Derby 0–1 Luton – England Championship, 18 Apr 2025 | BetGPS

Match facts

Derby Luton

14 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 1

9 Corners 4

9 Fouls 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (504 league matches this season so far).

Result Derby to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.85

Expected goals 1.58 – 0.87

Home / Draw / Away

54% 25% 21%

DerbyDrawLuton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

56% 44%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

54% 46%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

10% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 13.7% 1–1 11.9% 2–0 10.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches

1.02points / match

1.05scored / match

1.29conceded / match

11 10 21

WonDrawnLost 42 played · 44:54

Luton before this match, all matches

0.95points / match

0.88scored / match

1.50conceded / match

10 10 22

WonDrawnLost 42 played · 37:63

Derby all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.05 Goals scored 0.88

1.29 Goals conceded 1.50

2.33 Total goals 2.38

10.12 Shots 11.19

3.10 Shots on target 3.33

11.45 Shots faced 12.10

4.95 Corners 5.76

5.29 Corners against 4.90

12.12 Fouls 12.43

1.95 Yellow cards 1.79

0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.43

0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

26% Wins 24%

24% Draws 24%

50% Losses 52%

93% Over 0.5 goals 93%

69% Over 1.5 goals 67%

40% Over 2.5 goals 43%

17% Over 3.5 goals 19%

10% Over 4.5 goals 12%

5% Over 5.5 goals 5%

48% Both teams scored 50%

24% Clean sheets 21%

36% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 24%

48% Draws 48%

29% Losses 29%

60% Over 0.5 goals 62%

21% Over 1.5 goals 33%

7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches

4

L

1

L

1

L

2

1

W

2

W

3

2

W

2

W

1

L

D

2

D

Luton all matches

1

D

2

L

1

W

4

L

2

1

W

D

1

W

1

D

1

D

1

L

Derby before this match, at home

1.48points / match

1.19scored / match

0.81conceded / match

9 4 8

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 25:17

Luton before this match, away

0.57points / match

0.76scored / match

2.00conceded / match

3 3 15

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 16:42

Derby at home away Luton

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 0.76

0.81 Goals conceded 2.00

2.00 Total goals 2.76

11.76 Shots 9.38

3.38 Shots on target 2.95

10.05 Shots faced 13.90

5.14 Corners 4.81

5.05 Corners against 5.57

11.90 Fouls 12.81

1.71 Yellow cards 1.95

0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.43

0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.90

How often Full Time

43% Wins 14%

19% Draws 14%

38% Losses 71%

90% Over 0.5 goals 95%

62% Over 1.5 goals 76%

33% Over 2.5 goals 48%

10% Over 3.5 goals 29%

5% Over 4.5 goals 19%

0% Over 5.5 goals 10%

33% Both teams scored 48%

43% Clean sheets 14%

33% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 19%

43% Draws 33%

19% Losses 48%

62% Over 0.5 goals 76%

19% Over 1.5 goals 48%

10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home

1

L

2

L

1

L

1

L

D

1

L

2

1

W

2

W

2

W

D

Luton away

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

3

L

1

D

2

L

2

L

4

L

2

1

W

1

W

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.04.25	Portsmouth – Derby	2–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.63	1.50
08.04.25	Derby – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	4.20	3.30	1.82	2.75	1.44
05.04.25	Swansea – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.75	2.38	1.57
02.04.25	Derby – Preston	2–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.00	3.60	2.75	1.44
15.03.25	Plymouth – Derby	2–3 (1–2)	2.80	3.20	2.55	2.50	1.53
11.03.25	Derby – Coventry	2–0 (1–0)	3.40	3.20	2.20	2.32	1.53
08.03.25	Derby – Blackburn	2–1 (2–1)	2.70	3.00	2.75	2.38	1.57
01.03.25	Middlesbrough – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	1.65	3.60	5.50	1.90	1.95
22.02.25	Derby – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.90	3.25	3.00	1.40
14.02.25	QPR – Derby	4–0 (2–0)	2.05	3.20	4.00	2.63	1.50

