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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: C Hicks

Derby 5–0 Morecambe

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.33 fair 1.71
Draw 5.00 fair 4.35
Away 10.00 fair 5.40
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.01
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.99

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Morecambe
26 Shots 4
12 Shots on target 0
8 Corners 3
6 Fouls 17
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (327 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.79 – 0.90
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawMorecambe
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.2% 1–1 10.9% 2–0 10.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.85points / match
1.48scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 40:21
Morecambe before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.15scored / match
1.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 31:40
Derby all matches all matches Morecambe

Per match

1.48 Goals scored 1.15
0.78 Goals conceded 1.48
2.26 Total goals 2.63
13.63 Shots 9.30
4.81 Shots on target 3.44
9.93 Shots faced 17.52
6.00 Corners 3.37
4.63 Corners against 7.33
10.00 Fouls 12.41
1.89 Yellow cards 2.07
0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.26 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

52% Wins 22%
30% Draws 33%
19% Losses 44%
78% Over 0.5 goals 96%
63% Over 1.5 goals 81%
48% Over 2.5 goals 52%
22% Over 3.5 goals 22%
11% Over 4.5 goals 7%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
44% Both teams scored 59%
44% Clean sheets 15%
33% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 30%
48% Draws 37%
11% Losses 33%
56% Over 0.5 goals 81%
30% Over 1.5 goals 37%
11% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Morecambe all matches
Derby before this match, at home
2.23points / match
1.92scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 25:11
Morecambe before this match, away
0.54points / match
0.77scored / match
1.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 10:23
Derby at home away Morecambe

Per match

1.92 Goals scored 0.77
0.85 Goals conceded 1.77
2.77 Total goals 2.54
13.15 Shots 8.15
5.00 Shots on target 2.77
8.85 Shots faced 17.08
5.85 Corners 2.69
4.23 Corners against 7.31
10.85 Fouls 12.46
2.00 Yellow cards 2.31
1.15 1st-half goals scored 0.15
0.23 1st-half goals conceded 1.08

How often Full Time

69% Wins 8%
15% Draws 31%
15% Losses 62%
85% Over 0.5 goals 100%
69% Over 1.5 goals 77%
69% Over 2.5 goals 54%
31% Over 3.5 goals 23%
15% Over 4.5 goals 0%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
54% Both teams scored 62%
46% Clean sheets 0%
15% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 0%
38% Draws 38%
8% Losses 62%
62% Over 0.5 goals 77%
38% Over 1.5 goals 31%
15% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Morecambe away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.23 Port Vale – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.25 1.62
21.01.23 Derby – Bolton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 2.05 1.75
14.01.23 Cheltenham – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 4.753.751.75 2.05 1.80
02.01.23 Derby – Accrington 4–0 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.93 1.93
30.12.22 Derby – Cambridge 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 2.00 1.80
27.12.22 Bolton – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 2.02 1.83
17.12.22 Derby – Forest Green 4–0 (2–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.08
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
03.12.22 Derby – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.75
18.11.22 Portsmouth – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 1.95 1.90

Morecambe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.23 Morecambe – Bristol Rvs 5–1 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.00 1.85
24.01.23 Ipswich – Morecambe 4–0 (4–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.60 2.30
07.01.23 Morecambe – Cheltenham 2–1 (1–1) 2.603.202.80 2.02 1.83
01.01.23 Morecambe – Burton 5–0 (2–0) 3.103.502.25 1.95 1.90
29.12.22 Morecambe – Accrington 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.202.30 2.00 1.85
26.12.22 Port Vale – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 2.08 1.73
17.12.22 Plymouth – Morecambe 2–1 (0–0) 1.534.336.00 1.67 2.15
02.12.22 Morecambe – Exeter 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.752.00 1.90 1.95
19.11.22 Lincoln – Morecambe 2–1 (1–0) 1.853.604.33 2.02 1.83
12.11.22 Morecambe – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–0) 5.003.601.75 1.95 1.90

