Derby 0–1 Millwall – England Championship, 22 Feb 2025

Match facts

Derby Millwall

9 Shots 11

0 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 4

10 Fouls 8

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (396 league matches this season so far).

Result Derby to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.80

Expected goals 1.22 – 0.99

Home / Draw / Away

41% 29% 30%

DerbyDrawMillwall

Under / Over 2.5 goals

62% 38%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

56% 44%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

11% 0

24% 1

27% 2

20% 3

11% 4

7% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 13.3% 1–1 13.2% 0–0 10.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches

0.88points / match

1.00scored / match

1.39conceded / match

7 8 18

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 33:46

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.27points / match

1.00scored / match

1.03conceded / match

10 12 11

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 33:34

Derby all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00

1.39 Goals conceded 1.03

2.39 Total goals 2.03

10.58 Shots 11.42

3.36 Shots on target 3.76

11.64 Shots faced 10.33

5.27 Corners 4.94

5.36 Corners against 5.12

12.03 Fouls 12.97

1.85 Yellow cards 1.91

0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.42

0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

21% Wins 30%

24% Draws 36%

55% Losses 33%

94% Over 0.5 goals 91%

73% Over 1.5 goals 48%

42% Over 2.5 goals 27%

15% Over 3.5 goals 18%

9% Over 4.5 goals 9%

6% Over 5.5 goals 6%

52% Both teams scored 45%

21% Clean sheets 33%

33% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 27%

42% Draws 42%

36% Losses 30%

67% Over 0.5 goals 64%

21% Over 1.5 goals 24%

3% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches

1

L

2

4

L

1

L

2

L

1

L

1

2

L

1

L

1

D

4

L

Millwall all matches

1

L

2

D

1

L

2

D

1

W

1

W

2

1

W

1

5

L

1

D

1

D

Derby before this match, at home

1.31points / match

1.19scored / match

0.94conceded / match

6 3 7

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 19:15

Millwall before this match, away

1.06points / match

0.88scored / match

1.19conceded / match

3 8 5

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 14:19

Derby at home away Millwall

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 0.88

0.94 Goals conceded 1.19

2.13 Total goals 2.06

12.94 Shots 10.69

4.00 Shots on target 3.69

10.06 Shots faced 11.50

5.38 Corners 4.94

5.19 Corners against 5.31

12.13 Fouls 13.44

1.63 Yellow cards 2.38

0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.31

0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

38% Wins 19%

19% Draws 50%

44% Losses 31%

94% Over 0.5 goals 81%

63% Over 1.5 goals 50%

38% Over 2.5 goals 25%

13% Over 3.5 goals 19%

6% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 13%

38% Both teams scored 50%

38% Clean sheets 38%

31% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 25%

38% Draws 38%

25% Losses 38%

69% Over 0.5 goals 69%

19% Over 1.5 goals 25%

6% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home

1

D

1

2

L

1

2

L

4

W

2

1

W

1

L

2

L

1

L

1

L

D

Millwall away

1

D

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

D

2

D

1

W

1

W

1

5

L

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.25	QPR – Derby	4–0 (2–0)	2.05	3.20	4.00	2.63	1.50
11.02.25	Derby – Oxford	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.00	3.60	2.75	1.44
08.02.25	Norwich – Derby	1–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.90	4.75	1.98	1.88
01.02.25	Derby – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.10	2.15	2.20	1.67
25.01.25	Cardiff – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.40	2.50	1.53
21.01.25	Derby – Sunderland	0–1 (0–1)	3.50	3.30	2.10	2.20	1.67
18.01.25	Derby – Watford	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
04.01.25	Bristol City – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	1.90	3.30	4.20	2.30	1.62
01.01.25	Sheffield Weds – Derby	4–2 (1–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	2.10	1.73
29.12.24	Derby – Leeds	0–1 (0–0)	5.00	4.20	1.60	2.10	1.73

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.25	Preston – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	2.88	3.30	3.20	1.36
15.02.25	Millwall – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.20	2.75	2.50	1.53
12.02.25	Plymouth – Millwall	5–1 (2–0)	3.40	3.10	2.20	2.50	1.53
01.02.25	Millwall – QPR	2–1 (2–1)	2.20	3.10	3.50	2.75	1.44
28.01.25	Portsmouth – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.00	3.10	2.63	1.50
25.01.25	Luton – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.25	2.63	1.50
21.01.25	Millwall – Cardiff	2–2 (2–1)	2.15	2.90	3.90	3.00	1.40
18.01.25	Millwall – Hull	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.75	2.50	1.53
04.01.25	Sheffield Weds – Millwall	2–2 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.50	1.53
01.01.25	Millwall – Oxford	0–1 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	5.00	2.30	1.62

