Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: B Madden

Barnsley 4–1 Derby

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 3.00 fair 2.56
Draw 3.30 fair 3.63
Away 2.40 fair 3.00
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.76
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.32

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Barnsley Derby
10 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 4
13 Fouls 7
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (379 league matches this season so far).
Result Barnsley to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
BarnsleyDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 1–0 11.4% 0–1 10.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Barnsley before this match, all matches
1.87points / match
1.50scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 45:27
Derby before this match, all matches
1.84points / match
1.61scored / match
0.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 50:25
Barnsley all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.61
0.90 Goals conceded 0.81
2.40 Total goals 2.42
12.20 Shots 14.45
3.80 Shots on target 5.26
9.07 Shots faced 9.77
5.47 Corners 6.13
4.83 Corners against 4.42
11.90 Fouls 9.87
1.93 Yellow cards 1.77
0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.77
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.29

How often Full Time

57% Wins 52%
17% Draws 29%
27% Losses 19%
97% Over 0.5 goals 81%
77% Over 1.5 goals 68%
47% Over 2.5 goals 48%
20% Over 3.5 goals 26%
0% Over 4.5 goals 16%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
40% Both teams scored 45%
37% Clean sheets 45%
27% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 42%
27% Draws 42%
27% Losses 16%
83% Over 0.5 goals 61%
30% Over 1.5 goals 26%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Barnsley all matches
Derby all matches
Barnsley before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.57scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 22:14
Derby before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.13scored / match
0.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:13
Barnsley at home away Derby

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded 0.87
2.57 Total goals 2.00
13.29 Shots 14.00
4.29 Shots on target 4.73
8.50 Shots faced 11.13
5.86 Corners 6.13
4.14 Corners against 5.00
12.00 Fouls 9.33
1.50 Yellow cards 1.80
0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

64% Wins 33%
7% Draws 40%
29% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 73%
86% Over 1.5 goals 60%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
21% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
36% Both teams scored 40%
36% Clean sheets 40%
29% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 27%
21% Draws 53%
29% Losses 20%
86% Over 0.5 goals 53%
29% Over 1.5 goals 20%
7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Barnsley at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Barnsley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.23 Cheltenham – Barnsley 0–4 (0–3) 3.403.302.20 2.10 1.70
14.02.23 Port Vale – Barnsley 1–3 (1–2) 3.003.302.38 2.15 1.67
11.02.23 Barnsley – Cambridge 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.007.00 1.88 1.98
04.02.23 Portsmouth – Barnsley 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.502.88 1.95 1.90
01.02.23 Oxford – Barnsley 1–2 (0–1) 2.633.402.63 1.95 1.90
21.01.23 Barnsley – Accrington 3–1 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.90 1.95
14.01.23 Charlton – Barnsley 2–0 (1–0) 2.703.402.60 1.93 1.93
02.01.23 Barnsley – Bolton 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 2.10 1.70
29.12.22 Barnsley – Fleetwood Town 2–1 (0–0) 1.623.755.75 1.95 1.90
26.12.22 Accrington – Barnsley 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 2.02 1.83

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.23 Derby – Charlton 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.88 1.98
14.02.23 Derby – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 1.444.337.50 2.00 1.85
11.02.23 Wycombe – Derby 3–2 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.98 1.88
04.02.23 Derby – Morecambe 5–0 (1–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.70 2.10
24.01.23 Port Vale – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.25 1.62
21.01.23 Derby – Bolton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 2.05 1.75
14.01.23 Cheltenham – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 4.753.751.75 2.05 1.80
02.01.23 Derby – Accrington 4–0 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.93 1.93
30.12.22 Derby – Cambridge 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 2.00 1.80
27.12.22 Bolton – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 2.02 1.83

