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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Smith

Oxford 2–6 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 1–3 · season 2024/2025

Home 5.00 fair 2.37
Draw 4.20 fair 3.75
Away ✓ 1.60 fair 3.20
Under 2.5 2.03 fair 1.86
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 2.17

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Oxford Middlesbrough
11 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 12
6 Corners 9
9 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (184 league matches this season so far).
Result Oxford to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.38 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
OxfordDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 1–0 11.1% 0–1 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Oxford before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
1.13scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:18
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
1.53scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 23:17
Oxford all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.53
1.20 Goals conceded 1.13
2.33 Total goals 2.67
9.93 Shots 16.00
3.40 Shots on target 5.07
15.13 Shots faced 7.87
3.00 Corners 6.27
7.40 Corners against 4.20
9.27 Fouls 9.00
1.73 Yellow cards 1.53
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

27% Wins 47%
33% Draws 20%
40% Losses 33%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 67%
40% Over 2.5 goals 40%
20% Over 3.5 goals 27%
7% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
60% Both teams scored 40%
27% Clean sheets 33%
20% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 33%
47% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 73%
27% Over 1.5 goals 40%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Oxford before this match, at home
1.88points / match
1.25scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:5
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.43points / match
1.57scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 11:8
Oxford at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.57
0.63 Goals conceded 1.14
1.88 Total goals 2.71
9.38 Shots 13.29
3.50 Shots on target 5.00
12.75 Shots faced 8.57
2.75 Corners 5.00
6.25 Corners against 4.71
9.00 Fouls 9.29
1.38 Yellow cards 1.57
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

50% Wins 43%
38% Draws 14%
13% Losses 43%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 57%
25% Over 2.5 goals 43%
13% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 29%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
50% Both teams scored 43%
50% Clean sheets 29%
13% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 29%
50% Draws 43%
25% Losses 29%
63% Over 0.5 goals 57%
13% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Oxford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.24 Watford – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.705.00 1.93 1.93
05.11.24 Oxford – Hull 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.30 1.98 1.88
02.11.24 Oxford – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.753.202.70 2.20 1.67
26.10.24 Sunderland – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.80 2.00
22.10.24 Oxford – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.252.75 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Oxford – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 3.903.501.95 2.00 1.80
05.10.24 Portsmouth – Oxford 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.402.75 1.95 1.90
01.10.24 Luton – Oxford 2–2 (2–1) 1.673.904.50 1.88 1.98
28.09.24 Oxford – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.752.00 1.93 1.93
21.09.24 Bristol City – Oxford 2–1 (0–1) 1.753.604.75 1.98 1.88

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Middlesbrough – Luton 5–1 (2–0) 1.734.004.33 1.73 2.10
05.11.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
02.11.24 Middlesbrough – Coventry 0–3 (0–1) 1.704.104.50 1.67 2.20
27.10.24 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
23.10.24 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.40 1.95 1.90
19.10.24 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 0–2 (0–2) 1.703.804.75 1.80 2.00
05.10.24 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–0) 3.503.801.95 1.67 2.20
01.10.24 West Brom – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
28.09.24 Middlesbrough – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.00 1.73 2.10
21.09.24 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95

Oxford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.24 Oxford – Hull 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.30 1.98 1.88
02.11.24 Oxford – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.753.202.70 2.20 1.67
22.10.24 Oxford – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.252.75 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Oxford – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 3.903.501.95 2.00 1.80
28.09.24 Oxford – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.752.00 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Oxford – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.98 1.88
31.08.24 Oxford – Preston 3–1 (1–1) 2.403.302.90 2.03 1.83
10.08.24 Oxford – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.602.20 1.88 1.98
19.04.24E2 Oxford – Stevenage 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.504.00 2.03 1.83
16.04.24E2 Oxford – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.88 1.98

