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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: P Howard

Derby 2–0 Charlton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.57 fair 1.86
Draw 4.00 fair 4.25
Away 6.00 fair 4.39
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.14
Over 2.5 1.88 fair 1.87

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Charlton
20 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
9 Corners 2
11 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (364 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.75 – 1.06
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawCharlton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 1–0 10.5% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
1.60scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 48:25
Charlton before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.50scored / match
1.37conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 45:41
Derby all matches all matches Charlton

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.50
0.83 Goals conceded 1.37
2.43 Total goals 2.87
14.27 Shots 11.37
5.17 Shots on target 4.10
9.83 Shots faced 13.60
6.03 Corners 4.30
4.50 Corners against 5.83
9.83 Fouls 11.03
1.80 Yellow cards 1.50
0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.77
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

50% Wins 33%
30% Draws 33%
20% Losses 33%
80% Over 0.5 goals 97%
67% Over 1.5 goals 77%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
27% Over 3.5 goals 30%
17% Over 4.5 goals 13%
3% Over 5.5 goals 13%
47% Both teams scored 67%
43% Clean sheets 20%
30% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 33%
43% Draws 43%
17% Losses 23%
60% Over 0.5 goals 73%
27% Over 1.5 goals 40%
10% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Charlton all matches
Derby before this match, at home
2.20points / match
2.07scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 31:12
Charlton before this match, away
1.21points / match
1.21scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 17:20
Derby at home away Charlton

Per match

2.07 Goals scored 1.21
0.80 Goals conceded 1.43
2.87 Total goals 2.64
14.53 Shots 9.79
5.60 Shots on target 2.93
8.53 Shots faced 13.64
5.93 Corners 4.29
4.00 Corners against 7.14
10.33 Fouls 10.29
1.80 Yellow cards 1.50
1.07 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

67% Wins 29%
20% Draws 36%
13% Losses 36%
87% Over 0.5 goals 93%
73% Over 1.5 goals 64%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 43%
20% Over 4.5 goals 7%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
53% Both teams scored 64%
47% Clean sheets 21%
13% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 21%
33% Draws 50%
13% Losses 29%
67% Over 0.5 goals 71%
33% Over 1.5 goals 43%
13% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Charlton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.02.23 Derby – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 1.444.337.50 2.00 1.85
11.02.23 Wycombe – Derby 3–2 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.98 1.88
04.02.23 Derby – Morecambe 5–0 (1–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.70 2.10
24.01.23 Port Vale – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.25 1.62
21.01.23 Derby – Bolton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 2.05 1.75
14.01.23 Cheltenham – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 4.753.751.75 2.05 1.80
02.01.23 Derby – Accrington 4–0 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.93 1.93
30.12.22 Derby – Cambridge 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 2.00 1.80
27.12.22 Bolton – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 2.02 1.83
17.12.22 Derby – Forest Green 4–0 (2–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.08

Charlton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.02.23 Forest Green – Charlton 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.302.38 2.00 1.85
11.02.23 Charlton – Fleetwood Town 1–2 (1–1) 1.913.504.20 1.83 2.02
04.02.23 Exeter – Charlton 1–2 (1–2) 2.383.403.00 2.00 1.85
28.01.23 Charlton – Bolton 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.202.75 2.02 1.83
14.01.23 Charlton – Barnsley 2–0 (1–0) 2.703.402.60 1.93 1.93
07.01.23 Charlton – Lincoln 2–1 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.05 1.75
01.01.23 Portsmouth – Charlton 1–3 (1–1) 1.953.603.80 1.95 1.90
29.12.22 Oxford – Charlton 3–1 (2–0) 1.913.504.00 1.85 2.00
26.12.22 Charlton – Peterboro 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 1.95 1.90
17.12.22 Charlton – Bristol Rvs 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 1.88 1.98

