Watford 2–0 Derby – England Championship, 21 Feb 2026

Match facts

Watford Derby

18 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 1

2 Corners 2

13 Fouls 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (387 league matches this season so far).

Result Watford to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.82

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.33

Home / Draw / Away

38% 26% 36%

WatfordDrawDerby

Under / Over 2.5 goals

49% 51%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

45% 55%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.2% 1–0 9.2% 0–1 8.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches

1.41points / match

1.28scored / match

1.19conceded / match

11 12 9

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 41:38

Derby before this match, all matches

1.50points / match

1.47scored / match

1.22conceded / match

13 9 10

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 47:39

Watford all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.28 Goals scored 1.47

1.19 Goals conceded 1.22

2.47 Total goals 2.69

14.03 Shots 10.06

4.50 Shots on target 3.38

11.00 Shots faced 12.44

4.94 Corners 4.81

5.47 Corners against 5.63

10.31 Fouls 12.31

1.94 Yellow cards 2.22

0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.66

0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

34% Wins 41%

38% Draws 28%

28% Losses 31%

97% Over 0.5 goals 100%

75% Over 1.5 goals 78%

47% Over 2.5 goals 50%

22% Over 3.5 goals 22%

6% Over 4.5 goals 9%

0% Over 5.5 goals 3%

63% Both teams scored 69%

16% Clean sheets 25%

25% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 38%

50% Draws 38%

31% Losses 25%

69% Over 0.5 goals 75%

44% Over 1.5 goals 25%

16% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches

2

1

W

1

W

3

W

2

L

1

D

1

D

2

L

D

1

L

2

D

Derby all matches

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

1

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

5

W

1

2

L

2

W

Watford before this match, at home

1.81points / match

1.50scored / match

1.06conceded / match

8 5 3

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 24:17

Derby before this match, away

1.80points / match

1.73scored / match

1.07conceded / match

8 3 4

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 26:16

Watford at home away Derby

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.73

1.06 Goals conceded 1.07

2.56 Total goals 2.80

16.06 Shots 9.60

5.56 Shots on target 3.27

11.00 Shots faced 13.13

5.25 Corners 3.93

5.00 Corners against 6.40

10.19 Fouls 13.00

1.63 Yellow cards 2.47

0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.80

0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

50% Wins 53%

31% Draws 20%

19% Losses 27%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

88% Over 1.5 goals 80%

50% Over 2.5 goals 67%

13% Over 3.5 goals 27%

6% Over 4.5 goals 7%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

63% Both teams scored 67%

19% Clean sheets 27%

19% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 53%

50% Draws 27%

25% Losses 20%

69% Over 0.5 goals 73%

50% Over 1.5 goals 20%

19% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home

3

W

1

D

1

D

3

2

W

1

D

1

W

3

W

2

L

1

D

2

L

Derby away

3

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

3

W

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

5

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.26	Preston – Watford	2–2 (1–0)	3.00	3.20	2.20	2.20	1.67
07.02.26	Southampton – Watford	1–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.70	4.00	1.83	2.03
03.02.26	Hull – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.50	3.10	1.91	1.91
31.01.26	Watford – Swansea	0–2 (0–0)	2.01	3.30	3.60	2.10	1.73
24.01.26	Blackburn – Watford	1–1 (1–1)	2.70	3.10	2.65	2.20	1.67
21.01.26	Watford – Portsmouth	1–1 (0–0)	1.68	3.75	4.75	2.00	1.80
17.01.26	Watford – Millwall	0–2 (0–0)	2.01	3.30	3.60	2.10	1.73
01.01.26	Watford – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.30	3.25	2.95	2.00	1.80
29.12.25	Norwich – Watford	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.65	1.80	2.00
26.12.25	Leicester – Watford	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.30	3.05	1.95	1.90

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.26	Derby – Swansea	2–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.30	2.20	1.67
07.02.26	Derby – Ipswich	1–2 (0–1)	3.60	3.40	2.01	2.10	1.73
30.01.26	Bristol City – Derby	0–5 (0–3)	2.15	3.30	3.30	2.10	1.73
23.01.26	Derby – West Brom	1–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	2.75	2.38	1.57
20.01.26	Charlton – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	2.65	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.53
17.01.26	Preston – Derby	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.40	2.38	1.57
04.01.26	Derby – Wrexham	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.25	3.05	2.20	1.67
01.01.26	Derby – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	3.05	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73
29.12.25	Leicester – Derby	2–1 (2–1)	2.05	3.25	3.50	2.20	1.67
26.12.25	Birmingham – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.73

