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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Eltringham

Watford 2–1 Derby

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.85 fair 1.91
Draw 3.50 fair 4.42
Away 4.10 fair 3.99
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 2.49
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.67

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Watford Derby
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 2
10 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (28 league matches this season so far).
Result Watford to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 1.87 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
WatfordDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.4% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
3.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 6:2
Derby before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:4
Watford all matches all matches Derby

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 1.50
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
4.00 Total goals 3.50
17.00 Shots 7.50
6.50 Shots on target 3.00
11.50 Shots faced 15.50
3.50 Corners 6.00
4.50 Corners against 4.50
13.50 Fouls 11.50
2.50 Yellow cards 3.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

100% Wins 50%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
100% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
50% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 50%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches
Derby all matches
Watford before this match, at home
3.00points / match
3.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 3:0
Derby before this match, away
0.00points / match
2.00scored / match
4.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 2:4
Watford at home away Derby

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 2.00
0.00 Goals conceded 4.00
3.00 Total goals 6.00
24.00 Shots 12.00
8.00 Shots on target 4.00
7.00 Shots faced 11.00
2.00 Corners 9.00
4.00 Corners against 1.00
12.00 Fouls 10.00
2.00 Yellow cards 3.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 100%
0% Over 4.5 goals 100%
0% Over 5.5 goals 100%
0% Both teams scored 100%
100% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
0% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.08.24 Watford – Stoke 3–0 (0–0) 2.633.252.70 2.05 1.80
10.08.24 Millwall – Watford 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.253.25 2.25 1.62
04.05.24 Middlesbrough – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
27.04.24 Watford – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.25 2.10 1.73
20.04.24 Watford – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.502.38 1.83 2.03
13.04.24 Southampton – Watford 3–2 (2–1) 1.445.006.50 1.53 2.50
10.04.24 Ipswich – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.62 2.30
06.04.24 Watford – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 2.10 1.73
01.04.24 West Brom – Watford 2–2 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.08 1.73
29.03.24 Watford – Leeds 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.331.55 1.70 2.10

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
09.08.24 Blackburn – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
27.04.24E2 Derby – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.54 2.35
20.04.24E2 Cambridge – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.001.55 1.90 1.95
13.04.24E2 Derby – Leyton Orient 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.006.50 2.00 1.85
10.04.24E2 Wycombe – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.751.83 1.98 1.88
02.04.24E2 Portsmouth – Derby 2–2 (1–2) 2.253.303.30 2.08 1.73
29.03.24E2 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 2.05 1.75
23.03.24E2 Northampton – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 5.753.601.65 2.08 1.73
16.03.24E2 Derby – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85

Watford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.08.24 Watford – Stoke 3–0 (0–0) 2.633.252.70 2.05 1.80
27.04.24 Watford – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.25 2.10 1.73
20.04.24 Watford – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.502.38 1.83 2.03
06.04.24 Watford – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 2.10 1.73
29.03.24 Watford – Leeds 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.331.55 1.70 2.10
09.03.24 Watford – Coventry 1–2 (1–1) 2.883.402.40 1.85 2.00
06.03.24 Watford – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.25 1.93 1.93
24.02.24 Watford – Huddersfield 1–2 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 1.98 1.88
10.02.24 Watford – Leicester 1–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.70 1.75 2.05
03.02.24 Watford – Cardiff 0–1 (0–1) 1.833.604.33 2.03 1.83

