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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Backhouse

Derby 1–1 West Brom

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.55 fair 2.08
Draw ✓ 3.10 fair 4.05
Away 2.75 fair 3.67
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 2.09
Over 2.5 2.38 fair 1.92

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby West Brom
5 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 4
1 Corners 6
14 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (331 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.61 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawWest Brom
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 10.2% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.46points / match
1.36scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 38:36
West Brom before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.11scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 31:43
Derby all matches all matches West Brom

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 1.11
1.29 Goals conceded 1.54
2.64 Total goals 2.64
10.00 Shots 13.86
3.32 Shots on target 4.32
12.54 Shots faced 10.89
5.11 Corners 5.54
5.75 Corners against 3.79
12.00 Fouls 10.11
2.32 Yellow cards 1.50
0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

39% Wins 32%
29% Draws 14%
32% Losses 54%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
75% Over 1.5 goals 68%
50% Over 2.5 goals 54%
21% Over 3.5 goals 25%
7% Over 4.5 goals 21%
4% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 57%
21% Clean sheets 18%
7% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 29%
39% Draws 39%
25% Losses 32%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 29%
11% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
West Brom all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.21points / match
1.21scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 17:20
West Brom before this match, away
0.64points / match
0.93scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 13:24
Derby at home away West Brom

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 0.93
1.43 Goals conceded 1.71
2.64 Total goals 2.64
10.93 Shots 12.14
3.64 Shots on target 3.71
11.50 Shots faced 13.14
6.07 Corners 4.21
4.93 Corners against 4.43
11.14 Fouls 9.71
2.07 Yellow cards 1.71
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

29% Wins 21%
36% Draws 0%
36% Losses 79%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 57%
36% Over 2.5 goals 57%
21% Over 3.5 goals 29%
14% Over 4.5 goals 21%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 50%
21% Clean sheets 14%
7% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 21%
50% Draws 43%
29% Losses 36%
79% Over 0.5 goals 79%
36% Over 1.5 goals 36%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
West Brom away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.26 Charlton – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 2.653.002.75 2.50 1.53
17.01.26 Preston – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.40 2.38 1.57
04.01.26 Derby – Wrexham 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.253.05 2.20 1.67
01.01.26 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.053.252.25 2.10 1.73
29.12.25 Leicester – Derby 2–1 (2–1) 2.053.253.50 2.20 1.67
26.12.25 Birmingham – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 1.863.404.20 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.963.204.00 2.20 1.67
15.12.25 Sheffield Weds – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.203.202.20 2.10 1.73
10.12.25 Derby – Millwall 1–1 (0–0) 2.502.952.95 2.50 1.53
06.12.25 Derby – Leicester 1–3 (0–3) 2.703.202.57 2.30 1.62

West Brom all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.26 West Brom – Norwich 0–5 (0–1) 1.963.503.60 2.00 1.80
16.01.26 West Brom – Middlesbrough 2–3 (0–1) 2.503.252.70 2.10 1.73
05.01.26 Leicester – West Brom 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.65 2.03 1.83
01.01.26 Swansea – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.55 2.20 1.67
29.12.25 West Brom – QPR 2–1 (1–1) 2.013.403.50 2.05 1.80
26.12.25 West Brom – Bristol City 1–2 (0–2) 2.013.403.50 1.98 1.88
20.12.25 Hull – West Brom 1–0 (1–0) 2.753.402.40 1.93 1.93
12.12.25 West Brom – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.302.85 1.93 1.93
09.12.25 Southampton – West Brom 3–2 (3–0) 1.793.753.90 1.73 2.10
06.12.25 QPR – West Brom 3–1 (1–0) 2.403.053.05 2.20 1.67

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Derby – Wrexham 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.253.05 2.20 1.67
01.01.26 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.053.252.25 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.963.204.00 2.20 1.67
10.12.25 Derby – Millwall 1–1 (0–0) 2.502.952.95 2.50 1.53
06.12.25 Derby – Leicester 1–3 (0–3) 2.703.202.57 2.30 1.62
22.11.25 Derby – Watford 2–3 (1–0) 2.453.202.82 2.30 1.62
04.11.25 Derby – Hull 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.253.30 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Derby – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.252.65 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Derby – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.82 2.20 1.67
04.10.25 Derby – Southampton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.302.05 2.20 1.67

