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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: B Toner

Port Vale 1–2 Derby

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 3.80 fair 3.20
Draw 3.40 fair 3.54
Away ✓ 2.00 fair 2.47
Under 2.5 1.62 fair 1.67
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.25 fair 2.48

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Port Vale Derby
15 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 8
7 Corners 9
7 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (312 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.05 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
Port ValeDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.2% 0–1 12.5% 1–0 10.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Port Vale before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.08scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 27:34
Derby before this match, all matches
1.81points / match
1.46scored / match
0.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 38:20
Port Vale all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.46
1.36 Goals conceded 0.77
2.44 Total goals 2.23
12.16 Shots 13.54
3.44 Shots on target 4.69
11.28 Shots faced 9.73
5.40 Corners 5.88
4.68 Corners against 4.54
10.12 Fouls 9.96
1.76 Yellow cards 1.92
0.32 1st-half goals scored 0.85
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

40% Wins 50%
20% Draws 31%
40% Losses 19%
96% Over 0.5 goals 77%
68% Over 1.5 goals 62%
48% Over 2.5 goals 46%
28% Over 3.5 goals 23%
4% Over 4.5 goals 12%
0% Over 5.5 goals 4%
40% Both teams scored 42%
28% Clean sheets 46%
36% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

12% Wins 42%
44% Draws 46%
44% Losses 12%
64% Over 0.5 goals 58%
36% Over 1.5 goals 31%
12% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Port Vale all matches
Derby all matches
Port Vale before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.08scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 13:13
Derby before this match, away
1.38points / match
1.00scored / match
0.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 13:9
Port Vale at home away Derby

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.00
1.08 Goals conceded 0.69
2.17 Total goals 1.69
12.50 Shots 13.92
3.50 Shots on target 4.38
8.83 Shots faced 10.62
5.33 Corners 5.92
4.42 Corners against 4.85
9.67 Fouls 9.08
1.75 Yellow cards 1.85
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

42% Wins 31%
25% Draws 46%
33% Losses 23%
92% Over 0.5 goals 69%
50% Over 1.5 goals 54%
42% Over 2.5 goals 23%
25% Over 3.5 goals 15%
8% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
42% Both teams scored 31%
33% Clean sheets 46%
33% Failed to score 54%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 31%
50% Draws 54%
25% Losses 15%
58% Over 0.5 goals 54%
42% Over 1.5 goals 23%
25% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Port Vale at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Port Vale all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.01.23 Port Vale – Peterboro 0–2 (0–0) 2.703.402.60 2.00 1.85
01.01.23 Forest Green – Port Vale 1–3 (1–0) 3.303.402.20 2.02 1.83
29.12.22 Sheffield Weds – Port Vale 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 2.02 1.83
26.12.22 Port Vale – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 2.08 1.73
10.12.22 Bristol Rvs – Port Vale 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.90 2.00 1.85
02.12.22 Plymouth – Port Vale 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.503.40 1.90 1.95
19.11.22 Port Vale – Charlton 1–0 (0–0) 2.373.403.00 2.05 1.75
12.11.22 Oxford – Port Vale 4–0 (2–0) 2.253.303.30 2.05 1.75
01.11.22 Wycombe – Port Vale 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.403.00 1.95 1.90
29.10.22 Port Vale – Lincoln 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 2.20 1.65

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.23 Derby – Bolton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 2.05 1.75
14.01.23 Cheltenham – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 4.753.751.75 2.05 1.80
02.01.23 Derby – Accrington 4–0 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.93 1.93
30.12.22 Derby – Cambridge 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 2.00 1.80
27.12.22 Bolton – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 2.02 1.83
17.12.22 Derby – Forest Green 4–0 (2–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.08
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
03.12.22 Derby – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.75
18.11.22 Portsmouth – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 1.95 1.90
12.11.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Derby 1–3 (1–1) 3.803.502.00 1.98 1.88

