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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Ward

Cardiff 1–0 Millwall

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 3.00 fair 2.85
Draw 3.20 fair 3.93
Away 2.40 fair 2.53
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 2.09
Over 2.5 2.63 fair 1.92

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Millwall
10 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 6
14 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (84 league matches this season so far).
Result Millwall to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.33 – 1.43
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawMillwall
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 0–1 9.1% 1–2 8.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
0.14points / match
0.29scored / match
2.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 2:17
Millwall before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.71scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:10
Cardiff all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

0.29 Goals scored 1.71
2.43 Goals conceded 1.43
2.71 Total goals 3.14
10.00 Shots 14.71
3.43 Shots on target 4.43
12.00 Shots faced 9.57
4.14 Corners 5.86
4.57 Corners against 5.43
10.71 Fouls 12.86
2.00 Yellow cards 1.86
0.14 1st-half goals scored 0.43
1.14 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

0% Wins 29%
14% Draws 29%
86% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
86% Over 1.5 goals 71%
29% Over 2.5 goals 57%
29% Over 3.5 goals 43%
29% Over 4.5 goals 29%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
29% Both teams scored 57%
0% Clean sheets 29%
71% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 14%
14% Draws 43%
86% Losses 43%
86% Over 0.5 goals 71%
29% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Millwall all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 0:6
Millwall before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.33scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:5
Cardiff at home away Millwall

Per match

0.00 Goals scored 1.33
2.00 Goals conceded 1.67
2.00 Total goals 3.00
9.00 Shots 14.67
3.00 Shots on target 4.67
12.00 Shots faced 10.67
2.67 Corners 7.00
4.67 Corners against 5.00
11.00 Fouls 13.00
1.33 Yellow cards 1.67
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
0% Draws 67%
100% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 33%
0% Both teams scored 67%
0% Clean sheets 33%
100% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
33% Draws 67%
67% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
0% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Millwall away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24 Hull – Cardiff 4–1 (2–1) 1.854.103.50 1.93 1.93
21.09.24 Cardiff – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 5.254.001.62 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73
31.08.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.751.85 1.90 1.95
25.08.24 Swansea – Cardiff 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.503.90 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Burnley – Cardiff 5–0 (2–0) 1.454.207.00 1.73 2.08
10.08.24 Cardiff – Sunderland 0–2 (0–1) 2.803.302.50 2.20 1.65
04.05.24 Rotherham – Cardiff 5–2 (2–1) 3.403.402.20 2.10 1.73
27.04.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 1.93 1.93
20.04.24 Cardiff – Southampton 2–1 (0–1) 8.004.501.40 1.62 2.30

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24 Millwall – Preston 3–1 (2–0) 1.903.504.00 2.38 1.57
21.09.24 QPR – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.67
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80
31.08.24 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (0–0) 2.383.302.90 2.08 1.73
24.08.24 Hull – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.30 2.05 1.75
17.08.24 Bristol City – Millwall 4–3 (2–0) 2.003.204.10 2.35 1.57
10.08.24 Millwall – Watford 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.253.25 2.25 1.62
04.05.24 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
27.04.24 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.40 2.03 1.83
20.04.24 Sunderland – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.20 1.67

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24 Cardiff – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 5.254.001.62 1.93 1.93
31.08.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.751.85 1.90 1.95
10.08.24 Cardiff – Sunderland 0–2 (0–1) 2.803.302.50 2.20 1.65
27.04.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 1.93 1.93
20.04.24 Cardiff – Southampton 2–1 (0–1) 8.004.501.40 1.62 2.30
06.04.24 Cardiff – Hull 1–3 (0–2) 3.103.302.38 2.10 1.73
29.03.24 Cardiff – Sunderland 0–2 (0–2) 2.553.102.90 2.25 1.62
09.03.24 Cardiff – Ipswich 2–1 (0–0) 4.753.601.75 1.93 1.93
06.03.24 Cardiff – Huddersfield 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.253.00 2.25 1.62
24.02.24 Cardiff – Stoke 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.252.63 2.30 1.60

Millwall away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24 QPR – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.67
24.08.24 Hull – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.30 2.05 1.75
17.08.24 Bristol City – Millwall 4–3 (2–0) 2.003.204.10 2.35 1.57
04.05.24 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
20.04.24 Sunderland – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.20 1.67
06.04.24 Huddersfield – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.003.20 2.38 1.57
01.04.24 Rotherham – Millwall 2–1 (0–0) 4.333.601.85 2.15 1.67
17.03.24 Leeds – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.70 2.10
05.03.24 Blackburn – Millwall 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.303.40 2.15 1.67
24.02.24 Southampton – Millwall 1–2 (1–2) 1.365.008.00 1.62 2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cardiff winsDrawsMillwall wins
6matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24E1 Millwall – Cardiff 3–1 (2–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
09.12.23E1 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.80 2.25 1.62
21.01.23E1 Cardiff – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.102.45 2.50 1.53
03.09.22E1 Millwall – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.50 1.53
12.02.22E1 Millwall – Cardiff 2–1 (0–0) 2.373.303.10 2.30 1.61
21.08.21E1 Cardiff – Millwall 3–1 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.50 1.53