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.23 Derby – Bolton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 2.05 1.75
02.01.23 Derby – Accrington 4–0 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.93 1.93
30.12.22 Derby – Cambridge 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 2.00 1.80
17.12.22 Derby – Forest Green 4–0 (2–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.08
03.12.22 Derby – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.75
29.10.22 Derby – Bristol Rvs 4–2 (4–2) 1.723.804.75 1.75 2.05
25.10.22 Derby – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.88 1.98
08.10.22 Derby – Port Vale 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.805.50 2.15 1.73
17.09.22 Derby – Wycombe 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 1.95 1.90
03.09.22 Derby – Plymouth 2–3 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.05 1.75

Morecambe away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.23 Ipswich – Morecambe 4–0 (4–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.60 2.30
26.12.22 Port Vale – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 2.08 1.73
17.12.22 Plymouth – Morecambe 2–1 (0–0) 1.534.336.00 1.67 2.15
19.11.22 Lincoln – Morecambe 2–1 (1–0) 1.853.604.33 2.02 1.83
29.10.22 Wycombe – Morecambe 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.65 2.20
25.10.22 Cheltenham – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.07 1.72
15.10.22 Burton – Morecambe 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 1.80 2.00
01.10.22 Accrington – Morecambe 3–1 (0–0) 1.663.605.25 1.88 1.98
17.09.22 Forest Green – Morecambe 1–2 (1–1) 1.903.504.00 1.98 1.88
03.09.22 Bristol Rvs – Morecambe 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.603.60 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsMorecambe wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.22E2 Morecambe – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 4.503.401.80 1.98 1.88

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 28 18 7 3 51 29 +22 61
2 Sheffield Weds 27 17 7 3 47 18 +29 58
3 Ipswich 28 15 9 4 53 28 +25 54
4 Derby 27 14 8 5 40 21 +19 50
5 Bolton 29 14 8 7 37 23 +14 50
6 Barnsley 26 14 4 8 35 25 +10 46
7 Peterboro 26 13 2 11 43 32 +11 41
8 Wycombe 27 12 5 10 35 27 +8 41
9 Shrewsbury 28 12 5 11 35 31 +4 41
10 Exeter 28 10 8 10 41 39 +2 38
11 Portsmouth 26 9 10 7 34 32 +2 37
12 Bristol Rvs 28 10 7 11 43 50 -7 37
13 Port Vale 27 10 6 11 28 36 -8 36
14 Oxford 29 9 8 12 34 35 -1 35
15 Charlton 27 8 10 9 41 38 +3 34
16 Lincoln 26 6 13 7 24 30 -6 31
17 Fleetwood Town 27 6 11 10 29 30 -1 29
18 Cheltenham 27 8 5 14 23 34 -11 29
19 Morecambe 27 6 9 12 31 40 -9 27
20 Milton Keynes Dons 28 7 4 17 25 40 -15 25
21 Accrington 25 6 7 12 24 41 -17 25
22 Burton 27 6 7 14 34 54 -20 25
23 Cambridge 27 7 4 16 23 46 -23 25
24 Forest Green 29 5 6 18 24 55 -31 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 14 13 0 1 29 11 +18 39
2 Sheffield Weds 14 9 4 1 31 11 +20 31
3 Bolton 15 9 4 2 20 8 +12 31
4 Ipswich 14 8 5 1 27 10 +17 29
5 Derby 13 9 2 2 25 11 +14 29
6 Peterboro 13 9 1 3 26 10 +16 28
7 Barnsley 13 8 1 4 20 14 +6 25
8 Wycombe 14 7 3 4 21 13 +8 24
9 Charlton 15 6 5 4 27 19 +8 23
10 Shrewsbury 15 7 2 6 20 19 +1 23
11 Morecambe 14 5 5 4 21 17 +4 20
12 Portsmouth 13 4 7 2 19 15 +4 19
13 Exeter 13 5 4 4 19 17 +2 19
14 Bristol Rvs 13 5 4 4 21 22 -1 19
15 Oxford 14 5 3 6 19 16 +3 18
16 Port Vale 13 5 3 5 14 15 -1 18
17 Lincoln 13 2 11 0 13 10 +3 17
18 Cheltenham 13 5 2 6 13 16 -3 17
19 Cambridge 13 5 2 6 12 16 -4 17
20 Burton 14 4 4 6 16 23 -7 16
21 Accrington 12 3 5 4 16 18 -2 14
22 Forest Green 14 4 0 10 11 25 -14 12
23 Fleetwood Town 13 2 5 6 11 14 -3 11
24 Milton Keynes Dons 15 2 3 10 10 23 -13 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 13 8 3 2 16 7 +9 27
2 Ipswich 14 7 4 3 26 18 +8 25
3 Plymouth 14 5 7 2 22 18 +4 22
4 Derby 14 5 6 3 15 10 +5 21
5 Barnsley 13 6 3 4 15 11 +4 21
6 Bolton 14 5 4 5 17 15 +2 19
7 Exeter 15 5 4 6 22 22 0 19
8 Shrewsbury 13 5 3 5 15 12 +3 18
9 Fleetwood Town 14 4 6 4 18 16 +2 18
10 Portsmouth 13 5 3 5 15 17 -2 18
11 Bristol Rvs 15 5 3 7 22 28 -6 18
12 Port Vale 14 5 3 6 14 21 -7 18
13 Wycombe 13 5 2 6 14 14 0 17
14 Oxford 15 4 5 6 15 19 -4 17
15 Milton Keynes Dons 13 5 1 7 15 17 -2 16
16 Lincoln 13 4 2 7 11 20 -9 14
17 Peterboro 13 4 1 8 17 22 -5 13
18 Cheltenham 14 3 3 8 10 18 -8 12
19 Charlton 12 2 5 5 14 19 -5 11
20 Accrington 13 3 2 8 8 23 -15 11
21 Burton 13 2 3 8 18 31 -13 9
22 Forest Green 15 1 6 8 13 30 -17 9
23 Cambridge 14 2 2 10 11 30 -19 8
24 Morecambe 13 1 4 8 10 23 -13 7

