Derby 2–0 Swansea – England Championship, 14 Feb 2026

Match facts

Derby Swansea

11 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 2

6 Corners 2

20 Fouls 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (374 league matches this season so far).

Result Derby to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.89

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.19

Home / Draw / Away

42% 26% 32%

DerbyDrawSwansea

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

47% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.4% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 8.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches

1.45points / match

1.45scored / match

1.26conceded / match

12 9 10

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 45:39

Swansea before this match, all matches

1.35points / match

1.23scored / match

1.19conceded / match

12 6 13

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 38:37

Derby all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.23

1.26 Goals conceded 1.19

2.71 Total goals 2.42

10.03 Shots 12.45

3.29 Shots on target 3.97

12.35 Shots faced 12.03

4.77 Corners 4.97

5.74 Corners against 4.74

12.06 Fouls 10.00

2.23 Yellow cards 2.03

0.68 1st-half goals scored 0.39

0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

39% Wins 39%

29% Draws 19%

32% Losses 42%

100% Over 0.5 goals 97%

77% Over 1.5 goals 71%

52% Over 2.5 goals 48%

23% Over 3.5 goals 19%

10% Over 4.5 goals 6%

3% Over 5.5 goals 0%

71% Both teams scored 55%

23% Clean sheets 29%

6% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 16%

35% Draws 45%

26% Losses 39%

77% Over 0.5 goals 71%

26% Over 1.5 goals 29%

13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches

1

D

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

1

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

5

W

1

2

L

Swansea all matches

2

1

W

1

L

1

W

1

W

1

2

L

1

D

3

1

W

1

2

L

2

W

4

W

Derby before this match, at home

1.13points / match

1.19scored / match

1.44conceded / match

4 6 6

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 19:23

Swansea before this match, away

0.93points / match

0.93scored / match

1.27conceded / match

4 2 9

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 14:19

Derby at home away Swansea

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 0.93

1.44 Goals conceded 1.27

2.63 Total goals 2.20

10.44 Shots 11.27

3.31 Shots on target 4.07

11.63 Shots faced 13.87

5.56 Corners 4.87

5.13 Corners against 5.53

11.19 Fouls 10.60

2.00 Yellow cards 2.27

0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.27

0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

25% Wins 27%

38% Draws 13%

38% Losses 60%

100% Over 0.5 goals 93%

75% Over 1.5 goals 67%

38% Over 2.5 goals 47%

19% Over 3.5 goals 7%

13% Over 4.5 goals 7%

6% Over 5.5 goals 0%

75% Both teams scored 47%

19% Clean sheets 27%

6% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 13%

44% Draws 47%

31% Losses 40%

81% Over 0.5 goals 60%

31% Over 1.5 goals 27%

13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home

1

W

2

1

W

2

3

L

1

3

L

1

D

1

D

1

W

1

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

Swansea away

1

D

1

2

L

3

L

2

3

L

1

2

L

1

L

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.02.26	Derby – Ipswich	1–2 (0–1)	3.60	3.40	2.01	2.10	1.73
30.01.26	Bristol City – Derby	0–5 (0–3)	2.15	3.30	3.30	2.10	1.73
23.01.26	Derby – West Brom	1–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	2.75	2.38	1.57
20.01.26	Charlton – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	2.65	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.53
17.01.26	Preston – Derby	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.40	2.38	1.57
04.01.26	Derby – Wrexham	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.25	3.05	2.20	1.67
01.01.26	Derby – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	3.05	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73
29.12.25	Leicester – Derby	2–1 (2–1)	2.05	3.25	3.50	2.20	1.67
26.12.25	Birmingham – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.73
20.12.25	Derby – Portsmouth	1–1 (1–1)	1.96	3.20	4.00	2.20	1.67

Swansea all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.02.26	Swansea – Sheffield Weds	4–0 (1–0)	1.27	5.25	9.50	1.80	2.00
31.01.26	Watford – Swansea	0–2 (0–0)	2.01	3.30	3.60	2.10	1.73
24.01.26	Hull – Swansea	2–1 (2–0)	2.32	3.25	3.00	2.00	1.80
20.01.26	Swansea – Blackburn	3–1 (1–1)	2.05	3.25	3.70	2.20	1.67
17.01.26	Swansea – Birmingham	1–1 (1–0)	2.65	3.20	2.57	2.10	1.73
04.01.26	Millwall – Swansea	2–1 (1–0)	2.05	3.25	3.60	2.20	1.67
01.01.26	Swansea – West Brom	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.20	2.55	2.20	1.67
29.12.25	Oxford – Swansea	0–1 (0–1)	2.75	3.05	2.55	2.10	1.73
26.12.25	Coventry – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	1.51	3.90	6.00	1.73	2.10
19.12.25	Swansea – Wrexham	2–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73