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.02.23 Derby – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 1.444.337.50 2.00 1.85
04.02.23 Derby – Morecambe 5–0 (1–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.70 2.10
21.01.23 Derby – Bolton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 2.05 1.75
02.01.23 Derby – Accrington 4–0 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.93 1.93
30.12.22 Derby – Cambridge 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 2.00 1.80
17.12.22 Derby – Forest Green 4–0 (2–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.08
03.12.22 Derby – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.75
29.10.22 Derby – Bristol Rvs 4–2 (4–2) 1.723.804.75 1.75 2.05
25.10.22 Derby – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.88 1.98
08.10.22 Derby – Port Vale 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.805.50 2.15 1.73

Charlton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.02.23 Forest Green – Charlton 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.302.38 2.00 1.85
04.02.23 Exeter – Charlton 1–2 (1–2) 2.383.403.00 2.00 1.85
01.01.23 Portsmouth – Charlton 1–3 (1–1) 1.953.603.80 1.95 1.90
29.12.22 Oxford – Charlton 3–1 (2–0) 1.913.504.00 1.85 2.00
19.11.22 Port Vale – Charlton 1–0 (0–0) 2.373.403.00 2.05 1.75
12.11.22 Burton – Charlton 3–3 (2–2) 2.803.402.50 1.90 1.95
22.10.22 Shrewsbury – Charlton 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.202.62 2.10 1.70
08.10.22 Lincoln – Charlton 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.502.60 1.93 1.93
24.09.22 Barnsley – Charlton 3–1 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.05 1.80
17.09.22 Fleetwood Town – Charlton 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.302.37 2.02 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsCharlton wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.08.22E2 Charlton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.202.62 2.10 1.70

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 31 20 7 4 57 32 +25 67
2 Sheffield Weds 30 19 8 3 53 20 +33 65
3 Bolton 32 17 8 7 48 23 +25 59
4 Ipswich 31 15 12 4 56 31 +25 57
5 Derby 30 15 9 6 48 25 +23 54
6 Barnsley 29 16 5 8 41 27 +14 53
7 Wycombe 30 15 5 10 43 29 +14 50
8 Shrewsbury 31 14 6 11 39 33 +6 48
9 Peterboro 29 14 2 13 45 38 +7 44
10 Portsmouth 29 10 11 8 37 36 +1 41
11 Charlton 30 10 10 10 45 41 +4 40
12 Exeter 31 10 9 12 42 42 0 39
13 Lincoln 29 8 14 7 29 31 -2 38
14 Bristol Rvs 31 10 8 13 43 53 -10 38
15 Port Vale 31 10 7 14 32 46 -14 37
16 Oxford 32 9 9 14 36 40 -4 36
17 Fleetwood Town 30 8 11 11 34 34 0 35
18 Cheltenham 30 9 6 15 25 36 -11 33
19 Burton 30 8 7 15 38 57 -19 31
20 Milton Keynes Dons 31 8 5 18 28 46 -18 29
21 Morecambe 30 6 10 14 32 49 -17 28
22 Accrington 29 6 9 14 25 47 -22 27
23 Cambridge 30 7 5 18 25 51 -26 26
24 Forest Green 32 5 7 20 25 59 -34 22
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 15 14 0 1 32 12 +20 42
2 Sheffield Weds 16 11 4 1 35 11 +24 37
3 Bolton 17 11 4 2 26 8 +18 37
4 Derby 15 10 3 2 31 12 +19 33
5 Ipswich 15 8 6 1 29 12 +17 30
6 Peterboro 14 9 1 4 26 15 +11 28
7 Barnsley 14 9 1 4 22 14 +8 28
8 Wycombe 15 8 3 4 24 15 +9 27
9 Shrewsbury 16 8 2 6 23 21 +2 26
10 Charlton 16 6 5 5 28 21 +7 23
11 Portsmouth 15 5 8 2 21 16 +5 23
12 Morecambe 15 5 6 4 22 18 +4 21
13 Lincoln 14 3 11 0 14 10 +4 20
14 Exeter 15 5 5 5 20 19 +1 20
15 Bristol Rvs 15 5 5 5 21 24 -3 20
16 Burton 15 5 4 6 17 23 -6 19
17 Port Vale 16 5 4 7 16 22 -6 19
18 Oxford 16 5 3 8 20 20 0 18
19 Cheltenham 14 5 3 6 13 16 -3 18
20 Cambridge 15 5 3 7 14 19 -5 18
21 Fleetwood Town 15 3 5 7 14 17 -3 14
22 Accrington 14 3 5 6 16 23 -7 14
23 Forest Green 16 4 0 12 11 28 -17 12
24 Milton Keynes Dons 16 2 4 10 11 24 -13 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 14 8 4 2 18 9 +9 28
2 Ipswich 16 7 6 3 27 19 +8 27
3 Barnsley 15 7 4 4 19 13 +6 25
4 Plymouth 16 6 7 3 25 20 +5 25
5 Wycombe 15 7 2 6 19 14 +5 23
6 Bolton 15 6 4 5 22 15 +7 22
7 Shrewsbury 15 6 4 5 16 12 +4 22
8 Derby 15 5 6 4 17 13 +4 21
9 Fleetwood Town 15 5 6 4 20 17 +3 21
10 Exeter 16 5 4 7 22 23 -1 19
11 Milton Keynes Dons 15 6 1 8 17 22 -5 19
12 Oxford 16 4 6 6 16 20 -4 18
13 Portsmouth 14 5 3 6 16 20 -4 18
14 Lincoln 15 5 3 7 15 21 -6 18
15 Bristol Rvs 16 5 3 8 22 29 -7 18
16 Port Vale 15 5 3 7 16 24 -8 18
17 Charlton 14 4 5 5 17 20 -3 17
18 Peterboro 15 5 1 9 19 23 -4 16
19 Cheltenham 16 4 3 9 12 20 -8 15
20 Accrington 15 3 4 8 9 24 -15 13
21 Burton 15 3 3 9 21 34 -13 12
22 Forest Green 16 1 7 8 14 31 -17 10
23 Cambridge 15 2 2 11 11 32 -21 8
24 Morecambe 15 1 4 10 10 31 -21 7

