Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Martin

Oxford 3–2 Luton

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.90 fair 1.86
Draw 3.20 fair 4.21
Away 2.50 fair 4.42
Under 2.5 1.62 fair 2.09
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 1.92

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Oxford Luton
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 5
11 Fouls 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (323 league matches this season so far).
Result Oxford to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.73 – 1.04
Home / Draw / Away
OxfordDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 1–0 10.9% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Oxford before this match, all matches
1.19points / match
1.11scored / match
1.52conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 30:41
Luton before this match, all matches
0.96points / match
1.00scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 27:44
Oxford all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.00
1.52 Goals conceded 1.63
2.63 Total goals 2.63
9.74 Shots 11.37
3.52 Shots on target 3.70
14.63 Shots faced 12.96
3.56 Corners 6.15
6.52 Corners against 4.81
10.00 Fouls 12.48
1.41 Yellow cards 1.96
0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.48
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

30% Wins 26%
30% Draws 19%
41% Losses 56%
96% Over 0.5 goals 93%
78% Over 1.5 goals 70%
41% Over 2.5 goals 56%
26% Over 3.5 goals 22%
11% Over 4.5 goals 15%
4% Over 5.5 goals 7%
56% Both teams scored 56%
26% Clean sheets 22%
22% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 26%
41% Draws 41%
33% Losses 33%
70% Over 0.5 goals 70%
26% Over 1.5 goals 37%
11% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford all matches
Luton all matches
Oxford before this match, at home
1.79points / match
1.43scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 20:17
Luton before this match, away
0.31points / match
0.69scored / match
2.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 9:28
Oxford at home away Luton

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 0.69
1.21 Goals conceded 2.15
2.64 Total goals 2.85
10.64 Shots 10.15
4.29 Shots on target 3.38
12.64 Shots faced 14.46
3.79 Corners 5.15
6.43 Corners against 5.23
9.64 Fouls 12.62
1.00 Yellow cards 2.15
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 8%
29% Draws 8%
21% Losses 85%
93% Over 0.5 goals 92%
71% Over 1.5 goals 69%
36% Over 2.5 goals 54%
29% Over 3.5 goals 31%
14% Over 4.5 goals 23%
7% Over 5.5 goals 15%
57% Both teams scored 46%
43% Clean sheets 15%
7% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 15%
43% Draws 31%
29% Losses 54%
71% Over 0.5 goals 85%
21% Over 1.5 goals 54%
7% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Oxford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.25 Oxford – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.20 1.67
14.01.25 Plymouth – Oxford 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.403.00 2.03 1.83
04.01.25 Preston – Oxford 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.404.33 2.20 1.67
01.01.25 Millwall – Oxford 0–1 (0–0) 1.673.755.00 2.30 1.62
29.12.24 Oxford – Plymouth 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.504.20 1.85 2.00
26.12.24 Oxford – Cardiff 3–2 (1–0) 2.883.202.50 2.10 1.73
21.12.24 Leeds – Oxford 4–0 (1–0) 1.147.5019.00 1.53 2.50
14.12.24 Oxford – Sheffield Weds 1–3 (1–1) 3.253.252.25 2.10 1.73
11.12.24 QPR – Oxford 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 2.10 1.73
30.11.24 Oxford – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.38 1.57

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.25 Luton – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.103.50 2.20 1.67
06.01.25 QPR – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 2.403.252.90 2.20 1.67
01.01.25 Luton – Norwich 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.70 1.93 1.93
29.12.24 Swansea – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
26.12.24 Bristol City – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.10 2.05 1.80
20.12.24 Luton – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.203.50 2.30 1.62
14.12.24 Blackburn – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.153.403.30 2.00 1.80
10.12.24 Luton – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.60 1.93 1.93
07.12.24 Luton – Swansea 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.25 2.03 1.83
30.11.24 Norwich – Luton 4–2 (2–1) 2.003.703.40 1.80 2.00

