Derby 2–0 Cheltenham – England League One, 28 Feb 2023

Match facts

Derby Cheltenham

12 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 0

3 Corners 2

12 Fouls 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (390 league matches this season so far).

Result Derby to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.81

Expected goals 1.77 – 0.78

Home / Draw / Away

61% 23% 16%

DerbyDrawCheltenham

Under / Over 2.5 goals

53% 47%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

55% 45%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 13.9% 2–0 12.3% 1–1 10.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches

1.78points / match

1.59scored / match

0.91conceded / match

16 9 7

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 51:29

Cheltenham before this match, all matches

1.03points / match

0.78scored / match

1.38conceded / match

9 6 17

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 25:44

Derby all matches all matches Cheltenham

Per match

1.59 Goals scored 0.78

0.91 Goals conceded 1.38

2.50 Total goals 2.16

14.31 Shots 10.50

5.25 Shots on target 3.06

9.78 Shots faced 12.75

6.06 Corners 3.78

4.47 Corners against 5.25

9.78 Fouls 10.44

1.72 Yellow cards 2.06

0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.34

0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

50% Wins 28%

28% Draws 19%

22% Losses 53%

81% Over 0.5 goals 88%

69% Over 1.5 goals 50%

50% Over 2.5 goals 41%

28% Over 3.5 goals 22%

19% Over 4.5 goals 13%

3% Over 5.5 goals 3%

47% Both teams scored 34%

44% Clean sheets 34%

28% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 16%

41% Draws 50%

19% Losses 34%

63% Over 0.5 goals 56%

28% Over 1.5 goals 31%

13% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches

1

W

4

W

3

2

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

5

W

2

3

L

1

D

2

W

1

4

L

Cheltenham all matches

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

3

L

2

4

L

D

1

L

D

2

1

W

4

L

4

L

Derby before this match, at home

2.25points / match

2.06scored / match

0.75conceded / match

11 3 2

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 33:12

Cheltenham before this match, away

0.88points / match

0.71scored / match

1.41conceded / match

4 3 10

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 12:24

Derby at home away Cheltenham

Per match

2.06 Goals scored 0.71

0.75 Goals conceded 1.41

2.81 Total goals 2.12

14.88 Shots 8.82

5.75 Shots on target 2.24

8.50 Shots faced 14.53

6.13 Corners 3.12

3.88 Corners against 6.47

10.38 Fouls 11.29

1.75 Yellow cards 2.65

1.06 1st-half goals scored 0.29

0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

69% Wins 24%

19% Draws 18%

13% Losses 59%

88% Over 0.5 goals 94%

75% Over 1.5 goals 47%

63% Over 2.5 goals 41%

31% Over 3.5 goals 18%

19% Over 4.5 goals 6%

6% Over 5.5 goals 6%

50% Both teams scored 35%

50% Clean sheets 24%

13% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 6%

31% Draws 59%

13% Losses 35%

69% Over 0.5 goals 53%

31% Over 1.5 goals 35%

13% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home

D

4

2

W

D

4

W

1

W

4

W

2

1

W

5

W

1

D

2

W

Cheltenham away

1

D

1

W

1

L

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

4

L

1

L

2

1

W

4

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.23	Barnsley – Derby	4–1 (3–1)	3.00	3.30	2.40	2.08	1.73
18.02.23	Derby – Charlton	2–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.00	6.00	1.88	1.98
14.02.23	Derby – Lincoln	1–1 (0–1)	1.44	4.33	7.50	2.00	1.85
11.02.23	Wycombe – Derby	3–2 (1–0)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.98	1.88
04.02.23	Derby – Morecambe	5–0 (1–0)	1.33	5.00	10.00	1.70	2.10
24.01.23	Port Vale – Derby	1–2 (0–0)	3.80	3.40	2.00	2.25	1.62
21.01.23	Derby – Bolton	2–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.60	3.80	2.05	1.75
14.01.23	Cheltenham – Derby	2–3 (1–2)	4.75	3.75	1.75	2.05	1.80
02.01.23	Derby – Accrington	4–0 (3–0)	1.62	4.00	5.50	1.93	1.93
30.12.22	Derby – Cambridge	1–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.20	6.50	2.00	1.80

