.36
5.91 Corners 7.09
4.18 Corners against 4.45
10.82 Fouls 13.36
2.00 Yellow cards 2.55
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.18
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

64% Wins 27%
18% Draws 18%
18% Losses 55%
82% Over 0.5 goals 100%
64% Over 1.5 goals 64%
64% Over 2.5 goals 36%
27% Over 3.5 goals 9%
18% Over 4.5 goals 0%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 36%
45% Clean sheets 27%
18% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 9%
45% Draws 45%
9% Losses 45%
55% Over 0.5 goals 64%
36% Over 1.5 goals 18%
9% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Accrington away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.22 Derby – Cambridge 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 2.00 1.80
27.12.22 Bolton – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 2.02 1.83
17.12.22 Derby – Forest Green 4–0 (2–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.08
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
03.12.22 Derby – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.75
18.11.22 Portsmouth – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 1.95 1.90
12.11.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Derby 1–3 (1–1) 3.803.502.00 1.98 1.88
01.11.22 Morecambe – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 4.503.401.80 1.98 1.88
29.10.22 Derby – Bristol Rvs 4–2 (4–2) 1.723.804.75 1.75 2.05
25.10.22 Derby – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.88 1.98

Accrington all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.22 Morecambe – Accrington 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.202.30 2.00 1.85
26.12.22 Accrington – Barnsley 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 2.02 1.83
03.12.22 Accrington – Oxford 1–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.20 1.85 2.00
19.11.22 Cambridge – Accrington 0–1 (0–1) 2.373.502.87 1.93 1.93
12.11.22 Accrington – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.001.60 1.72 2.07
01.11.22 Lincoln – Accrington 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.75 1.93 1.93
29.10.22 Fleetwood Town – Accrington 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.95 1.90
25.10.22 Peterboro – Accrington 3–1 (1–1) 1.724.004.75 1.65 2.20
22.10.22 Accrington – Bolton 2–3 (1–0) 3.003.252.40 1.93 1.93
15.10.22 Accrington – Derby 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.502.25 1.90 1.95

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.22 Derby – Cambridge 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 2.00 1.80
17.12.22 Derby – Forest Green 4–0 (2–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.08
03.12.22 Derby – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.75
29.10.22 Derby – Bristol Rvs 4–2 (4–2) 1.723.804.75 1.75 2.05
25.10.22 Derby – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.88 1.98
08.10.22 Derby – Port Vale 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.805.50 2.15 1.73
17.09.22 Derby – Wycombe 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 1.95 1.90
03.09.22 Derby – Plymouth 2–3 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.05 1.75
27.08.22 Derby – Peterboro 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 1.85 2.00
13.08.22 Derby – Barnsley 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.15 1.66

Accrington away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.22 Morecambe – Accrington 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.202.30 2.00 1.85
19.11.22 Cambridge – Accrington 0–1 (0–1) 2.373.502.87 1.93 1.93
01.11.22 Lincoln – Accrington 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.75 1.93 1.93
29.10.22 Fleetwood Town – Accrington 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.95 1.90
25.10.22 Peterboro – Accrington 3–1 (1–1) 1.724.004.75 1.65 2.20
08.10.22 Plymouth – Accrington 3–0 (1–0) 1.723.804.75 1.75 2.05
24.09.22 Bristol Rvs – Accrington 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.85 2.00
13.09.22 Wycombe – Accrington 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.72 2.07
06.09.22 Forest Green – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.402.90 1.85 2.00
20.08.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.83 2.02

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsAccrington wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22E2 Accrington – Derby 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.502.25 1.90 1.95