Watford at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
31.01.26	Watford – Swansea	0–2 (0–0)	2.01	3.30	3.60	2.10	1.73
21.01.26	Watford – Portsmouth	1–1 (0–0)	1.68	3.75	4.75	2.00	1.80
17.01.26	Watford – Millwall	0–2 (0–0)	2.01	3.30	3.60	2.10	1.73
01.01.26	Watford – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.30	3.25	2.95	2.00	1.80
20.12.25	Watford – Stoke	1–0 (0–0)	2.01	3.20	3.20	1.91	1.91
09.12.25	Watford – Sheffield Weds	1–1 (0–1)	1.53	4.33	5.00	1.57	2.38
06.12.25	Watford – Norwich	3–2 (1–2)	1.86	3.60	3.80	1.85	2.00
25.11.25	Watford – Preston	1–1 (1–1)	1.81	3.60	4.20	2.10	1.73
07.11.25	Watford – Bristol City	1–1 (1–1)	2.01	3.40	3.60	2.20	1.67
01.11.25	Watford – Middlesbrough	3–0 (2–0)	2.65	3.40	2.45	2.05	1.80

Derby away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
30.01.26	Bristol City – Derby	0–5 (0–3)	2.15	3.30	3.30	2.10	1.73
20.01.26	Charlton – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	2.65	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.53
17.01.26	Preston – Derby	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.40	2.38	1.57
29.12.25	Leicester – Derby	2–1 (2–1)	2.05	3.25	3.50	2.20	1.67
26.12.25	Birmingham – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.73
15.12.25	Sheffield Weds – Derby	0–3 (0–1)	3.20	3.20	2.20	2.10	1.73
29.11.25	Middlesbrough – Derby	2–1 (0–1)	1.71	3.60	5.00	2.20	1.67
25.11.25	Swansea – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.05	3.60	2.50	1.53
08.11.25	Blackburn – Derby	1–2 (0–2)	1.91	3.30	3.90	2.38	1.57
01.11.25	Sheffield United – Derby	1–3 (0–1)	1.76	3.50	4.33	2.20	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3

Watford winsDrawsDerby wins

3matches

3.33goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.11.25E1	Derby – Watford	2–3 (1–0)	2.45	3.20	2.82	2.30	1.62
18.01.25E1	Derby – Watford	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
24.08.24E1	Watford – Derby	2–1 (1–1)	1.85	3.50	4.10	1.88	1.98

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	33	19	8	6	68	36	+32	65
2	Middlesbrough	32	18	7	7	50	33	+17	61
3	Millwall	32	16	8	8	41	37	+4	56
4	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51	29	+22	54
5	Hull	32	16	6	10	51	46	+5	54
6	Derby	32	13	9	10	47	39	+8	48
7	Wrexham	32	12	12	8	46	41	+5	48
8	Preston	33	12	12	9	40	37	+3	48
9	Bristol City	33	13	8	12	45	41	+4	47
10	QPR	33	13	8	12	46	47	-1	47
11	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48	44	+4	46
12	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43	39	+4	46
13	Watford	32	11	12	9	41	38	+3	45
14	Swansea	33	13	6	14	39	39	0	45
15	Stoke	33	12	8	13	36	31	+5	44
16	Sheffield United	32	13	3	16	45	45	0	42
17	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42	42	0	39
18	Leicester	33	10	9	14	46	53	-7	39
19	Charlton	32	10	9	13	31	41	-10	39
20	Blackburn	33	10	8	15	31	41	-10	38
21	Portsmouth	31	9	9	13	30	40	-10	36
22	West Brom	33	9	7	17	32	49	-17	34
23	Oxford	32	6	10	16	28	44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Weds	32	1	8	23	19	64	-45	11

