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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Davies

QPR 2–1 Luton

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.40 fair 1.87
Draw 3.25 fair 4.18
Away 2.90 fair 4.42
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 2.06
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 1.94

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Luton
15 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 4
10 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (307 league matches this season so far).
Result QPR to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.71 – 1.03
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 1–0 11.1% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
1.16points / match
1.08scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 27:33
Luton before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.04scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 26:42
QPR all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.04
1.32 Goals conceded 1.68
2.40 Total goals 2.72
11.72 Shots 11.20
3.68 Shots on target 3.68
12.48 Shots faced 13.32
5.04 Corners 6.36
6.32 Corners against 5.04
10.16 Fouls 12.60
2.04 Yellow cards 1.96
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.48
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

24% Wins 28%
44% Draws 16%
32% Losses 56%
88% Over 0.5 goals 96%
88% Over 1.5 goals 72%
40% Over 2.5 goals 56%
20% Over 3.5 goals 24%
4% Over 4.5 goals 16%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
60% Both teams scored 56%
24% Clean sheets 20%
28% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 28%
48% Draws 36%
36% Losses 36%
68% Over 0.5 goals 72%
40% Over 1.5 goals 36%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Luton all matches
QPR before this match, at home
1.31points / match
1.38scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 18:18
Luton before this match, away
0.33points / match
0.67scored / match
2.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 8:26
QPR at home away Luton

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 0.67
1.38 Goals conceded 2.17
2.77 Total goals 2.83
14.77 Shots 9.50
5.31 Shots on target 3.33
8.85 Shots faced 14.42
5.85 Corners 5.25
4.92 Corners against 5.42
10.00 Fouls 12.92
1.92 Yellow cards 2.25
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.85 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

31% Wins 8%
38% Draws 8%
31% Losses 83%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
92% Over 1.5 goals 67%
54% Over 2.5 goals 50%
31% Over 3.5 goals 33%
8% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
77% Both teams scored 42%
23% Clean sheets 17%
8% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 17%
46% Draws 25%
38% Losses 58%
85% Over 0.5 goals 83%
62% Over 1.5 goals 50%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.25 QPR – Watford 3–1 (2–0) 2.553.402.70 2.00 1.80
29.12.24 Norwich – QPR 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.704.33 1.88 1.98
26.12.24 Swansea – QPR 3–0 (3–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.73
21.12.24 QPR – Preston 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.102.90 2.50 1.53
14.12.24 Bristol City – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.604.00 2.10 1.73
11.12.24 QPR – Oxford 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 2.10 1.73
07.12.24 QPR – Norwich 3–0 (2–0) 3.003.302.35 1.93 1.93
30.11.24 Watford – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.00 1.93 1.93
27.11.24 Cardiff – QPR 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 2.00 1.80
23.11.24 QPR – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 2.00 1.85

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.25 Luton – Norwich 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.70 1.93 1.93
29.12.24 Swansea – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
26.12.24 Bristol City – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.10 2.05 1.80
20.12.24 Luton – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.203.50 2.30 1.62
14.12.24 Blackburn – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.153.403.30 2.00 1.80
10.12.24 Luton – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.60 1.93 1.93
07.12.24 Luton – Swansea 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.25 2.03 1.83
30.11.24 Norwich – Luton 4–2 (2–1) 2.003.703.40 1.80 2.00
27.11.24 Leeds – Luton 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.208.00 1.80 2.00
23.11.24 Luton – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.503.75 1.90 1.95

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.25 QPR – Watford 3–1 (2–0) 2.553.402.70 2.00 1.80
21.12.24 QPR – Preston 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.102.90 2.50 1.53
11.12.24 QPR – Oxford 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 2.10 1.73
07.12.24 QPR – Norwich 3–0 (2–0) 3.003.302.35 1.93 1.93
23.11.24 QPR – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 2.00 1.85
05.11.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
02.11.24 QPR – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.05 2.20 1.67
22.10.24 QPR – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 2.903.402.38 1.85 2.00
19.10.24 QPR – Portsmouth 1–2 (1–1) 1.853.604.20 1.90 1.95
01.10.24 QPR – Hull 1–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.80 1.93 1.93

