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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Eltringham

Middlesbrough 1–0 Millwall

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.70 fair 2.10
Draw 3.80 fair 3.82
Away 4.75 fair 3.81
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.84
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.19

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Millwall
11 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 4
14 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (240 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.03
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 12.1% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.55points / match
1.70scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 34:25
Millwall before this match, all matches
1.32points / match
1.05scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 20:17
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 1.05
1.25 Goals conceded 0.89
2.95 Total goals 1.95
15.15 Shots 11.68
5.30 Shots on target 3.79
8.90 Shots faced 10.05
6.10 Corners 5.84
4.80 Corners against 5.47
9.30 Fouls 12.63
1.50 Yellow cards 2.26
0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.37
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

45% Wins 32%
20% Draws 37%
35% Losses 32%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
70% Over 1.5 goals 47%
45% Over 2.5 goals 21%
35% Over 3.5 goals 16%
20% Over 4.5 goals 11%
15% Over 5.5 goals 5%
50% Both teams scored 42%
25% Clean sheets 37%
25% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 26%
35% Draws 42%
30% Losses 32%
75% Over 0.5 goals 63%
45% Over 1.5 goals 16%
15% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Millwall all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
1.70points / match
1.50scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:11
Millwall before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.88scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:8
Middlesbrough at home away Millwall

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.88
1.10 Goals conceded 1.00
2.60 Total goals 1.88
17.80 Shots 10.63
5.20 Shots on target 3.63
7.50 Shots faced 11.00
7.10 Corners 6.00
3.90 Corners against 5.75
8.60 Fouls 12.75
1.40 Yellow cards 2.63
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 13%
20% Draws 63%
30% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
70% Over 1.5 goals 50%
40% Over 2.5 goals 13%
30% Over 3.5 goals 13%
10% Over 4.5 goals 13%
10% Over 5.5 goals 13%
40% Both teams scored 50%
30% Clean sheets 38%
30% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 25%
30% Draws 50%
30% Losses 25%
80% Over 0.5 goals 63%
50% Over 1.5 goals 25%
10% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Millwall away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.24 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–1 (1–0) 1.703.704.75 1.93 1.93
06.12.24 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
30.11.24 Middlesbrough – Hull 3–1 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.62 2.30
27.11.24 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.106.25 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Oxford – Middlesbrough 2–6 (1–3) 5.004.201.60 1.83 2.03
09.11.24 Middlesbrough – Luton 5–1 (2–0) 1.734.004.33 1.73 2.10
05.11.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
02.11.24 Middlesbrough – Coventry 0–3 (0–1) 1.704.104.50 1.67 2.20
27.10.24 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
23.10.24 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.40 1.95 1.90

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.12.24 Millwall – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.202.55 2.50 1.53
07.12.24 Millwall – Coventry 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.102.90 2.38 1.57
30.11.24 Oxford – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.38 1.57
23.11.24 Millwall – Sunderland 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.253.20 2.38 1.57
09.11.24 Stoke – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.80 2.20 1.67
06.11.24 Millwall – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 4.103.401.90 2.30 1.62
03.11.24 Millwall – Burnley 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.102.70 2.75 1.44
26.10.24 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.88 2.20 1.67
23.10.24 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.105.25 1.80 2.00
19.10.24 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.10 2.30 1.62

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24 Middlesbrough – Hull 3–1 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.62 2.30
27.11.24 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.106.25 1.73 2.10
09.11.24 Middlesbrough – Luton 5–1 (2–0) 1.734.004.33 1.73 2.10
02.11.24 Middlesbrough – Coventry 0–3 (0–1) 1.704.104.50 1.67 2.20
23.10.24 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.40 1.95 1.90
19.10.24 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 0–2 (0–2) 1.703.804.75 1.80 2.00
28.09.24 Middlesbrough – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.00 1.73 2.10
14.09.24 Middlesbrough – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 1.454.207.00 1.73 2.10
24.08.24 Middlesbrough – Portsmouth 2–2 (1–2) 1.454.337.00 1.73 2.10
10.08.24 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.33 1.73 2.08