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.08.24 Blackburn – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
20.04.24E2 Cambridge – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.001.55 1.90 1.95
10.04.24E2 Wycombe – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.751.83 1.98 1.88
02.04.24E2 Portsmouth – Derby 2–2 (1–2) 2.253.303.30 2.08 1.73
23.03.24E2 Northampton – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 5.753.601.65 2.08 1.73
09.03.24E2 Bristol Rvs – Derby 0–3 (0–0) 3.603.502.00 1.95 1.90
24.02.24E2 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.803.402.50 1.93 1.93
13.02.24E2 Exeter – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.503.602.05 1.98 1.88
03.02.24E2 Charlton – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
23.01.24E2 Reading – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.801.85 1.73 2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 2 2 0 0 9 1 +8 6
2 Sunderland 2 2 0 0 6 0 +6 6
3 Watford 2 2 0 0 6 2 +4 6
4 Leeds 3 1 2 0 5 3 +2 5
5 Bristol City 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5
6 Blackburn 2 1 1 0 6 4 +2 4
7 Sheffield United 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
8 West Brom 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
9 Coventry 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
10 Swansea 2 1 0 1 3 1 +2 3
11 Oxford 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
12 Hull 3 0 3 0 2 2 0 3
13 Middlesbrough 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
14 Derby 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
15 Sheffield Weds 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3
16 Stoke 2 1 0 1 1 3 -2 3
17 Portsmouth 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
18 QPR 3 0 2 1 4 6 -2 2
19 Plymouth 3 0 2 1 2 6 -4 2
20 Millwall 3 0 1 2 5 7 -2 1
21 Norwich 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
22 Luton 2 0 1 1 1 4 -3 1
23 Preston 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0
24 Cardiff 2 0 0 2 0 7 -7 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 5 4 +1 4
2 Burnley 1 1 0 0 5 0 +5 3
3 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 4 0 +4 3
4 Swansea 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
5 Watford 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
6 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 4 2 +2 3
7 Sheffield Weds 2 1 0 1 4 2 +2 3
8 Oxford 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
9 Coventry 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
10 Derby 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
11 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
12 Stoke 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
13 Hull 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
14 Leeds 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1
15 Norwich 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
16 Sheffield United 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
17 Plymouth 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
18 Portsmouth 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
19 West Brom 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
20 QPR 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
21 Millwall 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
22 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
23 Preston 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
24 Luton 1 0 0 1 1 4 -3 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
2 Burnley 1 1 0 0 4 1 +3 3
3 West Brom 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
4 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
5 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
6 Watford 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
7 Portsmouth 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1
8 Blackburn 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
9 QPR 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
10 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
11 Hull 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
12 Luton 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
13 Millwall 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
14 Coventry 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
15 Plymouth 2 0 1 1 1 5 -4 1
16 Oxford 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
17 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
18 Swansea 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
19 Derby 1 0 0 1 2 4 -2 0
20 Norwich 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
21 Preston 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
22 Stoke 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
23 Sheffield Weds 1 0 0 1 0 4 -4 0
24 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 0 5 -5 0

Watford   Derby

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 2 0 2 4.5 0.5 2 0 0 9 1 6
2 3 Watford 2 0 2 3.0 1.0 2 0 0 6 2 6
3 6 Blackburn 2 0 2 3.0 2.0 1 1 0 6 4 4
4 15 Sheffield Weds 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3
5 18 QPR 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 0 2 1 4 6 2
6 20 Millwall 3 1 2 1.7 2.3 0 1 2 5 7 1
7 2 Sunderland 2 1 1 3.0 0.0 2 0 0 6 0 6
8 4 Leeds 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 1 2 0 5 3 5
9 5 Bristol City 3 2 1 2.0 1.7 1 2 0 6 5 5
10 7 Sheffield United 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
11 8 West Brom 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
12 9 Coventry 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
13 10 Swansea 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 0 1 3 1 3
14 11 Oxford 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
15 14 Derby 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
16 16 Stoke 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 1 0 1 1 3 3
17 17 Portsmouth 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
18 19 Plymouth 3 2 1 0.7 2.0 0 2 1 2 6 2
19 21 Norwich 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
20 22 Luton 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 1 1 1 4 1
21 23 Preston 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0
22 24 Cardiff 2 1 1 0.0 3.5 0 0 2 0 7 0
23 12 Hull 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 0 3 0 2 2 3
24 13 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 1 0 1 5.0 0.0 1 0 0 5 0 3
2 2 Sunderland 1 0 1 4.0 0.0 1 0 0 4 0 3
3 3 Watford 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
4 4 Leeds 1 0 1 3.0 3.0 0 1 0 3 3 1
5 5 Bristol City 2 1 1 2.5 2.0 1 1 0 5 4 4
6 6 Blackburn 1 0 1 4.0 2.0 1 0 0 4 2 3
7 7 Sheffield United 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
8 9 Coventry 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
9 10 Swansea 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
10 15 Sheffield Weds 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 1 4 2 3
11 18 QPR 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
12 20 Millwall 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
13 21 Norwich 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
14 22 Luton 1 0 1 1.0 4.0 0 0 1 1 4 0
15 8 West Brom 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
16 11 Oxford 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
17 12 Hull 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
18 13 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
19 14 Derby 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
20 16 Stoke 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
21 17 Portsmouth 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
22 19 Plymouth 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
23 23 Preston 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
24 24 Cardiff 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 1 0 1 4.0 1.0 1 0 0 4 1 3
2 3 Watford 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
3 6 Blackburn 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
4 8 West Brom 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
5 11 Oxford 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
6 14 Derby 1 0 1 2.0 4.0 0 0 1 2 4 0
7 15 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 0.0 4.0 0 0 1 0 4 0
8 16 Stoke 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
9 17 Portsmouth 1 0 1 3.0 3.0 0 1 0 3 3 1
10 18 QPR 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
11 19 Plymouth 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 1 1 1 5 1
12 20 Millwall 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
13 23 Preston 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
14 24 Cardiff 1 0 1 0.0 5.0 0 0 1 0 5 0
15 2 Sunderland 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
16 4 Leeds 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
17 5 Bristol City 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
18 7 Sheffield United 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
19 9 Coventry 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
20 10 Swansea 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
21 12 Hull 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
22 13 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
23 21 Norwich 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
24 22 Luton 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40