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 25 17 5 3 46 26 +20 56
2 Ipswich 24 14 7 3 46 24 +22 49
3 Sheffield Weds 24 14 7 3 40 18 +22 49
4 Barnsley 22 12 4 6 30 18 +12 40
5 Derby 23 10 8 5 29 17 +12 38
6 Wycombe 25 11 5 9 33 26 +7 38
7 Bolton 23 10 7 6 27 20 +7 37
8 Peterboro 24 11 2 11 39 31 +8 35
9 Port Vale 24 10 5 9 27 32 -5 35
10 Exeter 25 9 7 9 38 36 +2 34
11 Bristol Rvs 25 9 7 9 40 42 -2 34
12 Portsmouth 22 7 10 5 29 27 +2 31
13 Fleetwood Town 24 6 11 7 28 25 +3 29
14 Oxford 24 7 8 9 29 27 +2 29
15 Shrewsbury 24 8 5 11 23 29 -6 29
16 Charlton 24 6 10 8 36 35 +1 28
17 Lincoln 22 6 10 6 22 27 -5 28
18 Cheltenham 23 8 4 11 18 25 -7 28
19 Cambridge 23 7 3 13 21 34 -13 24
20 Accrington 22 5 7 10 21 34 -13 22
21 Burton 25 5 7 13 32 50 -18 22
22 Morecambe 24 4 9 11 24 34 -10 21
23 Milton Keynes Dons 24 6 3 15 23 36 -13 21
24 Forest Green 25 5 5 15 21 49 -28 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 13 12 0 1 25 9 +16 36
2 Peterboro 12 8 1 3 24 9 +15 25
3 Sheffield Weds 12 7 4 1 25 11 +14 25
4 Ipswich 12 7 4 1 22 9 +13 25
5 Bolton 12 7 3 2 16 8 +8 24
6 Derby 11 7 2 2 19 10 +9 23
7 Barnsley 11 7 1 3 17 10 +7 22
8 Wycombe 12 6 3 3 19 12 +7 21
9 Bristol Rvs 13 5 4 4 21 22 -1 19
10 Exeter 12 5 3 4 18 16 +2 18
11 Port Vale 11 5 3 3 13 11 +2 18
12 Charlton 12 4 5 3 22 16 +6 17
13 Cambridge 12 5 2 5 11 14 -3 17
14 Shrewsbury 13 5 2 6 13 17 -4 17
15 Portsmouth 12 3 7 2 17 15 +2 16
16 Cheltenham 11 5 1 5 11 13 -2 16
17 Oxford 12 4 3 5 16 13 +3 15
18 Lincoln 11 2 9 0 12 9 +3 15
19 Morecambe 12 3 5 4 14 15 -1 14
20 Burton 12 3 4 5 14 19 -5 13
21 Forest Green 13 4 0 9 10 23 -13 12
22 Fleetwood Town 11 2 5 4 10 10 0 11
23 Accrington 11 2 5 4 14 18 -4 11
24 Milton Keynes Dons 12 2 2 8 10 20 -10 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 12 7 3 2 24 15 +9 24
2 Sheffield Weds 12 7 3 2 15 7 +8 24
3 Plymouth 12 5 5 2 21 17 +4 20
4 Barnsley 11 5 3 3 13 8 +5 18
5 Fleetwood Town 13 4 6 3 18 15 +3 18
6 Wycombe 13 5 2 6 14 14 0 17
7 Port Vale 13 5 2 6 14 21 -7 17
8 Exeter 13 4 4 5 20 20 0 16
9 Derby 12 3 6 3 10 7 +3 15
10 Portsmouth 10 4 3 3 12 12 0 15
11 Bristol Rvs 12 4 3 5 19 20 -1 15
12 Oxford 12 3 5 4 13 14 -1 14
13 Bolton 11 3 4 4 11 12 -1 13
14 Milton Keynes Dons 12 4 1 7 13 16 -3 13
15 Lincoln 11 4 1 6 10 18 -8 13
16 Shrewsbury 11 3 3 5 10 12 -2 12
17 Cheltenham 12 3 3 6 7 12 -5 12
18 Charlton 12 2 5 5 14 19 -5 11
19 Accrington 11 3 2 6 7 16 -9 11
20 Peterboro 12 3 1 8 15 22 -7 10
21 Burton 13 2 3 8 18 31 -13 9
22 Forest Green 12 1 5 6 11 26 -15 8
23 Morecambe 12 1 4 7 10 19 -9 7
24 Cambridge 11 2 1 8 10 20 -10 7