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.04.25	Luton – Blackburn	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.40	4.33	2.20	1.67
08.04.25	Stoke – Luton	1–1 (0–0)	2.40	3.25	2.90	2.38	1.57
05.04.25	Luton – Leeds	1–1 (1–1)	5.25	4.10	1.60	2.00	1.85
29.03.25	Hull – Luton	0–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.25	2.30	1.62
15.03.25	Luton – Middlesbrough	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.95	1.90
11.03.25	Cardiff – Luton	1–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.25	1.57
08.03.25	Burnley – Luton	4–0 (2–0)	1.62	3.60	6.00	2.38	1.57
01.03.25	Luton – Portsmouth	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.05	1.80
23.02.25	Watford – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.50	2.88	2.20	1.67
19.02.25	Luton – Plymouth	1–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	2.00	1.80

Derby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.04.25	Derby – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	4.20	3.30	1.82	2.75	1.44
02.04.25	Derby – Preston	2–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.00	3.60	2.75	1.44
11.03.25	Derby – Coventry	2–0 (1–0)	3.40	3.20	2.20	2.32	1.53
08.03.25	Derby – Blackburn	2–1 (2–1)	2.70	3.00	2.75	2.38	1.57
22.02.25	Derby – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.90	3.25	3.00	1.40
11.02.25	Derby – Oxford	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.00	3.60	2.75	1.44
01.02.25	Derby – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.10	2.15	2.20	1.67
21.01.25	Derby – Sunderland	0–1 (0–1)	3.50	3.30	2.10	2.20	1.67
18.01.25	Derby – Watford	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
29.12.24	Derby – Leeds	0–1 (0–0)	5.00	4.20	1.60	2.10	1.73

Luton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.04.25	Stoke – Luton	1–1 (0–0)	2.40	3.25	2.90	2.38	1.57
29.03.25	Hull – Luton	0–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.25	2.30	1.62
11.03.25	Cardiff – Luton	1–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.25	1.57
08.03.25	Burnley – Luton	4–0 (2–0)	1.62	3.60	6.00	2.38	1.57
23.02.25	Watford – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.50	2.88	2.20	1.67
12.02.25	Sunderland – Luton	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.80	5.00	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Sheffield Weds – Luton	1–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.25	3.70	2.20	1.67
21.01.25	Oxford – Luton	3–2 (1–2)	2.90	3.20	2.50	2.30	1.62
06.01.25	QPR – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	2.40	3.25	2.90	2.20	1.67
29.12.24	Swansea – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.50	3.10	2.03	1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Derby winsDrawsLuton wins

3matches

2.67goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.12.24E1	Luton – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.20	3.50	2.30	1.62
26.02.22E1	Luton – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.20	1.66
19.10.21E1	Derby – Luton	2–2 (1–0)	3.30	3.20	2.30	2.50	1.53

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	42	25	13	4	82	29	+53	88
2	Burnley	42	24	16	2	57	13	+44	88
3	Sheffield United	42	26	7	9	57	33	+24	85
4	Sunderland	42	21	13	8	57	38	+19	76
5	Bristol City	42	16	16	10	54	45	+9	64
6	Coventry	42	18	9	15	59	54	+5	63
7	West Brom	42	14	18	10	51	39	+12	60
8	Middlesbrough	42	17	9	16	61	51	+10	60
9	Millwall	42	16	12	14	41	41	0	60
10	Blackburn	42	16	8	18	45	45	0	56
11	Watford	42	16	8	18	50	55	-5	56
12	Swansea	42	15	9	18	45	51	-6	54
13	Norwich	42	13	14	15	63	58	+5	53
14	Sheffield Weds	42	14	11	17	56	64	-8	53
15	QPR	42	12	14	16	49	55	-6	50
16	Preston	42	10	19	13	43	51	-8	49
17	Oxford	42	12	12	18	43	60	-17	48
18	Stoke	42	11	14	17	43	54	-11	47
19	Portsmouth	42	12	10	20	50	66	-16	46
20	Hull	42	11	12	19	41	50	-9	45
21	Derby	42	11	10	21	44	54	-10	43
22	Cardiff	42	9	15	18	45	66	-21	42
23	Luton	42	10	10	22	37	63	-26	40
24	Plymouth	42	9	13	20	44	82	-38	40