Barnsley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23 Barnsley – Cambridge 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.007.00 1.88 1.98
21.01.23 Barnsley – Accrington 3–1 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.90 1.95
02.01.23 Barnsley – Bolton 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 2.10 1.70
29.12.22 Barnsley – Fleetwood Town 2–1 (0–0) 1.623.755.75 1.95 1.90
17.12.22 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.603.75 1.95 1.90
19.11.22 Barnsley – Milton Keynes Dons 3–1 (1–1) 1.803.504.75 2.15 1.66
29.10.22 Barnsley – Forest Green 2–0 (1–0) 1.614.005.50 1.98 1.88
25.10.22 Barnsley – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.90 1.95
08.10.22 Barnsley – Exeter 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.403.25 1.95 1.90
24.09.22 Barnsley – Charlton 3–1 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.05 1.80

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23 Wycombe – Derby 3–2 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.98 1.88
24.01.23 Port Vale – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.25 1.62
14.01.23 Cheltenham – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 4.753.751.75 2.05 1.80
27.12.22 Bolton – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 2.02 1.83
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
18.11.22 Portsmouth – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 1.95 1.90
12.11.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Derby 1–3 (1–1) 3.803.502.00 1.98 1.88
01.11.22 Morecambe – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 4.503.401.80 1.98 1.88
21.10.22 Ipswich – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 2.05 1.75
15.10.22 Accrington – Derby 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.502.25 1.90 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Barnsley winsDrawsDerby wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.08.22E2 Derby – Barnsley 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.15 1.66
05.03.22E1 Derby – Barnsley 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.103.75 2.37 1.57
03.11.21E1 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.61

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 31 20 8 3 58 22 +36 68
2 Plymouth 32 20 8 4 57 32 +25 68
3 Ipswich 32 16 12 4 60 31 +29 60
4 Bolton 33 17 8 8 48 24 +24 59
5 Derby 31 16 9 6 50 25 +25 57
6 Barnsley 30 17 5 8 45 27 +18 56
7 Wycombe 31 16 5 10 44 29 +15 53
8 Shrewsbury 32 14 6 12 39 34 +5 48
9 Peterboro 30 15 2 13 48 38 +10 47
10 Portsmouth 30 10 12 8 37 36 +1 42
11 Bristol Rvs 33 11 8 14 47 55 -8 41
12 Charlton 31 10 10 11 45 43 +2 40
13 Port Vale 33 11 7 15 33 47 -14 40
14 Fleetwood Town 32 9 12 11 35 34 +1 39
15 Exeter 32 10 9 13 42 43 -1 39
16 Lincoln 30 8 15 7 29 31 -2 39
17 Oxford 34 9 9 16 36 44 -8 36
18 Burton 31 9 7 15 40 58 -18 34
19 Cheltenham 31 9 6 16 25 40 -15 33
20 Morecambe 32 7 10 15 33 52 -19 31
21 Accrington 30 7 9 14 26 47 -21 30
22 Milton Keynes Dons 32 8 5 19 30 51 -21 29
23 Cambridge 32 8 5 19 26 52 -26 29
24 Forest Green 33 5 7 21 25 63 -38 22
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 16 14 1 1 32 12 +20 43
2 Sheffield Weds 17 12 4 1 40 13 +27 40
3 Bolton 17 11 4 2 26 8 +18 37
4 Derby 16 11 3 2 33 12 +21 36
5 Ipswich 16 9 6 1 33 12 +21 33
6 Wycombe 16 9 3 4 25 15 +10 30
7 Peterboro 14 9 1 4 26 15 +11 28
8 Barnsley 14 9 1 4 22 14 +8 28
9 Shrewsbury 16 8 2 6 23 21 +2 26
10 Morecambe 17 6 6 5 23 21 +2 24
11 Charlton 16 6 5 5 28 21 +7 23
12 Portsmouth 15 5 8 2 21 16 +5 23
13 Port Vale 17 6 4 7 17 22 -5 22
14 Lincoln 15 3 12 0 14 10 +4 21
15 Cambridge 16 6 3 7 15 19 -4 21
16 Exeter 15 5 5 5 20 19 +1 20
17 Bristol Rvs 16 5 5 6 22 26 -4 20
18 Burton 15 5 4 6 17 23 -6 19
19 Oxford 17 5 3 9 20 23 -3 18
20 Cheltenham 15 5 3 7 13 20 -7 18
21 Fleetwood Town 16 4 5 7 15 17 -2 17
22 Accrington 15 4 5 6 17 23 -6 17
23 Forest Green 16 4 0 12 11 28 -17 12
24 Milton Keynes Dons 16 2 4 10 11 24 -13 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barnsley 16 8 4 4 23 13 +10 28
2 Sheffield Weds 14 8 4 2 18 9 +9 28
3 Ipswich 16 7 6 3 27 19 +8 27
4 Plymouth 16 6 7 3 25 20 +5 25
5 Wycombe 15 7 2 6 19 14 +5 23
6 Bolton 16 6 4 6 22 16 +6 22
7 Fleetwood Town 16 5 7 4 20 17 +3 22
8 Shrewsbury 16 6 4 6 16 13 +3 22
9 Derby 15 5 6 4 17 13 +4 21
10 Bristol Rvs 17 6 3 8 25 29 -4 21
11 Peterboro 16 6 1 9 22 23 -1 19
12 Exeter 17 5 4 8 22 24 -2 19
13 Portsmouth 15 5 4 6 16 20 -4 19
14 Milton Keynes Dons 16 6 1 9 19 27 -8 19
15 Oxford 17 4 6 7 16 21 -5 18
16 Lincoln 15 5 3 7 15 21 -6 18
17 Port Vale 16 5 3 8 16 25 -9 18
18 Charlton 15 4 5 6 17 22 -5 17
19 Cheltenham 16 4 3 9 12 20 -8 15
20 Burton 16 4 3 9 23 35 -12 15
21 Accrington 15 3 4 8 9 24 -15 13
22 Forest Green 17 1 7 9 14 35 -21 10
23 Cambridge 16 2 2 12 11 33 -22 8
24 Morecambe 15 1 4 10 10 31 -21 7