Cheltenham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.23	Portsmouth – Cheltenham	4–0 (3–0)	1.75	3.60	4.75	1.98	1.88
18.02.23	Cheltenham – Barnsley	0–4 (0–3)	3.40	3.30	2.20	2.10	1.70
14.02.23	Cambridge – Cheltenham	1–2 (0–0)	2.40	3.25	3.00	2.15	1.67
11.02.23	Cheltenham – Accrington	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.70
04.02.23	Bolton – Cheltenham	1–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.20	6.50	1.93	1.93
28.01.23	Cheltenham – Port Vale	0–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.30	2.45	2.25	1.62
21.01.23	Plymouth – Cheltenham	4–2 (2–1)	1.53	4.20	6.00	1.90	1.95
14.01.23	Cheltenham – Derby	2–3 (1–2)	4.75	3.75	1.75	2.05	1.80
07.01.23	Morecambe – Cheltenham	2–1 (1–1)	2.60	3.20	2.80	2.02	1.83
01.01.23	Bristol Rvs – Cheltenham	2–1 (2–0)	1.85	3.50	4.50	1.90	1.95

Derby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.23	Derby – Charlton	2–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.00	6.00	1.88	1.98
14.02.23	Derby – Lincoln	1–1 (0–1)	1.44	4.33	7.50	2.00	1.85
04.02.23	Derby – Morecambe	5–0 (1–0)	1.33	5.00	10.00	1.70	2.10
21.01.23	Derby – Bolton	2–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.60	3.80	2.05	1.75
02.01.23	Derby – Accrington	4–0 (3–0)	1.62	4.00	5.50	1.93	1.93
30.12.22	Derby – Cambridge	1–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.20	6.50	2.00	1.80
17.12.22	Derby – Forest Green	4–0 (2–0)	1.44	4.50	7.50	1.73	2.08
03.12.22	Derby – Sheffield Weds	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.30	2.05	1.75
29.10.22	Derby – Bristol Rvs	4–2 (4–2)	1.72	3.80	4.75	1.75	2.05
25.10.22	Derby – Exeter	0–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.60	4.00	1.88	1.98

Cheltenham away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.23	Portsmouth – Cheltenham	4–0 (3–0)	1.75	3.60	4.75	1.98	1.88
14.02.23	Cambridge – Cheltenham	1–2 (0–0)	2.40	3.25	3.00	2.15	1.67
04.02.23	Bolton – Cheltenham	1–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.20	6.50	1.93	1.93
21.01.23	Plymouth – Cheltenham	4–2 (2–1)	1.53	4.20	6.00	1.90	1.95
07.01.23	Morecambe – Cheltenham	2–1 (1–1)	2.60	3.20	2.80	2.02	1.83
01.01.23	Bristol Rvs – Cheltenham	2–1 (2–0)	1.85	3.50	4.50	1.90	1.95
29.12.22	Shrewsbury – Cheltenham	0–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.25	4.50	2.30	1.60
10.12.22	Forest Green – Cheltenham	1–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.25	3.10	2.08	1.73
02.12.22	Charlton – Cheltenham	0–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	5.25	1.90	1.95
12.11.22	Ipswich – Cheltenham	1–1 (1–1)	1.28	5.50	11.00	1.75	2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Derby winsDrawsCheltenham wins

1matches

5.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.01.23E2	Cheltenham – Derby	2–3 (1–2)	4.75	3.75	1.75	2.05	1.80

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield Weds	32	21	8	3	59	22	+37	71
2	Plymouth	33	20	8	5	59	37	+22	68
3	Ipswich	33	17	12	4	61	31	+30	63
4	Bolton	34	18	8	8	50	25	+25	62
5	Barnsley	31	18	5	8	49	28	+21	59
6	Derby	32	16	9	7	51	29	+22	57
7	Wycombe	32	16	5	11	44	31	+13	53
8	Shrewsbury	33	15	6	12	41	34	+7	51
9	Peterboro	31	16	2	13	53	40	+13	50
10	Portsmouth	31	11	12	8	41	36	+5	45
11	Fleetwood Town	33	10	12	11	36	34	+2	42
12	Exeter	33	11	9	13	44	43	+1	42
13	Bristol Rvs	33	11	8	14	47	55	-8	41
14	Charlton	32	10	10	12	45	44	+1	40
15	Lincoln	31	8	16	7	30	32	-2	40
16	Port Vale	34	11	7	16	34	49	-15	40
17	Oxford	34	9	9	16	36	44	-8	36
18	Burton	32	9	8	15	40	58	-18	35
19	Cheltenham	32	9	6	17	25	44	-19	33
20	Morecambe	33	7	10	16	33	53	-20	31
21	Accrington	31	7	10	14	26	47	-21	31
22	Milton Keynes Dons	33	8	5	20	30	52	-22	29
23	Cambridge	33	8	5	20	26	54	-28	29
24	Forest Green	34	5	8	21	26	64	-38	23

