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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Eltringham

Derby 2–2 Luton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2021/2022

Home 3.30 fair 2.51
Draw ✓ 3.20 fair 3.56
Away 2.30 fair 3.13
Under 2.5 1.53 fair 1.70
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.50 fair 2.44

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Luton
9 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 5
12 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (144 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.24 – 1.08
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.2% 1–0 12.2% 0–1 10.6%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
0.58scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 7:8
Luton before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 20:16
Derby all matches all matches Luton

Per match

0.58 Goals scored 1.67
0.67 Goals conceded 1.33
1.25 Total goals 3.00
10.33 Shots 12.17
3.67 Shots on target 4.08
14.17 Shots faced 11.17
4.42 Corners 5.08
4.67 Corners against 5.58
10.08 Fouls 13.17
2.33 Yellow cards 1.92
0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

25% Wins 33%
50% Draws 42%
25% Losses 25%
67% Over 0.5 goals 83%
42% Over 1.5 goals 75%
17% Over 2.5 goals 58%
0% Over 3.5 goals 42%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
33% Both teams scored 42%
50% Clean sheets 50%
50% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 42%
67% Draws 25%
8% Losses 33%
42% Over 0.5 goals 75%
17% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Luton all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.67points / match
0.83scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:3
Luton before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.50scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 9:8
Derby at home away Luton

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 1.50
0.50 Goals conceded 1.33
1.33 Total goals 2.83
11.17 Shots 10.50
4.33 Shots on target 3.67
14.17 Shots faced 12.00
4.67 Corners 5.17
4.50 Corners against 6.00
11.50 Fouls 12.83
3.00 Yellow cards 2.67
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
67% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 83%
17% Over 2.5 goals 50%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 67%
50% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 33%
50% Draws 17%
0% Losses 50%
67% Over 0.5 goals 83%
33% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 6 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.21 Preston – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.204.20 2.30 1.61
02.10.21 Derby – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.103.10 2.37 1.57
29.09.21 Derby – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.66
25.09.21 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 2.10 1.72
18.09.21 Derby – Stoke 2–1 (2–0) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57
14.09.21 West Brom – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.533.906.50 1.90 1.90
10.09.21 Birmingham – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.304.75 2.37 1.57
28.08.21 Derby – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.103.10 2.50 1.53
21.08.21 Derby – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.61
18.08.21 Hull – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.50 2.10 1.72

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.21 Millwall – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.203.25 2.10 1.72
02.10.21 Luton – Huddersfield 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.75 2.00 1.80
29.09.21 Luton – Coventry 5–0 (4–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.72
25.09.21 Bournemouth – Luton 2–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.50 1.85 2.00
18.09.21 Luton – Swansea 3–3 (3–0) 2.053.253.80 2.10 1.72
15.09.21 Bristol City – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66
11.09.21 Blackburn – Luton 2–2 (2–0) 2.203.303.40 1.90 1.90
28.08.21 Luton – Sheffield United 0–0 (0–0) 2.873.202.55 2.30 1.61
21.08.21 Luton – Birmingham 0–5 (0–2) 2.003.253.80 2.20 1.66
17.08.21 Barnsley – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.203.30 2.30 1.61

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.10.21 Derby – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.103.10 2.37 1.57
29.09.21 Derby – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.66
18.09.21 Derby – Stoke 2–1 (2–0) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57
28.08.21 Derby – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.103.10 2.50 1.53
21.08.21 Derby – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.61
07.08.21 Derby – Huddersfield 1–1 (1–1) 4.503.751.72 2.10 1.72