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Swansea – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
26.12.24 Bristol City – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.10 2.05 1.80
14.12.24 Blackburn – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.153.403.30 2.00 1.80
30.11.24 Norwich – Luton 4–2 (2–1) 2.003.703.40 1.80 2.00
27.11.24 Leeds – Luton 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.208.00 1.80 2.00
09.11.24 Middlesbrough – Luton 5–1 (2–0) 1.734.004.33 1.73 2.10
26.10.24 Coventry – Luton 3–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.20 1.83 2.03
05.10.24 Sheffield United – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.703.90 1.90 1.95
27.09.24 Plymouth – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 4.003.701.85 1.62 2.30
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsLuton wins
5matches
3.00goals / match
80%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.24E1 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.503.70 1.75 2.05
29.12.22E1 QPR – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
15.10.22E1 Luton – QPR 3–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 2.10 1.72
13.03.22E1 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.20 1.66
19.11.21E1 QPR – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.95 1.90

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 26 16 6 4 36 17 +19 54
2 Leeds 26 15 8 3 48 19 +29 53
3 Burnley 26 14 10 2 31 9 +22 52
4 Sunderland 26 14 8 4 39 22 +17 50
5 Middlesbrough 26 11 8 7 43 32 +11 41
6 West Brom 26 9 13 4 32 21 +11 40
7 Blackburn 25 11 6 8 28 23 +5 39
8 Bristol City 26 9 10 7 33 30 +3 37
9 Watford 25 11 4 10 35 36 -1 37
10 Sheffield Weds 26 10 7 9 38 40 -2 37
11 Norwich 26 9 9 8 43 37 +6 36
12 Swansea 26 9 7 10 30 30 0 34
13 Millwall 25 7 9 9 24 23 +1 30
14 Preston 26 6 12 8 28 34 -6 30
15 Coventry 26 7 8 11 34 37 -3 29
16 QPR 25 6 11 8 27 33 -6 29
17 Oxford 25 7 7 11 28 40 -12 28
18 Derby 26 7 6 13 31 35 -4 27
19 Stoke 26 6 9 11 24 32 -8 27
20 Luton 25 7 4 14 26 42 -16 25
21 Portsmouth 24 5 8 11 30 41 -11 23
22 Hull 26 5 8 13 25 36 -11 23
23 Cardiff 25 5 8 12 25 40 -15 23
24 Plymouth 25 4 8 13 24 53 -29 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 13 10 2 1 30 7 +23 32
2 Sunderland 13 9 4 0 22 8 +14 31
3 Sheffield United 12 9 2 1 17 5 +12 29
4 Watford 13 9 2 2 19 10 +9 29
5 Burnley 12 6 6 0 15 4 +11 24
6 Norwich 13 6 5 2 31 18 +13 23
7 Bristol City 13 6 5 2 19 10 +9 23
8 Blackburn 13 7 2 4 17 11 +6 23
9 Middlesbrough 14 6 5 3 20 15 +5 23
10 Preston 14 5 7 2 16 12 +4 22
11 Oxford 13 6 4 3 19 17 +2 22
12 West Brom 12 5 6 1 13 6 +7 21
13 Luton 13 6 3 4 18 16 +2 21
14 Derby 12 6 2 4 19 11 +8 20
15 Swansea 13 5 5 3 20 14 +6 20
16 Millwall 13 6 2 5 14 10 +4 20
17 Sheffield Weds 14 5 5 4 22 20 +2 20
18 Coventry 12 5 3 4 22 16 +6 18
19 Stoke 14 4 6 4 18 17 +1 18
20 Plymouth 11 4 5 2 21 18 +3 17
21 QPR 13 4 5 4 18 18 0 17
22 Portsmouth 11 4 4 3 17 11 +6 16
23 Cardiff 12 4 1 7 12 17 -5 13
24 Hull 14 2 6 6 14 18 -4 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 14 8 4 2 16 5 +11 28
2 Sheffield United 14 7 4 3 19 12 +7 25
3 Leeds 13 5 6 2 18 12 +6 21
4 West Brom 14 4 7 3 19 15 +4 19
5 Sunderland 13 5 4 4 17 14 +3 19
6 Middlesbrough 12 5 3 4 23 17 +6 18
7 Sheffield Weds 12 5 2 5 16 20 -4 17
8 Blackburn 12 4 4 4 11 12 -1 16
9 Bristol City 13 3 5 5 14 20 -6 14
10 Swansea 13 4 2 7 10 16 -6 14
11 Norwich 13 3 4 6 12 19 -7 13
12 QPR 12 2 6 4 9 15 -6 12
13 Hull 12 3 2 7 11 18 -7 11
14 Coventry 14 2 5 7 12 21 -9 11
15 Millwall 12 1 7 4 10 13 -3 10
16 Cardiff 13 1 7 5 13 23 -10 10
17 Stoke 12 2 3 7 6 15 -9 9
18 Watford 12 2 2 8 16 26 -10 8
19 Preston 12 1 5 6 12 22 -10 8
20 Derby 14 1 4 9 12 24 -12 7
21 Portsmouth 13 1 4 8 13 30 -17 7
22 Oxford 12 1 3 8 9 23 -14 6
23 Luton 12 1 1 10 8 26 -18 4
24 Plymouth 14 0 3 11 3 35 -32 3

