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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Whitestone

Stoke 1–1 Luton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.40 fair 1.88
Draw ✓ 3.25 fair 4.02
Away 2.90 fair 4.57
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.88
Over 2.5 2.38 fair 2.14

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Luton
10 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 6
12 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (480 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.61 – 0.94
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.6% 1–1 11.8% 2–0 10.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
1.03scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 40 played · 41:53
Luton before this match, all matches
0.98points / match
0.90scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 40 played · 36:61
Stoke all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.03 Goals scored 0.90
1.33 Goals conceded 1.53
2.35 Total goals 2.43
10.60 Shots 10.93
3.58 Shots on target 3.35
14.85 Shots faced 12.35
4.48 Corners 5.68
6.05 Corners against 5.00
11.68 Fouls 12.55
2.40 Yellow cards 1.80
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

25% Wins 25%
33% Draws 23%
43% Losses 53%
85% Over 0.5 goals 93%
70% Over 1.5 goals 68%
40% Over 2.5 goals 45%
25% Over 3.5 goals 20%
8% Over 4.5 goals 13%
5% Over 5.5 goals 5%
50% Both teams scored 50%
28% Clean sheets 23%
38% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 25%
57% Draws 45%
23% Losses 30%
60% Over 0.5 goals 65%
33% Over 1.5 goals 35%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Luton all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
1.45points / match
1.30scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 26:22
Luton before this match, away
0.55points / match
0.75scored / match
2.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 15:41
Stoke at home away Luton

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 0.75
1.10 Goals conceded 2.05
2.40 Total goals 2.80
11.15 Shots 9.10
3.75 Shots on target 2.95
12.20 Shots faced 14.10
4.90 Corners 4.75
5.55 Corners against 5.65
11.45 Fouls 12.80
2.25 Yellow cards 1.95
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.95

How often Full Time

35% Wins 15%
40% Draws 10%
25% Losses 75%
80% Over 0.5 goals 95%
65% Over 1.5 goals 75%
45% Over 2.5 goals 50%
35% Over 3.5 goals 30%
5% Over 4.5 goals 20%
5% Over 5.5 goals 10%
55% Both teams scored 45%
35% Clean sheets 15%
30% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 20%
55% Draws 30%
15% Losses 50%
60% Over 0.5 goals 80%
35% Over 1.5 goals 50%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.25 Preston – Stoke 1–1 (1–0) 2.353.253.00 2.30 1.62
29.03.25 Stoke – QPR 3–1 (2–0) 2.253.103.40 2.20 1.67
15.03.25 Millwall – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.103.60 2.63 1.50
12.03.25 Stoke – Blackburn 1–0 (1–0) 2.603.302.70 2.05 1.68
08.03.25 Coventry – Stoke 3–2 (2–0) 1.534.335.50 1.76 1.96
01.03.25 Stoke – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.88 1.95 1.90
25.02.25 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.402.35 1.93 1.93
22.02.25 Norwich – Stoke 4–2 (1–1) 1.654.005.00 1.93 1.93
15.02.25 Stoke – Swansea 3–1 (0–0) 2.453.402.88 2.10 1.73
12.02.25 Bristol City – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.705.00 2.00 1.85

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.25 Luton – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 5.254.101.60 2.00 1.85
29.03.25 Hull – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.403.25 2.30 1.62
15.03.25 Luton – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.302.63 1.95 1.90
11.03.25 Cardiff – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.10 2.25 1.57
08.03.25 Burnley – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 1.623.606.00 2.38 1.57
01.03.25 Luton – Portsmouth 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.40 2.05 1.80
23.02.25 Watford – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.353.502.88 2.20 1.67
19.02.25 Luton – Plymouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.733.604.75 2.00 1.80
15.02.25 Luton – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.502.15 2.20 1.67
12.02.25 Sunderland – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.805.00 2.00 1.85

