Cardiff 1–2 Luton – England Championship, 11 Mar 2025

Match facts

Cardiff Luton

12 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 3

10 Fouls 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (432 league matches this season so far).

Result Cardiff to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.91

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.03

Home / Draw / Away

53% 24% 23%

CardiffDrawLuton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

49% 51%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

48% 52%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

24% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.5% 1–0 11.2% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches

1.00points / match

1.08scored / match

1.64conceded / match

8 12 16

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 39:59

Luton before this match, all matches

0.86points / match

0.89scored / match

1.64conceded / match

8 7 21

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 32:59

Cardiff all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 0.89

1.64 Goals conceded 1.64

2.72 Total goals 2.53

11.78 Shots 10.92

4.22 Shots on target 3.33

12.14 Shots faced 12.58

4.78 Corners 5.86

5.08 Corners against 4.94

11.86 Fouls 12.50

1.83 Yellow cards 1.89

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.47

0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

22% Wins 22%

33% Draws 19%

44% Losses 58%

97% Over 0.5 goals 94%

86% Over 1.5 goals 69%

44% Over 2.5 goals 47%

25% Over 3.5 goals 22%

14% Over 4.5 goals 14%

3% Over 5.5 goals 6%

56% Both teams scored 50%

17% Clean sheets 19%

31% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 28%

47% Draws 39%

36% Losses 33%

67% Over 0.5 goals 69%

39% Over 1.5 goals 36%

14% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches

3

W

2

D

2

1

W

7

L

1

2

L

1

D

1

D

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

Luton all matches

D

2

3

L

1

L

1

D

2

L

1

L

1

D

2

L

1

W

4

L

Cardiff before this match, at home

1.33points / match

1.17scored / match

1.22conceded / match

7 3 8

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 21:22

Luton before this match, away

0.28points / match

0.67scored / match

2.22conceded / match

1 2 15

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 12:40

Cardiff at home away Luton

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 0.67

1.22 Goals conceded 2.22

2.39 Total goals 2.89

13.56 Shots 9.17

5.22 Shots on target 2.94

10.33 Shots faced 14.22

6.06 Corners 4.89

4.72 Corners against 5.50

11.33 Fouls 13.17

1.56 Yellow cards 2.11

0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.06

How often Full Time

39% Wins 6%

17% Draws 11%

44% Losses 83%

100% Over 0.5 goals 94%

89% Over 1.5 goals 78%

33% Over 2.5 goals 50%

11% Over 3.5 goals 33%

6% Over 4.5 goals 22%

0% Over 5.5 goals 11%

39% Both teams scored 44%

28% Clean sheets 11%

33% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 22%

50% Draws 22%

28% Losses 56%

50% Over 0.5 goals 89%

17% Over 1.5 goals 56%

6% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home

2

L

2

L

2

L

1

D

1

D

3

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

W

1

2

L

Luton away

2

4

L

2

L

1

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

3

L

1

D

2

L

2

L

4

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Sunderland – Cardiff	2–1 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	5.75	1.90	1.95
04.03.25	Cardiff – Burnley	1–2 (1–2)	4.20	3.40	1.90	2.57	1.46
25.02.25	Cardiff – Hull	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.10	2.70	2.10	1.73
22.02.25	Plymouth – Cardiff	1–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.50	2.50	2.00	1.85
15.02.25	Cardiff – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.55	2.10	1.73
11.02.25	Portsmouth – Cardiff	2–1 (2–1)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.20	1.67
01.02.25	Leeds – Cardiff	7–0 (2–0)	1.29	5.50	9.00	1.73	2.10
25.01.25	Cardiff – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.40	2.50	1.53
21.01.25	Millwall – Cardiff	2–2 (2–1)	2.15	2.90	3.90	3.00	1.40
18.01.25	Cardiff – Swansea	3–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	2.10	1.73

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Burnley – Luton	4–0 (2–0)	1.62	3.60	6.00	2.38	1.57
01.03.25	Luton – Portsmouth	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.05	1.80
23.02.25	Watford – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.50	2.88	2.20	1.67
19.02.25	Luton – Plymouth	1–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	2.00	1.80
15.02.25	Luton – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.50	2.15	2.20	1.67
12.02.25	Sunderland – Luton	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.80	5.00	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Sheffield Weds – Luton	1–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.25	3.70	2.20	1.67
25.01.25	Luton – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.25	2.63	1.50
21.01.25	Oxford – Luton	3–2 (1–2)	2.90	3.20	2.50	2.30	1.62
18.01.25	Luton – Preston	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.50	2.20	1.67