QPR   Luton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Watford 25 8 17 1.4 1.4 11 4 10 35 36 37
2 21 Portsmouth 24 8 16 1.2 1.7 5 8 11 30 41 23
3 11 Norwich 26 11 15 1.7 1.4 9 9 8 43 37 36
4 15 Coventry 26 11 15 1.3 1.4 7 8 11 34 37 29
5 10 Sheffield Weds 26 12 14 1.5 1.5 10 7 9 38 40 37
6 20 Luton 25 11 14 1.0 1.7 7 4 14 26 42 25
7 24 Plymouth 25 11 14 1.0 2.1 4 8 13 24 53 20
8 4 Sunderland 26 14 12 1.5 0.8 14 8 4 39 22 50
9 12 Swansea 26 14 12 1.2 1.2 9 7 10 30 30 34
10 18 Derby 26 14 12 1.2 1.3 7 6 13 31 35 27
11 5 Middlesbrough 26 15 11 1.7 1.2 11 8 7 43 32 41
12 8 Bristol City 26 15 11 1.3 1.2 9 10 7 33 30 37
13 14 Preston 26 15 11 1.1 1.3 6 12 8 28 34 30
14 17 Oxford 25 14 11 1.1 1.6 7 7 11 28 40 28
15 2 Leeds 26 16 10 1.8 0.7 15 8 3 48 19 53
16 6 West Brom 26 16 10 1.2 0.8 9 13 4 32 21 40
17 16 QPR 25 15 10 1.1 1.3 6 11 8 27 33 29
18 19 Stoke 26 17 9 0.9 1.2 6 9 11 24 32 27
19 22 Hull 26 17 9 1.0 1.4 5 8 13 25 36 23
20 23 Cardiff 25 16 9 1.0 1.6 5 8 12 25 40 23
21 7 Blackburn 25 17 8 1.1 0.9 11 6 8 28 23 39
22 1 Sheffield United 26 19 7 1.4 0.7 16 6 4 36 17 54
23 13 Millwall 25 19 6 1.0 0.9 7 9 9 24 23 30
24 3 Burnley 26 21 5 1.2 0.3 14 10 2 31 9 52
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Coventry 12 2 10 1.8 1.3 5 3 4 22 16 18
2 11 Norwich 13 4 9 2.4 1.4 6 5 2 31 18 23
3 9 Watford 13 5 8 1.5 0.8 9 2 2 19 10 29
4 20 Luton 13 5 8 1.4 1.2 6 3 4 18 16 21
5 24 Plymouth 11 3 8 1.9 1.6 4 5 2 21 18 17
6 2 Leeds 13 6 7 2.3 0.5 10 2 1 30 7 32
7 16 QPR 13 6 7 1.4 1.4 4 5 4 18 18 17
8 21 Portsmouth 11 4 7 1.5 1.0 4 4 3 17 11 16
9 4 Sunderland 13 7 6 1.7 0.6 9 4 0 22 8 31
10 12 Swansea 13 7 6 1.5 1.1 5 5 3 20 14 20
11 18 Derby 12 6 6 1.6 0.9 6 2 4 19 11 20
12 19 Stoke 14 8 6 1.3 1.2 4 6 4 18 17 18
13 5 Middlesbrough 14 9 5 1.4 1.1 6 5 3 20 15 23
