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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: R Joyce

Derby 4–0 Forest Green

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.44 fair 1.82
Draw 4.50 fair 4.22
Away 7.50 fair 4.66
Under 2.5 2.08 fair 2.04
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.96

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Forest Green
15 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 2
11 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (245 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.73 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawForest Green
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.4% 1–1 11.3% 2–0 9.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.55points / match
1.20scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 24:17
Forest Green before this match, all matches
0.95points / match
0.90scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 19:39
Derby all matches all matches Forest Green

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 0.90
0.85 Goals conceded 1.86
2.05 Total goals 2.76
13.75 Shots 9.81
4.50 Shots on target 3.52
10.35 Shots faced 14.24
6.45 Corners 4.43
4.90 Corners against 6.57
9.95 Fouls 10.71
1.90 Yellow cards 2.52
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 1.05

How often Full Time

40% Wins 24%
35% Draws 24%
25% Losses 52%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 86%
40% Over 2.5 goals 52%
15% Over 3.5 goals 24%
10% Over 4.5 goals 14%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 57%
40% Clean sheets 10%
40% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 24%
50% Draws 24%
15% Losses 52%
55% Over 0.5 goals 86%
25% Over 1.5 goals 43%
5% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Forest Green all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.89points / match
1.56scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:10
Forest Green before this match, away
0.80points / match
1.10scored / match
2.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:21
Derby at home away Forest Green

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 1.10
1.11 Goals conceded 2.10
2.67 Total goals 3.20
13.22 Shots 8.90
4.44 Shots on target 3.00
10.22 Shots faced 16.50
6.56 Corners 4.30
4.44 Corners against 6.80
10.56 Fouls 10.70
1.89 Yellow cards 2.60
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

56% Wins 10%
22% Draws 50%
22% Losses 40%
78% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
22% Over 3.5 goals 40%
22% Over 4.5 goals 30%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 80%
33% Clean sheets 0%
22% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 20%
44% Draws 30%
11% Losses 50%
56% Over 0.5 goals 80%
33% Over 1.5 goals 40%
11% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Forest Green away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
03.12.22 Derby – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.75
18.11.22 Portsmouth – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 1.95 1.90
12.11.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Derby 1–3 (1–1) 3.803.502.00 1.98 1.88
01.11.22 Morecambe – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 4.503.401.80 1.98 1.88
29.10.22 Derby – Bristol Rvs 4–2 (4–2) 1.723.804.75 1.75 2.05
25.10.22 Derby – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.88 1.98
21.10.22 Ipswich – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 2.05 1.75
15.10.22 Accrington – Derby 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.502.25 1.90 1.95
08.10.22 Derby – Port Vale 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.805.50 2.15 1.73

Forest Green all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.22 Forest Green – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.253.10 2.08 1.73
03.12.22 Forest Green – Cambridge 2–1 (1–0) 2.553.302.80 2.10 1.70
19.11.22 Oxford – Forest Green 1–1 (1–0) 1.534.206.00 1.72 2.07
12.11.22 Forest Green – Wycombe 0–2 (0–2) 3.603.602.00 1.85 2.00
29.10.22 Barnsley – Forest Green 2–0 (1–0) 1.614.005.50 1.98 1.88
25.10.22 Fleetwood Town – Forest Green 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.504.00 1.98 1.88
22.10.22 Forest Green – Portsmouth 0–1 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 1.88 1.98
15.10.22 Port Vale – Forest Green 2–2 (0–2) 1.803.604.50 2.00 1.85
11.10.22 Peterboro – Forest Green 4–1 (2–1) 1.444.757.00 1.60 2.30
08.10.22 Forest Green – Bolton 1–0 (1–0) 4.503.601.80 1.98 1.88

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.22 Derby – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.75
29.10.22 Derby – Bristol Rvs 4–2 (4–2) 1.723.804.75 1.75 2.05
25.10.22 Derby – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.88 1.98
08.10.22 Derby – Port Vale 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.805.50 2.15 1.73
17.09.22 Derby – Wycombe 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 1.95 1.90
03.09.22 Derby – Plymouth 2–3 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.05 1.75
27.08.22 Derby – Peterboro 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 1.85 2.00
13.08.22 Derby – Barnsley 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.15 1.66
30.07.22 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.93 1.93
07.05.22E1 Derby – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.83 2.02