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.25 Stoke – QPR 3–1 (2–0) 2.253.103.40 2.20 1.67
12.03.25 Stoke – Blackburn 1–0 (1–0) 2.603.302.70 2.05 1.68
01.03.25 Stoke – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.88 1.95 1.90
25.02.25 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.402.35 1.93 1.93
15.02.25 Stoke – Swansea 3–1 (0–0) 2.453.402.88 2.10 1.73
25.01.25 Stoke – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.303.80 2.10 1.73
04.01.25 Stoke – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.334.33 1.67 2.20
29.12.24 Stoke – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.20 2.03 1.83
26.12.24 Stoke – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 6.254.201.50 1.90 1.95
14.12.24 Stoke – Cardiff 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 1.90 1.95

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.25 Hull – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.403.25 2.30 1.62
11.03.25 Cardiff – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.10 2.25 1.57
08.03.25 Burnley – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 1.623.606.00 2.38 1.57
23.02.25 Watford – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.353.502.88 2.20 1.67
12.02.25 Sunderland – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.805.00 2.00 1.85
01.02.25 Sheffield Weds – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.253.70 2.20 1.67
21.01.25 Oxford – Luton 3–2 (1–2) 2.903.202.50 2.30 1.62
06.01.25 QPR – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 2.403.252.90 2.20 1.67
29.12.24 Swansea – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
26.12.24 Bristol City – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.10 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsLuton wins
5matches
2.00goals / match
40%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.24E1 Luton – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.60 1.93 1.93
04.02.23E1 Luton – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.67
08.11.22E1 Stoke – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.66
23.02.22E1 Stoke – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.66
06.11.21E1 Luton – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.203.10 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 40 26 7 7 56 30 +26 85
2 Burnley 40 23 15 2 55 12 +43 84
3 Leeds 40 23 13 4 79 28 +51 82
4 Sunderland 40 21 12 7 57 37 +20 75
5 Middlesbrough 40 17 9 14 61 49 +12 60
6 Bristol City 40 15 15 10 51 43 +8 60
7 Coventry 40 17 8 15 57 53 +4 59
8 West Brom 40 13 18 9 48 36 +12 57
9 Millwall 40 14 12 14 39 41 -2 54
10 Watford 40 15 8 17 48 53 -5 53
11 Norwich 40 13 13 14 62 56 +6 52
12 Blackburn 40 15 7 18 42 43 -1 52
13 Sheffield Weds 40 14 10 16 54 61 -7 52
14 Preston 40 10 18 12 40 47 -7 48
15 Swansea 40 13 9 18 41 51 -10 48
16 QPR 40 11 13 16 45 53 -8 46
17 Portsmouth 40 12 9 19 48 63 -15 45
18 Oxford 40 11 12 17 41 57 -16 45
19 Hull 40 11 11 18 40 48 -8 44
20 Stoke 40 10 13 17 41 53 -12 43
21 Derby 40 11 8 21 42 52 -10 41
22 Cardiff 40 9 14 17 43 63 -20 41
23 Luton 40 10 9 21 36 61 -25 39
24 Plymouth 40 8 13 19 42 78 -36 37
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 20 15 4 1 49 11 +38 49
2 Sheffield United 20 14 3 3 30 15 +15 45
3 Sunderland 20 12 7 1 32 15 +17 43
4 Burnley 20 11 9 0 28 5 +23 42
5 Bristol City 20 11 6 3 30 16 +14 39
6 Coventry 20 11 3 6 35 24 +11 36
7 Watford 20 11 3 6 24 19 +5 36
8 West Brom 20 9 8 3 25 13 +12 35
9 Portsmouth 20 10 5 5 29 18 +11 35
10 Middlesbrough 20 10 5 5 29 21 +8 35
11 Oxford 20 10 5 5 28 25 +3 35
12 Norwich 20 9 7 4 45 27 +18 34
13 Blackburn 20 10 3 7 26 19 +7 33
14 Preston 20 7 11 2 22 16 +6 32
15 Millwall 20 9 4 7 22 18 +4 31
16 Derby 20 9 3 8 25 17 +8 30
17 Swansea 20 8 5 7 26 21 +5 29
18 Stoke 20 7 8 5 26 22 +4 29
19 QPR 20 7 7 6 29 26 +3 28
20 Luton 20 7 7 6 21 20 +1 28
21 Plymouth 20 7 7 6 34 35 -1 28
22 Cardiff 20 7 4 9 23 25 -2 25
23 Sheffield Weds 20 5 7 8 27 29 -2 22
24 Hull 20 4 7 9 21 25 -4 19
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 20 12 6 2 27 7 +20 42
2 Sheffield United 20 12 4 4 26 15 +11 40
3 Leeds 20 8 9 3 30 17 +13 33
4 Sunderland 20 9 5 6 25 22 +3 32
5 Sheffield Weds 20 9 3 8 27 32 -5 30
6 Middlesbrough 20 7 4 9 32 28 +4 25
7 Hull 20 7 4 9 19 23 -4 25
8 Millwall 20 5 8 7 17 23 -6 23
9 Coventry 20 6 5 9 22 29 -7 23
10 West Brom 20 4 10 6 23 23 0 22
11 Bristol City 20 4 9 7 21 27 -6 21
12 Blackburn 20 5 4 11 16 24 -8 19
13 Swansea 20 5 4 11 15 30 -15 19
14 QPR 20 4 6 10 16 27 -11 18
15 Norwich 20 4 6 10 17 29 -12 18
16 Watford 20 4 5 11 24 34 -10 17
17 Preston 20 3 7 10 18 31 -13 16
18 Cardiff 20 2 10 8 20 38 -18 16
19 Stoke 20 3 5 12 15 31 -16 14
20 Derby 20 2 5 13 17 35 -18 11
21 Luton 20 3 2 15 15 41 -26 11
22 Oxford 20 1 7 12 13 32 -19 10
23 Portsmouth 20 2 4 14 19 45 -26 10
24 Plymouth 20 1 6 13 8 43 -35 9