Oxford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.25 Oxford – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.20 1.67
29.12.24 Oxford – Plymouth 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.504.20 1.85 2.00
26.12.24 Oxford – Cardiff 3–2 (1–0) 2.883.202.50 2.10 1.73
14.12.24 Oxford – Sheffield Weds 1–3 (1–1) 3.253.252.25 2.10 1.73
30.11.24 Oxford – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.38 1.57
23.11.24 Oxford – Middlesbrough 2–6 (1–3) 5.004.201.60 1.83 2.03
05.11.24 Oxford – Hull 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.30 1.98 1.88
02.11.24 Oxford – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.753.202.70 2.20 1.67
22.10.24 Oxford – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.252.75 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Oxford – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 3.903.501.95 2.00 1.80

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.01.25 QPR – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 2.403.252.90 2.20 1.67
29.12.24 Swansea – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
26.12.24 Bristol City – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.10 2.05 1.80
14.12.24 Blackburn – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.153.403.30 2.00 1.80
30.11.24 Norwich – Luton 4–2 (2–1) 2.003.703.40 1.80 2.00
27.11.24 Leeds – Luton 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.208.00 1.80 2.00
09.11.24 Middlesbrough – Luton 5–1 (2–0) 1.734.004.33 1.73 2.10
26.10.24 Coventry – Luton 3–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.20 1.83 2.03
05.10.24 Sheffield United – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.703.90 1.90 1.95
27.09.24 Plymouth – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 4.003.701.85 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Oxford winsDrawsLuton wins
1matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.24E1 Luton – Oxford 2–2 (2–1) 1.673.904.50 1.88 1.98

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 27 17 6 4 38 17 +21 57
2 Leeds 27 16 8 3 51 19 +32 56
3 Burnley 27 14 11 2 31 9 +22 53
4 Sunderland 27 14 9 4 39 22 +17 51
5 Blackburn 27 12 6 9 31 24 +7 42
6 West Brom 27 9 14 4 33 22 +11 41
7 Middlesbrough 27 11 8 8 44 34 +10 41
8 Watford 27 12 5 10 38 37 +1 41
9 Bristol City 27 9 10 8 33 31 +2 37
10 Sheffield Weds 27 10 7 10 38 43 -5 37
11 Norwich 27 9 9 9 43 39 +4 36
12 QPR 27 8 11 8 30 34 -4 35
13 Swansea 27 9 7 11 30 33 -3 34
14 Coventry 27 8 8 11 35 37 -2 32
15 Oxford 27 8 8 11 30 41 -11 32
16 Preston 27 6 13 8 28 34 -6 31
17 Millwall 26 7 9 10 24 24 0 30
18 Stoke 27 6 10 11 25 33 -8 28
19 Derby 27 7 6 14 31 37 -6 27
20 Cardiff 27 6 9 12 29 41 -12 27
21 Hull 27 6 8 13 26 36 -10 26
22 Portsmouth 26 6 8 12 32 45 -13 26
23 Luton 27 7 5 15 27 44 -17 26
24 Plymouth 27 4 9 14 25 55 -30 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 14 11 2 1 33 7 +26 35
2 Sheffield United 13 10 2 1 19 5 +14 32
3 Sunderland 13 9 4 0 22 8 +14 31
4 Watford 13 9 2 2 19 10 +9 29
5 Blackburn 14 8 2 4 20 11 +9 26
6 Burnley 13 6 7 0 15 4 +11 25
7 Oxford 14 7 4 3 20 17 +3 25
8 Norwich 13 6 5 2 31 18 +13 23
9 Bristol City 13 6 5 2 19 10 +9 23
10 Middlesbrough 14 6 5 3 20 15 +5 23
11 West Brom 13 5 7 1 14 7 +7 22
12 Preston 14 5 7 2 16 12 +4 22
13 Luton 14 6 4 4 18 16 +2 22
14 Coventry 13 6 3 4 23 16 +7 21
15 Swansea 13 5 5 3 20 14 +6 20
16 Derby 13 6 2 5 19 13 +6 20
17 Millwall 14 6 2 6 14 11 +3 20
18 Sheffield Weds 14 5 5 4 22 20 +2 20
19 QPR 14 5 5 4 20 19 +1 20
20 Portsmouth 12 5 4 3 19 12 +7 19
21 Plymouth 13 4 6 3 22 20 +2 18
22 Stoke 14 4 6 4 18 17 +1 18
23 Cardiff 14 5 2 7 16 18 -2 17
24 Hull 14 2 6 6 14 18 -4 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 14 8 4 2 16 5 +11 28
2 Sheffield United 14 7 4 3 19 12 +7 25
3 Leeds 13 5 6 2 18 12 +6 21
4 Sunderland 14 5 5 4 17 14 +3 20
5 West Brom 14 4 7 3 19 15 +4 19
6 Middlesbrough 13 5 3 5 24 19 +5 18
7 Sheffield Weds 13 5 2 6 16 23 -7 17
8 Blackburn 13 4 4 5 11 13 -2 16
9 QPR 13 3 6 4 10 15 -5 15
10 Hull 13 4 2 7 12 18 -6 14
11 Bristol City 14 3 5 6 14 21 -7 14
12 Swansea 14 4 2 8 10 19 -9 14
13 Norwich 14 3 4 7 12 21 -9 13
14 Watford 14 3 3 8 19 27 -8 12
15 Coventry 14 2 5 7 12 21 -9 11
16 Millwall 12 1 7 4 10 13 -3 10
17 Stoke 13 2 4 7 7 16 -9 10
18 Cardiff 13 1 7 5 13 23 -10 10
19 Preston 13 1 6 6 12 22 -10 9
20 Derby 14 1 4 9 12 24 -12 7
21 Oxford 13 1 4 8 10 24 -14 7
22 Portsmouth 14 1 4 9 13 33 -20 7
23 Luton 13 1 1 11 9 28 -19 4
24 Plymouth 14 0 3 11 3 35 -32 3

