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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: M Salisbury

Sheffield United 1–3 Derby

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.76 fair 2.89
Draw 3.50 fair 3.69
Away ✓ 4.33 fair 2.61
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 1.82
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.21

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sheffield United Derby
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
9 Corners 4
10 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (147 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.20 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
Sheffield UnitedDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 0–1 10.7% 1–0 10%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Sheffield United before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
0.75scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 9:20
Derby before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
1.08scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 13:16
Sheffield United all matches all matches Derby

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.08
1.67 Goals conceded 1.33
2.42 Total goals 2.42
11.75 Shots 8.33
3.00 Shots on target 2.67
13.25 Shots faced 13.75
7.00 Corners 4.33
3.75 Corners against 5.67
11.92 Fouls 12.75
1.67 Yellow cards 2.83
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

25% Wins 25%
0% Draws 42%
75% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
42% Over 1.5 goals 58%
42% Over 2.5 goals 25%
33% Over 3.5 goals 25%
25% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
33% Both teams scored 58%
17% Clean sheets 25%
50% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 8%
42% Draws 50%
42% Losses 42%
58% Over 0.5 goals 67%
17% Over 1.5 goals 17%
17% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sheffield United all matches
Derby all matches
Sheffield United before this match, at home
0.60points / match
0.60scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 3:8
Derby before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:7
Sheffield United at home away Derby

Per match

0.60 Goals scored 1.00
1.60 Goals conceded 1.40
2.20 Total goals 2.40
14.60 Shots 5.60
4.00 Shots on target 1.80
12.80 Shots faced 15.40
7.80 Corners 4.20
3.80 Corners against 6.40
10.80 Fouls 13.20
1.40 Yellow cards 3.40
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

20% Wins 20%
0% Draws 40%
80% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
40% Over 1.5 goals 60%
40% Over 2.5 goals 40%
20% Over 3.5 goals 40%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 60%
20% Clean sheets 20%
40% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 0%
40% Draws 60%
40% Losses 40%
60% Over 0.5 goals 40%
20% Over 1.5 goals 0%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sheffield United at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sheffield United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.25 Preston – Sheffield United 3–2 (1–2) 2.503.052.85 2.30 1.62
21.10.25 Blackburn – Sheffield United 1–3 (1–0) 2.303.302.95 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.303.90 2.00 1.80
04.10.25 Hull – Sheffield United 1–0 (1–0) 2.573.202.57 1.88 1.98
30.09.25 Sheffield United – Southampton 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.402.85 1.93 1.93
27.09.25 Oxford – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.202.25 2.10 1.73
20.09.25 Sheffield United – Charlton 0–1 (0–0) 1.763.604.33 2.10 1.73
12.09.25 Ipswich – Sheffield United 5–0 (1–0) 1.763.504.50 1.95 1.90
30.08.25 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.10 1.90 1.95
23.08.25 Sheffield United – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.403.70 2.20 1.67

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Derby – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.252.65 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Derby – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.82 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Oxford – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.052.95 2.50 1.53
04.10.25 Derby – Southampton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.302.05 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Derby – Charlton 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.65 2.63 1.50
27.09.25 Wrexham – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.38 1.57
20.09.25 Derby – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.103.10 2.75 1.44
13.09.25 West Brom – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.713.504.75 2.30 1.62
30.08.25 Ipswich – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 1.493.906.50 2.00 1.80
22.08.25 Derby – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.38 2.38 1.57

Sheffield United at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.303.90 2.00 1.80
30.09.25 Sheffield United – Southampton 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.402.85 1.93 1.93
20.09.25 Sheffield United – Charlton 0–1 (0–0) 1.763.604.33 2.10 1.73
23.08.25 Sheffield United – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.403.70 2.20 1.67
09.08.25 Sheffield United – Bristol City 1–4 (1–2) 1.703.754.75 1.93 1.93
03.05.25 Sheffield United – Blackburn 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.503.00 2.03 1.83
18.04.25 Sheffield United – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 1.573.756.00 1.95 1.90
08.04.25 Sheffield United – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.755.25 2.30 1.62
28.03.25 Sheffield United – Coventry 3–1 (2–0) 2.053.303.60 2.05 1.80
11.03.25 Sheffield United – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.253.80 2.05 1.68