Cardiff at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.25	Cardiff – Burnley	1–2 (1–2)	4.20	3.40	1.90	2.57	1.46
25.02.25	Cardiff – Hull	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.10	2.70	2.10	1.73
15.02.25	Cardiff – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.55	2.10	1.73
25.01.25	Cardiff – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.40	2.50	1.53
18.01.25	Cardiff – Swansea	3–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Cardiff – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
01.01.25	Cardiff – Coventry	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.50	2.30	1.88	1.98
21.12.24	Cardiff – Sheffield United	0–2 (0–0)	3.70	3.40	2.00	2.10	1.73
11.12.24	Cardiff – Preston	0–2 (0–0)	2.25	3.20	3.20	2.20	1.67
27.11.24	Cardiff – QPR	0–2 (0–1)	1.95	3.50	3.80	2.00	1.80

Luton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Burnley – Luton	4–0 (2–0)	1.62	3.60	6.00	2.38	1.57
23.02.25	Watford – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.50	2.88	2.20	1.67
12.02.25	Sunderland – Luton	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.80	5.00	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Sheffield Weds – Luton	1–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.25	3.70	2.20	1.67
21.01.25	Oxford – Luton	3–2 (1–2)	2.90	3.20	2.50	2.30	1.62
06.01.25	QPR – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	2.40	3.25	2.90	2.20	1.67
29.12.24	Swansea – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.50	3.10	2.03	1.83
26.12.24	Bristol City – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	3.10	2.05	1.80
14.12.24	Blackburn – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.15	3.40	3.30	2.00	1.80
30.11.24	Norwich – Luton	4–2 (2–1)	2.00	3.70	3.40	1.80	2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 4

Cardiff winsDrawsLuton wins

5matches

1.80goals / match

40%over 2.5

40%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.11.24E1	Luton – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.20	1.83	2.03
31.01.23E1	Luton – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	4.20	2.30	1.62
30.08.22E1	Cardiff – Luton	1–2 (0–0)	2.55	3.20	2.90	2.50	1.53
18.04.22E1	Cardiff – Luton	0–1 (0–0)	2.87	3.10	2.62	2.20	1.66
27.11.21E1	Luton – Cardiff	1–2 (0–1)	1.90	3.50	4.00	2.05	1.80

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	36	24	6	6	51	27	+24	78
2	Leeds	36	22	10	4	72	23	+49	76
3	Burnley	36	20	14	2	49	10	+39	74
4	Sunderland	36	19	11	6	54	33	+21	68
5	Coventry	36	16	8	12	52	46	+6	56
6	West Brom	36	13	16	7	46	32	+14	55
7	Bristol City	36	13	14	9	46	39	+7	53
8	Blackburn	36	15	7	14	41	37	+4	52
9	Middlesbrough	36	14	8	14	55	47	+8	50
10	Norwich	36	12	13	11	57	49	+8	49
11	Watford	36	14	7	15	46	50	-4	49
12	Millwall	36	12	12	12	36	37	-1	48
13	Sheffield Weds	36	13	9	14	50	56	-6	48
14	QPR	36	11	11	14	41	46	-5	44
15	Swansea	36	12	8	16	38	46	-8	44
16	Preston	36	9	16	11	36	42	-6	43
17	Portsmouth	36	11	9	16	44	57	-13	42
18	Oxford	36	9	12	15	37	53	-16	39
19	Hull	36	9	10	17	36	45	-9	37
20	Stoke	36	8	12	16	36	50	-14	36
21	Cardiff	36	8	12	16	39	59	-20	36
22	Derby	36	8	8	20	35	49	-14	32
23	Luton	36	8	7	21	32	59	-27	31
24	Plymouth	36	6	12	18	36	73	-37	30

