Millwall 1–3 Middlesbrough – England Championship, 13 Jan 2024

Match facts

Millwall Middlesbrough

15 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 6

5 Corners 4

9 Fouls 10

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (314 league matches this season so far).

Result Millwall to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.75

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.36

Home / Draw / Away

40% 25% 35%

MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough

Under / Over 2.5 goals

46% 54%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

43% 57%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

16% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.8% 1–0 8.7% 2–1 8.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.23points / match

1.08scored / match

1.19conceded / match

8 8 10

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 28:31

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches

1.38points / match

1.46scored / match

1.50conceded / match

11 3 12

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 38:39

Millwall all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.46

1.19 Goals conceded 1.50

2.27 Total goals 2.96

11.42 Shots 14.00

3.77 Shots on target 5.54

13.00 Shots faced 11.15

4.12 Corners 6.46

5.50 Corners against 4.96

13.08 Fouls 11.42

2.27 Yellow cards 1.69

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.54

0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

31% Wins 42%

31% Draws 12%

38% Losses 46%

92% Over 0.5 goals 100%

65% Over 1.5 goals 81%

42% Over 2.5 goals 58%

23% Over 3.5 goals 31%

4% Over 4.5 goals 19%

0% Over 5.5 goals 8%

38% Both teams scored 54%

38% Clean sheets 23%

31% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 19%

46% Draws 42%

23% Losses 38%

65% Over 0.5 goals 65%

23% Over 1.5 goals 35%

8% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches

3

L

1

3

L

1

D

1

L

2

3

L

1

D

2

W

1

W

1

W

Middlesbrough all matches

2

3

L

4

W

2

3

L

2

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

W

1

L

2

1

W

1

3

L

Millwall before this match, at home

1.15points / match

0.92scored / match

1.31conceded / match

4 3 6

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 12:17

Middlesbrough before this match, away

1.31points / match

1.85scored / match

1.92conceded / match

5 2 6

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 24:25

Millwall at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

0.92 Goals scored 1.85

1.31 Goals conceded 1.92

2.23 Total goals 3.77

13.85 Shots 14.38

4.38 Shots on target 5.23

11.08 Shots faced 11.62

5.00 Corners 5.69

4.62 Corners against 4.92

13.08 Fouls 11.38

1.92 Yellow cards 1.85

0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.54

0.46 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

31% Wins 38%

23% Draws 15%

46% Losses 46%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

69% Over 1.5 goals 92%

46% Over 2.5 goals 85%

8% Over 3.5 goals 46%

0% Over 4.5 goals 38%

0% Over 5.5 goals 15%

31% Both teams scored 77%

31% Clean sheets 8%

38% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 15%

31% Draws 31%

31% Losses 54%

77% Over 0.5 goals 69%

15% Over 1.5 goals 38%

8% Over 2.5 goals 31%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home

3

W

3

L

2

D

1

2

L

1

L

3

L

1

D

1

D

2

W

1

W

Middlesbrough away

1

D

3

2

W

4

W

2

1

W

3

D

2

3

L

2

3

L

2

1

W

1

L

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.01.24	Bristol City – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.20	1.65
29.12.23	Millwall – Norwich	1–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.50	2.80	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Millwall – QPR	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.25	3.75	2.35	1.57
23.12.23	Stoke – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.60	3.40	2.10	1.70
16.12.23	Millwall – Huddersfield	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.20	1.65
13.12.23	Leicester – Millwall	3–2 (0–1)	1.36	5.00	8.50	1.73	2.08
09.12.23	Cardiff – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.80	2.25	1.62
02.12.23	Millwall – Sunderland	1–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.38	1.98	1.88
29.11.23	Ipswich – Millwall	3–1 (3–0)	1.62	4.00	5.50	1.70	2.10
25.11.23	Millwall – Coventry	0–3 (0–1)	2.63	3.25	2.70	2.10	1.70

Middlesbrough all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.01.24	Middlesbrough – Coventry	1–3 (1–1)	1.95	3.75	3.60	1.75	2.05
29.12.23	Huddersfield – Middlesbrough	1–2 (0–0)	4.33	3.80	1.75	1.95	1.90
26.12.23	Rotherham – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	5.75	4.00	1.60	1.75	2.05
23.12.23	Middlesbrough – West Brom	1–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.25	3.30	2.05	1.75
16.12.23	Swansea – Middlesbrough	1–2 (0–1)	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.73	2.08
13.12.23	Middlesbrough – Hull	1–2 (1–0)	1.83	3.80	4.00	1.85	2.00
09.12.23	Middlesbrough – Ipswich	0–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.70	2.90	1.67	2.15
02.12.23	Leeds – Middlesbrough	3–2 (3–2)	1.73	4.00	4.50	1.62	2.25
28.11.23	Middlesbrough – Preston	4–0 (3–0)	1.67	3.60	5.50	2.00	1.85
25.11.23	Bristol City – Middlesbrough	3–2 (2–0)	3.60	3.30	2.10	2.00	1.85