Millwall away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24 Oxford – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.38 1.57
09.11.24 Stoke – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.80 2.20 1.67
26.10.24 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.88 2.20 1.67
05.10.24 West Brom – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.30 1.62
01.10.24 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.40 2.63 1.50
21.09.24 QPR – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.67
24.08.24 Hull – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.30 2.05 1.75
17.08.24 Bristol City – Millwall 4–3 (2–0) 2.003.204.10 2.35 1.57
04.05.24 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
20.04.24 Sunderland – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsMillwall wins
6matches
1.67goals / match
17%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.24E1 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.402.55 2.05 1.75
05.08.23E1 Middlesbrough – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 2.00 1.80
14.01.23E1 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.73
08.10.22E1 Millwall – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.20 1.66
12.03.22E1 Millwall – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.873.252.55 2.50 1.53
20.11.21E1 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.253.80 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 20 13 5 2 28 11 +17 44
2 Leeds 21 12 6 3 37 15 +22 42
3 Burnley 20 10 8 2 24 7 +17 38
4 Sunderland 20 10 7 3 29 15 +14 37
5 Blackburn 19 10 4 5 23 17 +6 34
6 West Brom 20 7 11 2 23 14 +9 32
7 Middlesbrough 20 9 4 7 34 25 +9 31
8 Watford 19 9 4 6 27 25 +2 31
9 Swansea 20 7 6 7 21 19 +2 27
10 Bristol City 21 6 9 6 26 26 0 27
11 Norwich 20 6 8 6 35 30 +5 26
12 Sheffield Weds 20 7 5 8 23 29 -6 26
13 Millwall 19 6 7 6 20 17 +3 25
14 Derby 21 6 6 9 26 26 0 24
15 Coventry 21 6 6 9 27 30 -3 24
16 Preston 21 4 11 6 21 27 -6 23
17 QPR 21 4 10 7 21 27 -6 22
18 Luton 20 6 4 10 23 35 -12 22
19 Stoke 20 5 6 9 21 26 -5 21
20 Oxford 19 4 6 9 20 30 -10 18
21 Portsmouth 19 3 8 8 21 34 -13 17
22 Cardiff 19 4 5 10 17 30 -13 17
23 Plymouth 19 4 5 10 19 40 -21 17
24 Hull 21 3 7 11 19 30 -11 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 11 9 1 1 25 6 +19 28
2 Sheffield United 9 8 1 0 14 2 +12 25
3 Watford 9 7 2 0 13 4 +9 23
4 Sunderland 10 6 4 0 17 6 +11 22
5 Burnley 10 5 5 0 13 3 +10 20
6 Blackburn 9 6 1 2 13 7 +6 19
7 Luton 11 5 3 3 16 14 +2 18
8 Derby 10 5 2 3 17 9 +8 17
9 Middlesbrough 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17
10 Millwall 11 5 2 4 13 9 +4 17
11 Norwich 9 4 4 1 25 13 +12 16
12 Oxford 10 4 4 2 13 12 +1 16
13 Plymouth 9 4 3 2 16 13 +3 15
14 West Brom 10 3 6 1 8 5 +3 15
15 Preston 11 3 6 2 11 10 +1 15
16 Bristol City 10 3 5 2 14 10 +4 14
17 Coventry 10 4 2 4 18 16 +2 14
18 Swansea 9 3 4 2 12 9 +3 13
19 Stoke 10 3 4 3 15 13 +2 13
20 Sheffield Weds 11 3 4 4 14 16 -2 13
21 Cardiff 10 4 0 6 11 14 -3 12
22 QPR 11 2 5 4 13 16 -3 11
23 Portsmouth 9 2 4 3 9 10 -1 10
24 Hull 11 1 5 5 9 13 -4 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 11 5 4 2 14 9 +5 19
2 Burnley 10 5 3 2 11 4 +7 18
3 West Brom 10 4 5 1 15 9 +6 17
4 Sunderland 10 4 3 3 12 9 +3 15
5 Blackburn 10 4 3 3 10 10 0 15
6 Middlesbrough 10 4 2 4 19 14 +5 14
7 Leeds 10 3 5 2 12 9 +3 14
8 Swansea 11 4 2 5 9 10 -1 14
9 Bristol City 11 3 4 4 12 16 -4 13
10 Sheffield Weds 9 4 1 4 9 13 -4 13
11 QPR 10 2 5 3 8 11 -3 11
12 Coventry 11 2 4 5 9 14 -5 10
13 Norwich 11 2 4 5 10 17 -7 10
14 Millwall 8 1 5 2 7 8 -1 8
15 Watford 10 2 2 6 14 21 -7 8
16 Hull 10 2 2 6 10 17 -7 8
17 Preston 10 1 5 4 10 17 -7 8
18 Stoke 10 2 2 6 6 13 -7 8
19 Derby 11 1 4 6 9 17 -8 7
20 Portsmouth 10 1 4 5 12 24 -12 7
21 Cardiff 9 0 5 4 6 16 -10 5
22 Luton 9 1 1 7 7 21 -14 4
23 Oxford 9 0 2 7 7 18 -11 2
24 Plymouth 10 0 2 8 3 27 -24 2