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Plymouth	16	14	1	1	32	12	+20	43
2	Sheffield Weds	17	12	4	1	40	13	+27	40
3	Bolton	18	12	4	2	28	9	+19	40
4	Derby	16	11	3	2	33	12	+21	36
5	Ipswich	16	9	6	1	33	12	+21	33
6	Peterboro	15	10	1	4	31	17	+14	31
7	Barnsley	15	10	1	4	26	15	+11	31
8	Wycombe	16	9	3	4	25	15	+10	30
9	Shrewsbury	17	9	2	6	25	21	+4	29
10	Portsmouth	16	6	8	2	25	16	+9	26
11	Morecambe	17	6	6	5	23	21	+2	24
12	Charlton	17	6	5	6	28	22	+6	23
13	Exeter	16	6	5	5	22	19	+3	23
14	Port Vale	17	6	4	7	17	22	-5	22
15	Lincoln	15	3	12	0	14	10	+4	21
16	Cambridge	16	6	3	7	15	19	-4	21
17	Fleetwood Town	17	5	5	7	16	17	-1	20
18	Bristol Rvs	16	5	5	6	22	26	-4	20
19	Burton	16	5	5	6	17	23	-6	20
20	Oxford	17	5	3	9	20	23	-3	18
21	Cheltenham	15	5	3	7	13	20	-7	18
22	Accrington	15	4	5	6	17	23	-6	17
23	Forest Green	17	4	1	12	12	29	-17	13
24	Milton Keynes Dons	17	2	4	11	11	25	-14	10

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield Weds	15	9	4	2	19	9	+10	31
2	Ipswich	17	8	6	3	28	19	+9	30
3	Barnsley	16	8	4	4	23	13	+10	28
4	Plymouth	17	6	7	4	27	25	+2	25
5	Wycombe	16	7	2	7	19	16	+3	23
6	Bolton	16	6	4	6	22	16	+6	22
7	Fleetwood Town	16	5	7	4	20	17	+3	22
8	Shrewsbury	16	6	4	6	16	13	+3	22
9	Derby	16	5	6	5	18	17	+1	21
10	Bristol Rvs	17	6	3	8	25	29	-4	21
11	Peterboro	16	6	1	9	22	23	-1	19
12	Exeter	17	5	4	8	22	24	-2	19
13	Portsmouth	15	5	4	6	16	20	-4	19
14	Lincoln	16	5	4	7	16	22	-6	19
15	Milton Keynes Dons	16	6	1	9	19	27	-8	19
16	Oxford	17	4	6	7	16	21	-5	18
17	Port Vale	17	5	3	9	17	27	-10	18
18	Charlton	15	4	5	6	17	22	-5	17
19	Burton	16	4	3	9	23	35	-12	15
20	Cheltenham	17	4	3	10	12	24	-12	15
21	Accrington	16	3	5	8	9	24	-15	14
22	Forest Green	17	1	7	9	14	35	-21	10
23	Cambridge	17	2	2	13	11	35	-24	8
24	Morecambe	16	1	4	11	10	32	-22	7

Derby Cheltenham

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Bristol Rvs	33	13	20	1.4	1.7	11	8	14	47	55	41
2	2	Plymouth	33	14	19	1.8	1.1	20	8	5	59	37	68
3	9	Peterboro	31	12	19	1.7	1.3	16	2	13	53	40	50
4	3	Ipswich	33	15	18	1.8	0.9	17	12	4	61	31	63
5	16	Port Vale	34	17	17	1.0	1.4	11	7	16	34	49	40
6	18	Burton	32	15	17	1.2	1.8	9	8	15	40	58	35
7	20	Morecambe	33	16	17	1.0	1.6	7	10	16	33	53	31
8	24	Forest Green	34	17	17	0.8	1.9	5	8	21	26	64	23
9	6	Derby	32	16	16	1.6	0.9	16	9	7	51	29	57
10	5	Barnsley	31	16	15	1.6	0.9	18	5	8	49	28	59
11	14	Charlton	32	17	15	1.4	1.4	10	10	12	45	44	40
12	17	Oxford	34	19	15	1.1	1.3	9	9	16	36	44	36
13	23	Cambridge	33	18	15	0.8	1.6	8	5	20	26	54	29
14	4	Bolton	34	20	14	1.5	0.7	18	8	8	50	25	62
15	7	Wycombe	32	18	14	1.4	1.0	16	5	11	44	31	53
16	8	Shrewsbury	33	19	14	1.2	1.0	15	6	12	41	34	51
17	11	Fleetwood Town	33	19	14	1.1	1.0	10	12	11	36	34	42
18	22	Milton Keynes Dons	33	19	14	0.9	1.6	8	5	20	30	52	29
19	1	Sheffield Weds	32	19	13	1.8	0.7	21	8	3	59	22	71
20	10	Portsmouth	31	18	13	1.3	1.2	11	12	8	41	36	45
21	12	Exeter	33	20	13	1.3	1.3	11	9	13	44	43	42
22	19	Cheltenham	32	19	13	0.8	1.4	9	6	17	25	44	33
23	21	Accrington	31	19	12	0.8	1.5	7	10	14	26	47	31
24	15	Lincoln	31	23	8	1.0	1.0	8	16	7	30	32	40