Derby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.02.26	Derby – Ipswich	1–2 (0–1)	3.60	3.40	2.01	2.10	1.73
23.01.26	Derby – West Brom	1–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	2.75	2.38	1.57
04.01.26	Derby – Wrexham	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.25	3.05	2.20	1.67
01.01.26	Derby – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	3.05	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73
20.12.25	Derby – Portsmouth	1–1 (1–1)	1.96	3.20	4.00	2.20	1.67
10.12.25	Derby – Millwall	1–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.95	2.95	2.50	1.53
06.12.25	Derby – Leicester	1–3 (0–3)	2.70	3.20	2.57	2.30	1.62
22.11.25	Derby – Watford	2–3 (1–0)	2.45	3.20	2.82	2.30	1.62
04.11.25	Derby – Hull	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.25	3.30	2.10	1.73
25.10.25	Derby – QPR	1–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.25	2.65	2.10	1.73

Swansea away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
31.01.26	Watford – Swansea	0–2 (0–0)	2.01	3.30	3.60	2.10	1.73
24.01.26	Hull – Swansea	2–1 (2–0)	2.32	3.25	3.00	2.00	1.80
04.01.26	Millwall – Swansea	2–1 (1–0)	2.05	3.25	3.60	2.20	1.67
29.12.25	Oxford – Swansea	0–1 (0–1)	2.75	3.05	2.55	2.10	1.73
26.12.25	Coventry – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	1.51	3.90	6.00	1.73	2.10
13.12.25	Stoke – Swansea	2–1 (1–0)	1.81	3.50	4.20	2.10	1.73
29.11.25	West Brom – Swansea	3–2 (0–2)	1.68	3.25	4.33	2.20	1.67
22.11.25	Bristol City – Swansea	3–0 (2–0)	2.10	3.25	3.40	2.10	1.73
05.11.25	Preston – Swansea	2–1 (1–0)	2.20	3.05	3.40	2.20	1.67
01.11.25	Charlton – Swansea	1–1 (0–0)	2.01	3.50	3.50	2.30	1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 3

Derby winsDrawsSwansea wins

5matches

2.00goals / match

60%over 2.5

60%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.11.25E1	Swansea – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.05	3.60	2.50	1.53
05.04.25E1	Swansea – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.75	2.38	1.57
27.11.24E1	Derby – Swansea	1–2 (0–2)	2.40	3.40	2.80	2.20	1.67
09.04.22E1	Swansea – Derby	2–1 (2–1)	2.10	3.30	3.75	2.20	1.66
02.10.21E1	Derby – Swansea	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.10	3.10	2.37	1.57

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49	30	+19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63	35	+28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51	29	+22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50	43	+7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39	36	+3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44	39	+5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38	34	+4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43	38	+5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48	44	+4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43	39	+4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45	39	+6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39	36	+3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42	43	-1	44
14	Stoke	32	12	7	13	34	29	+5	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38	37	+1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42	42	0	39
17	Sheffield United	31	12	3	16	44	45	-1	39
18	Charlton	31	10	9	12	30	38	-8	39
19	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44	51	-7	38
20	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32	47	-15	34
21	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27	38	-11	33
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27	40	-13	32
23	Oxford	32	6	10	16	28	44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Weds	31	1	8	22	18	62	-44	11