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
27.10.24 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–0) 3.503.801.95 1.67 2.20
01.10.24 West Brom – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
21.09.24 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
31.08.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.751.85 1.90 1.95
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
27.04.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 1.93 1.93
13.04.24 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.20 1.62 2.30
10.04.24 Hull – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–1) 2.403.402.90 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 16 10 4 2 21 9 +12 34
2 Sunderland 15 9 4 2 25 11 +14 31
3 Burnley 16 8 6 2 19 6 +13 30
4 Leeds 15 8 5 2 24 9 +15 29
5 Watford 16 8 2 6 25 24 +1 26
6 West Brom 15 6 7 2 16 9 +7 25
7 Middlesbrough 15 7 3 5 23 17 +6 24
8 Millwall 15 6 5 4 18 13 +5 23
9 Blackburn 15 6 4 5 19 17 +2 22
10 Bristol City 16 5 7 4 20 20 0 22
11 Swansea 15 5 4 6 11 10 +1 19
12 Derby 15 5 4 6 19 19 0 19
13 Stoke 15 5 4 6 18 19 -1 19
14 Sheffield Weds 16 5 4 7 18 26 -8 19
15 Norwich 15 4 6 5 23 22 +1 18
16 Coventry 16 4 5 7 22 23 -1 17
17 Oxford 15 4 5 6 17 18 -1 17
18 Plymouth 16 4 5 7 17 28 -11 17
19 Cardiff 16 4 4 8 15 24 -9 16
20 Hull 15 3 6 6 16 20 -4 15
21 Preston 15 3 6 6 15 23 -8 15
22 Luton 15 4 3 8 17 26 -9 15
23 Portsmouth 15 2 6 7 16 28 -12 12
24 QPR 15 1 7 7 12 25 -13 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 8 6 1 1 17 5 +12 19
2 Watford 7 6 1 0 12 4 +8 19
3 Sheffield United 7 6 1 0 10 2 +8 19
4 Sunderland 7 5 2 0 14 4 +10 17
5 Millwall 8 5 1 2 12 6 +6 16
6 Blackburn 8 5 1 2 12 7 +5 16
7 Burnley 7 4 3 0 10 2 +8 15
8 Oxford 8 4 3 1 10 5 +5 15
9 Plymouth 8 4 3 1 15 11 +4 15
10 Derby 7 4 2 1 11 5 +6 14
11 Middlesbrough 8 4 2 2 12 9 +3 14
12 Stoke 8 3 3 2 15 11 +4 12
13 Swansea 7 3 3 1 7 3 +4 12
14 Cardiff 8 4 0 4 11 10 +1 12
15 Preston 8 3 3 2 8 7 +1 12
16 Sheffield Weds 9 3 3 3 13 14 -1 12
17 Luton 8 3 2 3 12 12 0 11
18 Norwich 7 2 4 1 15 10 +5 10
19 Coventry 8 3 1 4 14 13 +1 10
20 West Brom 7 2 4 1 2 1 +1 10
21 Bristol City 8 2 4 2 9 9 0 10
22 Hull 8 1 4 3 8 9 -1 7
23 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 6 10 -4 6
24 QPR 8 0 4 4 7 15 -8 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 8 4 3 1 14 8 +6 15
2 Burnley 9 4 3 2 9 4 +5 15
3 Sheffield United 9 4 3 2 11 7 +4 15
4 Sunderland 8 4 2 2 11 7 +4 14
5 Bristol City 8 3 3 2 11 11 0 12
6 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 11 8 +3 10
7 Leeds 7 2 4 1 7 4 +3 10
8 Hull 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
9 Norwich 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
10 Millwall 7 1 4 2 6 7 -1 7
11 Coventry 8 1 4 3 8 10 -2 7
12 Swansea 8 2 1 5 4 7 -3 7
13 Stoke 7 2 1 4 3 8 -5 7
14 Watford 9 2 1 6 13 20 -7 7
15 Sheffield Weds 7 2 1 4 5 12 -7 7
16 Blackburn 7 1 3 3 7 10 -3 6
17 QPR 7 1 3 3 5 10 -5 6
18 Portsmouth 8 1 3 4 10 18 -8 6
19 Derby 8 1 2 5 8 14 -6 5
20 Luton 7 1 1 5 5 14 -9 4
21 Cardiff 8 0 4 4 4 14 -10 4
22 Preston 7 0 3 4 7 16 -9 3
23 Oxford 7 0 2 5 7 13 -6 2
24 Plymouth 8 0 2 6 2 17 -15 2