Stoke   Luton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Portsmouth 40 14 26 1.2 1.6 12 9 19 48 63 45
2 7 Coventry 40 17 23 1.4 1.3 17 8 15 57 53 59
3 10 Watford 40 17 23 1.2 1.3 15 8 17 48 53 53
4 13 Sheffield Weds 40 18 22 1.4 1.5 14 10 16 54 61 52
5 24 Plymouth 40 18 22 1.1 1.9 8 13 19 42 78 37
6 11 Norwich 40 20 20 1.6 1.4 13 13 14 62 56 52
7 16 QPR 40 20 20 1.1 1.3 11 13 16 45 53 46
8 4 Sunderland 40 21 19 1.4 0.9 21 12 7 57 37 75
9 5 Middlesbrough 40 21 19 1.5 1.2 17 9 14 61 49 60
10 15 Swansea 40 22 18 1.0 1.3 13 9 18 41 51 48
11 22 Cardiff 40 22 18 1.1 1.6 9 14 17 43 63 41
12 23 Luton 40 22 18 0.9 1.5 10 9 21 36 61 39
13 3 Leeds 40 23 17 2.0 0.7 23 13 4 79 28 82
14 6 Bristol City 40 24 16 1.3 1.1 15 15 10 51 43 60
15 14 Preston 40 24 16 1.0 1.2 10 18 12 40 47 48
16 20 Stoke 40 24 16 1.0 1.3 10 13 17 41 53 43
17 21 Derby 40 24 16 1.1 1.3 11 8 21 42 52 41
18 12 Blackburn 40 25 15 1.1 1.1 15 7 18 42 43 52
19 18 Oxford 40 25 15 1.0 1.4 11 12 17 41 57 45
20 1 Sheffield United 40 26 14 1.4 0.8 26 7 7 56 30 85
21 8 West Brom 40 27 13 1.2 0.9 13 18 9 48 36 57
22 19 Hull 40 27 13 1.0 1.2 11 11 18 40 48 44
23 9 Millwall 40 29 11 1.0 1.0 14 12 14 39 41 54
24 2 Burnley 40 30 10 1.4 0.3 23 15 2 55 12 84
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Coventry 20 5 15 1.8 1.2 11 3 6 35 24 36
2 24 Plymouth 20 6 14 1.7 1.8 7 7 6 34 35 28
3 11 Norwich 20 8 12 2.2 1.4 9 7 4 45 27 34
4 16 QPR 20 8 12 1.4 1.3 7 7 6 29 26 28
5 17 Portsmouth 20 8 12 1.4 0.9 10 5 5 29 18 35
6 3 Leeds 20 9 11 2.5 0.6 15 4 1 49 11 49
7 10 Watford 20 9 11 1.2 0.9 11 3 6 24 19 36
8 4 Sunderland 20 11 9 1.6 0.8 12 7 1 32 15 43
9 6 Bristol City 20 11 9 1.5 0.8 11 6 3 30 16 39
10 20 Stoke 20 11 9 1.3 1.1 7 8 5 26 22 29
11 5 Middlesbrough 20 12 8 1.4 1.1 10 5 5 29 21 35
12 13 Sheffield Weds 20 12 8 1.4 1.4 5 7 8 27 29 22
