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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Bell

Stoke 1–1 Millwall

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.50 fair 2.31
Draw ✓ 3.25 fair 3.74
Away 2.80 fair 3.34
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.83
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.20

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Millwall
8 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
9 Corners 2
13 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (169 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.99
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.11
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawMillwall
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 1–0 11.5% 0–1 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.21scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 17:18
Millwall before this match, all matches
1.57points / match
1.21scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 17:12
Stoke all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 1.21
1.29 Goals conceded 0.86
2.50 Total goals 2.07
11.36 Shots 12.36
3.93 Shots on target 4.29
16.36 Shots faced 10.21
5.07 Corners 5.29
6.29 Corners against 5.71
11.29 Fouls 13.07
2.50 Yellow cards 2.43
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

36% Wins 43%
21% Draws 29%
43% Losses 29%
93% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 43%
43% Over 2.5 goals 29%
21% Over 3.5 goals 21%
7% Over 4.5 goals 14%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
43% Both teams scored 36%
29% Clean sheets 50%
36% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 21%
50% Draws 50%
21% Losses 29%
57% Over 0.5 goals 57%
29% Over 1.5 goals 21%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Millwall all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
1.57points / match
2.00scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 14:10
Millwall before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.83scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:6
Stoke at home away Millwall

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.83
1.43 Goals conceded 1.00
3.43 Total goals 1.83
12.71 Shots 11.17
4.14 Shots on target 4.17
12.43 Shots faced 12.00
5.57 Corners 5.83
6.57 Corners against 5.83
9.57 Fouls 13.33
2.00 Yellow cards 2.50
1.29 1st-half goals scored 0.17
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

43% Wins 17%
29% Draws 50%
29% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
86% Over 1.5 goals 33%
71% Over 2.5 goals 17%
43% Over 3.5 goals 17%
14% Over 4.5 goals 17%
14% Over 5.5 goals 17%
86% Both teams scored 33%
14% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 0%
29% Draws 67%
14% Losses 33%
86% Over 0.5 goals 50%
57% Over 1.5 goals 33%
29% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Millwall away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.11.24 Blackburn – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.88 1.98
02.11.24 Stoke – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.03 1.83
26.10.24 Sheffield United – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Stoke – Bristol City 2–2 (2–0) 2.383.402.90 1.98 1.88
19.10.24 Stoke – Norwich 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.402.63 1.80 2.00
05.10.24 Swansea – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 1.98 1.88
02.10.24 Stoke – Portsmouth 6–1 (3–1) 1.803.604.33 1.85 2.00
28.09.24 Middlesbrough – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.00 1.73 2.10
20.09.24 Stoke – Hull 1–3 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Oxford – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.98 1.88

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.11.24 Millwall – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 4.103.401.90 2.30 1.62
03.11.24 Millwall – Burnley 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.102.70 2.75 1.44
26.10.24 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.88 2.20 1.67
23.10.24 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.105.25 1.80 2.00
19.10.24 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.10 2.30 1.62
05.10.24 West Brom – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.30 1.62
01.10.24 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.40 2.63 1.50
28.09.24 Millwall – Preston 3–1 (2–0) 1.903.504.00 2.38 1.57
21.09.24 QPR – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.67
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Stoke – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.03 1.83
22.10.24 Stoke – Bristol City 2–2 (2–0) 2.383.402.90 1.98 1.88
19.10.24 Stoke – Norwich 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.402.63 1.80 2.00
02.10.24 Stoke – Portsmouth 6–1 (3–1) 1.803.604.33 1.85 2.00
20.09.24 Stoke – Hull 1–3 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 1.93 1.93
24.08.24 Stoke – West Brom 1–2 (1–2) 2.553.202.80 2.30 1.62
10.08.24 Stoke – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.602.70 1.83 2.03
04.05.24 Stoke – Bristol City 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.403.75 1.90 1.95
20.04.24 Stoke – Plymouth 3–0 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 1.93 1.93
06.04.24 Stoke – West Brom 2–2 (0–1) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.67

Millwall away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.88 2.20 1.67
05.10.24 West Brom – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.30 1.62
01.10.24 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.40 2.63 1.50
21.09.24 QPR – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.67
24.08.24 Hull – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.30 2.05 1.75
17.08.24 Bristol City – Millwall 4–3 (2–0) 2.003.204.10 2.35 1.57
04.05.24 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
20.04.24 Sunderland – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.20 1.67
06.04.24 Huddersfield – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.003.20 2.38 1.57
01.04.24 Rotherham – Millwall 2–1 (0–0) 4.333.601.85 2.15 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsMillwall wins
6matches
1.50goals / match
17%over 2.5
17%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23E1 Stoke – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.603.40 2.10 1.70
26.08.23E1 Millwall – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
25.02.23E1 Stoke – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.203.00 2.38 1.57
30.07.22E1 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.30 1.61
19.03.22E1 Stoke – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 2.37 1.57
23.10.21E1 Millwall – Stoke 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.103.00 2.37 1.57

