Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Oldham

Derby 1–1 Lincoln

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 1.44 fair 1.83
Draw ✓ 4.33 fair 4.05
Away 7.50 fair 4.87
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 1.86
Over 2.5 2.00 fair 2.17

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Lincoln
21 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 2
8 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (352 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.63 – 0.89
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawLincoln
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.1% 1–1 11.7% 2–0 10.7%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.83points / match
1.62scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 47:24
Lincoln before this match, all matches
1.32points / match
1.00scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 28:30
Derby all matches all matches Lincoln

Per match

1.62 Goals scored 1.00
0.83 Goals conceded 1.07
2.45 Total goals 2.07
14.03 Shots 9.11
5.10 Shots on target 3.39
9.86 Shots faced 12.39
6.07 Corners 3.93
4.59 Corners against 5.64
9.90 Fouls 10.46
1.83 Yellow cards 1.75
0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.28 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

52% Wins 29%
28% Draws 46%
21% Losses 25%
79% Over 0.5 goals 82%
66% Over 1.5 goals 68%
52% Over 2.5 goals 29%
28% Over 3.5 goals 11%
17% Over 4.5 goals 4%
3% Over 5.5 goals 4%
45% Both teams scored 43%
45% Clean sheets 36%
31% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 36%
45% Draws 36%
14% Losses 29%
59% Over 0.5 goals 68%
28% Over 1.5 goals 29%
10% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Lincoln all matches
Derby before this match, at home
2.29points / match
2.14scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 30:11
Lincoln before this match, away
1.21points / match
1.00scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 14:20
Derby at home away Lincoln

Per match

2.14 Goals scored 1.00
0.79 Goals conceded 1.43
2.93 Total goals 2.43
14.07 Shots 7.86
5.50 Shots on target 3.00
8.50 Shots faced 13.64
6.00 Corners 3.14
4.14 Corners against 5.93
10.50 Fouls 11.14
1.86 Yellow cards 1.43
1.14 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.21 1st-half goals conceded 0.93

How often Full Time

71% Wins 36%
14% Draws 14%
14% Losses 50%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 64%
71% Over 2.5 goals 43%
36% Over 3.5 goals 14%
21% Over 4.5 goals 7%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
50% Both teams scored 21%
50% Clean sheets 36%
14% Failed to score 57%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 36%
36% Draws 21%
7% Losses 43%
64% Over 0.5 goals 79%
36% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Lincoln away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23 Wycombe – Derby 3–2 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.98 1.88
04.02.23 Derby – Morecambe 5–0 (1–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.70 2.10
24.01.23 Port Vale – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.25 1.62
21.01.23 Derby – Bolton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 2.05 1.75
14.01.23 Cheltenham – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 4.753.751.75 2.05 1.80
02.01.23 Derby – Accrington 4–0 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.93 1.93
30.12.22 Derby – Cambridge 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 2.00 1.80
27.12.22 Bolton – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 2.02 1.83
17.12.22 Derby – Forest Green 4–0 (2–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.08
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85

Lincoln all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23 Lincoln – Bristol Rvs 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.02 1.83
04.02.23 Accrington – Lincoln 0–3 (0–1) 2.253.303.30 2.02 1.83
28.01.23 Lincoln – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.15 1.67
14.01.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Lincoln 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.70
07.01.23 Charlton – Lincoln 2–1 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.05 1.75
02.01.23 Lincoln – Ipswich 1–1 (0–0) 5.004.331.62 1.80 2.00
30.12.22 Lincoln – Bolton 1–1 (1–0) 3.253.302.15 2.00 1.85
26.12.22 Burton – Lincoln 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
10.12.22 Lincoln – Wycombe 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.252.55 2.08 1.73
03.12.22 Shrewsbury – Lincoln 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.15 1.66