Forest Green away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.11.22 Oxford – Forest Green 1–1 (1–0) 1.534.206.00 1.72 2.07
29.10.22 Barnsley – Forest Green 2–0 (1–0) 1.614.005.50 1.98 1.88
25.10.22 Fleetwood Town – Forest Green 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.504.00 1.98 1.88
15.10.22 Port Vale – Forest Green 2–2 (0–2) 1.803.604.50 2.00 1.85
11.10.22 Peterboro – Forest Green 4–1 (2–1) 1.444.757.00 1.60 2.30
01.10.22 Burton – Forest Green 3–2 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 1.95 1.90
13.09.22 Charlton – Forest Green 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.004.75 1.88 1.98
27.08.22 Sheffield Weds – Forest Green 5–0 (4–0) 1.614.005.50 1.93 1.93
13.08.22 Lincoln – Forest Green 1–1 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 2.02 1.83
30.07.22 Bristol Rvs – Forest Green 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.303.20 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 21 13 6 2 41 21 +20 45
2 Plymouth 21 13 5 3 39 24 +15 44
3 Sheffield Weds 21 12 6 3 36 17 +19 42
4 Barnsley 19 10 3 6 25 16 +9 33
5 Bolton 20 9 5 6 24 19 +5 32
6 Peterboro 21 10 1 10 36 27 +9 31
7 Derby 20 8 7 5 24 17 +7 31
8 Portsmouth 18 7 8 3 26 20 +6 29
9 Wycombe 21 8 5 8 27 24 +3 29
10 Shrewsbury 21 8 5 8 22 23 -1 29
11 Port Vale 21 8 5 8 23 29 -6 29
12 Bristol Rvs 21 7 7 7 32 34 -2 28
13 Exeter 21 7 6 8 33 31 +2 27
14 Lincoln 20 6 9 5 21 23 -2 27
15 Fleetwood Town 21 5 11 5 23 21 +2 26
16 Oxford 20 6 7 7 26 22 +4 25
17 Cheltenham 20 7 4 9 16 22 -6 25
18 Charlton 20 5 9 6 30 28 +2 24
19 Accrington 20 5 6 9 20 31 -11 21
20 Cambridge 21 6 3 12 19 32 -13 21
21 Forest Green 21 5 5 11 19 39 -20 20
22 Burton 21 3 7 11 27 42 -15 16
23 Milton Keynes Dons 20 4 3 13 19 31 -12 15
24 Morecambe 20 2 9 9 16 31 -15 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 9 0 1 19 7 +12 27
2 Peterboro 10 7 1 2 22 6 +16 22
3 Ipswich 11 6 4 1 19 9 +10 22
4 Sheffield Weds 10 6 3 1 23 11 +12 21
5 Bolton 10 6 2 2 14 8 +6 20
6 Derby 9 5 2 2 14 10 +4 17
7 Exeter 11 5 2 4 18 16 +2 17
8 Shrewsbury 11 5 2 4 13 13 0 17
9 Charlton 10 4 4 2 20 13 +7 16
10 Barnsley 9 5 1 3 13 9 +4 16
11 Bristol Rvs 11 4 4 3 16 17 -1 16
12 Cheltenham 10 5 1 4 11 12 -1 16
13 Portsmouth 9 3 6 0 14 8 +6 15
14 Wycombe 10 4 3 3 16 11 +5 15
15 Port Vale 10 4 3 3 12 11 +1 15
16 Lincoln 10 2 8 0 11 8 +3 14
17 Cambridge 11 4 2 5 9 13 -4 14
18 Oxford 10 3 3 4 13 11 +2 12
19 Forest Green 11 4 0 7 8 18 -10 12
20 Fleetwood Town 10 2 5 3 9 8 +1 11
21 Accrington 10 2 4 4 13 17 -4 10
22 Burton 11 2 4 5 11 19 -8 10
23 Morecambe 10 1 5 4 7 15 -8 8
24 Milton Keynes Dons 11 1 2 8 9 20 -11 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 10 7 2 1 22 12 +10 23
2 Sheffield Weds 11 6 3 2 13 6 +7 21
3 Barnsley 10 5 2 3 12 7 +5 17
4 Plymouth 11 4 5 2 20 17 +3 17
5 Fleetwood Town 11 3 6 2 14 13 +1 15
6 Derby 11 3 5 3 10 7 +3 14
7 Portsmouth 9 4 2 3 12 12 0 14
8 Wycombe 11 4 2 5 11 13 -2 14
9 Port Vale 11 4 2 5 11 18 -7 14
10 Oxford 10 3 4 3 13 11 +2 13
11 Lincoln 10 4 1 5 10 15 -5 13
12 Bristol Rvs 10 3 3 4 16 17 -1 12
13 Bolton 10 3 3 4 10 11 -1 12
14 Shrewsbury 10 3 3 4 9 10 -1 12
15 Accrington 10 3 2 5 7 14 -7 11
16 Exeter 10 2 4 4 15 15 0 10
17 Milton Keynes Dons 9 3 1 5 10 11 -1 10
18 Cheltenham 10 2 3 5 5 10 -5 9
19 Peterboro 11 3 0 8 14 21 -7 9
20 Charlton 10 1 5 4 10 15 -5 8
21 Forest Green 10 1 5 4 11 21 -10 8
22 Morecambe 10 1 4 5 9 16 -7 7
23 Cambridge 10 2 1 7 10 19 -9 7
24 Burton 10 1 3 6 16 23 -7 6