Millwall at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.12.23	Millwall – Norwich	1–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.50	2.80	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Millwall – QPR	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.25	3.75	2.35	1.57
16.12.23	Millwall – Huddersfield	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.20	1.65
02.12.23	Millwall – Sunderland	1–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.38	1.98	1.88
25.11.23	Millwall – Coventry	0–3 (0–1)	2.63	3.25	2.70	2.10	1.70
04.11.23	Millwall – Southampton	0–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.85	2.00
24.10.23	Millwall – Blackburn	1–2 (1–1)	2.45	3.50	2.88	1.88	1.98
07.10.23	Millwall – Hull	2–2 (1–2)	2.30	3.40	3.10	2.03	1.83
30.09.23	Millwall – Swansea	0–3 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.75	2.08	1.73
20.09.23	Millwall – Rotherham	3–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.60	5.00	2.03	1.83

Middlesbrough away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.12.23	Huddersfield – Middlesbrough	1–2 (0–0)	4.33	3.80	1.75	1.95	1.90
26.12.23	Rotherham – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	5.75	4.00	1.60	1.75	2.05
16.12.23	Swansea – Middlesbrough	1–2 (0–1)	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.73	2.08
02.12.23	Leeds – Middlesbrough	3–2 (3–2)	1.73	4.00	4.50	1.62	2.25
25.11.23	Bristol City – Middlesbrough	3–2 (2–0)	3.60	3.30	2.10	2.00	1.85
04.11.23	Plymouth – Middlesbrough	3–3 (2–1)	4.00	3.60	1.91	1.60	2.30
24.10.23	Norwich – Middlesbrough	1–2 (0–0)	2.75	3.60	2.45	1.67	2.15
07.10.23	Sunderland – Middlesbrough	0–4 (0–0)	2.30	3.60	2.88	1.75	2.05
30.09.23	Watford – Middlesbrough	2–3 (1–2)	2.45	3.40	2.90	1.93	1.93
19.09.23	Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough	1–1 (1–0)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.90	1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 2 1

Millwall winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins

5matches

1.20goals / match

0%over 2.5

20%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.08.23E1	Middlesbrough – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.30	4.33	2.00	1.80
14.01.23E1	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.10	1.73
08.10.22E1	Millwall – Middlesbrough	2–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.20	2.70	2.20	1.66
12.03.22E1	Millwall – Middlesbrough	0–0 (0–0)	2.87	3.25	2.55	2.50	1.53
20.11.21E1	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–1 (1–1)	2.05	3.25	3.80	2.30	1.61

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	27	21	2	4	55	21	+34	65
2	Ipswich	26	16	7	3	48	33	+15	55
3	Southampton	26	15	7	4	46	31	+15	52
4	Leeds	26	14	6	6	45	25	+20	48
5	West Brom	26	12	6	8	36	24	+12	42
6	Coventry	27	10	10	7	41	29	+12	40
7	Sunderland	26	12	4	10	36	28	+8	40
8	Hull	27	11	6	10	41	38	+3	39
9	Norwich	27	11	5	11	44	43	+1	38
10	Cardiff	26	11	4	11	34	33	+1	37
11	Watford	26	9	9	8	42	36	+6	36
12	Bristol City	26	10	6	10	30	28	+2	36
13	Middlesbrough	26	11	3	12	38	39	-1	36
14	Preston	26	10	5	11	31	44	-13	35
15	Millwall	26	8	8	10	28	31	-3	32
16	Swansea	26	8	8	10	35	39	-4	32
17	Blackburn	26	10	2	14	39	48	-9	32
18	Plymouth	26	7	8	11	43	45	-2	29
19	Stoke	26	7	8	11	25	32	-7	29
20	Birmingham	26	7	7	12	30	41	-11	28
21	Huddersfield	26	5	10	11	26	44	-18	25
22	Sheffield Weds	26	6	4	16	21	40	-19	22
23	QPR	26	5	6	15	21	37	-16	21
24	Rotherham	26	3	9	14	24	50	-26	18