Derby   Morecambe

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Bristol Rvs 28 10 18 1.5 1.8 10 7 11 43 50 37
2 1 Plymouth 28 12 16 1.8 1.0 18 7 3 51 29 61
3 3 Ipswich 28 12 16 1.9 1.0 15 9 4 53 28 54
4 7 Peterboro 26 10 16 1.7 1.2 13 2 11 43 32 41
5 24 Forest Green 29 13 16 0.8 1.9 5 6 18 24 55 21
6 22 Burton 27 12 15 1.3 2.0 6 7 14 34 54 25
7 19 Morecambe 27 13 14 1.1 1.5 6 9 12 31 40 27
8 23 Cambridge 27 13 14 0.9 1.7 7 4 16 23 46 25
9 4 Derby 27 14 13 1.5 0.8 14 8 5 40 21 50
10 9 Shrewsbury 28 15 13 1.2 1.1 12 5 11 35 31 41
11 13 Port Vale 27 14 13 1.0 1.3 10 6 11 28 36 36
12 14 Oxford 29 16 13 1.2 1.2 9 8 12 34 35 35
13 15 Charlton 27 14 13 1.5 1.4 8 10 9 41 38 34
14 6 Barnsley 26 14 12 1.3 1.0 14 4 8 35 25 46
15 8 Wycombe 27 15 12 1.3 1.0 12 5 10 35 27 41
16 10 Exeter 28 16 12 1.5 1.4 10 8 10 41 39 38
17 17 Fleetwood Town 27 15 12 1.1 1.1 6 11 10 29 30 29
18 20 Milton Keynes Dons 28 16 12 0.9 1.4 7 4 17 25 40 25
19 5 Bolton 29 18 11 1.3 0.8 14 8 7 37 23 50
20 11 Portsmouth 26 15 11 1.3 1.2 9 10 7 34 32 37
21 21 Accrington 25 14 11 1.0 1.6 6 7 12 24 41 25
22 2 Sheffield Weds 27 17 10 1.7 0.7 17 7 3 47 18 58
23 18 Cheltenham 27 17 10 0.9 1.3 8 5 14 23 34 29
24 16 Lincoln 26 19 7 0.9 1.2 6 13 7 24 30 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Derby 13 4 9 1.9 0.8 9 2 2 25 11 29
2 24 Forest Green 14 5 9 0.8 1.8 4 0 10 11 25 12
3 1 Plymouth 14 6 8 2.1 0.8 13 0 1 29 11 39
4 7 Peterboro 13 5 8 2.0 0.8 9 1 3 26 10 28
5 9 Shrewsbury 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 7 2 6 20 19 23
6 12 Bristol Rvs 13 5 8 1.6 1.7 5 4 4 21 22 19
7 14 Oxford 14 6 8 1.4 1.1 5 3 6 19 16 18
8 2 Sheffield Weds 14 7 7 2.2 0.8 9 4 1 31 11 31
9 3 Ipswich 14 7 7 1.9 0.7 8 5 1 27 10 29
10 6 Barnsley 13 6 7 1.5 1.1 8 1 4 20 14 25
11 15 Charlton 15 8 7 1.8 1.3 6 5 4 27 19 23