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	18	14	3	1	45	9	+36	45
2	Sheffield United	18	13	2	3	26	13	+13	41
3	Sunderland	18	11	6	1	30	14	+16	39
4	Burnley	18	10	8	0	26	4	+22	38
5	West Brom	18	9	7	2	24	11	+13	34
6	Bristol City	18	9	6	3	26	14	+12	33
7	Blackburn	18	10	3	5	25	15	+10	33
8	Coventry	18	10	3	5	31	22	+9	33
9	Portsmouth	18	9	5	4	27	16	+11	32
10	Watford	18	10	2	6	23	19	+4	32
11	Norwich	18	8	7	3	42	24	+18	31
12	Middlesbrough	18	8	5	5	25	19	+6	29
13	Oxford	18	8	5	5	26	25	+1	29
14	Preston	18	6	10	2	19	14	+5	28
15	Swansea	18	7	5	6	25	19	+6	26
16	QPR	18	7	5	6	27	24	+3	26
17	Luton	18	7	5	6	20	19	+1	26
18	Millwall	18	7	4	7	19	17	+2	25
19	Plymouth	18	6	7	5	30	31	-1	25
20	Derby	18	7	3	8	21	17	+4	24
21	Cardiff	18	7	3	8	21	22	-1	24
22	Stoke	18	5	8	5	22	21	+1	23
23	Sheffield Weds	18	5	7	6	27	27	0	22
24	Hull	18	3	7	8	19	23	-4	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	18	11	4	3	25	14	+11	37
2	Burnley	18	10	6	2	23	6	+17	36
3	Leeds	18	8	7	3	27	14	+13	31
4	Sunderland	18	8	5	5	24	19	+5	29
5	Sheffield Weds	18	8	2	8	23	29	-6	26
6	Coventry	18	6	5	7	21	24	-3	23
7	Millwall	18	5	8	5	17	20	-3	23
8	Middlesbrough	18	6	3	9	30	28	+2	21
9	West Brom	18	4	9	5	22	21	+1	21
10	Hull	18	6	3	9	17	22	-5	21
11	Bristol City	18	4	8	6	20	25	-5	20
12	Blackburn	18	5	4	9	16	22	-6	19
13	QPR	18	4	6	8	14	22	-8	18
14	Norwich	18	4	6	8	15	25	-10	18
15	Swansea	18	5	3	10	13	27	-14	18
16	Watford	18	4	5	9	23	31	-8	17
17	Preston	18	3	6	9	17	28	-11	15
18	Stoke	18	3	4	11	14	29	-15	13
19	Cardiff	18	1	9	8	18	37	-19	12
20	Oxford	18	1	7	10	11	28	-17	10
21	Portsmouth	18	2	4	12	17	41	-24	10
22	Derby	18	1	5	12	14	32	-18	8
23	Luton	18	1	2	15	12	40	-28	5
24	Plymouth	18	0	5	13	6	42	-36	5

Cardiff Luton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	36	13	23	1.2	1.6	11	9	16	44	57	42
2	11	Watford	36	14	22	1.3	1.4	14	7	15	46	50	49
3	13	Sheffield Weds	36	15	21	1.4	1.6	13	9	14	50	56	48
4	5	Coventry	36	16	20	1.4	1.3	16	8	12	52	46	56
5	24	Plymouth	36	17	19	1.0	2.0	6	12	18	36	73	30
6	4	Sunderland	36	18	18	1.5	0.9	19	11	6	54	33	68
7	9	Middlesbrough	36	19	17	1.5	1.3	14	8	14	55	47	50
8	10	Norwich	36	19	17	1.6	1.4	12	13	11	57	49	49
9	14	QPR	36	19	17	1.1	1.3	11	11	14	41	46	44
10	15	Swansea	36	19	17	1.1	1.3	12	8	16	38	46	44
11	23	Luton	36	19	17	0.9	1.6	8	7	21	32	59	31
12	21	Cardiff	36	20	16	1.1	1.6	8	12	16	39	59	36
13	2	Leeds	36	21	15	2.0	0.6	22	10	4	72	23	76
14	16	Preston	36	21	15	1.0	1.2	9	16	11	36	42	43
15	20	Stoke	36	21	15	1.0	1.4	8	12	16	36	50	36
16	22	Derby	36	21	15	1.0	1.4	8	8	20	35	49	32
17	7	Bristol City	36	22	14	1.3	1.1	13	14	9	46	39	53
18	8	Blackburn	36	22	14	1.1	1.0	15	7	14	41	37	52
19	1	Sheffield United	36	23	13	1.4	0.8	24	6	6	51	27	78
20	6	West Brom	36	23	13	1.3	0.9	13	16	7	46	32	55
21	18	Oxford	36	23	13	1.0	1.5	9	12	15	37	53	39
22	19	Hull	36	24	12	1.0	1.2	9	10	17	36	45	37
23	12	Millwall	36	26	10	1.0	1.0	12	12	12	36	37	48
24	3	Burnley	36	27	9	1.4	0.3	20	14	2	49	10	74