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	21	16	4	1	51	12	+39	52
2	Burnley	21	12	9	0	30	6	+24	45
3	Sheffield United	21	14	3	4	30	16	+14	45
4	Sunderland	21	12	7	2	32	16	+16	43
5	Bristol City	21	12	6	3	32	17	+15	42
6	Coventry	21	12	3	6	36	24	+12	39
7	Watford	21	12	3	6	25	19	+6	39
8	West Brom	21	10	8	3	27	14	+13	38
9	Portsmouth	21	10	6	5	31	20	+11	36
10	Norwich	21	9	8	4	45	27	+18	35
11	Middlesbrough	21	10	5	6	29	22	+7	35
12	Oxford	21	10	5	6	29	28	+1	35
13	Blackburn	21	10	4	7	28	21	+7	34
14	Millwall	21	10	4	7	23	18	+5	34
15	Preston	21	7	12	2	24	18	+6	33
16	Swansea	21	9	5	7	29	21	+8	32
17	Derby	21	9	4	8	25	17	+8	31
18	Plymouth	21	8	7	6	36	36	0	31
19	Stoke	21	7	9	5	27	23	+4	30
20	QPR	21	7	8	6	30	27	+3	29
21	Luton	21	7	7	7	21	21	0	28
22	Cardiff	21	7	4	10	23	26	-3	25
23	Sheffield Weds	21	5	7	9	27	30	-3	22
24	Hull	21	4	8	9	22	26	-4	20

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	21	12	7	2	27	7	+20	43
2	Sheffield United	21	12	4	5	27	17	+10	40
3	Leeds	21	9	9	3	31	17	+14	36
4	Sunderland	21	9	6	6	25	22	+3	33
5	Sheffield Weds	21	9	4	8	29	34	-5	31
6	Millwall	21	6	8	7	18	23	-5	26
7	Middlesbrough	21	7	4	10	32	29	+3	25
8	Hull	21	7	4	10	19	24	-5	25
9	Coventry	21	6	6	9	23	30	-7	24
10	West Brom	21	4	10	7	24	25	-1	22
11	Bristol City	21	4	10	7	22	28	-6	22
12	Blackburn	21	6	4	11	17	24	-7	22
13	Swansea	21	6	4	11	16	30	-14	22
14	QPR	21	5	6	10	19	28	-9	21
15	Norwich	21	4	6	11	18	31	-13	18
16	Watford	21	4	5	12	25	36	-11	17
17	Stoke	21	4	5	12	16	31	-15	17
18	Cardiff	21	2	11	8	22	40	-18	17
19	Preston	21	3	7	11	19	33	-14	16
20	Oxford	21	2	7	12	14	32	-18	13
21	Derby	21	2	6	13	19	37	-18	12
22	Luton	21	3	3	15	16	42	-26	12
23	Portsmouth	21	2	4	15	19	46	-27	10
24	Plymouth	21	1	6	14	8	46	-38	9

Derby Luton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	19	Portsmouth	42	15	27	1.2	1.6	12	10	20	50	66	46
2	11	Watford	42	18	24	1.2	1.3	16	8	18	50	55	56
3	24	Plymouth	42	18	24	1.0	2.0	9	13	20	44	82	40
4	6	Coventry	42	19	23	1.4	1.3	18	9	15	59	54	63
5	14	Sheffield Weds	42	19	23	1.3	1.5	14	11	17	56	64	53
6	13	Norwich	42	21	21	1.5	1.4	13	14	15	63	58	53
7	15	QPR	42	21	21	1.2	1.3	12	14	16	49	55	50
8	4	Sunderland	42	23	19	1.4	0.9	21	13	8	57	38	76
9	8	Middlesbrough	42	23	19	1.5	1.2	17	9	16	61	51	60
10	12	Swansea	42	23	19	1.1	1.2	15	9	18	45	51	54
11	22	Cardiff	42	23	19	1.1	1.6	9	15	18	45	66	42
12	1	Leeds	42	24	18	2.0	0.7	25	13	4	82	29	88
13	16	Preston	42	24	18	1.0	1.2	10	19	13	43	51	49
14	23	Luton	42	24	18	0.9	1.5	10	10	22	37	63	40
15	5	Bristol City	42	25	17	1.3	1.1	16	16	10	54	45	64
16	21	Derby	42	25	17	1.0	1.3	11	10	21	44	54	43
17	10	Blackburn	42	26	16	1.1	1.1	16	8	18	45	45	56
18	17	Oxford	42	26	16	1.0	1.4	12	12	18	43	60	48
19	18	Stoke	42	26	16	1.0	1.3	11	14	17	43	54	47
20	3	Sheffield United	42	27	15	1.4	0.8	26	7	9	57	33	85
21	7	West Brom	42	27	15	1.2	0.9	14	18	10	51	39	60
22	20	Hull	42	29	13	1.0	1.2	11	12	19	41	50	45
23	2	Burnley	42	31	11	1.4	0.3	24	16	2	57	13	88
24	9	Millwall	42	31	11	1.0	1.0	16	12	14	41	41	60