Derby   Charlton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 31 13 18 1.8 1.0 20 7 4 57 32 67
2 14 Bristol Rvs 31 13 18 1.4 1.7 10 8 13 43 53 38
3 4 Ipswich 31 14 17 1.8 1.0 15 12 4 56 31 57
4 9 Peterboro 29 12 17 1.6 1.3 14 2 13 45 38 44
5 15 Port Vale 31 15 16 1.0 1.5 10 7 14 32 46 37
6 19 Burton 30 14 16 1.3 1.9 8 7 15 38 57 31
7 21 Morecambe 30 14 16 1.1 1.6 6 10 14 32 49 28
8 24 Forest Green 32 16 16 0.8 1.8 5 7 20 25 59 22
9 5 Derby 30 15 15 1.6 0.8 15 9 6 48 25 54
10 11 Charlton 30 15 15 1.5 1.4 10 10 10 45 41 40
11 23 Cambridge 30 15 15 0.8 1.7 7 5 18 25 51 26
12 7 Wycombe 30 16 14 1.4 1.0 15 5 10 43 29 50
13 8 Shrewsbury 31 17 14 1.3 1.1 14 6 11 39 33 48
14 16 Oxford 32 18 14 1.1 1.2 9 9 14 36 40 36
15 17 Fleetwood Town 30 16 14 1.1 1.1 8 11 11 34 34 35
16 3 Bolton 32 19 13 1.5 0.7 17 8 7 48 23 59
17 6 Barnsley 29 16 13 1.4 0.9 16 5 8 41 27 53
18 12 Exeter 31 18 13 1.4 1.4 10 9 12 42 42 39
19 20 Milton Keynes Dons 31 18 13 0.9 1.5 8 5 18 28 46 29
20 2 Sheffield Weds 30 18 12 1.8 0.7 19 8 3 53 20 65
21 10 Portsmouth 29 17 12 1.3 1.2 10 11 8 37 36 41
22 22 Accrington 29 17 12 0.9 1.6 6 9 14 25 47 27
23 18 Cheltenham 30 19 11 0.8 1.2 9 6 15 25 36 33
24 13 Lincoln 29 21 8 1.0 1.1 8 14 7 29 31 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Derby 15 5 10 2.1 0.8 10 3 2 31 12 33
2 1 Plymouth 15 6 9 2.1 0.8 14 0 1 32 12 42
3 8 Shrewsbury 16 7 9 1.4 1.3 8 2 6 23 21 26
4 9 Peterboro 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 9 1 4 26 15 28
5 16 Oxford 16 7 9 1.2 1.2 5 3 8 20 20 18
6 24 Forest Green 16 7 9 0.7 1.8 4 0 12 11 28 12
7 2 Sheffield Weds 16 8 8 2.2 0.7 11 4 1 35 11 37
8 4 Ipswich 15 7 8 1.9 0.8 8 6 1 29 12 30
9 11 Charlton 16 8 8 1.8 1.3 6 5 5 28 21 23
10 14 Bristol Rvs 15 7 8 1.4 1.6 5 5 5 21 24 20
11 15 Port Vale 16 8 8 1.0 1.4 5 4 7 16 22 19
12 6 Barnsley 14 7 7 1.6 1.0 9 1 4 22 14 28