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Coventry	18	5	13	1.7	1.2	10	3	5	31	22	33
2	24	Plymouth	18	6	12	1.7	1.7	6	7	5	30	31	25
3	10	Norwich	18	7	11	2.3	1.3	8	7	3	42	24	31
4	11	Watford	18	7	11	1.3	1.1	10	2	6	23	19	32
5	14	QPR	18	7	11	1.5	1.3	7	5	6	27	24	26
6	17	Portsmouth	18	7	11	1.5	0.9	9	5	4	27	16	32
7	2	Leeds	18	8	10	2.5	0.5	14	3	1	45	9	45
8	4	Sunderland	18	9	9	1.7	0.8	11	6	1	30	14	39
9	13	Sheffield Weds	18	10	8	1.5	1.5	5	7	6	27	27	22
10	15	Swansea	18	10	8	1.4	1.1	7	5	6	25	19	26
11	20	Stoke	18	10	8	1.2	1.2	5	8	5	22	21	23
12	23	Luton	18	10	8	1.1	1.1	7	5	6	20	19	26
13	7	Bristol City	18	11	7	1.4	0.8	9	6	3	26	14	33
14	18	Oxford	18	11	7	1.4	1.4	8	5	5	26	25	29
15	22	Derby	18	11	7	1.2	0.9	7	3	8	21	17	24
16	1	Sheffield United	18	12	6	1.4	0.7	13	2	3	26	13	41
17	8	Blackburn	18	12	6	1.4	0.8	10	3	5	25	15	33
18	9	Middlesbrough	18	12	6	1.4	1.1	8	5	5	25	19	29
19	19	Hull	18	12	6	1.1	1.3	3	7	8	19	23	16
20	21	Cardiff	18	12	6	1.2	1.2	7	3	8	21	22	24
21	3	Burnley	18	13	5	1.4	0.2	10	8	0	26	4	38
22	6	West Brom	18	13	5	1.3	0.6	9	7	2	24	11	34
23	12	Millwall	18	13	5	1.1	0.9	7	4	7	19	17	25
24	16	Preston	18	13	5	1.1	0.8	6	10	2	19	14	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Sheffield Weds	18	5	13	1.3	1.6	8	2	8	23	29	26
2	17	Portsmouth	18	6	12	0.9	2.3	2	4	12	17	41	10
3	9	Middlesbrough	18	7	11	1.7	1.6	6	3	9	30	28	21
4	11	Watford	18	7	11	1.3	1.7	4	5	9	23	31	17
5	16	Preston	18	8	10	0.9	1.6	3	6	9	17	28	15
6	21	Cardiff	18	8	10	1.0	2.1	1	9	8	18	37	12
7	4	Sunderland	18	9	9	1.3	1.1	8	5	5	24	19	29
8	15	Swansea	18	9	9	0.7	1.5	5	3	10	13	27	18
9	23	Luton	18	9	9	0.7	2.2	1	2	15	12	40	5
10	6	West Brom	18	10	8	1.2	1.2	4	9	5	22	21	21
11	8	Blackburn	18	10	8	0.9	1.2	5	4	9	16	22	19
12	22	Derby	18	10	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	12	14	32	8
13	1	Sheffield United	18	11	7	1.4	0.8	11	4	3	25	14	37
14	5	Coventry	18	11	7	1.2	1.3	6	5	7	21	24	23
15	7	Bristol City	18	11	7	1.1	1.4	4	8	6	20	25	20
16	20	Stoke	18	11	7	0.8	1.6	3	4	11	14	29	13
17	24	Plymouth	18	11	7	0.3	2.3	0	5	13	6	42	5
18	10	Norwich	18	12	6	0.8	1.4	4	6	8	15	25	18
19	14	QPR	18	12	6	0.8	1.2	4	6	8	14	22	18
20	18	Oxford	18	12	6	0.6	1.6	1	7	10	11	28	10
21	19	Hull	18	12	6	0.9	1.2	6	3	9	17	22	21
22	2	Leeds	18	13	5	1.5	0.8	8	7	3	27	14	31
23	12	Millwall	18	13	5	0.9	1.1	5	8	5	17	20	23
24	3	Burnley	18	14	4	1.3	0.3	10	6	2	23	6	36

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.