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25 Oxford – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.052.95 2.50 1.53
27.09.25 Wrexham – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.38 1.57
13.09.25 West Brom – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.713.504.75 2.30 1.62
30.08.25 Ipswich – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 1.493.906.50 2.00 1.80
09.08.25 Stoke – Derby 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.50 1.53
26.04.25 Hull – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.003.25 2.63 1.50
21.04.25 West Brom – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.503.80 2.38 1.57
12.04.25 Portsmouth – Derby 2–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.63 1.50
05.04.25 Swansea – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.75 2.38 1.57
15.03.25 Plymouth – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 2.803.202.55 2.50 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sheffield United winsDrawsDerby wins
4matches
1.25goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25E1 Derby – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.102.15 2.20 1.67
21.09.24E1 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.50 1.80 2.00
15.01.22E1 Derby – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.61
25.09.21E1 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Coventry 13 8 4 1 36 12 +24 28 WWWWWL
2 Middlesbrough 12 7 4 1 16 8 +8 25 DDLWWD
3 Millwall 12 7 2 3 14 13 +1 23 DLWWWW
4 Bristol City 12 6 4 2 20 11 +9 22 DDLWWW
5 Hull 13 6 4 3 22 20 +2 22 DWWWDW
6 Stoke 12 6 3 3 13 8 +5 21 DDDWLW
7 Charlton 12 5 4 3 14 10 +4 19 WDLWWD
8 Preston 12 5 4 3 15 12 +3 19 DDWLLW
9 QPR 12 5 3 4 15 17 -2 18 DDWLWL
10 West Brom 13 5 3 5 12 14 -2 18 WLWLLD
11 Leicester 13 4 5 4 15 14 +1 17 DWDLLL
12 Wrexham 13 4 5 4 19 19 0 17 DDLWDW
13 Ipswich 11 4 4 3 17 13 +4 16 WDWLLW
14 Swansea 12 4 4 4 12 12 0 16 DWLDLW
15 Watford 12 4 3 5 14 16 -2 15 WDWLWL
16 Birmingham 12 4 3 5 11 15 -4 15 LDDLWL
17 Derby 12 3 5 4 13 16 -3 14 DDDLWW
18 Portsmouth 12 3 4 5 10 13 -3 13 LDWDLL
19 Blackburn 12 4 1 7 12 17 -5 13 LDLLWW
20 Oxford 12 3 3 6 13 15 -2 12 LDLWLW
21 Southampton 12 2 6 4 13 17 -4 12 DWDDLL
22 Sheffield United 12 3 0 9 9 20 -11 9 WLLWWL
23 Norwich 13 2 2 9 12 20 -8 8 LLLLLL
24 Sheffield Weds 13 1 4 8 10 25 -15 7 DLLLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Coventry 6 4 2 0 16 3 +13 14 DWDWWW
2 Ipswich 7 4 2 1 14 8 +6 14 DWWWLW
3 Preston 7 4 2 1 10 6 +4 14 WDDWLW
4 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 7 3 +4 14 WWWDWD
5 Hull 7 4 2 1 12 10 +2 14 LWDWWD
6 Watford 6 4 1 1 10 7 +3 13 WDLWWW
7 Millwall 7 4 0 3 7 9 -2 12 LWLWWW
8 Bristol City 7 3 2 2 11 9 +2 11 WLDLWW
9 Charlton 5 3 1 1 7 3 +4 10 WLDWW
10 Stoke 5 3 1 1 6 3 +3 10 WLWDW
11 Leicester 6 2 3 1 6 5 +1 9 WWDDDL
12 West Brom 6 2 3 1 5 4 +1 9 WDLDWD
13 Wrexham 7 2 3 2 11 12 -1 9 DLDDWW
14 Derby 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9 DLDDWW
15 Swansea 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9 DDDLLW
16 QPR 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8 DWWDL
17 Birmingham 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8 DWWDL
18 Portsmouth 7 2 1 4 6 9 -3 7 WLDWLL
19 Southampton 5 1 3 1 4 4 0 6 WLDDD
20 Oxford 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5 LDDLW
21 Blackburn 6 1 1 4 6 11 -5 4 LLLDLW
22 Sheffield United 5 1 0 4 3 8 -5 3 LLLLW
23 Sheffield Weds 7 0 1 6 2 17 -15 1 LLDLLL
24 Norwich 6 0 0 6 4 11 -7 0 LLLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Coventry 7 4 2 1 20 9 +11 14 DDWWWL
2 Bristol City 5 3 2 0 9 2 +7 11 WDWDW
3 Middlesbrough 6 3 2 1 9 5 +4 11 WWDDLW
4 Millwall 5 3 2 0 7 4 +3 11 WWDDW
5 Stoke 7 3 2 2 7 5 +2 11 WLDDLW
6 QPR 7 3 1 3 9 13 -4 10 LWDWWL
7 Charlton 7 2 3 2 7 7 0 9 LWDLWD
8 Blackburn 6 3 0 3 6 6 0 9 LWWLLW
9 West Brom 7 3 0 4 7 10 -3 9 WLWLLL
10 Wrexham 6 2 2 2 8 7 +1 8 LWWDLD
11 Hull 6 2 2 2 10 10 0 8 DLDLWW
12 Leicester 7 2 2 3 9 9 0 8 WDDWLL
13 Norwich 7 2 2 3 8 9 -1 8 WDDLLL
14 Swansea 5 2 1 2 4 3 +1 7 LWLWD
15 Oxford 7 2 1 4 8 9 -1 7 LWDLLW
16 Birmingham 7 2 1 4 4 9 -5 7 LLLDWL
17 Sheffield Weds 6 1 3 2 8 8 0 6 LDWDLD
18 Portsmouth 5 1 3 1 4 4 0 6 WDDLD
19 Southampton 7 1 3 3 9 13 -4 6 DLWDLL
20 Sheffield United 7 2 0 5 6 12 -6 6 LLWLWL
21 Preston 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5 DLWDL
22 Derby 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5 LDWDL
23 Ipswich 4 0 2 2 3 5 -2 2 DLDL
24 Watford 6 0 2 4 4 9 -5 2 LDLDLL