Port Vale at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.01.23 Port Vale – Peterboro 0–2 (0–0) 2.703.402.60 2.00 1.85
26.12.22 Port Vale – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 2.08 1.73
19.11.22 Port Vale – Charlton 1–0 (0–0) 2.373.403.00 2.05 1.75
29.10.22 Port Vale – Lincoln 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 2.20 1.65
25.10.22 Port Vale – Ipswich 2–3 (1–2) 4.333.301.90 2.15 1.66
15.10.22 Port Vale – Forest Green 2–2 (0–2) 1.803.604.50 2.00 1.85
01.10.22 Port Vale – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.401.95 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Port Vale – Shrewsbury 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.303.30 2.35 1.57
03.09.22 Port Vale – Cheltenham 2–2 (2–1) 1.903.753.75 2.02 1.83
27.08.22 Port Vale – Portsmouth 0–1 (0–1) 2.873.402.45 1.98 1.88

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.23 Cheltenham – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 4.753.751.75 2.05 1.80
27.12.22 Bolton – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 2.02 1.83
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
18.11.22 Portsmouth – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 1.95 1.90
12.11.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Derby 1–3 (1–1) 3.803.502.00 1.98 1.88
01.11.22 Morecambe – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 4.503.401.80 1.98 1.88
21.10.22 Ipswich – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 2.05 1.75
15.10.22 Accrington – Derby 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.502.25 1.90 1.95
01.10.22 Cambridge – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.15 2.02 1.83
13.09.22 Lincoln – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 4.503.501.83 2.15 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Port Vale winsDrawsDerby wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22E2 Derby – Port Vale 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.805.50 2.15 1.73

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 28 18 7 3 51 29 +22 61
2 Sheffield Weds 27 17 7 3 47 18 +29 58
3 Ipswich 27 14 9 4 49 28 +21 51
4 Derby 26 13 8 5 38 20 +18 47
5 Bolton 27 12 8 7 34 22 +12 44
6 Barnsley 25 13 4 8 33 24 +9 43
7 Peterboro 25 12 2 11 41 31 +10 38
8 Wycombe 26 11 5 10 33 27 +6 38
9 Bristol Rvs 27 10 7 10 42 45 -3 37
10 Oxford 26 9 8 9 33 29 +4 35
11 Shrewsbury 26 10 5 11 32 30 +2 35
12 Exeter 27 9 8 10 39 39 0 35
13 Port Vale 25 10 5 10 27 34 -7 35
14 Charlton 26 8 10 8 40 36 +4 34
15 Portsmouth 24 8 10 6 31 30 +1 34
16 Lincoln 25 6 12 7 24 30 -6 30
17 Fleetwood Town 26 6 11 9 29 28 +1 29
18 Cheltenham 26 8 4 14 23 34 -11 28
19 Milton Keynes Dons 26 7 4 15 25 37 -12 25
20 Accrington 25 6 7 12 24 41 -17 25
21 Morecambe 25 5 9 11 26 35 -9 24
22 Cambridge 26 7 3 16 23 46 -23 24
23 Burton 26 5 7 14 32 54 -22 22
24 Forest Green 27 5 6 16 23 52 -29 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 14 13 0 1 29 11 +18 39
2 Sheffield Weds 14 9 4 1 31 11 +20 31
3 Derby 13 9 2 2 25 11 +14 29
4 Bolton 14 8 4 2 19 8 +11 28
5 Ipswich 13 7 5 1 23 10 +13 26
6 Peterboro 12 8 1 3 24 9 +15 25
7 Barnsley 13 8 1 4 20 14 +6 25
8 Charlton 14 6 5 3 26 17 +9 23
9 Wycombe 13 6 3 4 19 13 +6 21
10 Shrewsbury 14 6 2 6 18 18 0 20
11 Portsmouth 13 4 7 2 19 15 +4 19
12 Exeter 13 5 4 4 19 17 +2 19
13 Bristol Rvs 13 5 4 4 21 22 -1 19
14 Oxford 13 5 3 5 18 14 +4 18
15 Port Vale 12 5 3 4 13 13 0 18
16 Morecambe 13 4 5 4 16 16 0 17
17 Cambridge 13 5 2 6 12 16 -4 17
18 Lincoln 12 2 10 0 13 10 +3 16
19 Cheltenham 12 5 1 6 13 16 -3 16
20 Accrington 12 3 5 4 16 18 -2 14
21 Burton 13 3 4 6 14 23 -9 13
22 Forest Green 14 4 0 10 11 25 -14 12
23 Fleetwood Town 12 2 5 5 11 12 -1 11
24 Milton Keynes Dons 13 2 3 8 10 20 -10 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 13 8 3 2 16 7 +9 27
2 Ipswich 14 7 4 3 26 18 +8 25
3 Plymouth 14 5 7 2 22 18 +4 22
4 Derby 13 4 6 3 13 9 +4 18
5 Barnsley 12 5 3 4 13 10 +3 18
6 Fleetwood Town 14 4 6 4 18 16 +2 18
7 Bristol Rvs 14 5 3 6 21 23 -2 18
8 Oxford 13 4 5 4 15 15 0 17
9 Wycombe 13 5 2 6 14 14 0 17
10 Port Vale 13 5 2 6 14 21 -7 17
11 Bolton 13 4 4 5 15 14 +1 16
12 Exeter 14 4 4 6 20 22 -2 16
13 Milton Keynes Dons 13 5 1 7 15 17 -2 16
14 Shrewsbury 12 4 3 5 14 12 +2 15
15 Portsmouth 11 4 3 4 12 15 -3 15
16 Lincoln 13 4 2 7 11 20 -9 14
17 Peterboro 13 4 1 8 17 22 -5 13
18 Cheltenham 14 3 3 8 10 18 -8 12
19 Charlton 12 2 5 5 14 19 -5 11
20 Accrington 13 3 2 8 8 23 -15 11
21 Burton 13 2 3 8 18 31 -13 9
22 Forest Green 13 1 6 6 12 27 -15 9
23 Morecambe 12 1 4 7 10 19 -9 7
24 Cambridge 13 2 1 10 11 30 -19 7