West Brom away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.01.26 Leicester – West Brom 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.65 2.03 1.83
01.01.26 Swansea – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.55 2.20 1.67
20.12.25 Hull – West Brom 1–0 (1–0) 2.753.402.40 1.93 1.93
09.12.25 Southampton – West Brom 3–2 (3–0) 1.793.753.90 1.73 2.10
06.12.25 QPR – West Brom 3–1 (1–0) 2.403.053.05 2.20 1.67
22.11.25 Coventry – West Brom 3–2 (1–2) 1.713.504.75 1.93 1.93
04.11.25 Charlton – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 2.502.952.85 2.63 1.50
25.10.25 Ipswich – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 1.713.604.50 2.00 1.85
22.10.25 Watford – West Brom 2–1 (1–1) 2.653.252.55 2.20 1.67
04.10.25 Millwall – West Brom 3–0 (1–0) 2.753.202.50 2.38 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsWest Brom wins
5matches
1.80goals / match
40%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25E1 West Brom – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.713.504.75 2.30 1.62
21.04.25E1 West Brom – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.503.80 2.38 1.57
26.12.24E1 Derby – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.38 1.57
27.12.21E1 Derby – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.501.80 2.20 1.66
14.09.21E1 West Brom – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.533.906.50 1.90 1.90

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 28 17 7 4 61 31 +30 58
2 Middlesbrough 28 15 7 6 42 29 +13 52
3 Ipswich 27 14 8 5 47 24 +23 50
4 Hull 27 14 5 8 45 39 +6 47
5 Millwall 28 13 7 8 32 35 -3 46
6 Preston 28 11 10 7 36 29 +7 43
7 Watford 27 11 9 7 38 32 +6 42
8 Stoke 28 12 5 11 33 25 +8 41
9 Wrexham 28 10 11 7 40 35 +5 41
10 Derby 28 11 8 9 38 36 +2 41
11 Bristol City 28 11 7 10 38 31 +7 40
12 QPR 28 11 7 10 38 39 -1 40
13 Birmingham 28 10 8 10 38 37 +1 38
14 Leicester 28 10 8 10 39 41 -2 38
15 Southampton 28 9 9 10 40 40 0 36
16 Swansea 28 10 6 12 31 35 -4 36
17 Sheffield United 27 10 2 15 36 40 -4 32
18 Charlton 27 8 8 11 27 34 -7 32
19 West Brom 28 9 4 15 31 43 -12 31
20 Norwich 28 8 6 14 35 40 -5 30
21 Portsmouth 26 7 8 11 23 36 -13 29
22 Blackburn 27 7 7 13 25 36 -11 28
23 Oxford 27 5 9 13 25 35 -10 24
24 Sheffield Weds 27 1 8 18 18 54 -36 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 14 11 2 1 31 11 +20 35
2 Ipswich 15 10 4 1 29 11 +18 34
3 Watford 15 8 5 2 24 15 +9 29
4 Middlesbrough 13 8 3 2 20 11 +9 27
5 Birmingham 13 7 5 1 27 13 +14 26
6 Millwall 14 8 2 4 17 17 0 26
7 Swansea 15 7 4 4 20 18 +2 25
8 Wrexham 15 6 6 3 26 22 +4 24
9 QPR 13 7 2 4 24 17 +7 23
10 Southampton 14 6 5 3 19 13 +6 23
11 Preston 15 6 5 4 19 16 +3 23
12 Hull 13 7 2 4 19 19 0 23
13 Leicester 13 6 4 3 19 15 +4 22
14 West Brom 14 6 4 4 18 19 -1 22
15 Bristol City 14 6 3 5 23 15 +8 21
16 Stoke 14 6 3 5 19 12 +7 21
17 Charlton 13 6 3 4 15 14 +1 21
18 Portsmouth 13 5 3 5 14 14 0 18
19 Sheffield United 12 5 2 5 18 13 +5 17
20 Derby 14 4 5 5 17 20 -3 17
21 Oxford 14 3 6 5 13 17 -4 15
22 Blackburn 13 2 4 7 13 20 -7 10
23 Norwich 13 3 1 9 12 19 -7 10
24 Sheffield Weds 15 0 4 11 7 32 -25 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 15 7 4 4 22 18 +4 25
2 Hull 14 7 3 4 26 20 +6 24
3 Derby 14 7 3 4 21 16 +5 24
4 Coventry 14 6 5 3 30 20 +10 23
5 Preston 13 5 5 3 17 13 +4 20
6 Norwich 15 5 5 5 23 21 +2 20
7 Stoke 14 6 2 6 14 13 +1 20
8 Millwall 14 5 5 4 15 18 -3 20
9 Bristol City 14 5 4 5 15 16 -1 19
10 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 12 16 -4 18
11 Wrexham 13 4 5 4 14 13 +1 17
12 QPR 15 4 5 6 14 22 -8 17
13 Ipswich 12 4 4 4 18 13 +5 16
14 Leicester 15 4 4 7 20 26 -6 16
15 Sheffield United 15 5 0 10 18 27 -9 15
16 Watford 12 3 4 5 14 17 -3 13
17 Southampton 14 3 4 7 21 27 -6 13
18 Birmingham 15 3 3 9 11 24 -13 12
19 Swansea 13 3 2 8 11 17 -6 11
20 Charlton 14 2 5 7 12 20 -8 11
21 Portsmouth 13 2 5 6 9 22 -13 11
22 Oxford 13 2 3 8 12 18 -6 9
23 West Brom 14 3 0 11 13 24 -11 9
24 Sheffield Weds 12 1 4 7 11 22 -11 7