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 14 9 3 2 23 9 +14 30
2 Sheffield United 14 9 3 2 18 7 +11 30
3 Leeds 14 7 5 2 22 9 +13 26
4 Watford 15 8 1 6 23 22 +1 25
5 Burnley 14 6 6 2 17 6 +11 24
6 West Brom 14 5 7 2 14 8 +6 22
7 Millwall 14 6 4 4 17 12 +5 22
8 Middlesbrough 14 6 3 5 18 16 +2 21
9 Swansea 14 5 4 5 11 9 +2 19
10 Blackburn 14 5 4 5 16 16 0 19
11 Bristol City 14 4 7 3 18 19 -1 19
12 Norwich 14 4 6 4 23 20 +3 18
13 Derby 14 5 3 6 18 18 0 18
14 Stoke 14 5 3 6 17 18 -1 18
15 Sheffield Weds 14 5 3 6 17 24 -7 18
16 Oxford 15 4 5 6 17 18 -1 17
17 Coventry 14 4 3 7 18 19 -1 15
18 Hull 14 3 6 5 15 18 -3 15
19 Luton 14 4 3 7 16 21 -5 15
20 Preston 14 3 6 5 14 20 -6 15
21 Cardiff 14 4 3 7 13 20 -7 15
22 Plymouth 14 4 3 7 14 25 -11 15
23 QPR 14 1 7 6 12 23 -11 10
24 Portsmouth 14 1 6 7 13 27 -14 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Watford 7 6 1 0 12 4 +8 19
2 Leeds 7 5 1 1 15 5 +10 16
3 Sunderland 6 5 1 0 12 2 +10 16
4 Sheffield United 6 5 1 0 9 2 +7 16
5 Millwall 8 5 1 2 12 6 +6 16
6 Blackburn 8 5 1 2 12 7 +5 16
7 Oxford 8 4 3 1 10 5 +5 15
8 Plymouth 7 4 2 1 13 9 +4 14
9 Derby 6 4 1 1 10 4 +6 13
10 Burnley 6 3 3 0 9 2 +7 12
11 Swansea 7 3 3 1 7 3 +4 12
12 Cardiff 7 4 0 3 10 7 +3 12
13 Preston 8 3 3 2 8 7 +1 12
14 Stoke 7 3 2 2 14 10 +4 11
15 Luton 8 3 2 3 12 12 0 11
16 Sheffield Weds 8 3 2 3 12 13 -1 11
17 Middlesbrough 7 3 2 2 7 8 -1 11
18 Norwich 6 2 4 0 15 8 +7 10
19 Bristol City 7 2 4 1 9 8 +1 10
20 West Brom 7 2 4 1 2 1 +1 10
21 Coventry 7 3 0 4 12 11 +1 9
22 Hull 7 1 4 2 7 7 0 7
23 QPR 8 0 4 4 7 15 -8 4
24 Portsmouth 6 0 3 3 3 9 -6 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 8 4 2 2 11 7 +4 14
2 Sheffield United 8 4 2 2 9 5 +4 14
3 West Brom 7 3 3 1 12 7 +5 12
4 Burnley 8 3 3 2 8 4 +4 12
5 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 11 8 +3 10
6 Leeds 7 2 4 1 7 4 +3 10
7 Bristol City 7 2 3 2 9 11 -2 9
8 Hull 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
9 Norwich 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
10 Swansea 7 2 1 4 4 6 -2 7
11 Stoke 7 2 1 4 3 8 -5 7
12 Sheffield Weds 6 2 1 3 5 11 -6 7
13 Millwall 6 1 3 2 5 6 -1 6
14 Coventry 7 1 3 3 6 8 -2 6
15 QPR 6 1 3 2 5 8 -3 6
16 Watford 8 2 0 6 11 18 -7 6
17 Portsmouth 8 1 3 4 10 18 -8 6
18 Derby 8 1 2 5 8 14 -6 5
19 Luton 6 1 1 4 4 9 -5 4
20 Blackburn 6 0 3 3 4 9 -5 3
21 Preston 6 0 3 3 6 13 -7 3
22 Cardiff 7 0 3 4 3 13 -10 3
23 Oxford 7 0 2 5 7 13 -6 2
24 Plymouth 7 0 1 6 1 16 -15 1