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	13	11	0	2	27	7	+20	33
2	Leeds	13	9	4	0	29	10	+19	31
3	Ipswich	13	9	3	1	33	20	+13	30
4	Southampton	13	9	2	2	30	15	+15	29
5	West Brom	13	8	3	2	20	10	+10	27
6	Coventry	14	6	7	1	20	11	+9	25
7	Plymouth	13	7	3	3	33	22	+11	24
8	Sunderland	13	8	0	5	22	16	+6	24
9	Norwich	13	7	2	4	19	14	+5	23
10	Hull	14	6	4	4	22	15	+7	22
11	Watford	14	5	5	4	25	18	+7	20
12	Birmingham	13	5	5	3	18	15	+3	20
13	Cardiff	13	6	2	5	18	15	+3	20
14	Bristol City	13	6	2	5	17	15	+2	20
15	Preston	13	6	2	5	18	24	-6	20
16	Middlesbrough	13	6	1	6	14	14	0	19
17	Swansea	13	4	5	4	16	15	+1	17
18	Stoke	13	4	4	5	10	13	-3	16
19	Blackburn	13	5	1	7	18	23	-5	16
20	Rotherham	13	3	6	4	16	17	-1	15
21	Sheffield Weds	13	4	3	6	14	18	-4	15
22	Millwall	13	4	3	6	12	17	-5	15
23	Huddersfield	13	3	5	5	14	20	-6	14
24	QPR	12	2	3	7	11	19	-8	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	14	10	2	2	28	14	+14	32
2	Ipswich	13	7	4	2	15	13	+2	25
3	Southampton	13	6	5	2	16	16	0	23
4	Millwall	13	4	5	4	16	14	+2	17
5	Leeds	13	5	2	6	16	15	+1	17
6	Middlesbrough	13	5	2	6	24	25	-1	17
7	Cardiff	13	5	2	6	16	18	-2	17
8	Hull	13	5	2	6	19	23	-4	17
9	Sunderland	13	4	4	5	14	12	+2	16
10	Bristol City	13	4	4	5	13	13	0	16
11	Watford	12	4	4	4	17	18	-1	16
12	Blackburn	13	5	1	7	21	25	-4	16
13	Coventry	13	4	3	6	21	18	+3	15
14	West Brom	13	4	3	6	16	14	+2	15
15	Norwich	14	4	3	7	25	29	-4	15
16	Swansea	13	4	3	6	19	24	-5	15
17	Preston	13	4	3	6	13	20	-7	15
18	Stoke	13	3	4	6	15	19	-4	13
19	QPR	14	3	3	8	10	18	-8	12
20	Huddersfield	13	2	5	6	12	24	-12	11
21	Birmingham	13	2	2	9	12	26	-14	8
22	Sheffield Weds	13	2	1	10	7	22	-15	7
23	Plymouth	13	0	5	8	10	23	-13	5
24	Rotherham	13	0	3	10	8	33	-25	3

Millwall Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Blackburn	26	5	21	1.5	1.8	10	2	14	39	48	32
2	18	Plymouth	26	7	19	1.7	1.7	7	8	11	43	45	29
3	8	Hull	27	10	17	1.5	1.4	11	6	10	41	38	39
4	9	Norwich	27	10	17	1.6	1.6	11	5	11	44	43	38
5	14	Preston	26	10	16	1.2	1.7	10	5	11	31	44	35
6	16	Swansea	26	10	16	1.3	1.5	8	8	10	35	39	32
7	1	Leicester	27	12	15	2.0	0.8	21	2	4	55	21	65
8	2	Ipswich	26	11	15	1.8	1.3	16	7	3	48	33	55
9	3	Southampton	26	11	15	1.8	1.2	15	7	4	46	31	52
10	13	Middlesbrough	26	11	15	1.5	1.5	11	3	12	38	39	36
11	4	Leeds	26	12	14	1.7	1.0	14	6	6	45	25	48
12	7	Sunderland	26	12	14	1.4	1.1	12	4	10	36	28	40
13	11	Watford	26	12	14	1.6	1.4	9	9	8	42	36	36
14	24	Rotherham	26	12	14	0.9	1.9	3	9	14	24	50	18
15	10	Cardiff	26	13	13	1.3	1.3	11	4	11	34	33	37
16	20	Birmingham	26	13	13	1.2	1.6	7	7	12	30	41	28
17	21	Huddersfield	26	13	13	1.0	1.7	5	10	11	26	44	25
18	22	Sheffield Weds	26	13	13	0.8	1.5	6	4	16	21	40	22
19	6	Coventry	27	15	12	1.5	1.1	10	10	7	41	29	40
20	5	West Brom	26	15	11	1.4	0.9	12	6	8	36	24	42
21	15	Millwall	26	15	11	1.1	1.2	8	8	10	28	31	32
22	23	QPR	26	15	11	0.8	1.4	5	6	15	21	37	21
23	12	Bristol City	26	16	10	1.2	1.1	10	6	10	30	28	36
24	19	Stoke	26	17	9	1.0	1.2	7	8	11	25	32	29