Derby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.25	Derby – Oxford	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.00	3.60	2.75	1.44
01.02.25	Derby – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.10	2.15	2.20	1.67
21.01.25	Derby – Sunderland	0–1 (0–1)	3.50	3.30	2.10	2.20	1.67
18.01.25	Derby – Watford	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
29.12.24	Derby – Leeds	0–1 (0–0)	5.00	4.20	1.60	2.10	1.73
26.12.24	Derby – West Brom	2–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.20	2.70	2.38	1.57
13.12.24	Derby – Portsmouth	4–0 (3–0)	2.05	3.20	3.75	2.30	1.62
01.12.24	Derby – Sheffield Weds	1–2 (1–0)	2.40	3.20	3.00	2.20	1.67
27.11.24	Derby – Swansea	1–2 (0–2)	2.40	3.40	2.80	2.20	1.67
09.11.24	Derby – Plymouth	1–1 (1–1)	1.65	3.90	5.00	1.80	2.00

Millwall away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.25	Preston – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	2.88	3.30	3.20	1.36
12.02.25	Plymouth – Millwall	5–1 (2–0)	3.40	3.10	2.20	2.50	1.53
28.01.25	Portsmouth – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.00	3.10	2.63	1.50
25.01.25	Luton – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.25	2.63	1.50
04.01.25	Sheffield Weds – Millwall	2–2 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.50	1.53
29.12.24	Coventry – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.70	4.33	2.20	1.67
26.12.24	Norwich – Millwall	2–1 (2–0)	2.15	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.67
14.12.24	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.80	4.75	2.10	1.73
30.11.24	Oxford – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	3.40	3.50	2.10	2.38	1.57
09.11.24	Stoke – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.25	2.80	2.20	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Derby winsDrawsMillwall wins

3matches

2.33goals / match

33%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.10.24E1	Millwall – Derby	1–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.20	4.10	2.30	1.62
23.02.22E1	Derby – Millwall	1–2 (0–2)	2.62	3.10	2.87	2.62	1.50
06.11.21E1	Millwall – Derby	1–1 (1–1)	1.83	3.40	4.75	2.37	1.57

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	33	21	9	3	68	20	+48	72
2	Sheffield United	33	22	6	5	47	23	+24	72
3	Burnley	34	18	14	2	43	9	+34	68
4	Sunderland	33	17	11	5	50	30	+20	62
5	Blackburn	33	15	6	12	39	31	+8	51
6	Bristol City	34	12	13	9	43	38	+5	49
7	West Brom	33	11	15	7	42	31	+11	48
8	Coventry	33	13	8	12	44	41	+3	47
9	Watford	33	13	6	14	43	48	-5	45
10	Sheffield Weds	34	12	9	13	46	54	-8	45
11	Middlesbrough	33	12	8	13	51	45	+6	44
12	Norwich	33	11	11	11	51	45	+6	44
13	QPR	33	11	11	11	39	41	-2	44
14	Millwall	33	10	12	11	33	34	-1	42
15	Preston	33	9	15	9	35	39	-4	42
16	Oxford	33	9	11	13	34	47	-13	38
17	Swansea	33	10	7	16	34	46	-12	37
18	Portsmouth	33	9	9	15	41	55	-14	36
19	Stoke	32	8	11	13	31	40	-9	35
20	Cardiff	32	7	11	14	35	54	-19	32
21	Hull	32	7	9	16	32	43	-11	30
22	Derby	33	7	8	18	33	46	-13	29
23	Plymouth	33	6	11	16	35	67	-32	29
24	Luton	33	7	7	19	31	53	-22	28

