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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: O Langford

QPR 1–4 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 3.50 fair 2.53
Draw 3.60 fair 3.67
Away ✓ 1.95 fair 3.00
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 1.80
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 2.25

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Middlesbrough
7 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 8
8 Corners 5
8 Fouls 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (156 league matches this season so far).
Result QPR to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.99
Expected goals 1.29 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 1–0 11.1% 0–1 10%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
0.77points / match
0.85scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 11:19
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.08scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 14:15
QPR all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

0.85 Goals scored 1.08
1.46 Goals conceded 1.15
2.31 Total goals 2.23
13.38 Shots 16.69
4.31 Shots on target 4.77
12.31 Shots faced 8.15
6.08 Corners 6.77
6.38 Corners against 4.15
9.62 Fouls 9.08
1.62 Yellow cards 1.54
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

8% Wins 38%
54% Draws 23%
38% Losses 38%
85% Over 0.5 goals 100%
85% Over 1.5 goals 62%
38% Over 2.5 goals 31%
23% Over 3.5 goals 15%
0% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
69% Both teams scored 31%
15% Clean sheets 38%
31% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 23%
69% Draws 38%
31% Losses 38%
62% Over 0.5 goals 69%
46% Over 1.5 goals 31%
8% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
QPR before this match, at home
0.57points / match
0.86scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 6:11
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.17points / match
1.17scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:7
QPR at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

0.86 Goals scored 1.17
1.57 Goals conceded 1.17
2.43 Total goals 2.33
16.71 Shots 13.50
5.86 Shots on target 4.50
10.14 Shots faced 8.83
7.00 Corners 5.00
4.86 Corners against 4.17
9.71 Fouls 9.00
1.43 Yellow cards 1.50
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

0% Wins 33%
57% Draws 17%
43% Losses 50%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 50%
43% Over 2.5 goals 33%
29% Over 3.5 goals 17%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
86% Both teams scored 33%
14% Clean sheets 33%
14% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 17%
71% Draws 50%
29% Losses 33%
86% Over 0.5 goals 50%
71% Over 1.5 goals 17%
14% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 QPR – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.05 2.20 1.67
26.10.24 Burnley – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.605.50 2.10 1.73
22.10.24 QPR – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 2.903.402.38 1.85 2.00
19.10.24 QPR – Portsmouth 1–2 (1–1) 1.853.604.20 1.90 1.95
05.10.24 Derby – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 2.10 1.73
01.10.24 QPR – Hull 1–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.80 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Blackburn – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.40 1.95 1.90
21.09.24 QPR – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.67
14.09.24 Sheffield Weds – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.20 2.00 1.80
30.08.24 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.503.70 1.75 2.05

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Middlesbrough – Coventry 0–3 (0–1) 1.704.104.50 1.67 2.20
27.10.24 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
23.10.24 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.40 1.95 1.90
19.10.24 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 0–2 (0–2) 1.703.804.75 1.80 2.00
05.10.24 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–0) 3.503.801.95 1.67 2.20
01.10.24 West Brom – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
28.09.24 Middlesbrough – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.00 1.73 2.10
21.09.24 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
14.09.24 Middlesbrough – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 1.454.207.00 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.751.85 1.90 1.95

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 QPR – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.05 2.20 1.67
22.10.24 QPR – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 2.903.402.38 1.85 2.00
19.10.24 QPR – Portsmouth 1–2 (1–1) 1.853.604.20 1.90 1.95
01.10.24 QPR – Hull 1–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.80 1.93 1.93
21.09.24 QPR – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.67
24.08.24 QPR – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.804.75 1.83 2.03
10.08.24 QPR – West Brom 1–3 (1–1) 2.453.302.80 2.25 1.62
26.04.24 QPR – Leeds 4–0 (2–0) 5.004.501.57 1.67 2.20
20.04.24 QPR – Preston 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.504.50 2.20 1.67
06.04.24 QPR – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–0) 1.953.304.20 2.20 1.67

