Southampton 1–0 Watford – England Championship, 7 Feb 2026

Match facts

Southampton Watford

6 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

3 Corners 9

10 Fouls 10

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (359 league matches this season so far).

Result Southampton to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.88

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.19

Home / Draw / Away

43% 26% 31%

SouthamptonDrawWatford

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

47% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.3% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches

1.33points / match

1.43scored / match

1.37conceded / match

10 10 10

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 43:41

Watford before this match, all matches

1.47points / match

1.30scored / match

1.17conceded / match

11 11 8

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 39:35

Southampton all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 1.30

1.37 Goals conceded 1.17

2.80 Total goals 2.47

14.50 Shots 13.93

5.10 Shots on target 4.57

13.17 Shots faced 11.27

5.50 Corners 4.73

4.73 Corners against 5.43

10.93 Fouls 10.47

1.93 Yellow cards 2.00

0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.60

0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

33% Wins 37%

33% Draws 37%

33% Losses 27%

90% Over 0.5 goals 97%

87% Over 1.5 goals 77%

60% Over 2.5 goals 47%

30% Over 3.5 goals 20%

10% Over 4.5 goals 7%

3% Over 5.5 goals 0%

73% Both teams scored 63%

20% Clean sheets 17%

17% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 20%

50% Draws 50%

20% Losses 30%

63% Over 0.5 goals 70%

33% Over 1.5 goals 47%

13% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches

1

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

1

D

4

L

1

2

L

1

W

1

D

2

W

Watford all matches

2

D

1

W

2

1

W

1

W

3

W

2

L

1

D

1

D

2

L

D

Southampton before this match, at home

1.64points / match

1.36scored / match

0.93conceded / match

6 5 3

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 19:13

Watford before this match, away

1.07points / match

1.07scored / match

1.29conceded / match

3 6 5

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:18

Southampton at home away Watford

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 1.07

0.93 Goals conceded 1.29

2.29 Total goals 2.36

16.21 Shots 11.50

5.07 Shots on target 3.43

11.43 Shots faced 11.57

6.50 Corners 4.14

4.43 Corners against 5.93

9.71 Fouls 10.79

1.50 Yellow cards 2.43

0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.43

0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

43% Wins 21%

36% Draws 43%

21% Losses 36%

79% Over 0.5 goals 93%

71% Over 1.5 goals 64%

50% Over 2.5 goals 43%

21% Over 3.5 goals 29%

7% Over 4.5 goals 7%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

57% Both teams scored 64%

36% Clean sheets 14%

29% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 14%

36% Draws 50%

29% Losses 36%

64% Over 0.5 goals 71%

36% Over 1.5 goals 43%

21% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home

D

2

L

3

1

W

3

W

3

1

W

3

2

W

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

Watford away

1

L

1

3

L

1

D

3

2

W

1

2

L

2

D

2

1

W

1

W

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
31.01.26	Stoke – Southampton	0–2 (0–1)	2.85	3.40	2.30	1.90	1.95
25.01.26	Portsmouth – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.40	2.10	1.91	1.91
21.01.26	Southampton – Sheffield United	1–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.80	2.65	1.67	2.20
17.01.26	Southampton – Hull	1–2 (0–2)	1.66	3.80	4.75	1.67	2.20
04.01.26	Middlesbrough – Southampton	4–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.50	3.20	1.73	2.10
01.01.26	Southampton – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	1.71	3.60	4.50	1.80	2.00
29.12.25	Birmingham – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	2.85	1.80	2.00
26.12.25	Oxford – Southampton	2–1 (1–1)	3.90	3.80	1.76	1.73	2.10
20.12.25	Southampton – Coventry	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.70	2.57	1.62	2.30
13.12.25	Norwich – Southampton	2–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.90	1.96	1.62	2.30

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.02.26	Hull – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.50	3.10	1.91	1.91
31.01.26	Watford – Swansea	0–2 (0–0)	2.01	3.30	3.60	2.10	1.73
24.01.26	Blackburn – Watford	1–1 (1–1)	2.70	3.10	2.65	2.20	1.67
21.01.26	Watford – Portsmouth	1–1 (0–0)	1.68	3.75	4.75	2.00	1.80
17.01.26	Watford – Millwall	0–2 (0–0)	2.01	3.30	3.60	2.10	1.73
01.01.26	Watford – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.30	3.25	2.95	2.00	1.80
29.12.25	Norwich – Watford	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.65	1.80	2.00
26.12.25	Leicester – Watford	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.30	3.05	1.95	1.90
20.12.25	Watford – Stoke	1–0 (0–0)	2.01	3.20	3.20	1.91	1.91
13.12.25	Wrexham – Watford	2–2 (1–2)	2.50	3.20	2.70	2.00	1.80