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.21 Millwall – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.203.25 2.10 1.72
25.09.21 Bournemouth – Luton 2–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.50 1.85 2.00
15.09.21 Bristol City – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66
11.09.21 Blackburn – Luton 2–2 (2–0) 2.203.303.40 1.90 1.90
17.08.21 Barnsley – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.203.30 2.30 1.61
14.08.21 West Brom – Luton 3–2 (2–0) 1.703.605.50 2.00 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 12 8 4 0 20 8 +12 28
2 West Brom 12 7 4 1 21 9 +12 25
3 Fulham 12 7 2 3 27 14 +13 23
4 Coventry 12 7 2 3 18 14 +4 23
5 Stoke 12 6 3 3 16 13 +3 21
6 Huddersfield 12 6 2 4 18 14 +4 20
7 Reading 12 6 1 5 18 19 -1 19
8 QPR 12 5 3 4 23 20 +3 18
9 Blackburn 12 4 5 3 21 16 +5 17
10 Luton 12 4 5 3 20 16 +4 17
11 Bristol City 12 4 4 4 14 15 -1 16
12 Middlesbrough 12 4 3 5 13 13 0 15
13 Sheffield United 12 4 3 5 16 17 -1 15
14 Derby 12 3 6 3 7 8 -1 15
15 Millwall 12 3 6 3 11 13 -2 15
16 Blackpool 12 4 3 5 12 16 -4 15
17 Nott'm Forest 12 4 2 6 16 15 +1 14
18 Swansea 12 3 5 4 12 14 -2 14
19 Preston 12 2 6 4 12 15 -3 12
20 Birmingham 12 3 3 6 10 16 -6 12
21 Cardiff 12 3 2 7 12 22 -10 11
22 Hull 12 2 3 7 8 17 -9 9
23 Barnsley 12 1 5 6 7 15 -8 8
24 Peterboro 12 2 2 8 12 25 -13 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 6 6 0 0 14 3 +11 18
2 Stoke 6 5 1 0 10 4 +6 16
3 West Brom 6 4 2 0 11 4 +7 14
4 Bournemouth 6 4 2 0 13 7 +6 14
5 Fulham 6 4 1 1 14 5 +9 13
6 Reading 6 4 1 1 12 8 +4 13
7 Huddersfield 6 4 0 2 11 9 +2 12
8 Blackburn 6 3 2 1 14 8 +6 11
9 QPR 6 3 2 1 11 7 +4 11
10 Sheffield United 6 3 1 2 12 8 +4 10
11 Middlesbrough 6 3 1 2 10 7 +3 10
12 Derby 6 2 4 0 5 3 +2 10
13 Luton 6 2 3 1 11 8 +3 9
14 Swansea 6 2 3 1 5 3 +2 9
15 Preston 6 2 3 1 7 7 0 9
16 Blackpool 6 3 0 3 4 7 -3 9
17 Peterboro 6 2 2 2 9 7 +2 8
18 Millwall 6 2 2 2 6 7 -1 8
19 Barnsley 6 1 2 3 3 6 -3 5
20 Hull 6 1 2 3 4 8 -4 5
21 Birmingham 6 1 2 3 3 9 -6 5
22 Bristol City 6 0 4 2 3 6 -3 4
23 Nott'm Forest 6 1 1 4 6 10 -4 4
24 Cardiff 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 6 4 2 0 7 1 +6 14
2 Bristol City 6 4 0 2 11 9 +2 12
3 West Brom 6 3 2 1 10 5 +5 11
4 Nott'm Forest 6 3 1 2 10 5 +5 10
5 Fulham 6 3 1 2 13 9 +4 10
6 Huddersfield 6 2 2 2 7 5 +2 8
7 Luton 6 2 2 2 9 8 +1 8
8 Birmingham 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
9 QPR 6 2 1 3 12 13 -1 7
10 Millwall 6 1 4 1 5 6 -1 7
11 Cardiff 6 2 1 3 7 12 -5 7
12 Blackpool 6 1 3 2 8 9 -1 6
13 Blackburn 6 1 3 2 7 8 -1 6
14 Reading 6 2 0 4 6 11 -5 6
15 Stoke 6 1 2 3 6 9 -3 5
16 Middlesbrough 6 1 2 3 3 6 -3 5
17 Derby 6 1 2 3 2 5 -3 5
18 Swansea 6 1 2 3 7 11 -4 5
19 Sheffield United 6 1 2 3 4 9 -5 5
20 Coventry 6 1 2 3 4 11 -7 5
21 Hull 6 1 1 4 4 9 -5 4
22 Preston 6 0 3 3 5 8 -3 3
23 Barnsley 6 0 3 3 4 9 -5 3
24 Peterboro 6 0 0 6 3 18 -15 0

