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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Edwards

Oxford 2–3 Derby

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2022/2023

Home 3.60 fair 3.13
Draw 3.50 fair 3.70
Away ✓ 2.00 fair 2.44
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 1.82
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.22

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Oxford Derby
13 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 4
11 Corners 2
11 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (413 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.99
Expected goals 1.14 – 1.33
Home / Draw / Away
OxfordDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.8% 0–1 11.2% 1–0 9.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Oxford before this match, all matches
1.03points / match
1.03scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 36:45
Derby before this match, all matches
1.74points / match
1.60scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 56:33
Oxford all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.03 Goals scored 1.60
1.29 Goals conceded 0.94
2.31 Total goals 2.54
14.26 Shots 14.23
4.31 Shots on target 5.11
10.74 Shots faced 9.54
5.83 Corners 5.83
4.89 Corners against 4.34
12.57 Fouls 10.03
1.77 Yellow cards 1.74
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.34

How often Full Time

26% Wins 49%
26% Draws 29%
49% Losses 23%
97% Over 0.5 goals 83%
71% Over 1.5 goals 71%
43% Over 2.5 goals 51%
14% Over 3.5 goals 29%
3% Over 4.5 goals 17%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
57% Both teams scored 49%
9% Clean sheets 43%
37% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 46%
34% Draws 37%
43% Losses 17%
71% Over 0.5 goals 66%
29% Over 1.5 goals 29%
3% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford all matches
Derby all matches
Oxford before this match, at home
1.06points / match
1.18scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 20:23
Derby before this match, away
1.24points / match
1.12scored / match
1.12conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 19:19
Oxford at home away Derby

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 1.12
1.35 Goals conceded 1.12
2.53 Total goals 2.24
17.00 Shots 13.53
5.24 Shots on target 4.71
9.00 Shots faced 11.00
6.71 Corners 5.88
4.18 Corners against 5.00
12.59 Fouls 9.53
1.47 Yellow cards 1.65
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

29% Wins 29%
18% Draws 35%
53% Losses 35%
100% Over 0.5 goals 76%
76% Over 1.5 goals 65%
59% Over 2.5 goals 41%
18% Over 3.5 goals 24%
0% Over 4.5 goals 18%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
65% Both teams scored 47%
12% Clean sheets 35%
24% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 29%
41% Draws 47%
41% Losses 24%
71% Over 0.5 goals 59%
41% Over 1.5 goals 24%
0% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Oxford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.23 Lincoln – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.102.80 2.20 1.65
25.02.23 Oxford – Bristol Rvs 0–3 (0–2) 1.913.753.80 1.83 2.02
18.02.23 Cambridge – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 3.253.502.15 2.05 1.75
14.02.23 Oxford – Plymouth 1–3 (1–1) 2.803.402.50 1.90 1.95
11.02.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Oxford 1–1 (1–0) 2.603.402.70 2.08 1.73
04.02.23 Oxford – Shrewsbury 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.50 2.02 1.83
01.02.23 Oxford – Barnsley 1–2 (0–1) 2.633.402.63 1.95 1.90
28.01.23 Burton – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.752.40 1.75 2.05
24.01.23 Wycombe – Oxford 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.303.30 1.85 2.00
21.01.23 Oxford – Ipswich 2–1 (1–1) 3.803.501.95 1.93 1.93

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.03.23 Plymouth – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 2.603.602.55 1.95 1.90
04.03.23 Derby – Shrewsbury 2–2 (2–0) 1.654.005.25 2.08 1.73
28.02.23 Derby – Cheltenham 2–0 (1–0) 1.334.7510.00 1.75 2.05
25.02.23 Barnsley – Derby 4–1 (3–1) 3.003.302.40 2.08 1.73
18.02.23 Derby – Charlton 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.88 1.98
14.02.23 Derby – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 1.444.337.50 2.00 1.85
11.02.23 Wycombe – Derby 3–2 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.98 1.88
04.02.23 Derby – Morecambe 5–0 (1–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.70 2.10
24.01.23 Port Vale – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.25 1.62
21.01.23 Derby – Bolton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 2.05 1.75