13 15 Swansea 20 12 8 1.3 1.1 8 5 7 26 21 29
14 23 Luton 20 12 8 1.1 1.0 7 7 6 21 20 28
15 1 Sheffield United 20 13 7 1.5 0.8 14 3 3 30 15 45
16 12 Blackburn 20 13 7 1.3 0.9 10 3 7 26 19 33
17 18 Oxford 20 13 7 1.4 1.2 10 5 5 28 25 35
18 19 Hull 20 13 7 1.1 1.2 4 7 9 21 25 19
19 21 Derby 20 13 7 1.2 0.8 9 3 8 25 17 30
20 22 Cardiff 20 13 7 1.1 1.2 7 4 9 23 25 25
21 9 Millwall 20 14 6 1.1 0.9 9 4 7 22 18 31
22 14 Preston 20 14 6 1.1 0.8 7 11 2 22 16 32
23 2 Burnley 20 15 5 1.4 0.2 11 9 0 28 5 42
24 8 West Brom 20 15 5 1.2 0.7 9 8 3 25 13 35
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Sheffield Weds 20 6 14 1.4 1.6 9 3 8 27 32 30
2 17 Portsmouth 20 6 14 0.9 2.2 2 4 14 19 45 10
3 10 Watford 20 8 12 1.2 1.7 4 5 11 24 34 17
4 5 Middlesbrough 20 9 11 1.6 1.4 7 4 9 32 28 25
5 22 Cardiff 20 9 11 1.0 1.9 2 10 8 20 38 16
6 4 Sunderland 20 10 10 1.2 1.1 9 5 6 25 22 32
7 14 Preston 20 10 10 0.9 1.6 3 7 10 18 31 16
8 15 Swansea 20 10 10 0.8 1.5 5 4 11 15 30 19
9 23 Luton 20 10 10 0.8 2.0 3 2 15 15 41 11
10 21 Derby 20 11 9 0.8 1.8 2 5 13 17 35 11
11 7 Coventry 20 12 8 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 22 29 23
12 8 West Brom 20 12 8 1.1 1.1 4 10 6 23 23 22
13 11 Norwich 20 12 8 0.8 1.4 4 6 10 17 29 18
14 12 Blackburn 20 12 8 0.8 1.2 5 4 11 16 24 19
15 16 QPR 20 12 8 0.8 1.4 4 6 10 16 27 18
16 18 Oxford 20 12 8 0.7 1.6 1 7 12 13 32 10
17 24 Plymouth 20 12 8 0.4 2.1 1 6 13 8 43 9
18 1 Sheffield United 20 13 7 1.3 0.8 12 4 4 26 15 40
19 6 Bristol City 20 13 7 1.1 1.4 4 9 7 21 27 21
20 20 Stoke 20 13 7 0.8 1.6 3 5 12 15 31 14
21 3 Leeds 20 14 6 1.5 0.8 8 9 3 30 17 33
22 19 Hull 20 14 6 0.9 1.1 7 4 9 19 23 25
23 2 Burnley 20 15 5 1.4 0.3 12 6 2 27 7 42
24 9 Millwall 20 15 5 0.8 1.1 5 8 7 17 23 23

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51