Derby   West Brom

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Hull 27 9 18 1.7 1.4 14 5 8 45 39 47
2 14 Leicester 28 10 18 1.4 1.5 10 8 10 39 41 38
3 15 Southampton 28 10 18 1.4 1.4 9 9 10 40 40 36
4 1 Coventry 28 11 17 2.2 1.1 17 7 4 61 31 58
5 12 QPR 28 11 17 1.4 1.4 11 7 10 38 39 40
6 24 Sheffield Weds 27 11 16 0.7 2.0 1 8 18 18 54 11
7 2 Middlesbrough 28 13 15 1.5 1.0 15 7 6 42 29 52
8 17 Sheffield United 27 12 15 1.3 1.5 10 2 15 36 40 32
9 19 West Brom 28 13 15 1.1 1.5 9 4 15 31 43 31
10 3 Ipswich 27 13 14 1.7 0.9 14 8 5 47 24 50
11 7 Watford 27 13 14 1.4 1.2 11 9 7 38 32 42
12 10 Derby 28 14 14 1.4 1.3 11 8 9 38 36 41
13 13 Birmingham 28 14 14 1.4 1.3 10 8 10 38 37 38
14 20 Norwich 28 14 14 1.2 1.4 8 6 14 35 40 30
15 5 Millwall 28 15 13 1.1 1.2 13 7 8 32 35 46
16 16 Swansea 28 15 13 1.1 1.2 10 6 12 31 35 36
17 23 Oxford 27 14 13 0.9 1.3 5 9 13 25 35 24
18 6 Preston 28 16 12 1.3 1.0 11 10 7 36 29 43
19 8 Stoke 28 16 12 1.2 0.9 12 5 11 33 25 41
20 9 Wrexham 28 16 12 1.4 1.2 10 11 7 40 35 41
21 11 Bristol City 28 16 12 1.4 1.1 11 7 10 38 31 40
22 22 Blackburn 27 15 12 0.9 1.3 7 7 13 25 36 28
23 18 Charlton 27 16 11 1.0 1.3 8 8 11 27 34 32
24 21 Portsmouth 26 15 11 0.9 1.4 7 8 11 23 36 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 QPR 13 3 10 1.8 1.3 7 2 4 24 17 23
2 3 Ipswich 15 6 9 1.9 0.7 10 4 1 29 11 34
3 1 Coventry 14 6 8 2.2 0.8 11 2 1 31 11 35
4 7 Watford 15 7 8 1.6 1.0 8 5 2 24 15 29
5 9 Wrexham 15 7 8 1.7 1.5 6 6 3 26 22 24
6 24 Sheffield Weds 15 7 8 0.5 2.1 0 4 11 7 32 4
7 2 Middlesbrough 13 6 7 1.5 0.8 8 3 2 20 11 27
8 4 Hull 13 6 7 1.5 1.5 7 2 4 19 19 23
9 5 Millwall 14 7 7 1.2 1.2 8 2 4 17 17 26
10 6 Preston 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 5 4 19 16 23
11 8 Stoke 14 7 7 1.4 0.9 6 3 5 19 12 21
12 11 Bristol City 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 6 3 5 23 15 21
13 13 Birmingham 13 6 7 2.1 1.0 7 5 1 27 13 26