Southampton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.01.26	Southampton – Sheffield United	1–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.80	2.65	1.67	2.20
17.01.26	Southampton – Hull	1–2 (0–2)	1.66	3.80	4.75	1.67	2.20
01.01.26	Southampton – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	1.71	3.60	4.50	1.80	2.00
20.12.25	Southampton – Coventry	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.70	2.57	1.62	2.30
09.12.25	Southampton – West Brom	3–2 (3–0)	1.79	3.75	3.90	1.73	2.10
06.12.25	Southampton – Birmingham	3–1 (2–0)	2.25	3.50	2.85	1.93	1.93
25.11.25	Southampton – Leicester	3–0 (3–0)	1.96	3.60	3.70	1.80	2.00
08.11.25	Southampton – Sheffield Weds	3–1 (2–1)	1.39	4.75	6.50	1.67	2.20
01.11.25	Southampton – Preston	0–2 (0–1)	1.68	3.90	4.33	1.88	1.98
18.10.25	Southampton – Swansea	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.50	3.80	2.03	1.83

Watford away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.02.26	Hull – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.50	3.10	1.91	1.91
24.01.26	Blackburn – Watford	1–1 (1–1)	2.70	3.10	2.65	2.20	1.67
29.12.25	Norwich – Watford	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.65	1.80	2.00
26.12.25	Leicester – Watford	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.30	3.05	1.95	1.90
13.12.25	Wrexham – Watford	2–2 (1–2)	2.50	3.20	2.70	2.00	1.80
01.12.25	Birmingham – Watford	2–1 (2–0)	1.79	3.60	4.33	2.10	1.73
22.11.25	Derby – Watford	2–3 (1–0)	2.45	3.20	2.82	2.30	1.62
04.11.25	Ipswich – Watford	1–1 (1–1)	1.66	3.60	5.00	1.90	1.95
25.10.25	Coventry – Watford	3–1 (3–0)	1.45	4.75	6.00	1.67	2.20
18.10.25	Sheffield United – Watford	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.30	3.90	2.00	1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 2 1

Southampton winsDrawsWatford wins

5matches

3.00goals / match

60%over 2.5

80%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
30.08.25E1	Watford – Southampton	2–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.30	2.35	2.03	1.83
13.04.24E1	Southampton – Watford	3–2 (2–1)	1.44	5.00	6.50	1.53	2.50
09.12.23E1	Watford – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.98	1.88
13.03.22E0	Southampton – Watford	1–2 (1–2)	1.60	4.20	5.25	1.80	2.00
30.10.21E0	Watford – Southampton	0–1 (0–1)	3.20	3.30	2.30	1.90	1.90

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	30	17	7	6	63	35	+28	58
2	Middlesbrough	30	17	7	6	47	29	+18	58
3	Hull	30	16	6	8	48	40	+8	54
4	Ipswich	29	14	9	6	49	28	+21	51
5	Millwall	30	14	8	8	37	36	+1	50
6	Wrexham	30	12	11	7	44	37	+7	47
7	Derby	30	12	9	9	44	37	+7	45
8	Watford	30	11	11	8	39	35	+4	44
9	Preston	30	11	11	8	37	34	+3	44
10	QPR	31	12	8	11	42	43	-1	44
11	Bristol City	30	12	7	11	40	36	+4	43
12	Stoke	30	12	6	12	34	28	+6	42
13	Birmingham	30	11	9	10	41	38	+3	42
14	Southampton	30	10	10	10	43	41	+2	40
15	Sheffield United	30	12	3	15	43	43	0	39
16	Swansea	30	11	6	13	34	37	-3	39
17	Leicester	30	10	8	12	40	45	-5	38
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29	38	-9	36
19	Norwich	30	9	6	15	37	42	-5	33
20	Portsmouth	28	8	9	11	27	37	-10	33
21	Blackburn	30	8	8	14	27	38	-11	32
22	West Brom	30	9	5	16	32	47	-15	32
23	Oxford	30	6	9	15	28	41	-13	27
24	Sheffield Weds	30	1	8	21	18	58	-40	11