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Derby	16	6	10	2.1	0.8	11	3	2	33	12	36
2	9	Peterboro	15	5	10	2.1	1.1	10	1	4	31	17	31
3	17	Oxford	17	7	10	1.2	1.4	5	3	9	20	23	18
4	1	Sheffield Weds	17	8	9	2.4	0.8	12	4	1	40	13	40
5	2	Plymouth	16	7	9	2.0	0.8	14	1	1	32	12	43
6	3	Ipswich	16	7	9	2.1	0.8	9	6	1	33	12	33
7	8	Shrewsbury	17	8	9	1.5	1.2	9	2	6	25	21	29
8	13	Bristol Rvs	16	7	9	1.4	1.6	5	5	6	22	26	20
9	24	Forest Green	17	8	9	0.7	1.7	4	1	12	12	29	13
10	5	Barnsley	15	7	8	1.7	1.0	10	1	4	26	15	31
11	14	Charlton	17	9	8	1.6	1.3	6	5	6	28	22	23
12	16	Port Vale	17	9	8	1.0	1.3	6	4	7	17	22	22
13	20	Morecambe	17	9	8	1.4	1.2	6	6	5	23	21	24
14	4	Bolton	18	11	7	1.6	0.5	12	4	2	28	9	40
15	7	Wycombe	16	9	7	1.6	0.9	9	3	4	25	15	30
16	10	Portsmouth	16	9	7	1.6	1.0	6	8	2	25	16	26
17	12	Exeter	16	9	7	1.4	1.2	6	5	5	22	19	23
18	11	Fleetwood Town	17	11	6	0.9	1.0	5	5	7	16	17	20
19	18	Burton	16	10	6	1.1	1.4	5	5	6	17	23	20
20	19	Cheltenham	15	9	6	0.9	1.3	5	3	7	13	20	18
21	21	Accrington	15	9	6	1.1	1.5	4	5	6	17	23	17
22	23	Cambridge	16	10	6	0.9	1.2	6	3	7	15	19	21
23	22	Milton Keynes Dons	17	12	5	0.6	1.5	2	4	11	11	25	10
24	15	Lincoln	15	13	2	0.9	0.7	3	12	0	14	10	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Bristol Rvs	17	6	11	1.5	1.7	6	3	8	25	29	21
2	18	Burton	16	5	11	1.4	2.2	4	3	9	23	35	15
3	2	Plymouth	17	7	10	1.6	1.5	6	7	4	27	25	25
4	3	Ipswich	17	8	9	1.6	1.1	8	6	3	28	19	30
5	9	Peterboro	16	7	9	1.4	1.4	6	1	9	22	23	19
6	16	Port Vale	17	8	9	1.0	1.6	5	3	9	17	27	18
7	20	Morecambe	16	7	9	0.6	2.0	1	4	11	10	32	7
8	22	Milton Keynes Dons	16	7	9	1.2	1.7	6	1	9	19	27	19
9	23	Cambridge	17	8	9	0.6	2.1	2	2	13	11	35	8
10	11	Fleetwood Town	16	8	8	1.2	1.1	5	7	4	20	17	22
11	24	Forest Green	17	9	8	0.8	2.1	1	7	9	14	35	10
12	4	Bolton	16	9	7	1.4	1.0	6	4	6	22	16	22
13	5	Barnsley	16	9	7	1.4	0.8	8	4	4	23	13	28
14	7	Wycombe	16	9	7	1.2	1.0	7	2	7	19	16	23
15	14	Charlton	15	8	7	1.1	1.5	4	5	6	17	22	17
16	19	Cheltenham	17	10	7	0.7	1.4	4	3	10	12	24	15
17	6	Derby	16	10	6	1.1	1.1	5	6	5	18	17	21
18	10	Portsmouth	15	9	6	1.1	1.3	5	4	6	16	20	19
19	12	Exeter	17	11	6	1.3	1.4	5	4	8	22	24	19
20	15	Lincoln	16	10	6	1.0	1.4	5	4	7	16	22	19
21	21	Accrington	16	10	6	0.6	1.5	3	5	8	9	24	14
22	8	Shrewsbury	16	11	5	1.0	0.8	6	4	6	16	13	22
23	17	Oxford	17	12	5	0.9	1.2	4	6	7	16	21	18
24	1	Sheffield Weds	15	11	4	1.3	0.6	9	4	2	19	9	31

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.