Oxford   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Watford 16 5 11 1.6 1.5 8 2 6 25 24 26
2 16 Coventry 16 6 10 1.4 1.4 4 5 7 22 23 17
3 22 Luton 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 4 3 8 17 26 15
4 23 Portsmouth 15 6 9 1.1 1.9 2 6 7 16 28 12
5 14 Sheffield Weds 16 8 8 1.1 1.6 5 4 7 18 26 19
6 18 Plymouth 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 4 5 7 17 28 17
7 21 Preston 15 7 8 1.0 1.5 3 6 6 15 23 15
8 2 Sunderland 15 8 7 1.7 0.7 9 4 2 25 11 31
9 9 Blackburn 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 4 5 19 17 22
10 10 Bristol City 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 5 7 4 20 20 22
11 15 Norwich 15 8 7 1.5 1.5 4 6 5 23 22 18
12 7 Middlesbrough 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 7 3 5 23 17 24
13 12 Derby 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 5 4 6 19 19 19
14 13 Stoke 15 9 6 1.2 1.3 5 4 6 18 19 19
15 17 Oxford 15 9 6 1.1 1.2 4 5 6 17 18 17
16 24 QPR 15 9 6 0.8 1.7 1 7 7 12 25 10
17 4 Leeds 15 10 5 1.6 0.6 8 5 2 24 9 29
18 6 West Brom 15 10 5 1.1 0.6 6 7 2 16 9 25
19 19 Cardiff 16 11 5 0.9 1.5 4 4 8 15 24 16
20 20 Hull 15 10 5 1.1 1.3 3 6 6 16 20 15
21 8 Millwall 15 11 4 1.2 0.9 6 5 4 18 13 23
22 1 Sheffield United 16 13 3 1.3 0.6 10 4 2 21 9 34
23 3 Burnley 16 13 3 1.2 0.4 8 6 2 19 6 30
24 11 Swansea 15 12 3 0.7 0.7 5 4 6 11 10 19
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Coventry 8 1 7 1.8 1.6 3 1 4 14 13 10
2 22 Luton 8 2 6 1.5 1.5 3 2 3 12 12 11
3 13 Stoke 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 3 3 2 15 11 12
4 18 Plymouth 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 4 3 1 15 11 15
5 4 Leeds 8 4 4 2.1 0.6 6 1 1 17 5 19
6 5 Watford 7 3 4 1.7 0.6 6 1 0 12 4 19
7 15 Norwich 7 3 4 2.1 1.4 2 4 1 15 10 10
8 23 Portsmouth 7 3 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 3 6 10 6
9 24 QPR 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 0 4 4 7 15 4
10 2 Sunderland 7 4 3 2.0 0.6 5 2 0 14 4 17
11 7 Middlesbrough 8 5 3 1.5 1.1 4 2 2 12 9 14
12 8 Millwall 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 5 1 2 12 6 16
13 9 Blackburn 8 5 3 1.5 0.9 5 1 2 12 7 16
14 10 Bristol City 8 5 3 1.1 1.1 2 4 2 9 9 10
15 14 Sheffield Weds 9 6 3 1.4 1.6 3 3 3 13 14 12
16 19 Cardiff 8 5 3 1.4 1.2 4 0 4 11 10 12
17 21 Preston 8 5 3 1.0 0.9 3 3 2 8 7 12
18 3 Burnley 7 5 2 1.4 0.3 4 3 0 10 2 15
19 12 Derby 7 5 2 1.6 0.7 4 2 1 11 5 14
20 17 Oxford 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 4 3 1 10 5 15
21 20 Hull 8 6 2 1.0 1.1 1 4 3 8 9 7
22 1 Sheffield United 7 6 1 1.4 0.3 6 1 0 10 2 19
23 11 Swansea 7 6 1 1.0 0.4 3 3 1 7 3 12
24 6 West Brom 7 7 0 0.3 0.1 2 4 1 2 1 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Watford 9 2 7 1.4 2.2 2 1 6 13 20 7
2 6 West Brom 8 3 5 1.8 1.0 4 3 1 14 8 15
3 14 Sheffield Weds 7 2 5 0.7 1.7 2 1 4 5 12 7
4 21 Preston 7 2 5 1.0 2.3 0 3 4 7 16 3
5 23 Portsmouth 8 3 5 1.2 2.2 1 3 4 10 18 6
6 2 Sunderland 8 4 4 1.4 0.9 4 2 2 11 7 14
7 9 Blackburn 7 3 4 1.0 1.4 1 3 3 7 10 6
8 10 Bristol City 8 4 4 1.4 1.4 3 3 2 11 11 12
9 12 Derby 8 4 4 1.0 1.8 1 2 5 8 14 5
10 17 Oxford 7 3 4 1.0 1.9 0 2 5 7 13 2
11 7 Middlesbrough 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 3 1 3 11 8 10
12 15 Norwich 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 2 4 8 12 8
13 16 Coventry 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 1 4 3 8 10 7
14 18 Plymouth 8 5 3 0.2 2.1 0 2 6 2 17 2
15 20 Hull 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
16 22 Luton 7 4 3 0.7 2.0 1 1 5 5 14 4
17 1 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 4 3 2 11 7 15
18 11 Swansea 8 6 2 0.5 0.9 2 1 5 4 7 7
19 19 Cardiff 8 6 2 0.5 1.8 0 4 4 4 14 4
20 24 QPR 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 1 3 3 5 10 6
21 3 Burnley 9 8 1 1.0 0.4 4 3 2 9 4 15
22 4 Leeds 7 6 1 1.0 0.6 2 4 1 7 4 10
23 8 Millwall 7 6 1 0.9 1.0 1 4 2 6 7 7
24 13 Stoke 7 6 1 0.4 1.1 2 1 4 3 8 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51