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	15	11	3	1	31	11	+20	36
2	Ipswich	16	10	5	1	30	12	+18	35
3	Middlesbrough	15	10	3	2	25	11	+14	33
4	Birmingham	16	8	7	1	30	15	+15	31
5	Millwall	16	9	3	4	22	18	+4	30
6	Watford	16	8	5	3	24	17	+7	29
7	Swansea	16	8	4	4	24	18	+6	28
8	Hull	16	8	3	5	23	23	0	27
9	QPR	15	8	2	5	28	21	+7	26
10	Southampton	15	7	5	3	20	13	+7	26
11	Preston	16	7	5	4	20	16	+4	26
12	Charlton	15	7	4	4	16	14	+2	25
13	Bristol City	16	7	3	6	25	20	+5	24
14	Wrexham	16	6	6	4	26	24	+2	24
15	Sheffield United	15	7	2	6	25	17	+8	23
16	West Brom	15	6	5	4	18	19	-1	23
17	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	18	15	+3	22
18	Leicester	16	6	4	6	23	23	0	22
19	Stoke	15	6	3	6	19	14	+5	21
20	Derby	16	4	6	6	19	23	-4	18
21	Norwich	15	5	1	9	16	20	-4	16
22	Oxford	16	3	6	7	13	22	-9	15
23	Blackburn	16	3	5	8	15	22	-7	14
24	Sheffield Weds	16	0	4	12	7	33	-26	4

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	16	8	4	4	24	19	+5	28
2	Derby	15	8	3	4	26	16	+10	27
3	Hull	15	8	3	4	27	20	+7	27
4	Coventry	16	6	5	5	32	24	+8	23
5	Norwich	17	6	5	6	26	22	+4	23
6	Wrexham	15	6	5	4	18	15	+3	23
7	Millwall	15	6	5	4	17	18	-1	23
8	Bristol City	15	6	4	5	18	18	0	22
9	Stoke	17	6	4	7	15	15	0	22
10	Preston	15	5	6	4	18	18	0	21
11	Southampton	17	5	5	7	28	31	-3	20
12	Ipswich	14	5	4	5	21	17	+4	19
13	Blackburn	15	5	3	7	12	18	-6	18
14	QPR	16	4	6	6	14	22	-8	18
15	Leicester	16	4	4	8	21	28	-7	16
16	Sheffield United	16	5	1	10	19	28	-9	16
17	Watford	15	3	6	6	15	19	-4	15
18	Birmingham	16	4	3	9	13	24	-11	15
19	Swansea	15	4	2	9	14	19	-5	14
20	Charlton	16	3	5	8	14	24	-10	14
21	Oxford	16	3	4	9	15	22	-7	13
22	West Brom	17	3	2	12	14	28	-14	11
23	Portsmouth	14	2	5	7	9	23	-14	11
24	Sheffield Weds	15	1	4	10	11	29	-18	7

Derby Swansea

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	19	Leicester	32	11	21	1.4	1.6	10	8	14	44	51	38
2	4	Hull	31	11	20	1.6	1.4	16	6	9	50	43	54
3	2	Coventry	31	12	19	2.0	1.1	17	8	6	63	35	59
4	9	Southampton	32	13	19	1.5	1.4	12	10	10	48	44	46
5	13	QPR	31	12	19	1.4	1.4	12	8	11	42	43	44
6	17	Sheffield United	31	13	18	1.4	1.5	12	3	16	44	45	39
7	1	Middlesbrough	31	14	17	1.6	1.0	18	7	6	49	30	61
8	24	Sheffield Weds	31	14	17	0.6	2.0	1	8	22	18	62	11
9	3	Ipswich	30	14	16	1.7	1.0	15	9	6	51	29	54
10	11	Derby	31	15	16	1.5	1.3	12	9	10	45	39	45
11	16	Norwich	32	16	16	1.3	1.3	11	6	15	42	42	39
12	20	West Brom	32	16	16	1.0	1.5	9	7	16	32	47	34
13	23	Oxford	32	16	16	0.9	1.4	6	10	16	28	44	28
14	10	Birmingham	32	17	15	1.3	1.2	12	10	10	43	39	46
15	15	Swansea	31	16	15	1.2	1.2	12	6	13	38	37	42
16	5	Millwall	31	17	14	1.3	1.2	15	8	8	39	36	53
17	8	Bristol City	31	17	14	1.4	1.2	13	7	11	43	38	46
18	12	Watford	31	17	14	1.3	1.2	11	11	9	39	36	44
19	6	Wrexham	31	18	13	1.4	1.3	12	11	8	44	39	47
20	7	Preston	31	18	13	1.2	1.1	12	11	8	38	34	47
21	14	Stoke	32	20	12	1.1	0.9	12	7	13	34	29	43
22	18	Charlton	31	19	12	1.0	1.2	10	9	12	30	38	39
23	21	Portsmouth	29	17	12	0.9	1.3	8	9	12	27	38	33
24	22	Blackburn	31	19	12	0.9	1.3	8	8	15	27	40	32