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	17	14	2	1	44	8	+36	44
2	Sheffield United	16	12	2	2	24	10	+14	38
3	Sunderland	16	10	6	0	28	12	+16	36
4	Burnley	17	9	8	0	22	4	+18	35
5	Bristol City	17	9	5	3	25	13	+12	32
6	Blackburn	17	10	2	5	24	14	+10	32
7	Watford	16	9	2	5	20	17	+3	29
8	Oxford	17	8	5	4	24	22	+2	29
9	West Brom	16	7	7	2	21	11	+10	28
10	Norwich	16	7	6	3	37	21	+16	27
11	Coventry	16	8	3	5	26	19	+7	27
12	Preston	17	6	9	2	19	14	+5	27
13	Portsmouth	16	7	5	4	24	15	+9	26
14	Middlesbrough	17	7	5	5	24	19	+5	26
15	QPR	17	7	5	5	26	22	+4	26
16	Millwall	17	7	4	6	19	15	+4	25
17	Plymouth	16	6	6	4	29	27	+2	24
18	Luton	17	6	5	6	19	19	0	23
19	Stoke	16	5	7	4	21	18	+3	22
20	Sheffield Weds	17	5	7	5	26	25	+1	22
21	Derby	16	6	3	7	19	15	+4	21
22	Cardiff	16	6	3	7	19	20	-1	21
23	Swansea	16	5	5	6	21	19	+2	20
24	Hull	17	2	7	8	17	23	-6	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	17	10	4	3	23	13	+10	34
2	Burnley	17	9	6	2	21	5	+16	33
3	Leeds	16	7	7	2	24	12	+12	28
4	Sunderland	17	7	5	5	22	18	+4	26
5	Sheffield Weds	17	7	2	8	20	29	-9	23
6	West Brom	17	4	8	5	21	20	+1	20
7	Coventry	17	5	5	7	18	22	-4	20
8	Blackburn	16	5	4	7	15	17	-2	19
9	Middlesbrough	16	5	3	8	27	26	+1	18
10	QPR	16	4	6	6	13	19	-6	18
11	Hull	15	5	2	8	15	20	-5	17
12	Millwall	16	3	8	5	14	19	-5	17
13	Bristol City	17	3	8	6	18	25	-7	17
14	Norwich	17	4	5	8	14	24	-10	17
15	Swansea	17	5	2	10	13	27	-14	17
16	Watford	17	4	4	9	23	31	-8	16
17	Preston	16	3	6	7	16	25	-9	15
18	Stoke	16	3	4	9	10	22	-12	13
19	Cardiff	16	1	8	7	16	34	-18	11
20	Portsmouth	17	2	4	11	17	40	-23	10
21	Oxford	16	1	6	9	10	25	-15	9
22	Derby	17	1	5	11	14	31	-17	8
23	Luton	16	1	2	13	12	34	-22	5
24	Plymouth	17	0	5	12	6	40	-34	5

Derby Millwall

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Portsmouth	33	11	22	1.2	1.7	9	9	15	41	55	36
2	9	Watford	33	12	21	1.3	1.5	13	6	14	43	48	45
3	10	Sheffield Weds	34	15	19	1.4	1.6	12	9	13	46	54	45
4	23	Plymouth	33	15	18	1.1	2.0	6	11	16	35	67	29
5	8	Coventry	33	16	17	1.3	1.2	13	8	12	44	41	47
6	4	Sunderland	33	17	16	1.5	0.9	17	11	5	50	30	62
7	11	Middlesbrough	33	17	16	1.5	1.4	12	8	13	51	45	44
8	12	Norwich	33	17	16	1.5	1.4	11	11	11	51	45	44
9	17	Swansea	33	17	16	1.0	1.4	10	7	16	34	46	37
10	24	Luton	33	17	16	0.9	1.6	7	7	19	31	53	28
11	13	QPR	33	18	15	1.2	1.2	11	11	11	39	41	44
12	1	Leeds	33	19	14	2.1	0.6	21	9	3	68	20	72
13	6	Bristol City	34	20	14	1.3	1.1	12	13	9	43	38	49
14	15	Preston	33	19	14	1.1	1.2	9	15	9	35	39	42
15	20	Cardiff	32	18	14	1.1	1.7	7	11	14	35	54	32
16	22	Derby	33	19	14	1.0	1.4	7	8	18	33	46	29
17	7	West Brom	33	20	13	1.3	0.9	11	15	7	42	31	48
18	5	Blackburn	33	21	12	1.2	0.9	15	6	12	39	31	51
19	16	Oxford	33	21	12	1.0	1.4	9	11	13	34	47	38
20	19	Stoke	32	20	12	1.0	1.2	8	11	13	31	40	35
21	21	Hull	32	20	12	1.0	1.3	7	9	16	32	43	30
22	2	Sheffield United	33	22	11	1.4	0.7	22	6	5	47	23	72
23	14	Millwall	33	24	9	1.0	1.0	10	12	11	33	34	42
24	3	Burnley	34	27	7	1.3	0.3	18	14	2	43	9	68

