Preston 0–1 Derby – England Championship, 17 Jan 2026

Match facts

Preston Derby

13 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 10

7 Fouls 12

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (311 league matches this season so far).

Result Preston to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.90

Expected goals 1.52 – 1.12

Home / Draw / Away

47% 26% 28%

PrestonDrawDerby

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

47% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.1% 1–0 10.8% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Preston before this match, all matches

1.65points / match

1.38scored / match

0.96conceded / match

11 10 5

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 36:25

Derby before this match, all matches

1.35points / match

1.35scored / match

1.35conceded / match

9 8 9

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 35:35

Preston all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.35

0.96 Goals conceded 1.35

2.35 Total goals 2.69

11.15 Shots 9.50

3.81 Shots on target 3.23

13.23 Shots faced 12.58

4.23 Corners 5.12

5.81 Corners against 5.85

10.46 Fouls 11.92

2.08 Yellow cards 2.23

0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.62

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

42% Wins 35%

38% Draws 31%

19% Losses 35%

92% Over 0.5 goals 100%

77% Over 1.5 goals 77%

42% Over 2.5 goals 50%

15% Over 3.5 goals 23%

8% Over 4.5 goals 8%

0% Over 5.5 goals 4%

62% Both teams scored 73%

31% Clean sheets 19%

15% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 35%

31% Draws 38%

31% Losses 27%

81% Over 0.5 goals 77%

23% Over 1.5 goals 27%

8% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Preston all matches

1

D

3

2

W

1

D

1

D

2

1

W

1

D

1

2

L

3

W

2

W

Derby all matches

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

3

W

1

D

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

1

2

L

Preston before this match, at home

1.77points / match

1.46scored / match

0.92conceded / match

6 5 2

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:12

Derby before this match, away

1.50points / match

1.50scored / match

1.25conceded / match

5 3 4

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 18:15

Preston at home away Derby

Per match

1.46 Goals scored 1.50

0.92 Goals conceded 1.25

2.38 Total goals 2.75

11.46 Shots 7.83

3.69 Shots on target 2.75

12.69 Shots faced 13.83

4.69 Corners 4.00

5.31 Corners against 6.92

10.46 Fouls 12.83

2.23 Yellow cards 2.42

0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.67

0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

46% Wins 42%

38% Draws 25%

15% Losses 33%

92% Over 0.5 goals 100%

77% Over 1.5 goals 83%

46% Over 2.5 goals 67%

15% Over 3.5 goals 25%

8% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

62% Both teams scored 75%

31% Clean sheets 17%

15% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 50%

38% Draws 25%

23% Losses 25%

69% Over 0.5 goals 75%

15% Over 1.5 goals 17%

8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Preston at home

D

2

W

1

L

3

2

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

D

1

D

1

D

3

W

Derby away

1

W

1

D

1

L

3

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

3

W

1

D

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Preston all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.01.26	Bristol City – Preston	0–2 (0–1)	1.81	3.40	4.33	2.00	1.80
01.01.26	Preston – Sheffield Weds	3–0 (1–0)	1.46	4.00	7.00	1.85	2.00
29.12.25	Wrexham – Preston	2–1 (1–0)	2.05	3.25	3.50	2.10	1.73
26.12.25	Stoke – Preston	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.25	3.40	2.10	1.73
20.12.25	Preston – Norwich	1–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.50	3.05	1.88	1.98
13.12.25	Oxford – Preston	1–2 (0–1)	2.65	3.20	2.65	2.10	1.73
09.12.25	Preston – Coventry	1–1 (0–0)	3.75	3.70	1.86	1.80	2.00
06.12.25	Preston – Wrexham	1–1 (0–1)	2.32	3.05	3.05	2.20	1.67
29.11.25	Sheffield Weds – Preston	2–3 (2–1)	3.40	3.25	2.15	2.10	1.73
25.11.25	Watford – Preston	1–1 (1–1)	1.81	3.60	4.20	2.10	1.73

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.01.26	Derby – Wrexham	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.25	3.05	2.20	1.67
01.01.26	Derby – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	3.05	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73
29.12.25	Leicester – Derby	2–1 (2–1)	2.05	3.25	3.50	2.20	1.67
26.12.25	Birmingham – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.73
20.12.25	Derby – Portsmouth	1–1 (1–1)	1.96	3.20	4.00	2.20	1.67
15.12.25	Sheffield Weds – Derby	0–3 (0–1)	3.20	3.20	2.20	2.10	1.73
10.12.25	Derby – Millwall	1–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.95	2.95	2.50	1.53
06.12.25	Derby – Leicester	1–3 (0–3)	2.70	3.20	2.57	2.30	1.62
29.11.25	Middlesbrough – Derby	2–1 (0–1)	1.71	3.60	5.00	2.20	1.67
25.11.25	Swansea – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.05	3.60	2.50	1.53