Sheffield United   Derby

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Coventry 13 4 9 2.8 0.9 8 4 1 36 12 28 OOUOOO
2 5 Hull 13 4 9 1.7 1.5 6 4 3 22 20 22 OUOOUU
3 24 Sheffield Weds 13 5 8 0.8 1.9 1 4 8 10 25 7 OOOUOU
4 15 Watford 12 5 7 1.2 1.3 4 3 5 14 16 15 OOOUOO
5 21 Southampton 12 5 7 1.1 1.4 2 6 4 13 17 12 UOUUOO
6 4 Bristol City 12 6 6 1.7 0.9 6 4 2 20 11 22 UUOUOU
7 9 QPR 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 5 3 4 15 17 18 UUOOUU
8 12 Wrexham 13 7 6 1.5 1.5 4 5 4 19 19 17 UUUUUO
9 13 Ipswich 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 4 4 3 17 13 16 OUOOOU
10 19 Blackburn 12 6 6 1.0 1.4 4 1 7 12 17 13 OUUOOU
11 20 Oxford 12 6 6 1.1 1.2 3 3 6 13 15 12 UUOUUO
12 23 Norwich 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 2 2 9 12 20 8 UOUUOU
13 2 Middlesbrough 12 7 5 1.3 0.7 7 4 1 16 8 25 UUUOUU
14 3 Millwall 12 7 5 1.2 1.1 7 2 3 14 13 23 UOOOUU
15 8 Preston 12 7 5 1.2 1.0 5 4 3 15 12 19 UOUOUO
16 10 West Brom 13 8 5 0.9 1.1 5 3 5 12 14 18 UOOOUU
17 11 Leicester 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 4 5 4 15 14 17 UOUOUU
18 22 Sheffield United 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 3 0 9 9 20 9 UOUUOO
19 7 Charlton 12 8 4 1.2 0.8 5 4 3 14 10 19 OUUOOU
20 14 Swansea 12 8 4 1.0 1.0 4 4 4 12 12 16 UOOUUO
21 16 Birmingham 12 8 4 0.9 1.2 4 3 5 11 15 15 OOUOUU
22 18 Portsmouth 12 8 4 0.8 1.1 3 4 5 10 13 13 OOUUOU
23 6 Stoke 12 9 3 1.1 0.7 6 3 3 13 8 21 UUUUUU
24 17 Derby 12 9 3 1.1 1.3 3 5 4 13 16 14 UUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Hull 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 4 2 1 12 10 14 OOOUOU
2 13 Ipswich 7 2 5 2.0 1.1 4 2 1 14 8 14 OOOOOU
3 15 Watford 6 1 5 1.7 1.2 4 1 1 10 7 13 OOUOOO
4 4 Bristol City 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 3 2 2 11 9 11 OOUOOU
5 12 Wrexham 7 3 4 1.6 1.7 2 3 2 11 12 9 OOUUUO
6 19 Blackburn 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 1 1 4 6 11 4 OUOUOO
7 24 Sheffield Weds 7 3 4 0.3 2.4 0 1 6 2 17 1 UOUOUO
8 1 Coventry 6 3 3 2.7 0.5 4 2 0 16 3 14 UOUOUO
9 3 Millwall 7 4 3 1.0 1.3 4 0 3 7 9 12 UUOOUU
10 8 Preston 7 4 3 1.4 0.9 4 2 1 10 6 14 UOUUUO
11 14 Swansea 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9 UOUOUO
12 18 Portsmouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.3 2 1 4 6 9 7 UUOUOU
13 23 Norwich 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 0 0 6 4 11 0 OOOUUU
14 2 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 1.2 0.5 4 2 0 7 3 14 UUOUOU