Oxford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.23 Oxford – Bristol Rvs 0–3 (0–2) 1.913.753.80 1.83 2.02
14.02.23 Oxford – Plymouth 1–3 (1–1) 2.803.402.50 1.90 1.95
04.02.23 Oxford – Shrewsbury 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.50 2.02 1.83
01.02.23 Oxford – Barnsley 1–2 (0–1) 2.633.402.63 1.95 1.90
21.01.23 Oxford – Ipswich 2–1 (1–1) 3.803.501.95 1.93 1.93
01.01.23 Oxford – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.80 1.98 1.88
29.12.22 Oxford – Charlton 3–1 (2–0) 1.913.504.00 1.85 2.00
19.11.22 Oxford – Forest Green 1–1 (1–0) 1.534.206.00 1.72 2.07
12.11.22 Oxford – Port Vale 4–0 (2–0) 2.253.303.30 2.05 1.75
01.11.22 Oxford – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.604.75 1.98 1.88

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.03.23 Plymouth – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 2.603.602.55 1.95 1.90
25.02.23 Barnsley – Derby 4–1 (3–1) 3.003.302.40 2.08 1.73
11.02.23 Wycombe – Derby 3–2 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.98 1.88
24.01.23 Port Vale – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.25 1.62
14.01.23 Cheltenham – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 4.753.751.75 2.05 1.80
27.12.22 Bolton – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 2.02 1.83
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
18.11.22 Portsmouth – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 1.95 1.90
12.11.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Derby 1–3 (1–1) 3.803.502.00 1.98 1.88
01.11.22 Morecambe – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 4.503.401.80 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Oxford winsDrawsDerby wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.07.22E2 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.93 1.93

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 33 22 8 3 60 22 +38 74
2 Plymouth 35 22 8 5 63 38 +25 74
3 Ipswich 35 19 12 4 68 31 +37 69
4 Barnsley 33 19 6 8 52 29 +23 63
5 Bolton 36 18 9 9 51 28 +23 63
6 Derby 35 17 10 8 56 33 +23 61
7 Wycombe 34 17 6 11 47 32 +15 57
8 Peterboro 34 17 3 14 55 42 +13 54
9 Shrewsbury 35 15 7 13 44 38 +6 52
10 Portsmouth 34 13 12 9 46 40 +6 51
11 Lincoln 34 9 18 7 32 33 -1 45
12 Exeter 34 11 10 13 45 44 +1 43
13 Port Vale 35 12 7 16 35 49 -14 43
14 Fleetwood Town 35 10 12 13 36 37 -1 42
15 Bristol Rvs 34 11 9 14 47 55 -8 42
16 Charlton 34 10 11 13 45 46 -1 41
17 Cheltenham 35 10 7 18 26 46 -20 37
18 Oxford 35 9 9 17 36 45 -9 36
19 Burton 33 9 8 16 40 62 -22 35
20 Accrington 33 8 10 15 28 51 -23 34
21 Morecambe 35 7 12 16 34 54 -20 33
22 Milton Keynes Dons 35 8 6 21 31 54 -23 30
23 Cambridge 35 8 6 21 27 56 -29 30
24 Forest Green 35 5 8 22 27 66 -39 23
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 18 16 1 1 36 13 +23 49
2 Sheffield Weds 18 13 4 1 41 13 +28 43
3 Derby 18 12 4 2 37 14 +23 40
4 Bolton 18 12 4 2 28 9 +19 40
5 Ipswich 18 11 6 1 40 12 +28 39
6 Peterboro 17 11 2 4 33 18 +15 35
7 Barnsley 16 11 1 4 29 16 +13 34
8 Wycombe 18 10 4 4 28 16 +12 34
9 Portsmouth 17 7 8 2 28 17 +11 29
10 Shrewsbury 17 9 2 6 25 21 +4 29
11 Lincoln 17 4 13 0 16 11 +5 25
12 Morecambe 18 6 7 5 23 21 +2 25
13 Port Vale 18 7 4 7 18 22 -4 25
14 Charlton 17 6 5 6 28 22 +6 23
15 Exeter 16 6 5 5 22 19 +3 23
16 Cambridge 18 6 4 8 16 21 -5 22
17 Cheltenham 17 6 4 7 14 20 -6 22
18 Bristol Rvs 17 5 6 6 22 26 -4 21
19 Fleetwood Town 17 5 5 7 16 17 -1 20
20 Accrington 16 5 5 6 19 24 -5 20
21 Burton 16 5 5 6 17 23 -6 20
22 Oxford 17 5 3 9 20 23 -3 18
23 Forest Green 17 4 1 12 12 29 -17 13
24 Milton Keynes Dons 17 2 4 11 11 25 -14 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 15 9 4 2 19 9 +10 31
2 Ipswich 17 8 6 3 28 19 +9 30
3 Barnsley 17 8 5 4 23 13 +10 29
4 Plymouth 17 6 7 4 27 25 +2 25
5 Bolton 18 6 5 7 23 19 +4 23
6 Wycombe 16 7 2 7 19 16 +3 23
7 Shrewsbury 18 6 5 7 19 17 +2 23
8 Fleetwood Town 18 5 7 6 20 20 0 22
9 Portsmouth 17 6 4 7 18 23 -5 22
10 Derby 17 5 6 6 19 19 0 21
11 Bristol Rvs 17 6 3 8 25 29 -4 21
12 Exeter 18 5 5 8 23 25 -2 20
13 Lincoln 17 5 5 7 16 22 -6 20
14 Milton Keynes Dons 18 6 2 10 20 29 -9 20
15 Peterboro 17 6 1 10 22 24 -2 19
16 Oxford 18 4 6 8 16 22 -6 18
17 Charlton 17 4 6 7 17 24 -7 18
18 Port Vale 17 5 3 9 17 27 -10 18
19 Cheltenham 18 4 3 11 12 26 -14 15
20 Burton 17 4 3 10 23 39 -16 15
21 Accrington 17 3 5 9 9 27 -18 14
22 Forest Green 18 1 7 10 15 37 -22 10
23 Morecambe 17 1 5 11 11 33 -22 8
24 Cambridge 17 2 2 13 11 35 -24 8