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	16	12	3	1	34	12	+22	39
2	Ipswich	16	10	5	1	30	12	+18	35
3	Middlesbrough	15	10	3	2	25	11	+14	33
4	Birmingham	16	8	7	1	30	15	+15	31
5	Swansea	17	9	4	4	25	18	+7	31
6	Millwall	16	9	3	4	22	18	+4	30
7	Watford	16	8	5	3	24	17	+7	29
8	Preston	17	7	6	4	22	18	+4	27
9	Hull	17	8	3	6	24	26	-2	27
10	Southampton	15	7	5	3	20	13	+7	26
11	QPR	16	8	2	6	29	24	+5	26
12	Bristol City	17	7	4	6	27	22	+5	25
13	Charlton	16	7	4	5	17	17	0	25
14	Wrexham	16	6	6	4	26	24	+2	24
15	Sheffield United	15	7	2	6	25	17	+8	23
16	West Brom	16	6	5	5	18	21	-3	23
17	Stoke	16	6	4	6	21	16	+5	22
18	Portsmouth	16	6	4	6	18	16	+2	22
19	Leicester	16	6	4	6	23	23	0	22
20	Derby	17	5	6	6	21	23	-2	21
21	Blackburn	17	4	5	8	16	22	-6	17
22	Norwich	15	5	1	9	16	20	-4	16
23	Oxford	16	3	6	7	13	22	-9	15
24	Sheffield Weds	17	0	4	13	8	35	-27	4

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	17	8	4	5	25	22	+3	28
2	Derby	15	8	3	4	26	16	+10	27
3	Hull	15	8	3	4	27	20	+7	27
4	Coventry	17	7	5	5	34	24	+10	26
5	Millwall	16	7	5	4	19	19	0	26
6	Wrexham	16	6	6	4	20	17	+3	24
7	Norwich	17	6	5	6	26	22	+4	23
8	Stoke	17	6	4	7	15	15	0	22
9	Bristol City	16	6	4	6	18	19	-1	22
10	Preston	16	5	6	5	18	19	-1	21
11	Blackburn	16	6	3	7	15	19	-4	21
12	QPR	17	5	6	6	17	23	-6	21
13	Southampton	17	5	5	7	28	31	-3	20
14	Ipswich	14	5	4	5	21	17	+4	19
15	Sheffield United	17	6	1	10	20	28	-8	19
16	Leicester	17	4	5	8	23	30	-7	17
17	Watford	16	3	7	6	17	21	-4	16
18	Birmingham	16	4	3	9	13	24	-11	15
19	Swansea	16	4	2	10	14	21	-7	14
20	Charlton	16	3	5	8	14	24	-10	14
21	Portsmouth	15	3	5	7	12	24	-12	14
22	Oxford	16	3	4	9	15	22	-7	13
23	West Brom	17	3	2	12	14	28	-14	11
24	Sheffield Weds	15	1	4	10	11	29	-18	7

Watford Derby

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Leicester	33	11	22	1.4	1.6	10	9	14	46	53	39
2	5	Hull	32	11	21	1.6	1.4	16	6	10	51	46	54
3	10	QPR	33	12	21	1.4	1.4	13	8	12	46	47	47
4	1	Coventry	33	13	20	2.1	1.1	19	8	6	68	36	65
5	11	Southampton	32	13	19	1.5	1.4	12	10	10	48	44	46
6	2	Middlesbrough	32	14	18	1.6	1.0	18	7	7	50	33	61
7	16	Sheffield United	32	14	18	1.4	1.4	13	3	16	45	45	42
8	24	Sheffield Weds	32	14	18	0.6	2.0	1	8	23	19	64	11
9	4	Ipswich	30	14	16	1.7	1.0	15	9	6	51	29	54
10	6	Derby	32	16	16	1.5	1.2	13	9	10	47	39	48
11	17	Norwich	32	16	16	1.3	1.3	11	6	15	42	42	39
12	22	West Brom	33	17	16	1.0	1.5	9	7	17	32	49	34
13	23	Oxford	32	16	16	0.9	1.4	6	10	16	28	44	28
14	3	Millwall	32	17	15	1.3	1.2	16	8	8	41	37	56
15	9	Bristol City	33	18	15	1.4	1.2	13	8	12	45	41	47
16	12	Birmingham	32	17	15	1.3	1.2	12	10	10	43	39	46
17	13	Watford	32	17	15	1.3	1.2	11	12	9	41	38	45
18	14	Swansea	33	18	15	1.2	1.2	13	6	14	39	39	45
19	7	Wrexham	32	18	14	1.4	1.3	12	12	8	46	41	48
20	8	Preston	33	19	14	1.2	1.1	12	12	9	40	37	48
21	15	Stoke	33	20	13	1.1	0.9	12	8	13	36	31	44
22	19	Charlton	32	19	13	1.0	1.3	10	9	13	31	41	39
23	20	Blackburn	33	20	13	0.9	1.2	10	8	15	31	41	38
24	21	Portsmouth	31	18	13	1.0	1.3	9	9	13	30	40	36