Preston at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.01.26	Preston – Sheffield Weds	3–0 (1–0)	1.46	4.00	7.00	1.85	2.00
20.12.25	Preston – Norwich	1–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.50	3.05	1.88	1.98
09.12.25	Preston – Coventry	1–1 (0–0)	3.75	3.70	1.86	1.80	2.00
06.12.25	Preston – Wrexham	1–1 (0–1)	2.32	3.05	3.05	2.20	1.67
21.11.25	Preston – Blackburn	1–2 (1–1)	2.45	3.05	2.85	2.20	1.67
05.11.25	Preston – Swansea	2–1 (1–0)	2.20	3.05	3.40	2.20	1.67
24.10.25	Preston – Sheffield United	3–2 (1–2)	2.50	3.05	2.85	2.30	1.62
21.10.25	Preston – Birmingham	0–1 (0–1)	2.82	3.05	2.45	2.20	1.67
04.10.25	Preston – Charlton	2–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.40	2.70	2.30	1.62
27.09.25	Preston – Bristol City	0–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.30	2.65	2.10	1.73

Derby away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.12.25	Leicester – Derby	2–1 (2–1)	2.05	3.25	3.50	2.20	1.67
26.12.25	Birmingham – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.73
15.12.25	Sheffield Weds – Derby	0–3 (0–1)	3.20	3.20	2.20	2.10	1.73
29.11.25	Middlesbrough – Derby	2–1 (0–1)	1.71	3.60	5.00	2.20	1.67
25.11.25	Swansea – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.05	3.60	2.50	1.53
08.11.25	Blackburn – Derby	1–2 (0–2)	1.91	3.30	3.90	2.38	1.57
01.11.25	Sheffield United – Derby	1–3 (0–1)	1.76	3.50	4.33	2.20	1.67
18.10.25	Oxford – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	2.40	3.05	2.95	2.50	1.53
27.09.25	Wrexham – Derby	1–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.38	1.57
13.09.25	West Brom – Derby	0–1 (0–0)	1.71	3.50	4.75	2.30	1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2 2

Preston winsDrawsDerby wins

5matches

1.20goals / match

0%over 2.5

20%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.09.25E1	Derby – Preston	0–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.10	3.10	2.75	1.44
02.04.25E1	Derby – Preston	2–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.00	3.60	2.75	1.44
23.11.24E1	Preston – Derby	1–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.20	3.40	2.20	1.67
02.04.22E1	Derby – Preston	1–0 (0–0)	2.62	3.10	2.87	2.50	1.53
16.10.21E1	Preston – Derby	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.20	4.20	2.30	1.61

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	27	16	7	4	59	30	+29	55
2	Middlesbrough	27	14	7	6	40	28	+12	49
3	Ipswich	26	13	8	5	45	24	+21	47
4	Millwall	27	13	7	7	31	33	-2	46
5	Preston	26	11	10	5	36	25	+11	43
6	Watford	26	11	8	7	37	31	+6	41
7	Hull	25	12	5	8	40	38	+2	41
8	Stoke	26	12	4	10	32	23	+9	40
9	Wrexham	26	10	10	6	38	32	+6	40
10	Bristol City	26	11	6	9	38	29	+9	39
11	QPR	26	11	5	10	38	39	-1	38
12	Leicester	27	10	7	10	38	40	-2	37
13	Derby	26	9	8	9	35	35	0	35
14	Birmingham	26	9	7	10	35	36	-1	34
15	Southampton	26	8	9	9	38	38	0	33
16	Sheffield United	25	10	2	13	36	38	-2	32
17	Swansea	26	9	5	12	27	33	-6	32
18	West Brom	27	9	4	14	31	38	-7	31
19	Charlton	25	7	8	10	25	32	-7	29
20	Blackburn	26	7	7	12	24	33	-9	28
21	Portsmouth	24	6	7	11	21	35	-14	25
22	Norwich	26	6	6	14	28	39	-11	24
23	Oxford	25	5	7	13	25	35	-10	22
24	Sheffield Weds	25	1	8	16	18	51	-33	11