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Coventry	16	5	11	1.6	1.2	8	3	5	26	19	27
2	23	Plymouth	16	5	11	1.8	1.7	6	6	4	29	27	24
3	1	Leeds	17	7	10	2.6	0.5	14	2	1	44	8	44
4	9	Watford	16	6	10	1.2	1.1	9	2	5	20	17	29
5	12	Norwich	16	6	10	2.3	1.3	7	6	3	37	21	27
6	13	QPR	17	7	10	1.5	1.3	7	5	5	26	22	26
7	18	Portsmouth	16	6	10	1.5	0.9	7	5	4	24	15	26
8	4	Sunderland	16	8	8	1.8	0.8	10	6	0	28	12	36
9	24	Luton	17	9	8	1.1	1.1	6	5	6	19	19	23
10	6	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.5	0.8	9	5	3	25	13	32
11	10	Sheffield Weds	17	10	7	1.5	1.5	5	7	5	26	25	22
12	17	Swansea	16	9	7	1.3	1.2	5	5	6	21	19	20
13	19	Stoke	16	9	7	1.3	1.1	5	7	4	21	18	22
14	5	Blackburn	17	11	6	1.4	0.8	10	2	5	24	14	32
15	11	Middlesbrough	17	11	6	1.4	1.1	7	5	5	24	19	26
16	16	Oxford	17	11	6	1.4	1.3	8	5	4	24	22	29
17	21	Hull	17	11	6	1.0	1.4	2	7	8	17	23	13
18	22	Derby	16	10	6	1.2	0.9	6	3	7	19	15	21
19	2	Sheffield United	16	11	5	1.5	0.6	12	2	2	24	10	38
20	7	West Brom	16	11	5	1.3	0.7	7	7	2	21	11	28
21	14	Millwall	17	12	5	1.1	0.9	7	4	6	19	15	25
22	15	Preston	17	12	5	1.1	0.8	6	9	2	19	14	27
23	20	Cardiff	16	11	5	1.2	1.2	6	3	7	19	20	21
24	3	Burnley	17	13	4	1.3	0.2	9	8	0	22	4	35

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Sheffield Weds	17	5	12	1.2	1.7	7	2	8	20	29	23
2	18	Portsmouth	17	5	12	1.0	2.4	2	4	11	17	40	10
3	9	Watford	17	6	11	1.4	1.8	4	4	9	23	31	16
4	11	Middlesbrough	16	6	10	1.7	1.6	5	3	8	27	26	18
5	15	Preston	16	7	9	1.0	1.6	3	6	7	16	25	15
6	17	Swansea	17	8	9	0.8	1.6	5	2	10	13	27	17
7	20	Cardiff	16	7	9	1.0	2.1	1	8	7	16	34	11
8	4	Sunderland	17	9	8	1.3	1.1	7	5	5	22	18	26
9	7	West Brom	17	9	8	1.2	1.2	4	8	5	21	20	20
10	22	Derby	17	9	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	11	14	31	8
11	24	Luton	16	8	8	0.8	2.1	1	2	13	12	34	5
12	6	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.1	1.5	3	8	6	18	25	17
13	23	Plymouth	17	10	7	0.4	2.4	0	5	12	6	40	5
14	2	Sheffield United	17	11	6	1.4	0.8	10	4	3	23	13	34
15	5	Blackburn	16	10	6	0.9	1.1	5	4	7	15	17	19
16	8	Coventry	17	11	6	1.1	1.3	5	5	7	18	22	20
17	12	Norwich	17	11	6	0.8	1.4	4	5	8	14	24	17
18	16	Oxford	16	10	6	0.6	1.6	1	6	9	10	25	9
19	21	Hull	15	9	6	1.0	1.3	5	2	8	15	20	17
20	13	QPR	16	11	5	0.8	1.2	4	6	6	13	19	18
21	19	Stoke	16	11	5	0.6	1.4	3	4	9	10	22	13
22	1	Leeds	16	12	4	1.5	0.8	7	7	2	24	12	28
23	14	Millwall	16	12	4	0.9	1.2	3	8	5	14	19	17
24	3	Burnley	17	14	3	1.2	0.3	9	6	2	21	5	33

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.