Derby   Luton

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 QPR 12 3 9 1.9 1.7 5 3 4 23 20 18
2 3 Fulham 12 4 8 2.2 1.2 7 2 3 27 14 23
3 7 Reading 12 4 8 1.5 1.6 6 1 5 18 19 19
4 9 Blackburn 12 4 8 1.8 1.3 4 5 3 21 16 17
5 24 Peterboro 12 4 8 1.0 2.1 2 2 8 12 25 8
6 1 Bournemouth 12 5 7 1.7 0.7 8 4 0 20 8 28
7 10 Luton 12 5 7 1.7 1.3 4 5 3 20 16 17
8 13 Sheffield United 12 5 7 1.3 1.4 4 3 5 16 17 15
9 17 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.3 1.2 4 2 6 16 15 14
10 21 Cardiff 12 5 7 1.0 1.8 3 2 7 12 22 11
11 2 West Brom 12 6 6 1.8 0.8 7 4 1 21 9 25
12 4 Coventry 12 6 6 1.5 1.2 7 2 3 18 14 23
13 5 Stoke 12 6 6 1.3 1.1 6 3 3 16 13 21
14 6 Huddersfield 12 6 6 1.5 1.2 6 2 4 18 14 20
15 16 Blackpool 12 6 6 1.0 1.3 4 3 5 12 16 15
16 18 Swansea 12 6 6 1.0 1.2 3 5 4 12 14 14
17 11 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.2 1.2 4 4 4 14 15 16
18 19 Preston 12 7 5 1.0 1.2 2 6 4 12 15 12
19 20 Birmingham 12 8 4 0.8 1.3 3 3 6 10 16 12
20 12 Middlesbrough 12 9 3 1.1 1.1 4 3 5 13 13 15
21 15 Millwall 12 9 3 0.9 1.1 3 6 3 11 13 15
22 22 Hull 12 9 3 0.7 1.4 2 3 7 8 17 9
23 23 Barnsley 12 9 3 0.6 1.2 1 5 6 7 15 8
24 14 Derby 12 10 2 0.6 0.7 3 6 3 7 8 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bournemouth 6 0 6 2.2 1.2 4 2 0 13 7 14
2 9 Blackburn 6 1 5 2.3 1.3 3 2 1 14 8 11
3 3 Fulham 6 2 4 2.3 0.8 4 1 1 14 5 13
4 4 Coventry 6 2 4 2.3 0.5 6 0 0 14 3 18
5 7 Reading 6 2 4 2.0 1.3 4 1 1 12 8 13
6 10 Luton 6 2 4 1.8 1.3 2 3 1 11 8 9
7 13 Sheffield United 6 2 4 2.0 1.3 3 1 2 12 8 10
8 17 Nott'm Forest 6 2 4 1.0 1.7 1 1 4 6 10 4
9 24 Peterboro 6 2 4 1.5 1.2 2 2 2 9 7 8
10 2 West Brom 6 3 3 1.8 0.7 4 2 0 11 4 14
11 6 Huddersfield 6 3 3 1.8 1.5 4 0 2 11 9 12
12 8 QPR 6 3 3 1.8 1.2 3 2 1 11 7 11
13 12 Middlesbrough 6 3 3 1.7 1.2 3 1 2 10 7 10
14 21 Cardiff 6 3 3 0.8 1.7 1 1 4 5 10 4
15 5 Stoke 6 4 2 1.7 0.7 5 1 0 10 4 16
16 15 Millwall 6 4 2 1.0 1.2 2 2 2 6 7 8
17 16 Blackpool 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 3 0 3 4 7 9
18 18 Swansea 6 4 2 0.8 0.5 2 3 1 5 3 9
19 19 Preston 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 2 3 1 7 7 9
20 20 Birmingham 6 4 2 0.5 1.5 1 2 3 3 9 5
21 22 Hull 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 2 3 4 8 5
22 14 Derby 6 5 1 0.8 0.5 2 4 0 5 3 10
23 23 Barnsley 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 1 2 3 3 6 5
24 11 Bristol City 6 6 0 0.5 1.0 0 4 2 3 6 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 QPR 6 0 6 2.0 2.2 2 1 3 12 13 7
2 11 Bristol City 6 1 5 1.8 1.5 4 0 2 11 9 12
3 3 Fulham 6 2 4 2.2 1.5 3 1 2 13 9 10
4 5 Stoke 6 2 4 1.0 1.5 1 2 3 6 9 5
5 7 Reading 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 2 0 4 6 11 6
6 16 Blackpool 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 1 3 2 8 9 6
7 18 Swansea 6 2 4 1.2 1.8 1 2 3 7 11 5
8 21 Cardiff 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 2 1 3 7 12 7
9 24 Peterboro 6 2 4 0.5 3.0 0 0 6 3 18 0
10 2 West Brom 6 3 3 1.7 0.8 3 2 1 10 5 11
11 6 Huddersfield 6 3 3 1.2 0.8 2 2 2 7 5 8
12 9 Blackburn 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 1 3 2 7 8 6
13 10 Luton 6 3 3 1.5 1.3 2 2 2 9 8 8
14 13 Sheffield United 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 1 2 3 4 9 5
15 17 Nott'm Forest 6 3 3 1.7 0.8 3 1 2 10 5 10
16 19 Preston 6 3 3 0.8 1.3 0 3 3 5 8 3
17 4 Coventry 6 4 2 0.7 1.8 1 2 3 4 11 5
18 20 Birmingham 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
19 23 Barnsley 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 0 3 3 4 9 3
20 1 Bournemouth 6 5 1 1.2 0.2 4 2 0 7 1 14
21 14 Derby 6 5 1 0.3 0.8 1 2 3 2 5 5
22 15 Millwall 6 5 1 0.8 1.0 1 4 1 5 6 7
23 22 Hull 6 5 1 0.7 1.5 1 1 4 4 9 4
24 12 Middlesbrough 6 6 0 0.5 1.0 1 2 3 3 6 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51