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Plymouth	13	2	11	2.5	1.7	7	3	3	33	22	24
2	2	Ipswich	13	3	10	2.5	1.5	9	3	1	33	20	30
3	14	Preston	13	3	10	1.4	1.8	6	2	5	18	24	20
4	17	Blackburn	13	3	10	1.4	1.8	5	1	7	18	23	16
5	3	Southampton	13	4	9	2.3	1.2	9	2	2	30	15	29
6	4	Leeds	13	4	9	2.2	0.8	9	4	0	29	10	31
7	7	Sunderland	13	4	9	1.7	1.2	8	0	5	22	16	24
8	11	Watford	14	6	8	1.8	1.3	5	5	4	25	18	20
9	1	Leicester	13	6	7	2.1	0.5	11	0	2	27	7	33
10	8	Hull	14	7	7	1.6	1.1	6	4	4	22	15	22
11	16	Swansea	13	6	7	1.2	1.2	4	5	4	16	15	17
12	20	Birmingham	13	6	7	1.4	1.2	5	5	3	18	15	20
13	21	Huddersfield	13	6	7	1.1	1.5	3	5	5	14	20	14
14	22	Sheffield Weds	13	6	7	1.1	1.4	4	3	6	14	18	15
15	9	Norwich	13	7	6	1.5	1.1	7	2	4	19	14	23
16	15	Millwall	13	7	6	0.9	1.3	4	3	6	12	17	15
17	23	QPR	12	6	6	0.9	1.6	2	3	7	11	19	9
18	24	Rotherham	13	7	6	1.2	1.3	3	6	4	16	17	15
19	5	West Brom	13	8	5	1.5	0.8	8	3	2	20	10	27
20	10	Cardiff	13	8	5	1.4	1.2	6	2	5	18	15	20
21	12	Bristol City	13	8	5	1.3	1.2	6	2	5	17	15	20
22	6	Coventry	14	10	4	1.4	0.8	6	7	1	20	11	25
23	13	Middlesbrough	13	9	4	1.1	1.1	6	1	6	14	14	19
24	19	Stoke	13	9	4	0.8	1.0	4	4	5	10	13	16

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Norwich	14	3	11	1.8	2.1	4	3	7	25	29	15
2	13	Middlesbrough	13	2	11	1.8	1.9	5	2	6	24	25	17
3	17	Blackburn	13	2	11	1.6	1.9	5	1	7	21	25	16
4	8	Hull	13	3	10	1.5	1.8	5	2	6	19	23	17
5	16	Swansea	13	4	9	1.5	1.8	4	3	6	19	24	15
6	1	Leicester	14	6	8	2.0	1.0	10	2	2	28	14	32
7	6	Coventry	13	5	8	1.6	1.4	4	3	6	21	18	15
8	10	Cardiff	13	5	8	1.2	1.4	5	2	6	16	18	17
9	18	Plymouth	13	5	8	0.8	1.8	0	5	8	10	23	5
10	24	Rotherham	13	5	8	0.6	2.5	0	3	10	8	33	3
11	3	Southampton	13	7	6	1.2	1.2	6	5	2	16	16	23
12	5	West Brom	13	7	6	1.2	1.1	4	3	6	16	14	15
13	11	Watford	12	6	6	1.4	1.5	4	4	4	17	18	16
14	14	Preston	13	7	6	1.0	1.5	4	3	6	13	20	15
15	20	Birmingham	13	7	6	0.9	2.0	2	2	9	12	26	8
16	21	Huddersfield	13	7	6	0.9	1.8	2	5	6	12	24	11
17	22	Sheffield Weds	13	7	6	0.5	1.7	2	1	10	7	22	7
18	2	Ipswich	13	8	5	1.2	1.0	7	4	2	15	13	25
19	4	Leeds	13	8	5	1.2	1.2	5	2	6	16	15	17
20	7	Sunderland	13	8	5	1.1	0.9	4	4	5	14	12	16
21	12	Bristol City	13	8	5	1.0	1.0	4	4	5	13	13	16
22	15	Millwall	13	8	5	1.2	1.1	4	5	4	16	14	17
23	19	Stoke	13	8	5	1.2	1.5	3	4	6	15	19	13
24	23	QPR	14	9	5	0.7	1.3	3	3	8	10	18	12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.