12 19 Morecambe 14 7 7 1.5 1.2 5 5 4 21 17 20
13 8 Wycombe 14 8 6 1.5 0.9 7 3 4 21 13 24
14 10 Exeter 13 7 6 1.5 1.3 5 4 4 19 17 19
15 11 Portsmouth 13 7 6 1.5 1.2 4 7 2 19 15 19
16 13 Port Vale 13 7 6 1.1 1.2 5 3 5 14 15 18
17 22 Burton 14 8 6 1.1 1.6 4 4 6 16 23 16
18 5 Bolton 15 10 5 1.3 0.5 9 4 2 20 8 31
19 17 Fleetwood Town 13 8 5 0.8 1.1 2 5 6 11 14 11
20 18 Cheltenham 13 8 5 1.0 1.2 5 2 6 13 16 17
21 20 Milton Keynes Dons 15 10 5 0.7 1.5 2 3 10 10 23 9
22 21 Accrington 12 7 5 1.3 1.5 3 5 4 16 18 14
23 23 Cambridge 13 8 5 0.9 1.2 5 2 6 12 16 17
24 16 Lincoln 13 11 2 1.0 0.8 2 11 0 13 10 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Bristol Rvs 15 5 10 1.5 1.9 5 3 7 22 28 18
2 3 Ipswich 14 5 9 1.9 1.3 7 4 3 26 18 25
3 22 Burton 13 4 9 1.4 2.4 2 3 8 18 31 9
4 23 Cambridge 14 5 9 0.8 2.1 2 2 10 11 30 8
5 1 Plymouth 14 6 8 1.6 1.3 5 7 2 22 18 22
6 7 Peterboro 13 5 8 1.3 1.7 4 1 8 17 22 13
7 13 Port Vale 14 7 7 1.0 1.5 5 3 6 14 21 18
8 17 Fleetwood Town 14 7 7 1.3 1.1 4 6 4 18 16 18
9 19 Morecambe 13 6 7 0.8 1.8 1 4 8 10 23 7
10 20 Milton Keynes Dons 13 6 7 1.2 1.3 5 1 7 15 17 16
11 24 Forest Green 15 8 7 0.9 2.0 1 6 8 13 30 9
12 5 Bolton 14 8 6 1.2 1.1 5 4 5 17 15 19
13 8 Wycombe 13 7 6 1.1 1.1 5 2 6 14 14 17
14 10 Exeter 15 9 6 1.5 1.5 5 4 6 22 22 19
15 15 Charlton 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 2 5 5 14 19 11
16 21 Accrington 13 7 6 0.6 1.8 3 2 8 8 23 11
17 6 Barnsley 13 8 5 1.2 0.8 6 3 4 15 11 21
18 9 Shrewsbury 13 8 5 1.2 0.9 5 3 5 15 12 18
19 11 Portsmouth 13 8 5 1.2 1.3 5 3 5 15 17 18
20 14 Oxford 15 10 5 1.0 1.3 4 5 6 15 19 17
21 16 Lincoln 13 8 5 0.8 1.5 4 2 7 11 20 14
22 18 Cheltenham 14 9 5 0.7 1.3 3 3 8 10 18 12
23 4 Derby 14 10 4 1.1 0.7 5 6 3 15 10 21
24 2 Sheffield Weds 13 10 3 1.2 0.5 8 3 2 16 7 27

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51