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	14	11	2	1	31	11	+20	35
2	Ipswich	16	10	5	1	30	12	+18	35
3	Middlesbrough	15	10	3	2	25	11	+14	33
4	Millwall	16	9	3	4	22	18	+4	30
5	Watford	16	8	5	3	24	17	+7	29
6	Birmingham	14	7	6	1	28	14	+14	27
7	Hull	15	8	3	4	21	20	+1	27
8	QPR	15	8	2	5	28	21	+7	26
9	Swansea	15	7	4	4	20	18	+2	25
10	Bristol City	16	7	3	6	25	20	+5	24
11	Wrexham	15	6	6	3	26	22	+4	24
12	Sheffield United	14	7	2	5	24	15	+9	23
13	Southampton	14	6	5	3	19	13	+6	23
14	Preston	15	6	5	4	19	16	+3	23
15	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	18	15	+3	22
16	Leicester	15	6	4	5	20	19	+1	22
17	Charlton	14	6	4	4	15	14	+1	22
18	West Brom	14	6	4	4	18	19	-1	22
19	Stoke	15	6	3	6	19	14	+5	21
20	Derby	15	4	6	5	18	21	-3	18
21	Oxford	15	3	6	6	13	19	-6	15
22	Blackburn	16	3	5	8	15	22	-7	14
23	Norwich	14	4	1	9	14	20	-6	13
24	Sheffield Weds	16	0	4	12	7	33	-26	4

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Derby	15	8	3	4	26	16	+10	27
2	Hull	15	8	3	4	27	20	+7	27
3	Middlesbrough	15	7	4	4	22	18	+4	25
4	Coventry	16	6	5	5	32	24	+8	23
5	Wrexham	15	6	5	4	18	15	+3	23
6	Stoke	15	6	3	6	15	14	+1	21
7	Preston	15	5	6	4	18	18	0	21
8	Norwich	16	5	5	6	23	22	+1	20
9	Millwall	14	5	5	4	15	18	-3	20
10	Bristol City	14	5	4	5	15	16	-1	19
11	Blackburn	14	5	3	6	12	16	-4	18
12	QPR	16	4	6	6	14	22	-8	18
13	Southampton	16	4	5	7	24	28	-4	17
14	Ipswich	13	4	4	5	19	16	+3	16
15	Leicester	15	4	4	7	20	26	-6	16
16	Sheffield United	16	5	1	10	19	28	-9	16
17	Watford	14	3	6	5	15	18	-3	15
18	Birmingham	16	4	3	9	13	24	-11	15
19	Swansea	15	4	2	9	14	19	-5	14
20	Charlton	16	3	5	8	14	24	-10	14
21	Oxford	15	3	3	9	15	22	-7	12
22	Portsmouth	13	2	5	6	9	22	-13	11
23	West Brom	16	3	1	12	14	28	-14	10
24	Sheffield Weds	14	1	4	9	11	25	-14	7

Southampton Watford

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Coventry	30	11	19	2.1	1.2	17	7	6	63	35	58
2	3	Hull	30	11	19	1.6	1.3	16	6	8	48	40	54
3	10	QPR	31	12	19	1.4	1.4	12	8	11	42	43	44
4	17	Leicester	30	11	19	1.3	1.5	10	8	12	40	45	38
5	14	Southampton	30	12	18	1.4	1.4	10	10	10	43	41	40
6	15	Sheffield United	30	13	17	1.4	1.4	12	3	15	43	43	39
7	2	Middlesbrough	30	14	16	1.6	1.0	17	7	6	47	29	58
8	22	West Brom	30	14	16	1.1	1.6	9	5	16	32	47	32
9	24	Sheffield Weds	30	14	16	0.6	1.9	1	8	21	18	58	11
10	4	Ipswich	29	14	15	1.7	1.0	14	9	6	49	28	51
11	7	Derby	30	15	15	1.5	1.2	12	9	9	44	37	45
12	19	Norwich	30	15	15	1.2	1.4	9	6	15	37	42	33
13	23	Oxford	30	15	15	0.9	1.4	6	9	15	28	41	27
14	5	Millwall	30	16	14	1.2	1.2	14	8	8	37	36	50
15	8	Watford	30	16	14	1.3	1.2	11	11	8	39	35	44
16	13	Birmingham	30	16	14	1.4	1.3	11	9	10	41	38	42
17	16	Swansea	30	16	14	1.1	1.2	11	6	13	34	37	39
18	6	Wrexham	30	17	13	1.5	1.2	12	11	7	44	37	47
19	9	Preston	30	17	13	1.2	1.1	11	11	8	37	34	44
20	11	Bristol City	30	17	13	1.3	1.2	12	7	11	40	36	43
21	12	Stoke	30	18	12	1.1	0.9	12	6	12	34	28	42
22	18	Charlton	30	18	12	1.0	1.3	9	9	12	29	38	36
23	20	Portsmouth	28	16	12	1.0	1.3	8	9	11	27	37	33
24	21	Blackburn	30	18	12	0.9	1.3	8	8	14	27	38	32