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.10.24 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–0) 3.503.801.95 1.67 2.20
01.10.24 West Brom – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
21.09.24 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
31.08.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.751.85 1.90 1.95
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
27.04.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 1.93 1.93
13.04.24 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.20 1.62 2.30
10.04.24 Hull – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–1) 2.403.402.90 1.80 2.00
29.03.24 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.505.25 1.48 2.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
6matches
3.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24E1 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.98 1.88
02.09.23E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 0–2 (0–1) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
18.02.23E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (0–0) 1.554.205.75 1.88 1.98
06.08.22E1 QPR – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–1) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
09.02.22E1 QPR – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.623.202.87 2.20 1.66
18.08.21E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 2–3 (1–0) 2.403.253.00 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 13 9 2 2 23 9 +14 29
2 Sheffield United 13 8 3 2 16 6 +10 27
3 Leeds 13 7 5 1 22 8 +14 26
4 Burnley 13 6 5 2 17 6 +11 23
5 Watford 13 7 1 5 22 21 +1 22
6 West Brom 13 5 6 2 14 8 +6 21
7 Millwall 13 5 4 4 16 12 +4 19
8 Blackburn 13 5 4 4 16 14 +2 19
9 Bristol City 13 4 7 2 17 17 0 19
10 Norwich 13 4 6 3 23 18 +5 18
11 Middlesbrough 13 5 3 5 14 15 -1 18
12 Swansea 13 4 4 5 10 9 +1 16
13 Coventry 13 4 3 6 17 17 0 15
14 Derby 13 4 3 6 16 17 -1 15
15 Hull 13 3 6 4 15 17 -2 15
16 Stoke 13 4 3 6 15 18 -3 15
17 Cardiff 13 4 3 6 13 19 -6 15
18 Sheffield Weds 13 4 3 6 15 24 -9 15
19 Oxford 13 3 5 5 16 17 -1 14
20 Preston 13 3 5 5 14 20 -6 14
21 Luton 13 3 3 7 15 21 -6 12
22 Plymouth 13 3 3 7 13 25 -12 12
23 QPR 13 1 7 5 11 19 -8 10
24 Portsmouth 13 1 6 6 13 26 -13 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 7 5 1 1 15 5 +10 16
2 Sunderland 6 5 1 0 12 2 +10 16
3 Blackburn 7 5 1 1 12 5 +7 16
4 Watford 6 5 1 0 11 4 +7 16
5 Sheffield United 6 5 1 0 9 2 +7 16
6 Derby 6 4 1 1 10 4 +6 13
7 Millwall 7 4 1 2 11 6 +5 13
8 Burnley 6 3 3 0 9 2 +7 12
9 Oxford 7 3 3 1 9 5 +4 12
10 Cardiff 7 4 0 3 10 7 +3 12
11 Stoke 7 3 2 2 14 10 +4 11
12 Plymouth 6 3 2 1 12 9 +3 11
13 Preston 7 3 2 2 8 7 +1 11
14 Middlesbrough 7 3 2 2 7 8 -1 11
15 Norwich 6 2 4 0 15 8 +7 10
16 Bristol City 6 2 4 0 8 6 +2 10
17 Swansea 6 2 3 1 6 3 +3 9
18 Coventry 6 3 0 3 11 9 +2 9
19 West Brom 6 2 3 1 2 1 +1 9
20 Luton 7 2 2 3 11 12 -1 8
21 Sheffield Weds 7 2 2 3 10 13 -3 8
22 Hull 7 1 4 2 7 7 0 7
23 QPR 7 0 4 3 6 11 -5 4
24 Portsmouth 6 0 3 3 3 9 -6 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 7 4 1 2 11 7 +4 13
2 West Brom 7 3 3 1 12 7 +5 12
3 Burnley 7 3 2 2 8 4 +4 11
4 Sheffield United 7 3 2 2 7 4 +3 11
5 Leeds 6 2 4 0 7 3 +4 10
6 Bristol City 7 2 3 2 9 11 -2 9
7 Hull 6 2 2 2 8 10 -2 8
8 Norwich 7 2 2 3 8 10 -2 8
9 Middlesbrough 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
10 Swansea 7 2 1 4 4 6 -2 7
11 Sheffield Weds 6 2 1 3 5 11 -6 7
12 Millwall 6 1 3 2 5 6 -1 6
13 Coventry 7 1 3 3 6 8 -2 6
14 QPR 6 1 3 2 5 8 -3 6
15 Watford 7 2 0 5 11 17 -6 6
16 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 10 17 -7 6
17 Luton 6 1 1 4 4 9 -5 4
18 Stoke 6 1 1 4 1 8 -7 4
19 Blackburn 6 0 3 3 4 9 -5 3
20 Preston 6 0 3 3 6 13 -7 3
21 Cardiff 6 0 3 3 3 12 -9 3
22 Oxford 6 0 2 4 7 12 -5 2
23 Derby 7 0 2 5 6 13 -7 2
24 Plymouth 7 0 1 6 1 16 -15 1