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Coventry	21	6	15	1.7	1.1	12	3	6	36	24	39
2	24	Plymouth	21	6	15	1.7	1.7	8	7	6	36	36	31
3	19	Portsmouth	21	8	13	1.5	1.0	10	6	5	31	20	36
4	1	Leeds	21	9	12	2.4	0.6	16	4	1	51	12	52
5	13	Norwich	21	9	12	2.1	1.3	9	8	4	45	27	35
6	15	QPR	21	9	12	1.4	1.3	7	8	6	30	27	29
7	11	Watford	21	10	11	1.2	0.9	12	3	6	25	19	39
8	5	Bristol City	21	11	10	1.5	0.8	12	6	3	32	17	42
9	4	Sunderland	21	12	9	1.5	0.8	12	7	2	32	16	43
10	12	Swansea	21	12	9	1.4	1.0	9	5	7	29	21	32
11	18	Stoke	21	12	9	1.3	1.1	7	9	5	27	23	30
12	8	Middlesbrough	21	13	8	1.4	1.0	10	5	6	29	22	35
13	10	Blackburn	21	13	8	1.3	1.0	10	4	7	28	21	34
14	14	Sheffield Weds	21	13	8	1.3	1.4	5	7	9	27	30	22
15	17	Oxford	21	13	8	1.4	1.3	10	5	6	29	28	35
16	23	Luton	21	13	8	1.0	1.0	7	7	7	21	21	28
17	3	Sheffield United	21	14	7	1.4	0.8	14	3	4	30	16	45
18	16	Preston	21	14	7	1.1	0.9	7	12	2	24	18	33
19	20	Hull	21	14	7	1.0	1.2	4	8	9	22	26	20
20	21	Derby	21	14	7	1.2	0.8	9	4	8	25	17	31
21	22	Cardiff	21	14	7	1.1	1.2	7	4	10	23	26	25
22	2	Burnley	21	15	6	1.4	0.3	12	9	0	30	6	45
23	7	West Brom	21	15	6	1.3	0.7	10	8	3	27	14	38
24	9	Millwall	21	15	6	1.1	0.9	10	4	7	23	18	34

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Sheffield Weds	21	6	15	1.4	1.6	9	4	8	29	34	31
2	19	Portsmouth	21	7	14	0.9	2.2	2	4	15	19	46	10
3	11	Watford	21	8	13	1.2	1.7	4	5	12	25	36	17
4	22	Cardiff	21	9	12	1.0	1.9	2	11	8	22	40	17
5	8	Middlesbrough	21	10	11	1.5	1.4	7	4	10	32	29	25
6	16	Preston	21	10	11	0.9	1.6	3	7	11	19	33	16
7	4	Sunderland	21	11	10	1.2	1.0	9	6	6	25	22	33
8	12	Swansea	21	11	10	0.8	1.4	6	4	11	16	30	22
9	21	Derby	21	11	10	0.9	1.8	2	6	13	19	37	12
10	23	Luton	21	11	10	0.8	2.0	3	3	15	16	42	12
11	7	West Brom	21	12	9	1.1	1.2	4	10	7	24	25	22
12	13	Norwich	21	12	9	0.9	1.5	4	6	11	18	31	18
13	15	QPR	21	12	9	0.9	1.3	5	6	10	19	28	21
14	24	Plymouth	21	12	9	0.4	2.2	1	6	14	8	46	9
15	3	Sheffield United	21	13	8	1.3	0.8	12	4	5	27	17	40
16	6	Coventry	21	13	8	1.1	1.4	6	6	9	23	30	24
17	10	Blackburn	21	13	8	0.8	1.1	6	4	11	17	24	22
18	17	Oxford	21	13	8	0.7	1.5	2	7	12	14	32	13
19	5	Bristol City	21	14	7	1.0	1.3	4	10	7	22	28	22
20	18	Stoke	21	14	7	0.8	1.5	4	5	12	16	31	17
21	1	Leeds	21	15	6	1.5	0.8	9	9	3	31	17	36
22	20	Hull	21	15	6	0.9	1.1	7	4	10	19	24	25
23	2	Burnley	21	16	5	1.3	0.3	12	7	2	27	7	43
24	9	Millwall	21	16	5	0.9	1.1	6	8	7	18	23	26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.