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	QPR	15	3	12	1.9	1.4	8	2	5	28	21	26
2	17	Sheffield United	15	5	10	1.7	1.1	7	2	6	25	17	23
3	3	Ipswich	16	7	9	1.9	0.8	10	5	1	30	12	35
4	4	Hull	16	7	9	1.4	1.4	8	3	5	23	23	27
5	19	Leicester	16	7	9	1.4	1.4	6	4	6	23	23	22
6	1	Middlesbrough	15	7	8	1.7	0.7	10	3	2	25	11	33
7	2	Coventry	15	7	8	2.1	0.7	11	3	1	31	11	36
8	5	Millwall	16	8	8	1.4	1.1	9	3	4	22	18	30
9	6	Wrexham	16	8	8	1.6	1.5	6	6	4	26	24	24
10	8	Bristol City	16	8	8	1.6	1.2	7	3	6	25	20	24
11	10	Birmingham	16	8	8	1.9	0.9	8	7	1	30	15	31
12	12	Watford	16	8	8	1.5	1.1	8	5	3	24	17	29
13	15	Swansea	16	8	8	1.5	1.1	8	4	4	24	18	28
14	23	Oxford	16	8	8	0.8	1.4	3	6	7	13	22	15
15	24	Sheffield Weds	16	8	8	0.4	2.1	0	4	12	7	33	4
16	7	Preston	16	9	7	1.2	1.0	7	5	4	20	16	26
17	9	Southampton	15	8	7	1.3	0.9	7	5	3	20	13	26
18	14	Stoke	15	8	7	1.3	0.9	6	3	6	19	14	21
19	16	Norwich	15	8	7	1.1	1.3	5	1	9	16	20	16
20	20	West Brom	15	8	7	1.2	1.3	6	5	4	18	19	23
21	21	Portsmouth	15	8	7	1.2	1.0	6	4	5	18	15	22
22	11	Derby	16	10	6	1.2	1.4	4	6	6	19	23	18
23	22	Blackburn	16	10	6	0.9	1.4	3	5	8	15	22	14
24	18	Charlton	15	10	5	1.1	0.9	7	4	4	16	14	25

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Southampton	17	5	12	1.6	1.8	5	5	7	28	31	20
2	19	Leicester	16	4	12	1.3	1.8	4	4	8	21	28	16
3	2	Coventry	16	5	11	2.0	1.5	6	5	5	32	24	23
4	4	Hull	15	4	11	1.8	1.3	8	3	4	27	20	27
5	11	Derby	15	5	10	1.7	1.1	8	3	4	26	16	27
6	1	Middlesbrough	16	7	9	1.5	1.2	8	4	4	24	19	28
7	16	Norwich	17	8	9	1.5	1.3	6	5	6	26	22	23
8	20	West Brom	17	8	9	0.8	1.6	3	2	12	14	28	11
9	24	Sheffield Weds	15	6	9	0.7	1.9	1	4	10	11	29	7
10	17	Sheffield United	16	8	8	1.2	1.8	5	1	10	19	28	16
11	23	Oxford	16	8	8	0.9	1.4	3	4	9	15	22	13
12	3	Ipswich	14	7	7	1.5	1.2	5	4	5	21	17	19
13	10	Birmingham	16	9	7	0.8	1.5	4	3	9	13	24	15
14	13	QPR	16	9	7	0.9	1.4	4	6	6	14	22	18
15	15	Swansea	15	8	7	0.9	1.3	4	2	9	14	19	14
16	18	Charlton	16	9	7	0.9	1.5	3	5	8	14	24	14
17	5	Millwall	15	9	6	1.1	1.2	6	5	4	17	18	23
18	7	Preston	15	9	6	1.2	1.2	5	6	4	18	18	21
19	8	Bristol City	15	9	6	1.2	1.2	6	4	5	18	18	22
20	12	Watford	15	9	6	1.0	1.3	3	6	6	15	19	15
21	22	Blackburn	15	9	6	0.8	1.2	5	3	7	12	18	18
22	6	Wrexham	15	10	5	1.2	1.0	6	5	4	18	15	23
23	14	Stoke	17	12	5	0.9	0.9	6	4	7	15	15	22
24	21	Portsmouth	14	9	5	0.6	1.6	2	5	7	9	23	11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.