QPR   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Watford 13 3 10 1.7 1.6 7 1 5 22 21 22
2 18 Sheffield Weds 13 5 8 1.2 1.8 4 3 6 15 24 15
3 21 Luton 13 5 8 1.2 1.6 3 3 7 15 21 12
4 24 Portsmouth 13 5 8 1.0 2.0 1 6 6 13 26 9
5 10 Norwich 13 6 7 1.8 1.4 4 6 3 23 18 18
6 13 Coventry 13 6 7 1.3 1.3 4 3 6 17 17 15
7 20 Preston 13 6 7 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 20 14
8 22 Plymouth 13 6 7 1.0 1.9 3 3 7 13 25 12
9 1 Sunderland 13 7 6 1.8 0.7 9 2 2 23 9 29
10 8 Blackburn 13 7 6 1.2 1.1 5 4 4 16 14 19
11 9 Bristol City 13 7 6 1.3 1.3 4 7 2 17 17 19
12 16 Stoke 13 7 6 1.2 1.4 4 3 6 15 18 15
13 19 Oxford 13 7 6 1.2 1.3 3 5 5 16 17 14
14 3 Leeds 13 8 5 1.7 0.6 7 5 1 22 8 26
15 14 Derby 13 8 5 1.2 1.3 4 3 6 16 17 15
16 23 QPR 13 8 5 0.8 1.5 1 7 5 11 19 10
17 6 West Brom 13 9 4 1.1 0.6 5 6 2 14 8 21
18 7 Millwall 13 9 4 1.2 0.9 5 4 4 16 12 19
19 11 Middlesbrough 13 9 4 1.1 1.2 5 3 5 14 15 18
20 15 Hull 13 9 4 1.2 1.3 3 6 4 15 17 15
21 17 Cardiff 13 9 4 1.0 1.5 4 3 6 13 19 15
22 4 Burnley 13 10 3 1.3 0.5 6 5 2 17 6 23
23 12 Swansea 13 10 3 0.8 0.7 4 4 5 10 9 16
24 2 Sheffield United 13 12 1 1.2 0.5 8 3 2 16 6 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 21 Luton 7 1 6 1.6 1.7 2 2 3 11 12 8
2 13 Coventry 6 1 5 1.8 1.5 3 0 3 11 9 9
3 16 Stoke 7 2 5 2.0 1.4 3 2 2 14 10 11
4 3 Leeds 7 3 4 2.1 0.7 5 1 1 15 5 16
5 5 Watford 6 2 4 1.8 0.7 5 1 0 11 4 16
6 10 Norwich 6 2 4 2.5 1.3 2 4 0 15 8 10
7 22 Plymouth 6 2 4 2.0 1.5 3 2 1 12 9 11
8 7 Millwall 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 4 1 2 11 6 13
9 8 Blackburn 7 4 3 1.7 0.7 5 1 1 12 5 16
10 18 Sheffield Weds 7 4 3 1.4 1.9 2 2 3 10 13 8
11 20 Preston 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 3 2 2 8 7 11
12 23 QPR 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 0 4 3 6 11 4
13 24 Portsmouth 6 3 3 0.5 1.5 0 3 3 3 9 3
14 1 Sunderland 6 4 2 2.0 0.3 5 1 0 12 2 16
15 4 Burnley 6 4 2 1.5 0.3 3 3 0 9 2 12
16 9 Bristol City 6 4 2 1.3 1.0 2 4 0 8 6 10
17 11 Middlesbrough 7 5 2 1.0 1.1 3 2 2 7 8 11
18 14 Derby 6 4 2 1.7 0.7 4 1 1 10 4 13
19 17 Cardiff 7 5 2 1.4 1.0 4 0 3 10 7 12
20 19 Oxford 7 5 2 1.3 0.7 3 3 1 9 5 12
21 2 Sheffield United 6 5 1 1.5 0.3 5 1 0 9 2 16
22 12 Swansea 6 5 1 1.0 0.5 2 3 1 6 3 9
23 15 Hull 7 6 1 1.0 1.0 1 4 2 7 7 7
24 6 West Brom 6 6 0 0.3 0.2 2 3 1 2 1 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Watford 7 1 6 1.6 2.4 2 0 5 11 17 6
2 18 Sheffield Weds 6 1 5 0.8 1.8 2 1 3 5 11 7
3 24 Portsmouth 7 2 5 1.4 2.4 1 3 3 10 17 6
4 1 Sunderland 7 3 4 1.6 1.0 4 1 2 11 7 13
5 6 West Brom 7 3 4 1.7 1.0 3 3 1 12 7 12
6 9 Bristol City 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 2 3 2 9 11 9
7 19 Oxford 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 0 2 4 7 12 2
8 20 Preston 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 0 3 3 6 13 3
9 8 Blackburn 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 0 3 3 4 9 3
10 10 Norwich 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 2 2 3 8 10 8
11 14 Derby 7 4 3 0.9 1.9 0 2 5 6 13 2
12 15 Hull 6 3 3 1.3 1.7 2 2 2 8 10 8
13 22 Plymouth 7 4 3 0.1 2.3 0 1 6 1 16 1
14 11 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
15 12 Swansea 7 5 2 0.6 0.9 2 1 4 4 6 7
16 13 Coventry 7 5 2 0.9 1.1 1 3 3 6 8 6
17 17 Cardiff 6 4 2 0.5 2.0 0 3 3 3 12 3
18 21 Luton 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 1 1 4 4 9 4
19 23 QPR 6 4 2 0.8 1.3 1 3 2 5 8 6
20 3 Leeds 6 5 1 1.2 0.5 2 4 0 7 3 10
21 4 Burnley 7 6 1 1.1 0.6 3 2 2 8 4 11
22 7 Millwall 6 5 1 0.8 1.0 1 3 2 5 6 6
23 16 Stoke 6 5 1 0.2 1.3 1 1 4 1 8 4
24 2 Sheffield United 7 7 0 1.0 0.6 3 2 2 7 4 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40