14 8 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.5 0.8 6 5 2 19 10 23
15 10 Sheffield Weds 14 9 5 1.6 1.4 5 5 4 22 20 20
16 17 Oxford 13 8 5 1.5 1.3 6 4 3 19 17 22
17 7 Blackburn 13 9 4 1.3 0.8 7 2 4 17 11 23
18 14 Preston 14 10 4 1.1 0.9 5 7 2 16 12 22
19 22 Hull 14 10 4 1.0 1.3 2 6 6 14 18 12
20 3 Burnley 12 9 3 1.2 0.3 6 6 0 15 4 24
21 6 West Brom 12 9 3 1.1 0.5 5 6 1 13 6 21
22 13 Millwall 13 10 3 1.1 0.8 6 2 5 14 10 20
23 23 Cardiff 12 9 3 1.0 1.4 4 1 7 12 17 13
24 1 Sheffield United 12 10 2 1.4 0.4 9 2 1 17 5 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Watford 12 3 9 1.3 2.2 2 2 8 16 26 8
2 10 Sheffield Weds 12 3 9 1.3 1.7 5 2 5 16 20 17
3 21 Portsmouth 13 4 9 1.0 2.3 1 4 8 13 30 7
4 6 West Brom 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 4 7 3 19 15 19
5 14 Preston 12 5 7 1.0 1.8 1 5 6 12 22 8
6 4 Sunderland 13 7 6 1.3 1.1 5 4 4 17 14 19
7 5 Middlesbrough 12 6 6 1.9 1.4 5 3 4 23 17 18
8 8 Bristol City 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 20 14
9 11 Norwich 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 3 4 6 12 19 13
10 12 Swansea 13 7 6 0.8 1.2 4 2 7 10 16 14
11 17 Oxford 12 6 6 0.8 1.9 1 3 8 9 23 6
12 18 Derby 14 8 6 0.9 1.7 1 4 9 12 24 7
13 20 Luton 12 6 6 0.7 2.2 1 1 10 8 26 4
14 23 Cardiff 13 7 6 1.0 1.8 1 7 5 13 23 10
15 24 Plymouth 14 8 6 0.2 2.5 0 3 11 3 35 3
16 1 Sheffield United 14 9 5 1.4 0.9 7 4 3 19 12 25
17 15 Coventry 14 9 5 0.9 1.5 2 5 7 12 21 11
18 22 Hull 12 7 5 0.9 1.5 3 2 7 11 18 11
19 7 Blackburn 12 8 4 0.9 1.0 4 4 4 11 12 16
20 2 Leeds 13 10 3 1.4 0.9 5 6 2 18 12 21
21 13 Millwall 12 9 3 0.8 1.1 1 7 4 10 13 10
22 16 QPR 12 9 3 0.8 1.2 2 6 4 9 15 12
23 19 Stoke 12 9 3 0.5 1.2 2 3 7 6 15 9
24 3 Burnley 14 12 2 1.1 0.4 8 4 2 16 5 28

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38