14 14 Leicester 13 6 7 1.5 1.2 6 4 3 19 15 22
15 15 Southampton 14 7 7 1.4 0.9 6 5 3 19 13 23
16 16 Swansea 15 8 7 1.3 1.2 7 4 4 20 18 25
17 17 Sheffield United 12 5 7 1.5 1.1 5 2 5 18 13 17
18 19 West Brom 14 7 7 1.3 1.4 6 4 4 18 19 22
19 23 Oxford 14 7 7 0.9 1.2 3 6 5 13 17 15
20 20 Norwich 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 3 1 9 12 19 10
21 21 Portsmouth 13 7 6 1.1 1.1 5 3 5 14 14 18
22 22 Blackburn 13 7 6 1.0 1.5 2 4 7 13 20 10
23 10 Derby 14 9 5 1.2 1.4 4 5 5 17 20 17
24 18 Charlton 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 6 3 4 15 14 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Hull 14 3 11 1.9 1.4 7 3 4 26 20 24
2 14 Leicester 15 4 11 1.3 1.7 4 4 7 20 26 16
3 15 Southampton 14 3 11 1.5 1.9 3 4 7 21 27 13
4 1 Coventry 14 5 9 2.1 1.4 6 5 3 30 20 23
5 10 Derby 14 5 9 1.5 1.1 7 3 4 21 16 24
6 2 Middlesbrough 15 7 8 1.5 1.2 7 4 4 22 18 25
7 17 Sheffield United 15 7 8 1.2 1.8 5 0 10 18 27 15
8 19 West Brom 14 6 8 0.9 1.7 3 0 11 13 24 9
9 20 Norwich 15 7 8 1.5 1.4 5 5 5 23 21 20
10 24 Sheffield Weds 12 4 8 0.9 1.8 1 4 7 11 22 7
11 12 QPR 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 4 5 6 14 22 17
12 13 Birmingham 15 8 7 0.7 1.6 3 3 9 11 24 12
13 5 Millwall 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 5 5 4 15 18 20
14 7 Watford 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 3 4 5 14 17 13
15 16 Swansea 13 7 6 0.8 1.3 3 2 8 11 17 11
16 18 Charlton 14 8 6 0.9 1.4 2 5 7 12 20 11
17 22 Blackburn 14 8 6 0.9 1.1 5 3 6 12 16 18
18 23 Oxford 13 7 6 0.9 1.4 2 3 8 12 18 9
19 3 Ipswich 12 7 5 1.5 1.1 4 4 4 18 13 16
20 6 Preston 13 8 5 1.3 1.0 5 5 3 17 13 20
21 8 Stoke 14 9 5 1.0 0.9 6 2 6 14 13 20
22 11 Bristol City 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 5 4 5 15 16 19
23 21 Portsmouth 13 8 5 0.7 1.7 2 5 6 9 22 11
24 9 Wrexham 13 9 4 1.1 1.0 4 5 4 14 13 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51