Barnsley   Derby

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Bristol Rvs 33 13 20 1.4 1.7 11 8 14 47 55 41
2 2 Plymouth 32 14 18 1.8 1.0 20 8 4 57 32 68
3 3 Ipswich 32 14 18 1.9 1.0 16 12 4 60 31 60
4 9 Peterboro 30 12 18 1.6 1.3 15 2 13 48 38 47
5 18 Burton 31 14 17 1.3 1.9 9 7 15 40 58 34
6 20 Morecambe 32 15 17 1.0 1.6 7 10 15 33 52 31
7 24 Forest Green 33 16 17 0.8 1.9 5 7 21 25 63 22
8 13 Port Vale 33 17 16 1.0 1.4 11 7 15 33 47 40
9 5 Derby 31 16 15 1.6 0.8 16 9 6 50 25 57
10 12 Charlton 31 16 15 1.5 1.4 10 10 11 45 43 40
11 17 Oxford 34 19 15 1.1 1.3 9 9 16 36 44 36
12 23 Cambridge 32 17 15 0.8 1.6 8 5 19 26 52 29
13 6 Barnsley 30 16 14 1.5 0.9 17 5 8 45 27 56
14 7 Wycombe 31 17 14 1.4 0.9 16 5 10 44 29 53
15 8 Shrewsbury 32 18 14 1.2 1.1 14 6 12 39 34 48
16 14 Fleetwood Town 32 18 14 1.1 1.1 9 12 11 35 34 39
17 22 Milton Keynes Dons 32 18 14 0.9 1.6 8 5 19 30 51 29
18 1 Sheffield Weds 31 18 13 1.9 0.7 20 8 3 58 22 68
19 4 Bolton 33 20 13 1.5 0.7 17 8 8 48 24 59
20 15 Exeter 32 19 13 1.3 1.3 10 9 13 42 43 39
21 10 Portsmouth 30 18 12 1.2 1.2 10 12 8 37 36 42
22 19 Cheltenham 31 19 12 0.8 1.3 9 6 16 25 40 33
23 21 Accrington 30 18 12 0.9 1.6 7 9 14 26 47 30
24 16 Lincoln 30 22 8 1.0 1.0 8 15 7 29 31 39
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Derby 16 6 10 2.1 0.8 11 3 2 33 12 36
2 17 Oxford 17 7 10 1.2 1.4 5 3 9 20 23 18
3 1 Sheffield Weds 17 8 9 2.4 0.8 12 4 1 40 13 40
4 2 Plymouth 16 7 9 2.0 0.8 14 1 1 32 12 43
5 3 Ipswich 16 7 9 2.1 0.8 9 6 1 33 12 33
6 8 Shrewsbury 16 7 9 1.4 1.3 8 2 6 23 21 26
7 9 Peterboro 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 9 1 4 26 15 28
8 11 Bristol Rvs 16 7 9 1.4 1.6 5 5 6 22 26 20
9 24 Forest Green 16 7 9 0.7 1.8 4 0 12 11 28 12
10 12 Charlton 16 8 8 1.8 1.3 6 5 5 28 21 23
11 13 Port Vale 17 9 8 1.0 1.3 6 4 7 17 22 22
12 20 Morecambe 17 9 8 1.4 1.2 6 6 5 23 21 24