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	QPR	16	3	13	1.8	1.5	8	2	6	29	24	26
2	5	Hull	17	7	10	1.4	1.5	8	3	6	24	26	27
3	16	Sheffield United	15	5	10	1.7	1.1	7	2	6	25	17	23
4	1	Coventry	16	7	9	2.1	0.8	12	3	1	34	12	39
5	4	Ipswich	16	7	9	1.9	0.8	10	5	1	30	12	35
6	9	Bristol City	17	8	9	1.6	1.3	7	4	6	27	22	25
7	18	Leicester	16	7	9	1.4	1.4	6	4	6	23	23	22
8	24	Sheffield Weds	17	8	9	0.5	2.1	0	4	13	8	35	4
9	2	Middlesbrough	15	7	8	1.7	0.7	10	3	2	25	11	33
10	3	Millwall	16	8	8	1.4	1.1	9	3	4	22	18	30
11	7	Wrexham	16	8	8	1.6	1.5	6	6	4	26	24	24
12	8	Preston	17	9	8	1.3	1.1	7	6	4	22	18	27
13	12	Birmingham	16	8	8	1.9	0.9	8	7	1	30	15	31
14	13	Watford	16	8	8	1.5	1.1	8	5	3	24	17	29
15	14	Swansea	17	9	8	1.5	1.1	9	4	4	25	18	31
16	15	Stoke	16	8	8	1.3	1.0	6	4	6	21	16	22
17	23	Oxford	16	8	8	0.8	1.4	3	6	7	13	22	15
18	11	Southampton	15	8	7	1.3	0.9	7	5	3	20	13	26
19	17	Norwich	15	8	7	1.1	1.3	5	1	9	16	20	16
20	21	Portsmouth	16	9	7	1.1	1.0	6	4	6	18	16	22
21	22	West Brom	16	9	7	1.1	1.3	6	5	5	18	21	23
22	6	Derby	17	11	6	1.2	1.4	5	6	6	21	23	21
23	19	Charlton	16	10	6	1.1	1.1	7	4	5	17	17	25
24	20	Blackburn	17	11	6	0.9	1.3	4	5	8	16	22	17

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Leicester	17	4	13	1.4	1.8	4	5	8	23	30	17
2	11	Southampton	17	5	12	1.6	1.8	5	5	7	28	31	20
3	1	Coventry	17	6	11	2.0	1.4	7	5	5	34	24	26
4	5	Hull	15	4	11	1.8	1.3	8	3	4	27	20	27
5	2	Middlesbrough	17	7	10	1.5	1.3	8	4	5	25	22	28
6	6	Derby	15	5	10	1.7	1.1	8	3	4	26	16	27
7	17	Norwich	17	8	9	1.5	1.3	6	5	6	26	22	23
8	22	West Brom	17	8	9	0.8	1.6	3	2	12	14	28	11
9	24	Sheffield Weds	15	6	9	0.7	1.9	1	4	10	11	29	7
10	10	QPR	17	9	8	1.0	1.4	5	6	6	17	23	21
11	16	Sheffield United	17	9	8	1.2	1.6	6	1	10	20	28	19
12	23	Oxford	16	8	8	0.9	1.4	3	4	9	15	22	13
13	3	Millwall	16	9	7	1.2	1.2	7	5	4	19	19	26
14	4	Ipswich	14	7	7	1.5	1.2	5	4	5	21	17	19
15	12	Birmingham	16	9	7	0.8	1.5	4	3	9	13	24	15
16	13	Watford	16	9	7	1.1	1.3	3	7	6	17	21	16
17	14	Swansea	16	9	7	0.9	1.3	4	2	10	14	21	14
18	19	Charlton	16	9	7	0.9	1.5	3	5	8	14	24	14
19	20	Blackburn	16	9	7	0.9	1.2	6	3	7	15	19	21
20	7	Wrexham	16	10	6	1.2	1.1	6	6	4	20	17	24
21	8	Preston	16	10	6	1.1	1.2	5	6	5	18	19	21
22	9	Bristol City	16	10	6	1.1	1.2	6	4	6	18	19	22
23	21	Portsmouth	15	9	6	0.8	1.6	3	5	7	12	24	14
24	15	Stoke	17	12	5	0.9	0.9	6	4	7	15	15	22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.