13 7 Wycombe 15 8 7 1.6 1.0 8 3 4 24 15 27
14 12 Exeter 15 8 7 1.3 1.3 5 5 5 20 19 20
15 21 Morecambe 15 8 7 1.5 1.2 5 6 4 22 18 21
16 3 Bolton 17 11 6 1.5 0.5 11 4 2 26 8 37
17 10 Portsmouth 15 9 6 1.4 1.1 5 8 2 21 16 23
18 17 Fleetwood Town 15 9 6 0.9 1.1 3 5 7 14 17 14
19 19 Burton 15 9 6 1.1 1.5 5 4 6 17 23 19
20 22 Accrington 14 8 6 1.1 1.6 3 5 6 16 23 14
21 23 Cambridge 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 5 3 7 14 19 18
22 18 Cheltenham 14 9 5 0.9 1.1 5 3 6 13 16 18
23 20 Milton Keynes Dons 16 11 5 0.7 1.5 2 4 10 11 24 10
24 13 Lincoln 14 12 2 1.0 0.7 3 11 0 14 10 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Bristol Rvs 16 6 10 1.4 1.8 5 3 8 22 29 18
2 19 Burton 15 5 10 1.4 2.3 3 3 9 21 34 12
3 1 Plymouth 16 7 9 1.6 1.2 6 7 3 25 20 25
4 4 Ipswich 16 7 9 1.7 1.2 7 6 3 27 19 27
5 21 Morecambe 15 6 9 0.7 2.1 1 4 10 10 31 7
6 23 Cambridge 15 6 9 0.7 2.1 2 2 11 11 32 8
7 9 Peterboro 15 7 8 1.3 1.5 5 1 9 19 23 16
8 15 Port Vale 15 7 8 1.1 1.6 5 3 7 16 24 18
9 17 Fleetwood Town 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 5 6 4 20 17 21
10 20 Milton Keynes Dons 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 6 1 8 17 22 19
11 3 Bolton 15 8 7 1.5 1.0 6 4 5 22 15 22
12 7 Wycombe 15 8 7 1.3 0.9 7 2 6 19 14 23
13 11 Charlton 14 7 7 1.2 1.4 4 5 5 17 20 17
14 24 Forest Green 16 9 7 0.9 1.9 1 7 8 14 31 10
15 6 Barnsley 15 9 6 1.3 0.9 7 4 4 19 13 25
16 10 Portsmouth 14 8 6 1.1 1.4 5 3 6 16 20 18
17 12 Exeter 16 10 6 1.4 1.4 5 4 7 22 23 19
18 13 Lincoln 15 9 6 1.0 1.4 5 3 7 15 21 18
19 18 Cheltenham 16 10 6 0.8 1.2 4 3 9 12 20 15
20 22 Accrington 15 9 6 0.6 1.6 3 4 8 9 24 13
21 5 Derby 15 10 5 1.1 0.9 5 6 4 17 13 21
22 8 Shrewsbury 15 10 5 1.1 0.8 6 4 5 16 12 22
23 16 Oxford 16 11 5 1.0 1.2 4 6 6 16 20 18
24 2 Sheffield Weds 14 10 4 1.3 0.6 8 4 2 18 9 28

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51