Oxford   Derby

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Plymouth 35 15 20 1.8 1.1 22 8 5 63 38 74
2 3 Ipswich 35 15 20 1.9 0.9 19 12 4 68 31 69
3 8 Peterboro 34 14 20 1.6 1.2 17 3 14 55 42 54
4 15 Bristol Rvs 34 14 20 1.4 1.6 11 9 14 47 55 42
5 6 Derby 35 17 18 1.6 0.9 17 10 8 56 33 61
6 19 Burton 33 15 18 1.2 1.9 9 8 16 40 62 35
7 24 Forest Green 35 17 18 0.8 1.9 5 8 22 27 66 23
8 13 Port Vale 35 18 17 1.0 1.4 12 7 16 35 49 43
9 21 Morecambe 35 18 17 1.0 1.5 7 12 16 34 54 33
10 4 Barnsley 33 17 16 1.6 0.9 19 6 8 52 29 63
11 9 Shrewsbury 35 19 16 1.3 1.1 15 7 13 44 38 52
12 5 Bolton 36 21 15 1.4 0.8 18 9 9 51 28 63
13 10 Portsmouth 34 19 15 1.4 1.2 13 12 9 46 40 51
14 16 Charlton 34 19 15 1.3 1.4 10 11 13 45 46 41
15 18 Oxford 35 20 15 1.0 1.3 9 9 17 36 45 36
16 23 Cambridge 35 20 15 0.8 1.6 8 6 21 27 56 30
17 7 Wycombe 34 20 14 1.4 0.9 17 6 11 47 32 57
18 14 Fleetwood Town 35 21 14 1.0 1.1 10 12 13 36 37 42
19 20 Accrington 33 19 14 0.8 1.5 8 10 15 28 51 34
20 22 Milton Keynes Dons 35 21 14 0.9 1.5 8 6 21 31 54 30
21 1 Sheffield Weds 33 20 13 1.8 0.7 22 8 3 60 22 74
22 12 Exeter 34 21 13 1.3 1.3 11 10 13 45 44 43
23 17 Cheltenham 35 22 13 0.7 1.3 10 7 18 26 46 37
24 11 Lincoln 34 26 8 0.9 1.0 9 18 7 32 33 45
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Ipswich 18 7 11 2.2 0.7 11 6 1 40 12 39
2 6 Derby 18 7 11 2.1 0.8 12 4 2 37 14 40
3 8 Peterboro 17 6 11 1.9 1.1 11 2 4 33 18 35
4 2 Plymouth 18 8 10 2.0 0.7 16 1 1 36 13 49
5 18 Oxford 17 7 10 1.2 1.4 5 3 9 20 23 18
6 1 Sheffield Weds 18 9 9 2.3 0.7 13 4 1 41 13 43
7 4 Barnsley 16 7 9 1.8 1.0 11 1 4 29 16 34
8 9 Shrewsbury 17 8 9 1.5 1.2 9 2 6 25 21 29
9 15 Bristol Rvs 17 8 9 1.3 1.5 5 6 6 22 26 21
10 24 Forest Green 17 8 9 0.7 1.7 4 1 12 12 29 13
11 10 Portsmouth 17 9 8 1.6 1.0 7 8 2 28 17 29