Derby   Accrington

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Bristol Rvs 25 9 16 1.6 1.7 9 7 9 40 42 34
2 1 Plymouth 25 10 15 1.8 1.0 17 5 3 46 26 56
3 8 Peterboro 24 9 15 1.6 1.3 11 2 11 39 31 35
4 2 Ipswich 24 10 14 1.9 1.0 14 7 3 46 24 49
5 21 Burton 25 11 14 1.3 2.0 5 7 13 32 50 22
6 24 Forest Green 25 11 14 0.8 2.0 5 5 15 21 49 20
7 6 Wycombe 25 13 12 1.3 1.0 11 5 9 33 26 38
8 9 Port Vale 24 12 12 1.1 1.3 10 5 9 27 32 35
9 10 Exeter 25 13 12 1.5 1.4 9 7 9 38 36 34
10 13 Fleetwood Town 24 13 11 1.2 1.0 6 11 7 28 25 29
11 16 Charlton 24 13 11 1.5 1.5 6 10 8 36 35 28
12 19 Cambridge 23 12 11 0.9 1.5 7 3 13 21 34 24
13 22 Morecambe 24 13 11 1.0 1.4 4 9 11 24 34 21
14 23 Milton Keynes Dons 24 13 11 1.0 1.5 6 3 15 23 36 21
15 14 Oxford 24 14 10 1.2 1.1 7 8 9 29 27 29
16 15 Shrewsbury 24 14 10 1.0 1.2 8 5 11 23 29 29
17 3 Sheffield Weds 24 15 9 1.7 0.8 14 7 3 40 18 49
18 4 Barnsley 22 13 9 1.4 0.8 12 4 6 30 18 40
19 5 Derby 23 14 9 1.3 0.7 10 8 5 29 17 38
20 12 Portsmouth 22 13 9 1.3 1.2 7 10 5 29 27 31
21 20 Accrington 22 13 9 1.0 1.5 5 7 10 21 34 22
22 7 Bolton 23 16 7 1.2 0.9 10 7 6 27 20 37
23 18 Cheltenham 23 16 7 0.8 1.1 8 4 11 18 25 28
24 17 Lincoln 22 16 6 1.0 1.2 6 10 6 22 27 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Bristol Rvs 13 5 8 1.6 1.7 5 4 4 21 22 19
2 24 Forest Green 13 5 8 0.8 1.8 4 0 9 10 23 12
3 1 Plymouth 13 6 7 1.9 0.7 12 0 1 25 9 36
4 5 Derby 11 4 7 1.7 0.9 7 2 2 19 10 23
5 8 Peterboro 12 5 7 2.0 0.8 8 1 3 24 9 25
6 2 Ipswich 12 6 6 1.8 0.8 7 4 1 22 9 25
7 3 Sheffield Weds 12 6 6 2.1 0.9 7 4 1 25 11 25
8 6 Wycombe 12 6 6 1.6 1.0 6 3 3 19 12 21
9 10 Exeter 12 6 6 1.5 1.3 5 3 4 18 16 18
10 12 Portsmouth 12 6 6 1.4 1.2 3 7 2 17 15 16
11 14 Oxford 12 6 6 1.3 1.1 4 3 5 16 13 15
12 15 Shrewsbury 13 7 6 1.0 1.3 5 2 6 13 17 17
13 4 Barnsley 11 6 5 1.5 0.9 7 1 3 17 10 22
14 9 Port Vale 11 6 5 1.2 1.0 5 3 3 13 11 18
15 16 Charlton 12 7 5 1.8 1.3 4 5 3 22 16 17
16 20 Accrington 11 6 5 1.3 1.6 2 5 4 14 18 11
17 21 Burton 12 7 5 1.2 1.6 3 4 5 14 19 13
18 22 Morecambe 12 7 5 1.2 1.2 3 5 4 14 15 14
19 23 Milton Keynes Dons 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 2 2 8 10 20 8
20 7 Bolton 12 8 4 1.3 0.7 7 3 2 16 8 24
21 13 Fleetwood Town 11 7 4 0.9 0.9 2 5 4 10 10 11
22 18 Cheltenham 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 5 1 5 11 13 16
23 19 Cambridge 12 8 4 0.9 1.2 5 2 5 11 14 17
24 17 Lincoln 11 9 2 1.1 0.8 2 9 0 12 9 15
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 21 Burton 13 4 9 1.4 2.4 2 3 8 18 31 9
2 1 Plymouth 12 4 8 1.8 1.4 5 5 2 21 17 20
3 2 Ipswich 12 4 8 2.0 1.2 7 3 2 24 15 24
4 8 Peterboro 12 4 8 1.2 1.8 3 1 8 15 22 10
5 11 Bristol Rvs 12 4 8 1.6 1.7 4 3 5 19 20 15
6 9 Port Vale 13 6 7 1.1 1.6 5 2 6 14 21 17
7 13 Fleetwood Town 13 6 7 1.4 1.2 4 6 3 18 15 18
8 19 Cambridge 11 4 7 0.9 1.8 2 1 8 10 20 7
9 6 Wycombe 13 7 6 1.1 1.1 5 2 6 14 14 17
10 10 Exeter 13 7 6 1.5 1.5 4 4 5 20 20 16
11 16 Charlton 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 2 5 5 14 19 11
12 22 Morecambe 12 6 6 0.8 1.6 1 4 7 10 19 7
13 23 Milton Keynes Dons 12 6 6 1.1 1.3 4 1 7 13 16 13
14 24 Forest Green 12 6 6 0.9 2.2 1 5 6 11 26 8
15 4 Barnsley 11 7 4 1.2 0.7 5 3 3 13 8 18
16 14 Oxford 12 8 4 1.1 1.2 3 5 4 13 14 14
17 15 Shrewsbury 11 7 4 0.9 1.1 3 3 5 10 12 12
18 17 Lincoln 11 7 4 0.9 1.6 4 1 6 10 18 13
19 20 Accrington 11 7 4 0.6 1.5 3 2 6 7 16 11
20 3 Sheffield Weds 12 9 3 1.2 0.6 7 3 2 15 7 24
21 7 Bolton 11 8 3 1.0 1.1 3 4 4 11 12 13
22 12 Portsmouth 10 7 3 1.2 1.2 4 3 3 12 12 15
23 18 Cheltenham 12 9 3 0.6 1.0 3 3 6 7 12 12
24 5 Derby 12 10 2 0.8 0.6 3 6 3 10 7 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38