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23 Derby – Morecambe 5–0 (1–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.70 2.10
21.01.23 Derby – Bolton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 2.05 1.75
02.01.23 Derby – Accrington 4–0 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.93 1.93
30.12.22 Derby – Cambridge 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 2.00 1.80
17.12.22 Derby – Forest Green 4–0 (2–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.08
03.12.22 Derby – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.75
29.10.22 Derby – Bristol Rvs 4–2 (4–2) 1.723.804.75 1.75 2.05
25.10.22 Derby – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.88 1.98
08.10.22 Derby – Port Vale 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.805.50 2.15 1.73
17.09.22 Derby – Wycombe 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 1.95 1.90

Lincoln away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23 Accrington – Lincoln 0–3 (0–1) 2.253.303.30 2.02 1.83
14.01.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Lincoln 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.70
07.01.23 Charlton – Lincoln 2–1 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.05 1.75
26.12.22 Burton – Lincoln 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
03.12.22 Shrewsbury – Lincoln 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.15 1.66
29.10.22 Port Vale – Lincoln 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 2.20 1.65
25.10.22 Barnsley – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.90 1.95
15.10.22 Ipswich – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 1.364.759.00 1.90 1.95
01.10.22 Bolton – Lincoln 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88
17.09.22 Bristol Rvs – Lincoln 3–6 (1–3) 2.703.502.55 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsLincoln wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.22E2 Lincoln – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 4.503.501.83 2.15 1.66

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 30 19 7 4 54 31 +23 64
2 Sheffield Weds 29 18 8 3 50 20 +30 62
3 Ipswich 30 15 11 4 56 31 +25 56
4 Bolton 31 16 8 7 43 23 +20 56
5 Derby 29 15 8 6 47 24 +23 53
6 Barnsley 28 15 5 8 38 26 +12 50
7 Wycombe 29 14 5 10 41 29 +12 47
8 Shrewsbury 30 14 5 11 39 33 +6 47
9 Peterboro 28 14 2 12 45 37 +8 44
10 Exeter 30 10 8 12 42 42 0 38
11 Portsmouth 28 9 11 8 36 36 0 38
12 Charlton 29 9 10 10 44 41 +3 37
13 Lincoln 28 8 13 7 28 30 -2 37
14 Bristol Rvs 30 10 7 13 43 53 -10 37
15 Port Vale 30 10 7 13 31 43 -12 37
16 Oxford 31 9 9 13 35 37 -2 36
17 Fleetwood Town 29 7 11 11 33 34 -1 32
18 Burton 29 8 7 14 38 56 -18 31
19 Cheltenham 29 8 6 15 23 35 -12 30
20 Milton Keynes Dons 30 8 5 17 28 41 -13 29
21 Morecambe 29 6 10 13 32 46 -14 28
22 Accrington 28 6 9 13 25 45 -20 27
23 Cambridge 29 7 5 17 24 49 -25 26
24 Forest Green 31 5 7 19 25 58 -33 22
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 15 14 0 1 32 12 +20 42
2 Sheffield Weds 15 10 4 1 32 11 +21 34
3 Bolton 16 10 4 2 21 8 +13 34
4 Derby 14 10 2 2 30 11 +19 32
5 Ipswich 15 8 6 1 29 12 +17 30
6 Peterboro 14 9 1 4 26 15 +11 28
7 Barnsley 14 9 1 4 22 14 +8 28
8 Wycombe 15 8 3 4 24 15 +9 27
9 Shrewsbury 16 8 2 6 23 21 +2 26
10 Charlton 16 6 5 5 28 21 +7 23
11 Morecambe 15 5 6 4 22 18 +4 21
12 Portsmouth 14 4 8 2 20 16 +4 20
13 Lincoln 14 3 11 0 14 10 +4 20
14 Exeter 14 5 4 5 20 19 +1 19
15 Bristol Rvs 14 5 4 5 21 24 -3 19
16 Port Vale 15 5 4 6 15 19 -4 19
17 Burton 15 5 4 6 17 23 -6 19
18 Oxford 15 5 3 7 19 17 +2 18
19 Cheltenham 14 5 3 6 13 16 -3 18
20 Cambridge 14 5 3 6 13 17 -4 18
21 Accrington 13 3 5 5 16 21 -5 14
22 Forest Green 15 4 0 11 11 27 -16 12
23 Fleetwood Town 14 2 5 7 13 17 -4 11
24 Milton Keynes Dons 16 2 4 10 11 24 -13 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 14 8 4 2 18 9 +9 28
2 Ipswich 15 7 5 3 27 19 +8 26
3 Bolton 15 6 4 5 22 15 +7 22
4 Barnsley 14 6 4 4 16 12 +4 22
5 Plymouth 15 5 7 3 22 19 +3 22
6 Derby 15 5 6 4 17 13 +4 21
7 Shrewsbury 14 6 3 5 16 12 +4 21
8 Fleetwood Town 15 5 6 4 20 17 +3 21
9 Wycombe 14 6 2 6 17 14 +3 20
10 Milton Keynes Dons 14 6 1 7 17 17 0 19
11 Exeter 16 5 4 7 22 23 -1 19
12 Oxford 16 4 6 6 16 20 -4 18
13 Portsmouth 14 5 3 6 16 20 -4 18
14 Bristol Rvs 16 5 3 8 22 29 -7 18
15 Port Vale 15 5 3 7 16 24 -8 18
16 Lincoln 14 5 2 7 14 20 -6 17
17 Peterboro 14 5 1 8 19 22 -3 16
18 Charlton 13 3 5 5 16 20 -4 14
19 Accrington 15 3 4 8 9 24 -15 13
20 Cheltenham 15 3 3 9 10 19 -9 12
21 Burton 14 3 3 8 21 33 -12 12
22 Forest Green 16 1 7 8 14 31 -17 10
23 Cambridge 15 2 2 11 11 32 -21 8
24 Morecambe 14 1 4 9 10 28 -18 7