12 13 Port Vale 18 10 8 1.0 1.2 7 4 7 18 22 25
13 16 Charlton 17 9 8 1.6 1.3 6 5 6 28 22 23
14 21 Morecambe 18 10 8 1.3 1.2 6 7 5 23 21 25
15 5 Bolton 18 11 7 1.6 0.5 12 4 2 28 9 40
16 7 Wycombe 18 11 7 1.6 0.9 10 4 4 28 16 34
17 12 Exeter 16 9 7 1.4 1.2 6 5 5 22 19 23
18 20 Accrington 16 9 7 1.2 1.5 5 5 6 19 24 20
19 14 Fleetwood Town 17 11 6 0.9 1.0 5 5 7 16 17 20
20 17 Cheltenham 17 11 6 0.8 1.2 6 4 7 14 20 22
21 19 Burton 16 10 6 1.1 1.4 5 5 6 17 23 20
22 23 Cambridge 18 12 6 0.9 1.2 6 4 8 16 21 22
23 22 Milton Keynes Dons 17 12 5 0.6 1.5 2 4 11 11 25 10
24 11 Lincoln 17 15 2 0.9 0.6 4 13 0 16 11 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Burton 17 5 12 1.4 2.3 4 3 10 23 39 15
2 15 Bristol Rvs 17 6 11 1.5 1.7 6 3 8 25 29 21
3 2 Plymouth 17 7 10 1.6 1.5 6 7 4 27 25 25
4 3 Ipswich 17 8 9 1.6 1.1 8 6 3 28 19 30
5 8 Peterboro 17 8 9 1.3 1.4 6 1 10 22 24 19
6 13 Port Vale 17 8 9 1.0 1.6 5 3 9 17 27 18
7 21 Morecambe 17 8 9 0.6 1.9 1 5 11 11 33 8
8 22 Milton Keynes Dons 18 9 9 1.1 1.6 6 2 10 20 29 20
9 23 Cambridge 17 8 9 0.6 2.1 2 2 13 11 35 8
10 24 Forest Green 18 9 9 0.8 2.1 1 7 10 15 37 10
11 5 Bolton 18 10 8 1.3 1.1 6 5 7 23 19 23
12 14 Fleetwood Town 18 10 8 1.1 1.1 5 7 6 20 20 22
13 4 Barnsley 17 10 7 1.4 0.8 8 5 4 23 13 29
14 6 Derby 17 10 7 1.1 1.1 5 6 6 19 19 21
15 7 Wycombe 16 9 7 1.2 1.0 7 2 7 19 16 23
16 9 Shrewsbury 18 11 7 1.1 0.9 6 5 7 19 17 23
17 10 Portsmouth 17 10 7 1.1 1.4 6 4 7 18 23 22
18 16 Charlton 17 10 7 1.0 1.4 4 6 7 17 24 18
19 17 Cheltenham 18 11 7 0.7 1.4 4 3 11 12 26 15
20 20 Accrington 17 10 7 0.5 1.6 3 5 9 9 27 14
21 11 Lincoln 17 11 6 0.9 1.3 5 5 7 16 22 20
22 12 Exeter 18 12 6 1.3 1.4 5 5 8 23 25 20
23 18 Oxford 18 13 5 0.9 1.2 4 6 8 16 22 18
24 1 Sheffield Weds 15 11 4 1.3 0.6 9 4 2 19 9 31

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51