Oxford   Luton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 22 Portsmouth 26 8 18 1.2 1.7 6 8 12 32 45 26
2 8 Watford 27 10 17 1.4 1.4 12 5 10 38 37 41
3 10 Sheffield Weds 27 12 15 1.4 1.6 10 7 10 38 43 37
4 11 Norwich 27 12 15 1.6 1.4 9 9 9 43 39 36
5 14 Coventry 27 12 15 1.3 1.4 8 8 11 35 37 32
6 23 Luton 27 12 15 1.0 1.6 7 5 15 27 44 26
7 24 Plymouth 27 13 14 0.9 2.0 4 9 14 25 55 21
8 13 Swansea 27 14 13 1.1 1.2 9 7 11 30 33 34
9 4 Sunderland 27 15 12 1.4 0.8 14 9 4 39 22 51
10 7 Middlesbrough 27 15 12 1.6 1.3 11 8 8 44 34 41
11 19 Derby 27 15 12 1.1 1.4 7 6 14 31 37 27
12 2 Leeds 27 16 11 1.9 0.7 16 8 3 51 19 56
13 9 Bristol City 27 16 11 1.2 1.1 9 10 8 33 31 37
14 12 QPR 27 16 11 1.1 1.3 8 11 8 30 34 35
15 15 Oxford 27 16 11 1.1 1.5 8 8 11 30 41 32
16 16 Preston 27 16 11 1.0 1.3 6 13 8 28 34 31
17 6 West Brom 27 17 10 1.2 0.8 9 14 4 33 22 41
18 20 Cardiff 27 17 10 1.1 1.5 6 9 12 29 41 27
19 5 Blackburn 27 18 9 1.1 0.9 12 6 9 31 24 42
20 18 Stoke 27 18 9 0.9 1.2 6 10 11 25 33 28
21 21 Hull 27 18 9 1.0 1.3 6 8 13 26 36 26
22 1 Sheffield United 27 20 7 1.4 0.6 17 6 4 38 17 57
23 17 Millwall 26 20 6 0.9 0.9 7 9 10 24 24 30
24 3 Burnley 27 22 5 1.1 0.3 14 11 2 31 9 53
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Coventry 13 3 10 1.8 1.2 6 3 4 23 16 21
2 11 Norwich 13 4 9 2.4 1.4 6 5 2 31 18 23
3 2 Leeds 14 6 8 2.4 0.5 11 2 1 33 7 35
4 8 Watford 13 5 8 1.5 0.8 9 2 2 19 10 29
5 12 QPR 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 5 5 4 20 19 20
6 22 Portsmouth 12 4 8 1.6 1.0 5 4 3 19 12 19
7 23 Luton 14 6 8 1.3 1.1 6 4 4 18 16 22
8 24 Plymouth 13 5 8 1.7 1.5 4 6 3 22 20 18
9 4 Sunderland 13 7 6 1.7 0.6 9 4 0 22 8 31
10 13 Swansea 13 7 6 1.5 1.1 5 5 3 20 14 20
11 18 Stoke 14 8 6 1.3 1.2 4 6 4 18 17 18
12 19 Derby 13 7 6 1.5 1.0 6 2 5 19 13 20