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 7 5 1 1 12 5 +7 16
2 Blackburn 7 4 3 0 14 6 +8 15
3 Sunderland 7 5 0 2 14 6 +8 15
4 Sheffield United 7 4 3 0 9 3 +6 15
5 Burnley 7 4 2 1 13 4 +9 14
6 Leeds 7 4 2 1 12 4 +8 14
7 Watford 7 4 1 2 12 10 +2 13
8 Middlesbrough 7 3 2 2 8 5 +3 11
9 Swansea 7 3 2 2 8 5 +3 11
10 Norwich 7 3 2 2 11 9 +2 11
11 Oxford 7 3 1 3 10 8 +2 10
12 Hull 7 2 3 2 9 8 +1 9
13 Derby 7 3 0 4 10 10 0 9
14 Bristol City 7 2 3 2 9 13 -4 9
15 Millwall 7 2 2 3 12 10 +2 8
16 Plymouth 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
17 QPR 7 1 4 2 8 11 -3 7
18 Sheffield Weds 7 2 1 4 9 14 -5 7
19 Luton 7 2 1 4 6 11 -5 7
20 Stoke 7 2 0 5 4 11 -7 6
21 Coventry 7 1 2 4 6 11 -5 5
22 Preston 7 1 2 4 4 12 -8 5
23 Portsmouth 7 0 4 3 7 13 -6 4
24 Cardiff 7 0 1 6 2 17 -15 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 4 4 0 0 11 3 +8 12
2 Watford 4 3 1 0 8 3 +5 10
3 Oxford 4 3 1 0 6 1 +5 10
4 Sunderland 3 3 0 0 6 0 +6 9
5 Derby 4 3 0 1 7 3 +4 9
6 Swansea 4 2 2 0 6 2 +4 8
7 Middlesbrough 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8
8 Burnley 3 2 1 0 8 2 +6 7
9 Leeds 4 2 1 1 8 4 +4 7
10 Sheffield Weds 4 2 1 1 8 5 +3 7
11 Bristol City 3 2 1 0 7 5 +2 7
12 Plymouth 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
13 Sheffield United 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
14 West Brom 3 2 1 0 2 0 +2 7
15 Millwall 4 2 0 2 8 5 +3 6
16 Norwich 3 1 2 0 7 4 +3 5
17 Hull 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
18 Preston 3 1 1 1 1 2 -1 4
19 Coventry 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
20 Stoke 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
21 Luton 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
22 QPR 3 0 2 1 3 5 -2 2
23 Portsmouth 4 0 2 2 1 6 -5 2
24 Cardiff 3 0 0 3 0 6 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 4 3 0 1 10 5 +5 9
2 Sheffield United 4 2 2 0 5 1 +4 8
3 Leeds 3 2 1 0 4 0 +4 7
4 Burnley 4 2 1 1 5 2 +3 7
5 Sunderland 4 2 0 2 8 6 +2 6
6 Norwich 4 2 0 2 4 5 -1 6
7 QPR 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5
8 Hull 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
9 Luton 4 1 1 2 2 4 -2 4
10 Blackburn 3 0 3 0 3 3 0 3
11 Middlesbrough 3 1 0 2 2 2 0 3
12 Swansea 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3
13 Watford 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
14 Stoke 4 1 0 3 1 6 -5 3
15 Portsmouth 3 0 2 1 6 7 -1 2
16 Millwall 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
17 Coventry 4 0 2 2 2 6 -4 2
18 Bristol City 4 0 2 2 2 8 -6 2
19 Plymouth 3 0 1 2 1 6 -5 1
20 Preston 4 0 1 3 3 10 -7 1
21 Cardiff 4 0 1 3 2 11 -9 1
22 Oxford 3 0 0 3 4 7 -3 0
23 Derby 3 0 0 3 3 7 -4 0
24 Sheffield Weds 3 0 0 3 1 9 -8 0