Port Vale   Derby

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Bristol Rvs 27 10 17 1.6 1.7 10 7 10 42 45 37
2 1 Plymouth 28 12 16 1.8 1.0 18 7 3 51 29 61
3 3 Ipswich 27 12 15 1.8 1.0 14 9 4 49 28 51
4 7 Peterboro 25 10 15 1.6 1.2 12 2 11 41 31 38
5 23 Burton 26 11 15 1.2 2.1 5 7 14 32 54 22
6 24 Forest Green 27 12 15 0.9 1.9 5 6 16 23 52 21
7 22 Cambridge 26 12 14 0.9 1.8 7 3 16 23 46 24
8 4 Derby 26 14 12 1.5 0.8 13 8 5 38 20 47
9 8 Wycombe 26 14 12 1.3 1.0 11 5 10 33 27 38
10 10 Oxford 26 14 12 1.3 1.1 9 8 9 33 29 35
11 11 Shrewsbury 26 14 12 1.2 1.2 10 5 11 32 30 35
12 12 Exeter 27 15 12 1.4 1.4 9 8 10 39 39 35
13 13 Port Vale 25 13 12 1.1 1.4 10 5 10 27 34 35
14 14 Charlton 26 14 12 1.5 1.4 8 10 8 40 36 34
15 17 Fleetwood Town 26 14 12 1.1 1.1 6 11 9 29 28 29
16 19 Milton Keynes Dons 26 14 12 1.0 1.4 7 4 15 25 37 25
17 21 Morecambe 25 13 12 1.0 1.4 5 9 11 26 35 24
18 6 Barnsley 25 14 11 1.3 1.0 13 4 8 33 24 43
19 20 Accrington 25 14 11 1.0 1.6 6 7 12 24 41 25
20 2 Sheffield Weds 27 17 10 1.7 0.7 17 7 3 47 18 58
21 5 Bolton 27 17 10 1.3 0.8 12 8 7 34 22 44
22 15 Portsmouth 24 14 10 1.3 1.2 8 10 6 31 30 34
23 18 Cheltenham 26 16 10 0.9 1.3 8 4 14 23 34 28
24 16 Lincoln 25 18 7 1.0 1.2 6 12 7 24 30 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Derby 13 4 9 1.9 0.8 9 2 2 25 11 29
2 24 Forest Green 14 5 9 0.8 1.8 4 0 10 11 25 12
3 1 Plymouth 14 6 8 2.1 0.8 13 0 1 29 11 39
4 9 Bristol Rvs 13 5 8 1.6 1.7 5 4 4 21 22 19
5 2 Sheffield Weds 14 7 7 2.2 0.8 9 4 1 31 11 31
6 6 Barnsley 13 6 7 1.5 1.1 8 1 4 20 14 25
7 7 Peterboro 12 5 7 2.0 0.8 8 1 3 24 9 25
8 10 Oxford 13 6 7 1.4 1.1 5 3 5 18 14 18
9 11 Shrewsbury 14 7 7 1.3 1.3 6 2 6 18 18 20
10 3 Ipswich 13 7 6 1.8 0.8 7 5 1 23 10 26
11 8 Wycombe 13 7 6 1.5 1.0 6 3 4 19 13 21
12 12 Exeter 13 7 6 1.5 1.3 5 4 4 19 17 19
13 14 Charlton 14 8 6 1.9 1.2 6 5 3 26 17 23