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	13	10	2	1	29	10	+19	32
2	Ipswich	14	9	4	1	27	11	+16	31
3	Watford	14	8	4	2	23	14	+9	28
4	Middlesbrough	13	8	3	2	20	11	+9	27
5	Birmingham	13	7	5	1	27	13	+14	26
6	Millwall	14	8	2	4	17	17	0	26
7	QPR	13	7	2	4	24	17	+7	23
8	Preston	13	6	5	2	19	12	+7	23
9	Wrexham	13	6	5	2	24	19	+5	23
10	Hull	13	7	2	4	19	19	0	23
11	Leicester	13	6	4	3	19	15	+4	22
12	West Brom	13	6	4	3	18	14	+4	22
13	Bristol City	14	6	3	5	23	15	+8	21
14	Swansea	13	6	3	4	16	16	0	21
15	Stoke	12	6	2	4	18	10	+8	20
16	Southampton	12	5	5	2	17	11	+6	20
17	Charlton	11	5	3	3	13	12	+1	18
18	Portsmouth	13	5	3	5	14	14	0	18
19	Sheffield United	12	5	2	5	18	13	+5	17
20	Derby	14	4	5	5	17	20	-3	17
21	Oxford	12	3	4	5	13	17	-4	13
22	Blackburn	13	2	4	7	13	20	-7	10
23	Norwich	13	3	1	9	12	19	-7	10
24	Sheffield Weds	13	0	4	9	7	29	-22	4

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	14	6	5	3	30	20	+10	23
2	Middlesbrough	14	6	4	4	20	17	+3	22
3	Preston	13	5	5	3	17	13	+4	20
4	Stoke	14	6	2	6	14	13	+1	20
5	Millwall	13	5	5	3	14	16	-2	20
6	Derby	12	5	3	4	18	15	+3	18
7	Hull	12	5	3	4	21	19	+2	18
8	Bristol City	12	5	3	4	15	14	+1	18
9	Blackburn	13	5	3	5	11	13	-2	18
10	Wrexham	13	4	5	4	14	13	+1	17
11	Ipswich	12	4	4	4	18	13	+5	16
12	Leicester	14	4	3	7	19	25	-6	15
13	Sheffield United	13	5	0	8	18	25	-7	15
14	QPR	13	4	3	6	14	22	-8	15
15	Norwich	13	3	5	5	16	20	-4	14
16	Watford	12	3	4	5	14	17	-3	13
17	Southampton	14	3	4	7	21	27	-6	13
18	Swansea	13	3	2	8	11	17	-6	11
19	Charlton	14	2	5	7	12	20	-8	11
20	Oxford	13	2	3	8	12	18	-6	9
21	West Brom	14	3	0	11	13	24	-11	9
22	Birmingham	13	2	2	9	8	23	-15	8
23	Sheffield Weds	12	1	4	7	11	22	-11	7
24	Portsmouth	11	1	4	6	7	21	-14	7

Preston Derby

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Leicester	27	9	18	1.4	1.5	10	7	10	38	40	37
2	11	QPR	26	9	17	1.5	1.5	11	5	10	38	39	38
3	15	Southampton	26	9	17	1.5	1.5	8	9	9	38	38	33
4	1	Coventry	27	11	16	2.2	1.1	16	7	4	59	30	55
5	7	Hull	25	9	16	1.6	1.5	12	5	8	40	38	41
6	24	Sheffield Weds	25	9	16	0.7	2.0	1	8	16	18	51	11
7	16	Sheffield United	25	10	15	1.4	1.5	10	2	13	36	38	32
8	2	Middlesbrough	27	13	14	1.5	1.0	14	7	6	40	28	49
9	3	Ipswich	26	12	14	1.7	0.9	13	8	5	45	24	47
10	6	Watford	26	12	14	1.4	1.2	11	8	7	37	31	41
11	14	Birmingham	26	12	14	1.3	1.4	9	7	10	35	36	34
12	18	West Brom	27	13	14	1.1	1.4	9	4	14	31	38	31
13	13	Derby	26	13	13	1.3	1.3	9	8	9	35	35	35
14	23	Oxford	25	12	13	1.0	1.4	5	7	13	25	35	22
15	4	Millwall	27	15	12	1.1	1.2	13	7	7	31	33	46
16	10	Bristol City	26	14	12	1.5	1.1	11	6	9	38	29	39
17	17	Swansea	26	14	12	1.0	1.3	9	5	12	27	33	32
18	22	Norwich	26	14	12	1.1	1.5	6	6	14	28	39	24
19	5	Preston	26	15	11	1.4	1.0	11	10	5	36	25	43
20	8	Stoke	26	15	11	1.2	0.9	12	4	10	32	23	40
21	9	Wrexham	26	15	11	1.5	1.2	10	10	6	38	32	40
22	20	Blackburn	26	15	11	0.9	1.3	7	7	12	24	33	28
23	21	Portsmouth	24	13	11	0.9	1.5	6	7	11	21	35	25
24	19	Charlton	25	15	10	1.0	1.3	7	8	10	25	32	29