Derby   Forest Green

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Peterboro 21 7 14 1.7 1.3 10 1 10 36 27 31
2 2 Plymouth 21 8 13 1.9 1.1 13 5 3 39 24 44
3 1 Ipswich 21 9 12 2.0 1.0 13 6 2 41 21 45
4 12 Bristol Rvs 21 9 12 1.5 1.6 7 7 7 32 34 28
5 11 Port Vale 21 10 11 1.1 1.4 8 5 8 23 29 29
6 13 Exeter 21 10 11 1.6 1.5 7 6 8 33 31 27
7 21 Forest Green 21 10 11 0.9 1.9 5 5 11 19 39 20
8 22 Burton 21 10 11 1.3 2.0 3 7 11 27 42 16
9 9 Wycombe 21 11 10 1.3 1.1 8 5 8 27 24 29
10 20 Cambridge 21 11 10 0.9 1.5 6 3 12 19 32 21
11 23 Milton Keynes Dons 20 10 10 0.9 1.6 4 3 13 19 31 15
12 19 Accrington 20 11 9 1.0 1.6 5 6 9 20 31 21
13 24 Morecambe 20 11 9 0.8 1.6 2 9 9 16 31 15
14 3 Sheffield Weds 21 13 8 1.7 0.8 12 6 3 36 17 42
15 4 Barnsley 19 11 8 1.3 0.8 10 3 6 25 16 33
16 7 Derby 20 12 8 1.2 0.8 8 7 5 24 17 31
17 10 Shrewsbury 21 13 8 1.0 1.1 8 5 8 22 23 29
18 15 Fleetwood Town 21 13 8 1.1 1.0 5 11 5 23 21 26
19 16 Oxford 20 12 8 1.3 1.1 6 7 7 26 22 25
20 18 Charlton 20 12 8 1.5 1.4 5 9 6 30 28 24
21 5 Bolton 20 13 7 1.2 0.9 9 5 6 24 19 32
22 8 Portsmouth 18 11 7 1.4 1.1 7 8 3 26 20 29
23 17 Cheltenham 20 14 6 0.8 1.1 7 4 9 16 22 25
24 14 Lincoln 20 15 5 1.1 1.1 6 9 5 21 23 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sheffield Weds 10 4 6 2.3 1.1 6 3 1 23 11 21
2 6 Peterboro 10 4 6 2.2 0.6 7 1 2 22 6 22
3 7 Derby 9 3 6 1.6 1.1 5 2 2 14 10 17
4 12 Bristol Rvs 11 5 6 1.5 1.5 4 4 3 16 17 16
5 13 Exeter 11 5 6 1.6 1.5 5 2 4 18 16 17
6 21 Forest Green 11 5 6 0.7 1.6 4 0 7 8 18 12
7 1 Ipswich 11 6 5 1.7 0.8 6 4 1 19 9 22
8 2 Plymouth 10 5 5 1.9 0.7 9 0 1 19 7 27
9 9 Wycombe 10 5 5 1.6 1.1 4 3 3 16 11 15
10 10 Shrewsbury 11 6 5 1.2 1.2 5 2 4 13 13 17
11 11 Port Vale 10 5 5 1.2 1.1 4 3 3 12 11 15
12 16 Oxford 10 5 5 1.3 1.1 3 3 4 13 11 12
13 19 Accrington 10 5 5 1.3 1.7 2 4 4 13 17 10