13 6 Barnsley 14 7 7 1.6 1.0 9 1 4 22 14 28
14 7 Wycombe 16 9 7 1.6 0.9 9 3 4 25 15 30
15 15 Exeter 15 8 7 1.3 1.3 5 5 5 20 19 20
16 4 Bolton 17 11 6 1.5 0.5 11 4 2 26 8 37
17 10 Portsmouth 15 9 6 1.4 1.1 5 8 2 21 16 23
18 14 Fleetwood Town 16 10 6 0.9 1.1 4 5 7 15 17 17
19 18 Burton 15 9 6 1.1 1.5 5 4 6 17 23 19
20 19 Cheltenham 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 5 3 7 13 20 18
21 21 Accrington 15 9 6 1.1 1.5 4 5 6 17 23 17
22 23 Cambridge 16 10 6 0.9 1.2 6 3 7 15 19 21
23 22 Milton Keynes Dons 16 11 5 0.7 1.5 2 4 10 11 24 10
24 16 Lincoln 15 13 2 0.9 0.7 3 12 0 14 10 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Bristol Rvs 17 6 11 1.5 1.7 6 3 8 25 29 21
2 18 Burton 16 5 11 1.4 2.2 4 3 9 23 35 15
3 2 Plymouth 16 7 9 1.6 1.2 6 7 3 25 20 25
4 3 Ipswich 16 7 9 1.7 1.2 7 6 3 27 19 27
5 9 Peterboro 16 7 9 1.4 1.4 6 1 9 22 23 19
6 20 Morecambe 15 6 9 0.7 2.1 1 4 10 10 31 7
7 22 Milton Keynes Dons 16 7 9 1.2 1.7 6 1 9 19 27 19
8 23 Cambridge 16 7 9 0.7 2.1 2 2 12 11 33 8
9 13 Port Vale 16 8 8 1.0 1.6 5 3 8 16 25 18
10 14 Fleetwood Town 16 8 8 1.2 1.1 5 7 4 20 17 22
11 24 Forest Green 17 9 8 0.8 2.1 1 7 9 14 35 10
12 4 Bolton 16 9 7 1.4 1.0 6 4 6 22 16 22
13 6 Barnsley 16 9 7 1.4 0.8 8 4 4 23 13 28
14 7 Wycombe 15 8 7 1.3 0.9 7 2 6 19 14 23
15 12 Charlton 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 4 5 6 17 22 17
16 10 Portsmouth 15 9 6 1.1 1.3 5 4 6 16 20 19
17 15 Exeter 17 11 6 1.3 1.4 5 4 8 22 24 19
18 16 Lincoln 15 9 6 1.0 1.4 5 3 7 15 21 18
19 19 Cheltenham 16 10 6 0.8 1.2 4 3 9 12 20 15
20 21 Accrington 15 9 6 0.6 1.6 3 4 8 9 24 13
21 5 Derby 15 10 5 1.1 0.9 5 6 4 17 13 21
22 8 Shrewsbury 16 11 5 1.0 0.8 6 4 6 16 13 22
23 17 Oxford 17 12 5 0.9 1.2 4 6 7 16 21 18
24 1 Sheffield Weds 14 10 4 1.3 0.6 8 4 2 18 9 28

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51