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	11	QPR	13	3	10	1.8	1.3	7	2	4	24	17	23
2	3	Ipswich	14	5	9	1.9	0.8	9	4	1	27	11	31
3	6	Watford	14	6	8	1.6	1.0	8	4	2	23	14	28
4	24	Sheffield Weds	13	5	8	0.5	2.2	0	4	9	7	29	4
5	1	Coventry	13	6	7	2.2	0.8	10	2	1	29	10	32
6	2	Middlesbrough	13	6	7	1.5	0.8	8	3	2	20	11	27
7	4	Millwall	14	7	7	1.2	1.2	8	2	4	17	17	26
8	7	Hull	13	6	7	1.5	1.5	7	2	4	19	19	23
9	9	Wrexham	13	6	7	1.8	1.5	6	5	2	24	19	23
10	10	Bristol City	14	7	7	1.6	1.1	6	3	5	23	15	21
11	12	Leicester	13	6	7	1.5	1.2	6	4	3	19	15	22
12	14	Birmingham	13	6	7	2.1	1.0	7	5	1	27	13	26
13	16	Sheffield United	12	5	7	1.5	1.1	5	2	5	18	13	17
14	23	Oxford	12	5	7	1.1	1.4	3	4	5	13	17	13
15	5	Preston	13	7	6	1.5	0.9	6	5	2	19	12	23
16	8	Stoke	12	6	6	1.5	0.8	6	2	4	18	10	20
17	15	Southampton	12	6	6	1.4	0.9	5	5	2	17	11	20
18	17	Swansea	13	7	6	1.2	1.2	6	3	4	16	16	21
19	18	West Brom	13	7	6	1.4	1.1	6	4	3	18	14	22
20	20	Blackburn	13	7	6	1.0	1.5	2	4	7	13	20	10
21	21	Portsmouth	13	7	6	1.1	1.1	5	3	5	14	14	18
22	22	Norwich	13	7	6	0.9	1.5	3	1	9	12	19	10
23	13	Derby	14	9	5	1.2	1.4	4	5	5	17	20	17
24	19	Charlton	11	7	4	1.2	1.1	5	3	3	13	12	18

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Leicester	14	3	11	1.4	1.8	4	3	7	19	25	15
2	15	Southampton	14	3	11	1.5	1.9	3	4	7	21	27	13
3	1	Coventry	14	5	9	2.1	1.4	6	5	3	30	20	23
4	7	Hull	12	3	9	1.8	1.6	5	3	4	21	19	18
5	13	Derby	12	4	8	1.5	1.2	5	3	4	18	15	18
6	16	Sheffield United	13	5	8	1.4	1.9	5	0	8	18	25	15
7	18	West Brom	14	6	8	0.9	1.7	3	0	11	13	24	9
8	24	Sheffield Weds	12	4	8	0.9	1.8	1	4	7	11	22	7
9	2	Middlesbrough	14	7	7	1.4	1.2	6	4	4	20	17	22
10	11	QPR	13	6	7	1.1	1.7	4	3	6	14	22	15
11	14	Birmingham	13	6	7	0.6	1.8	2	2	9	8	23	8
12	6	Watford	12	6	6	1.2	1.4	3	4	5	14	17	13
13	17	Swansea	13	7	6	0.8	1.3	3	2	8	11	17	11
14	19	Charlton	14	8	6	0.9	1.4	2	5	7	12	20	11
15	22	Norwich	13	7	6	1.2	1.5	3	5	5	16	20	14
16	23	Oxford	13	7	6	0.9	1.4	2	3	8	12	18	9
17	3	Ipswich	12	7	5	1.5	1.1	4	4	4	18	13	16
18	4	Millwall	13	8	5	1.1	1.2	5	5	3	14	16	20
19	5	Preston	13	8	5	1.3	1.0	5	5	3	17	13	20
20	8	Stoke	14	9	5	1.0	0.9	6	2	6	14	13	20
21	10	Bristol City	12	7	5	1.2	1.2	5	3	4	15	14	18
22	20	Blackburn	13	8	5	0.8	1.0	5	3	5	11	13	18
23	21	Portsmouth	11	6	5	0.6	1.9	1	4	6	7	21	7
24	9	Wrexham	13	9	4	1.1	1.0	4	5	4	14	13	17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.