14 15 Portsmouth 13 7 6 1.5 1.2 4 7 2 19 15 19
15 21 Morecambe 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 4 5 4 16 16 17
16 23 Burton 13 7 6 1.1 1.8 3 4 6 14 23 13
17 5 Bolton 14 9 5 1.4 0.6 8 4 2 19 8 28
18 13 Port Vale 12 7 5 1.1 1.1 5 3 4 13 13 18
19 17 Fleetwood Town 12 7 5 0.9 1.0 2 5 5 11 12 11
20 18 Cheltenham 12 7 5 1.1 1.3 5 1 6 13 16 16
21 19 Milton Keynes Dons 13 8 5 0.8 1.5 2 3 8 10 20 9
22 20 Accrington 12 7 5 1.3 1.5 3 5 4 16 18 14
23 22 Cambridge 13 8 5 0.9 1.2 5 2 6 12 16 17
24 16 Lincoln 12 10 2 1.1 0.8 2 10 0 13 10 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Ipswich 14 5 9 1.9 1.3 7 4 3 26 18 25
2 9 Bristol Rvs 14 5 9 1.5 1.6 5 3 6 21 23 18
3 22 Cambridge 13 4 9 0.8 2.3 2 1 10 11 30 7
4 23 Burton 13 4 9 1.4 2.4 2 3 8 18 31 9
5 1 Plymouth 14 6 8 1.6 1.3 5 7 2 22 18 22
6 7 Peterboro 13 5 8 1.3 1.7 4 1 8 17 22 13
7 13 Port Vale 13 6 7 1.1 1.6 5 2 6 14 21 17
8 17 Fleetwood Town 14 7 7 1.3 1.1 4 6 4 18 16 18
9 19 Milton Keynes Dons 13 6 7 1.2 1.3 5 1 7 15 17 16
10 8 Wycombe 13 7 6 1.1 1.1 5 2 6 14 14 17
11 12 Exeter 14 8 6 1.4 1.6 4 4 6 20 22 16
12 14 Charlton 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 2 5 5 14 19 11
13 20 Accrington 13 7 6 0.6 1.8 3 2 8 8 23 11
14 21 Morecambe 12 6 6 0.8 1.6 1 4 7 10 19 7
15 24 Forest Green 13 7 6 0.9 2.1 1 6 6 12 27 9
16 5 Bolton 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 4 4 5 15 14 16
17 10 Oxford 13 8 5 1.2 1.2 4 5 4 15 15 17
18 11 Shrewsbury 12 7 5 1.2 1.0 4 3 5 14 12 15
19 16 Lincoln 13 8 5 0.8 1.5 4 2 7 11 20 14
20 18 Cheltenham 14 9 5 0.7 1.3 3 3 8 10 18 12
21 6 Barnsley 12 8 4 1.1 0.8 5 3 4 13 10 18
22 15 Portsmouth 11 7 4 1.1 1.4 4 3 4 12 15 15
23 2 Sheffield Weds 13 10 3 1.2 0.5 8 3 2 16 7 27
24 4 Derby 13 10 3 1.0 0.7 4 6 3 13 9 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51