Derby   Lincoln

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Bristol Rvs 30 12 18 1.4 1.8 10 7 13 43 53 37
2 1 Plymouth 30 13 17 1.8 1.0 19 7 4 54 31 64
3 3 Ipswich 30 13 17 1.9 1.0 15 11 4 56 31 56
4 9 Peterboro 28 11 17 1.6 1.3 14 2 12 45 37 44
5 18 Burton 29 13 16 1.3 1.9 8 7 14 38 56 31
6 24 Forest Green 31 15 16 0.8 1.9 5 7 19 25 58 22
7 5 Derby 29 14 15 1.6 0.8 15 8 6 47 24 53
8 12 Charlton 29 14 15 1.5 1.4 9 10 10 44 41 37
9 15 Port Vale 30 15 15 1.0 1.4 10 7 13 31 43 37
10 21 Morecambe 29 14 15 1.1 1.6 6 10 13 32 46 28
11 7 Wycombe 29 15 14 1.4 1.0 14 5 10 41 29 47
12 8 Shrewsbury 30 16 14 1.3 1.1 14 5 11 39 33 47
13 17 Fleetwood Town 29 15 14 1.1 1.2 7 11 11 33 34 32
14 23 Cambridge 29 15 14 0.8 1.7 7 5 17 24 49 26
15 10 Exeter 30 17 13 1.4 1.4 10 8 12 42 42 38
16 16 Oxford 31 18 13 1.1 1.2 9 9 13 35 37 36
17 4 Bolton 31 19 12 1.4 0.7 16 8 7 43 23 56
18 6 Barnsley 28 16 12 1.4 0.9 15 5 8 38 26 50
19 11 Portsmouth 28 16 12 1.3 1.3 9 11 8 36 36 38
20 20 Milton Keynes Dons 30 18 12 0.9 1.4 8 5 17 28 41 29
21 22 Accrington 28 16 12 0.9 1.6 6 9 13 25 45 27
22 2 Sheffield Weds 29 18 11 1.7 0.7 18 8 3 50 20 62
23 19 Cheltenham 29 19 10 0.8 1.2 8 6 15 23 35 30
24 13 Lincoln 28 20 8 1.0 1.1 8 13 7 28 30 37
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Derby 14 4 10 2.1 0.8 10 2 2 30 11 32
2 1 Plymouth 15 6 9 2.1 0.8 14 0 1 32 12 42
3 8 Shrewsbury 16 7 9 1.4 1.3 8 2 6 23 21 26
4 9 Peterboro 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 9 1 4 26 15 28
5 24 Forest Green 15 6 9 0.7 1.8 4 0 11 11 27 12
6 3 Ipswich 15 7 8 1.9 0.8 8 6 1 29 12 30
7 12 Charlton 16 8 8 1.8 1.3 6 5 5 28 21 23
8 14 Bristol Rvs 14 6 8 1.5 1.7 5 4 5 21 24 19
9 16 Oxford 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 5 3 7 19 17 18
10 2 Sheffield Weds 15 8 7 2.1 0.7 10 4 1 32 11 34
11 6 Barnsley 14 7 7 1.6 1.0 9 1 4 22 14 28
12 7 Wycombe 15 8 7 1.6 1.0 8 3 4 24 15 27