Cardiff   Millwall

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Watford 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 4 1 2 12 10 13
2 18 Sheffield Weds 7 2 5 1.3 2.0 2 1 4 9 14 7
3 23 Portsmouth 7 2 5 1.0 1.9 0 4 3 7 13 4
4 1 West Brom 7 3 4 1.7 0.7 5 1 1 12 5 16
5 2 Blackburn 7 3 4 2.0 0.9 4 3 0 14 6 15
6 3 Sunderland 7 3 4 2.0 0.9 5 0 2 14 6 15
7 11 Oxford 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 3 1 3 10 8 10
8 13 Derby 7 3 4 1.4 1.4 3 0 4 10 10 9
9 14 Bristol City 7 3 4 1.3 1.9 2 3 2 9 13 9
10 15 Millwall 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 2 2 3 12 10 8
11 19 Luton 7 3 4 0.9 1.6 2 1 4 6 11 7
12 5 Burnley 7 4 3 1.9 0.6 4 2 1 13 4 14
13 10 Norwich 7 4 3 1.6 1.3 3 2 2 11 9 11
14 16 Plymouth 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
15 17 QPR 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 1 4 2 8 11 7
16 20 Stoke 7 4 3 0.6 1.6 2 0 5 4 11 6
17 21 Coventry 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 1 2 4 6 11 5
18 22 Preston 7 4 3 0.6 1.7 1 2 4 4 12 5
19 6 Leeds 7 5 2 1.7 0.6 4 2 1 12 4 14
20 9 Swansea 7 5 2 1.1 0.7 3 2 2 8 5 11
21 12 Hull 7 5 2 1.3 1.1 2 3 2 9 8 9
22 24 Cardiff 7 5 2 0.3 2.4 0 1 6 2 17 1
23 4 Sheffield United 7 6 1 1.3 0.4 4 3 0 9 3 15
24 8 Middlesbrough 7 6 1 1.1 0.7 3 2 2 8 5 11
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Blackburn 4 1 3 2.8 0.8 4 0 0 11 3 12
2 7 Watford 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 3 1 0 8 3 10
3 15 Millwall 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 2 0 2 8 5 6
4 19 Luton 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
5 5 Burnley 3 1 2 2.7 0.7 2 1 0 8 2 7
6 6 Leeds 4 2 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 1 8 4 7
7 10 Norwich 3 1 2 2.3 1.3 1 2 0 7 4 5
8 13 Derby 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 3 0 1 7 3 9
9 14 Bristol City 3 1 2 2.3 1.7 2 1 0 7 5 7
10 16 Plymouth 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
11 18 Sheffield Weds 4 2 2 2.0 1.2 2 1 1 8 5 7
12 20 Stoke 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
13 21 Coventry 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
14 23 Portsmouth 4 2 2 0.2 1.5 0 2 2 1 6 2
15 3 Sunderland 3 2 1 2.0 0.0 3 0 0 6 0 9
16 4 Sheffield United 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
17 8 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 2 2 0 6 3 8
18 9 Swansea 4 3 1 1.5 0.5 2 2 0 6 2 8
19 11 Oxford 4 3 1 1.5 0.2 3 1 0 6 1 10
20 12 Hull 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
21 17 QPR 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 0 2 1 3 5 2
22 1 West Brom 3 3 0 0.7 0.0 2 1 0 2 0 7
23 22 Preston 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 1 1 1 1 2 4
24 24 Cardiff 3 3 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 3 0 6 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 West Brom 4 0 4 2.5 1.2 3 0 1 10 5 9
2 3 Sunderland 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 0 2 8 6 6
3 11 Oxford 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 0 0 3 4 7 0
4 18 Sheffield Weds 3 0 3 0.3 3.0 0 0 3 1 9 0
5 22 Preston 4 1 3 0.8 2.5 0 1 3 3 10 1
6 23 Portsmouth 3 0 3 2.0 2.3 0 2 1 6 7 2
7 7 Watford 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
8 13 Derby 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 0 0 3 3 7 0
9 14 Bristol City 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 0 2 2 2 8 2
10 17 QPR 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 2 1 5 6 5
11 24 Cardiff 4 2 2 0.5 2.8 0 1 3 2 11 1
12 2 Blackburn 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 0 3 0 3 3 3
13 5 Burnley 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 1 1 5 2 7
14 9 Swansea 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 1 0 2 2 3 3
15 10 Norwich 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 2 0 2 4 5 6
16 12 Hull 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
17 15 Millwall 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
18 16 Plymouth 3 2 1 0.3 2.0 0 1 2 1 6 1
19 19 Luton 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 1 1 2 2 4 4
20 20 Stoke 4 3 1 0.2 1.5 1 0 3 1 6 3
21 21 Coventry 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 0 2 2 2 6 2
22 4 Sheffield United 4 4 0 1.2 0.2 2 2 0 5 1 8
23 6 Leeds 3 3 0 1.3 0.0 2 1 0 4 0 7
24 8 Middlesbrough 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 0 2 2 2 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38