Middlesbrough   Millwall

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Coventry 21 9 12 1.3 1.4 6 6 9 27 30 24
2 18 Luton 20 8 12 1.1 1.8 6 4 10 23 35 22
3 21 Portsmouth 19 7 12 1.1 1.8 3 8 8 21 34 17
4 8 Watford 19 8 11 1.4 1.3 9 4 6 27 25 31
5 11 Norwich 20 9 11 1.8 1.5 6 8 6 35 30 26
6 23 Plymouth 19 8 11 1.0 2.1 4 5 10 19 40 17
7 7 Middlesbrough 20 11 9 1.7 1.2 9 4 7 34 25 31
8 10 Bristol City 21 12 9 1.2 1.2 6 9 6 26 26 27
9 12 Sheffield Weds 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 7 5 8 23 29 26
10 14 Derby 21 12 9 1.2 1.2 6 6 9 26 26 24
11 2 Leeds 21 13 8 1.8 0.7 12 6 3 37 15 42
12 4 Sunderland 20 12 8 1.4 0.8 10 7 3 29 15 37
13 16 Preston 21 13 8 1.0 1.3 4 11 6 21 27 23
14 19 Stoke 20 12 8 1.1 1.3 5 6 9 21 26 21
15 20 Oxford 19 11 8 1.1 1.6 4 6 9 20 30 18
16 5 Blackburn 19 12 7 1.2 0.9 10 4 5 23 17 34
17 6 West Brom 20 13 7 1.1 0.7 7 11 2 23 14 32
18 9 Swansea 20 13 7 1.1 0.9 7 6 7 21 19 27
19 17 QPR 21 14 7 1.0 1.3 4 10 7 21 27 22
20 24 Hull 21 14 7 0.9 1.4 3 7 11 19 30 16
21 22 Cardiff 19 13 6 0.9 1.6 4 5 10 17 30 17
22 1 Sheffield United 20 15 5 1.4 0.6 13 5 2 28 11 44
23 13 Millwall 19 15 4 1.1 0.9 6 7 6 20 17 25
24 3 Burnley 20 17 3 1.2 0.3 10 8 2 24 7 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Coventry 10 1 9 1.8 1.6 4 2 4 18 16 14
2 18 Luton 11 4 7 1.5 1.3 5 3 3 16 14 18
3 2 Leeds 11 5 6 2.3 0.5 9 1 1 25 6 28
4 11 Norwich 9 3 6 2.8 1.4 4 4 1 25 13 16
5 23 Plymouth 9 3 6 1.8 1.4 4 3 2 16 13 15
6 14 Derby 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 5 2 3 17 9 17
7 17 QPR 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 2 5 4 13 16 11
8 19 Stoke 10 5 5 1.5 1.3 3 4 3 15 13 13
9 21 Portsmouth 9 4 5 1.0 1.1 2 4 3 9 10 10
10 4 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.7 0.6 6 4 0 17 6 22
11 7 Middlesbrough 10 6 4 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17
12 8 Watford 9 5 4 1.4 0.4 7 2 0 13 4 23
13 10 Bristol City 10 6 4 1.4 1.0 3 5 2 14 10 14
14 5 Blackburn 9 6 3 1.4 0.8 6 1 2 13 7 19
15 9 Swansea 9 6 3 1.3 1.0 3 4 2 12 9 13
16 12 Sheffield Weds 11 8 3 1.3 1.5 3 4 4 14 16 13
17 13 Millwall 11 8 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 4 13 9 17
18 16 Preston 11 8 3 1.0 0.9 3 6 2 11 10 15
19 20 Oxford 10 7 3 1.3 1.2 4 4 2 13 12 16
20 22 Cardiff 10 7 3 1.1 1.4 4 0 6 11 14 12
21 1 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.6 0.2 8 1 0 14 2 25
22 3 Burnley 10 8 2 1.3 0.3 5 5 0 13 3 20
23 6 West Brom 10 8 2 0.8 0.5 3 6 1 8 5 15
24 24 Hull 11 9 2 0.8 1.2 1 5 5 9 13 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Watford 10 3 7 1.4 2.1 2 2 6 14 21 8
2 21 Portsmouth 10 3 7 1.2 2.4 1 4 5 12 24 7
3 12 Sheffield Weds 9 3 6 1.0 1.4 4 1 4 9 13 13
4 6 West Brom 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 4 5 1 15 9 17
5 7 Middlesbrough 10 5 5 1.9 1.4 4 2 4 19 14 14
6 10 Bristol City 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 4 4 12 16 13
7 11 Norwich 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 2 4 5 10 17 10
8 16 Preston 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 1 5 4 10 17 8
9 18 Luton 9 4 5 0.8 2.3 1 1 7 7 21 4
10 20 Oxford 9 4 5 0.8 2.0 0 2 7 7 18 2
11 23 Plymouth 10 5 5 0.3 2.7 0 2 8 3 27 2
12 24 Hull 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 2 6 10 17 8
13 4 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 4 3 3 12 9 15
14 5 Blackburn 10 6 4 1.0 1.0 4 3 3 10 10 15
15 9 Swansea 11 7 4 0.8 0.9 4 2 5 9 10 14
16 14 Derby 11 7 4 0.8 1.5 1 4 6 9 17 7
17 1 Sheffield United 11 8 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 2 14 9 19
18 15 Coventry 11 8 3 0.8 1.3 2 4 5 9 14 10
19 19 Stoke 10 7 3 0.6 1.3 2 2 6 6 13 8
20 22 Cardiff 9 6 3 0.7 1.8 0 5 4 6 16 5
21 2 Leeds 10 8 2 1.2 0.9 3 5 2 12 9 14
22 17 QPR 10 8 2 0.8 1.1 2 5 3 8 11 11
23 3 Burnley 10 9 1 1.1 0.4 5 3 2 11 4 18
24 13 Millwall 8 7 1 0.9 1.0 1 5 2 7 8 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51