13 10 Exeter 14 7 7 1.4 1.4 5 4 5 20 19 19
14 15 Port Vale 15 8 7 1.0 1.3 5 4 6 15 19 19
15 21 Morecambe 15 8 7 1.5 1.2 5 6 4 22 18 21
16 11 Portsmouth 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 4 8 2 20 16 20
17 17 Fleetwood Town 14 8 6 0.9 1.2 2 5 7 13 17 11
18 18 Burton 15 9 6 1.1 1.5 5 4 6 17 23 19
19 22 Accrington 13 7 6 1.2 1.6 3 5 5 16 21 14
20 4 Bolton 16 11 5 1.3 0.5 10 4 2 21 8 34
21 19 Cheltenham 14 9 5 0.9 1.1 5 3 6 13 16 18
22 20 Milton Keynes Dons 16 11 5 0.7 1.5 2 4 10 11 24 10
23 23 Cambridge 14 9 5 0.9 1.2 5 3 6 13 17 18
24 13 Lincoln 14 12 2 1.0 0.7 3 11 0 14 10 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Bristol Rvs 16 6 10 1.4 1.8 5 3 8 22 29 18
2 18 Burton 14 4 10 1.5 2.4 3 3 8 21 33 12
3 3 Ipswich 15 6 9 1.8 1.3 7 5 3 27 19 26
4 23 Cambridge 15 6 9 0.7 2.1 2 2 11 11 32 8
5 1 Plymouth 15 7 8 1.5 1.3 5 7 3 22 19 22
6 9 Peterboro 14 6 8 1.4 1.6 5 1 8 19 22 16
7 15 Port Vale 15 7 8 1.1 1.6 5 3 7 16 24 18
8 17 Fleetwood Town 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 5 6 4 20 17 21
9 21 Morecambe 14 6 8 0.7 2.0 1 4 9 10 28 7
10 4 Bolton 15 8 7 1.5 1.0 6 4 5 22 15 22
11 7 Wycombe 14 7 7 1.2 1.0 6 2 6 17 14 20
12 12 Charlton 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 3 5 5 16 20 14
13 20 Milton Keynes Dons 14 7 7 1.2 1.2 6 1 7 17 17 19
14 24 Forest Green 16 9 7 0.9 1.9 1 7 8 14 31 10
15 10 Exeter 16 10 6 1.4 1.4 5 4 7 22 23 19
16 11 Portsmouth 14 8 6 1.1 1.4 5 3 6 16 20 18
17 13 Lincoln 14 8 6 1.0 1.4 5 2 7 14 20 17
18 22 Accrington 15 9 6 0.6 1.6 3 4 8 9 24 13
19 5 Derby 15 10 5 1.1 0.9 5 6 4 17 13 21
20 6 Barnsley 14 9 5 1.1 0.9 6 4 4 16 12 22
21 8 Shrewsbury 14 9 5 1.1 0.9 6 3 5 16 12 21
22 16 Oxford 16 11 5 1.0 1.2 4 6 6 16 20 18
23 19 Cheltenham 15 10 5 0.7 1.3 3 3 9 10 19 12
24 2 Sheffield Weds 14 10 4 1.3 0.6 8 4 2 18 9 28

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51