13 5 Blackburn 14 9 5 1.4 0.8 8 2 4 20 11 26
14 7 Middlesbrough 14 9 5 1.4 1.1 6 5 3 20 15 23
15 9 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.5 0.8 6 5 2 19 10 23
16 10 Sheffield Weds 14 9 5 1.6 1.4 5 5 4 22 20 20
17 15 Oxford 14 9 5 1.4 1.2 7 4 3 20 17 25
18 16 Preston 14 10 4 1.1 0.9 5 7 2 16 12 22
19 20 Cardiff 14 10 4 1.1 1.3 5 2 7 16 18 17
20 21 Hull 14 10 4 1.0 1.3 2 6 6 14 18 12
21 3 Burnley 13 10 3 1.2 0.3 6 7 0 15 4 25
22 6 West Brom 13 10 3 1.1 0.5 5 7 1 14 7 22
23 17 Millwall 14 11 3 1.0 0.8 6 2 6 14 11 20
24 1 Sheffield United 13 11 2 1.5 0.4 10 2 1 19 5 32
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Sheffield Weds 13 3 10 1.2 1.8 5 2 6 16 23 17
2 22 Portsmouth 14 4 10 0.9 2.4 1 4 9 13 33 7
3 8 Watford 14 5 9 1.4 1.9 3 3 8 19 27 12
4 6 West Brom 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 4 7 3 19 15 19
5 7 Middlesbrough 13 6 7 1.8 1.5 5 3 5 24 19 18
6 13 Swansea 14 7 7 0.7 1.4 4 2 8 10 19 14
7 16 Preston 13 6 7 0.9 1.7 1 6 6 12 22 9
8 23 Luton 13 6 7 0.7 2.2 1 1 11 9 28 4
9 4 Sunderland 14 8 6 1.2 1.0 5 5 4 17 14 20
10 9 Bristol City 14 8 6 1.0 1.5 3 5 6 14 21 14
11 11 Norwich 14 8 6 0.9 1.5 3 4 7 12 21 13
12 15 Oxford 13 7 6 0.8 1.8 1 4 8 10 24 7
13 19 Derby 14 8 6 0.9 1.7 1 4 9 12 24 7
14 20 Cardiff 13 7 6 1.0 1.8 1 7 5 13 23 10
15 24 Plymouth 14 8 6 0.2 2.5 0 3 11 3 35 3
16 1 Sheffield United 14 9 5 1.4 0.9 7 4 3 19 12 25
17 14 Coventry 14 9 5 0.9 1.5 2 5 7 12 21 11
18 21 Hull 13 8 5 0.9 1.4 4 2 7 12 18 14
19 5 Blackburn 13 9 4 0.8 1.0 4 4 5 11 13 16
20 2 Leeds 13 10 3 1.4 0.9 5 6 2 18 12 21
21 12 QPR 13 10 3 0.8 1.2 3 6 4 10 15 15
22 17 Millwall 12 9 3 0.8 1.1 1 7 4 10 13 10
23 18 Stoke 13 10 3 0.5 1.2 2 4 7 7 16 10
24 3 Burnley 14 12 2 1.1 0.4 8 4 2 16 5 28

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40