15 7 Charlton 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 3 1 1 7 3 10 UUUOO
16 9 QPR 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8 UOUUO
17 16 Birmingham 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8 UUUOO
18 20 Oxford 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5 UOOUU
19 21 Southampton 5 3 2 0.8 0.8 1 3 1 4 4 6 OOUUU
20 22 Sheffield United 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 0 4 3 8 3 OUUOU
21 6 Stoke 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 3 1 1 6 3 10 OUUUU
22 10 West Brom 6 5 1 0.8 0.7 2 3 1 5 4 9 UUUUOU
23 11 Leicester 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 2 3 1 6 5 9 OUUUUU
24 17 Derby 7 6 1 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9 UUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Coventry 7 1 6 2.9 1.3 4 2 1 20 9 14 OUOOOO
2 21 Southampton 7 2 5 1.3 1.9 1 3 3 9 13 6 OOOUOO
3 5 Hull 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 2 2 2 10 10 8 UOOOOU
4 9 QPR 7 3 4 1.3 1.9 3 1 3 9 13 10 OOUOUU
5 10 West Brom 7 3 4 1.0 1.4 3 0 4 7 10 9 UOUOOU
6 11 Leicester 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 3 9 9 8 UOUOOU
7 20 Oxford 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 2 1 4 8 9 7 UOUOUO
8 24 Sheffield Weds 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 1 3 2 8 8 6 OOUOOU
9 2 Middlesbrough 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 3 2 1 9 5 11 OOOUUU
10 22 Sheffield United 7 4 3 0.9 1.7 2 0 5 6 12 6 UOUUOO
11 23 Norwich 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 2 3 8 9 8 UUUOUO
12 3 Millwall 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 3 2 0 7 4 11 OUUUO
13 4 Bristol City 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 3 2 0 9 2 11 OUOUU
14 6 Stoke 7 5 2 1.0 0.7 3 2 2 7 5 11 OUUUUU
15 7 Charlton 7 5 2 1.0 1.0 2 3 2 7 7 9 OUUUOU
16 8 Preston 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5 UUUOO
17 12 Wrexham 6 4 2 1.3 1.2 2 2 2 8 7 8 OUOUUU
18 15 Watford 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 0 2 4 4 9 2 UUUOUO
19 16 Birmingham 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 2 1 4 4 9 7 UUOUUU
20 17 Derby 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5 OOUUU
21 19 Blackburn 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 3 0 3 6 6 9 UOUOUU
22 13 Ipswich 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 2 2 3 5 2 UUUO
23 14 Swansea 5 4 1 0.8 0.6 2 1 2 4 3 7 UUUOU
24 18 Portsmouth 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 1 3 1 4 4 6 UUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47