14 23 Milton Keynes Dons 11 6 5 0.8 1.8 1 2 8 9 20 5
15 4 Barnsley 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 5 1 3 13 9 16
16 5 Bolton 10 6 4 1.4 0.8 6 2 2 14 8 20
17 8 Portsmouth 9 5 4 1.6 0.9 3 6 0 14 8 15
18 17 Cheltenham 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 5 1 4 11 12 16
19 18 Charlton 10 6 4 2.0 1.3 4 4 2 20 13 16
20 22 Burton 11 7 4 1.0 1.7 2 4 5 11 19 10
21 24 Morecambe 10 6 4 0.7 1.5 1 5 4 7 15 8
22 15 Fleetwood Town 10 7 3 0.9 0.8 2 5 3 9 8 11
23 20 Cambridge 11 8 3 0.8 1.2 4 2 5 9 13 14
24 14 Lincoln 10 8 2 1.1 0.8 2 8 0 11 8 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Plymouth 11 3 8 1.8 1.5 4 5 2 20 17 17
2 6 Peterboro 11 3 8 1.3 1.9 3 0 8 14 21 9
3 1 Ipswich 10 3 7 2.2 1.2 7 2 1 22 12 23
4 20 Cambridge 10 3 7 1.0 1.9 2 1 7 10 19 7
5 22 Burton 10 3 7 1.6 2.3 1 3 6 16 23 6
6 11 Port Vale 11 5 6 1.0 1.6 4 2 5 11 18 14
7 12 Bristol Rvs 10 4 6 1.6 1.7 3 3 4 16 17 12
8 9 Wycombe 11 6 5 1.0 1.2 4 2 5 11 13 14
9 13 Exeter 10 5 5 1.5 1.5 2 4 4 15 15 10
10 15 Fleetwood Town 11 6 5 1.3 1.2 3 6 2 14 13 15
11 21 Forest Green 10 5 5 1.1 2.1 1 5 4 11 21 8
12 23 Milton Keynes Dons 9 4 5 1.1 1.2 3 1 5 10 11 10
13 24 Morecambe 10 5 5 0.9 1.6 1 4 5 9 16 7
14 4 Barnsley 10 6 4 1.2 0.7 5 2 3 12 7 17
15 18 Charlton 10 6 4 1.0 1.5 1 5 4 10 15 8
16 19 Accrington 10 6 4 0.7 1.4 3 2 5 7 14 11
17 5 Bolton 10 7 3 1.0 1.1 3 3 4 10 11 12
18 8 Portsmouth 9 6 3 1.3 1.3 4 2 3 12 12 14
19 10 Shrewsbury 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 3 3 4 9 10 12
20 14 Lincoln 10 7 3 1.0 1.5 4 1 5 10 15 13
21 16 Oxford 10 7 3 1.3 1.1 3 4 3 13 11 13
22 3 Sheffield Weds 11 9 2 1.2 0.5 6 3 2 13 6 21
23 7 Derby 11 9 2 0.9 0.6 3 5 3 10 7 14
24 17 Cheltenham 10 8 2 0.5 1.0 2 3 5 5 10 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38