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	QPR	15	3	12	1.9	1.4	8	2	5	28	21	26
2	4	Ipswich	16	7	9	1.9	0.8	10	5	1	30	12	35
3	15	Sheffield United	14	5	9	1.7	1.1	7	2	5	24	15	23
4	1	Coventry	14	6	8	2.2	0.8	11	2	1	31	11	35
5	2	Middlesbrough	15	7	8	1.7	0.7	10	3	2	25	11	33
6	3	Hull	15	7	8	1.4	1.3	8	3	4	21	20	27
7	5	Millwall	16	8	8	1.4	1.1	9	3	4	22	18	30
8	6	Wrexham	15	7	8	1.7	1.5	6	6	3	26	22	24
9	8	Watford	16	8	8	1.5	1.1	8	5	3	24	17	29
10	11	Bristol City	16	8	8	1.6	1.2	7	3	6	25	20	24
11	17	Leicester	15	7	8	1.3	1.3	6	4	5	20	19	22
12	24	Sheffield Weds	16	8	8	0.4	2.1	0	4	12	7	33	4
13	9	Preston	15	8	7	1.3	1.1	6	5	4	19	16	23
14	12	Stoke	15	8	7	1.3	0.9	6	3	6	19	14	21
15	13	Birmingham	14	7	7	2.0	1.0	7	6	1	28	14	27
16	14	Southampton	14	7	7	1.4	0.9	6	5	3	19	13	23
17	16	Swansea	15	8	7	1.3	1.2	7	4	4	20	18	25
18	19	Norwich	14	7	7	1.0	1.4	4	1	9	14	20	13
19	20	Portsmouth	15	8	7	1.2	1.0	6	4	5	18	15	22
20	22	West Brom	14	7	7	1.3	1.4	6	4	4	18	19	22
21	23	Oxford	15	8	7	0.9	1.3	3	6	6	13	19	15
22	21	Blackburn	16	10	6	0.9	1.4	3	5	8	15	22	14
23	7	Derby	15	10	5	1.2	1.4	4	6	5	18	21	18
24	18	Charlton	14	9	5	1.1	1.0	6	4	4	15	14	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Coventry	16	5	11	2.0	1.5	6	5	5	32	24	23
2	3	Hull	15	4	11	1.8	1.3	8	3	4	27	20	27
3	14	Southampton	16	5	11	1.5	1.8	4	5	7	24	28	17
4	17	Leicester	15	4	11	1.3	1.7	4	4	7	20	26	16
5	7	Derby	15	5	10	1.7	1.1	8	3	4	26	16	27
6	22	West Brom	16	7	9	0.9	1.8	3	1	12	14	28	10
7	2	Middlesbrough	15	7	8	1.5	1.2	7	4	4	22	18	25
8	15	Sheffield United	16	8	8	1.2	1.8	5	1	10	19	28	16
9	19	Norwich	16	8	8	1.4	1.4	5	5	6	23	22	20
10	23	Oxford	15	7	8	1.0	1.5	3	3	9	15	22	12
11	24	Sheffield Weds	14	6	8	0.8	1.8	1	4	9	11	25	7
12	10	QPR	16	9	7	0.9	1.4	4	6	6	14	22	18
13	13	Birmingham	16	9	7	0.8	1.5	4	3	9	13	24	15
14	16	Swansea	15	8	7	0.9	1.3	4	2	9	14	19	14
15	18	Charlton	16	9	7	0.9	1.5	3	5	8	14	24	14
16	4	Ipswich	13	7	6	1.5	1.2	4	4	5	19	16	16
17	5	Millwall	14	8	6	1.1	1.3	5	5	4	15	18	20
18	8	Watford	14	8	6	1.1	1.3	3	6	5	15	18	15
19	9	Preston	15	9	6	1.2	1.2	5	6	4	18	18	21
20	21	Blackburn	14	8	6	0.9	1.1	5	3	6	12	16	18
21	6	Wrexham	15	10	5	1.2	1.0	6	5	4	18	15	23
22	11	Bristol City	14	9	5	1.1	1.1	5	4	5	15	16	19
23	12	Stoke	15	10	5	1.0	0.9	6	3	6	15	14	21
24	20	Portsmouth	13	8	5	0.7	1.7	2	5	6	9	22	11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.