Stoke   Millwall

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Watford 15 5 10 1.5 1.5 8 1 6 23 22 25
2 15 Sheffield Weds 14 6 8 1.2 1.7 5 3 6 17 24 18
3 17 Coventry 14 6 8 1.3 1.4 4 3 7 18 19 15
4 19 Luton 14 6 8 1.1 1.5 4 3 7 16 21 15
5 24 Portsmouth 14 6 8 0.9 1.9 1 6 7 13 27 9
6 11 Bristol City 14 7 7 1.3 1.4 4 7 3 18 19 19
7 12 Norwich 14 7 7 1.6 1.4 4 6 4 23 20 18
8 20 Preston 14 7 7 1.0 1.4 3 6 5 14 20 15
9 22 Plymouth 14 7 7 1.0 1.8 4 3 7 14 25 15
10 1 Sunderland 14 8 6 1.6 0.6 9 3 2 23 9 30
11 10 Blackburn 14 8 6 1.1 1.1 5 4 5 16 16 19
12 13 Derby 14 8 6 1.3 1.3 5 3 6 18 18 18
13 14 Stoke 14 8 6 1.2 1.3 5 3 6 17 18 18
14 16 Oxford 15 9 6 1.1 1.2 4 5 6 17 18 17
15 23 QPR 14 8 6 0.9 1.6 1 7 6 12 23 10
16 3 Leeds 14 9 5 1.6 0.6 7 5 2 22 9 26
17 8 Middlesbrough 14 9 5 1.3 1.1 6 3 5 18 16 21
18 6 West Brom 14 10 4 1.0 0.6 5 7 2 14 8 22
19 7 Millwall 14 10 4 1.2 0.9 6 4 4 17 12 22
20 18 Hull 14 10 4 1.1 1.3 3 6 5 15 18 15
21 21 Cardiff 14 10 4 0.9 1.4 4 3 7 13 20 15
22 5 Burnley 14 11 3 1.2 0.4 6 6 2 17 6 24
23 9 Swansea 14 11 3 0.8 0.6 5 4 5 11 9 19
24 2 Sheffield United 14 12 2 1.3 0.5 9 3 2 18 7 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Coventry 7 1 6 1.7 1.6 3 0 4 12 11 9
2 19 Luton 8 2 6 1.5 1.5 3 2 3 12 12 11
3 14 Stoke 7 2 5 2.0 1.4 3 2 2 14 10 11
4 3 Leeds 7 3 4 2.1 0.7 5 1 1 15 5 16
5 4 Watford 7 3 4 1.7 0.6 6 1 0 12 4 19
6 12 Norwich 6 2 4 2.5 1.3 2 4 0 15 8 10
7 22 Plymouth 7 3 4 1.9 1.3 4 2 1 13 9 14
8 23 QPR 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 0 4 4 7 15 4
9 7 Millwall 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 5 1 2 12 6 16
10 10 Blackburn 8 5 3 1.5 0.9 5 1 2 12 7 16
11 11 Bristol City 7 4 3 1.3 1.1 2 4 1 9 8 10
12 15 Sheffield Weds 8 5 3 1.5 1.6 3 2 3 12 13 11
13 20 Preston 8 5 3 1.0 0.9 3 3 2 8 7 12
14 24 Portsmouth 6 3 3 0.5 1.5 0 3 3 3 9 3
15 1 Sunderland 6 4 2 2.0 0.3 5 1 0 12 2 16
16 5 Burnley 6 4 2 1.5 0.3 3 3 0 9 2 12
17 8 Middlesbrough 7 5 2 1.0 1.1 3 2 2 7 8 11
18 13 Derby 6 4 2 1.7 0.7 4 1 1 10 4 13
19 16 Oxford 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 4 3 1 10 5 15
20 21 Cardiff 7 5 2 1.4 1.0 4 0 3 10 7 12
21 2 Sheffield United 6 5 1 1.5 0.3 5 1 0 9 2 16
22 9 Swansea 7 6 1 1.0 0.4 3 3 1 7 3 12
23 18 Hull 7 6 1 1.0 1.0 1 4 2 7 7 7
24 6 West Brom 7 7 0 0.3 0.1 2 4 1 2 1 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Watford 8 2 6 1.4 2.2 2 0 6 11 18 6
2 15 Sheffield Weds 6 1 5 0.8 1.8 2 1 3 5 11 7
3 24 Portsmouth 8 3 5 1.2 2.2 1 3 4 10 18 6
4 1 Sunderland 8 4 4 1.4 0.9 4 2 2 11 7 14
5 6 West Brom 7 3 4 1.7 1.0 3 3 1 12 7 12
6 11 Bristol City 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 2 3 2 9 11 9
7 13 Derby 8 4 4 1.0 1.8 1 2 5 8 14 5
8 16 Oxford 7 3 4 1.0 1.9 0 2 5 7 13 2
9 20 Preston 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 0 3 3 6 13 3
10 8 Middlesbrough 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 3 1 3 11 8 10
11 10 Blackburn 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 0 3 3 4 9 3
12 12 Norwich 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 2 4 8 12 8
13 18 Hull 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
14 22 Plymouth 7 4 3 0.1 2.3 0 1 6 1 16 1
15 9 Swansea 7 5 2 0.6 0.9 2 1 4 4 6 7
16 17 Coventry 7 5 2 0.9 1.1 1 3 3 6 8 6
17 19 Luton 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 1 1 4 4 9 4
18 21 Cardiff 7 5 2 0.4 1.9 0 3 4 3 13 3
19 23 QPR 6 4 2 0.8 1.3 1 3 2 5 8 6
20 2 Sheffield United 8 7 1 1.1 0.6 4 2 2 9 5 14
21 3 Leeds 7 6 1 1.0 0.6 2 4 1 7 4 10
22 5 Burnley 8 7 1 1.0 0.5 3 3 2 8 4 12
23 7 Millwall 6 5 1 0.8 1.0 1 3 2 5 6 6
24 14 Stoke 7 6 1 0.4 1.1 2 1 4 3 8 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51