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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: M Donohue

Middlesbrough 1–0 Millwall

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.95 fair 2.25
Draw 3.50 fair 3.88
Away 4.00 fair 3.35
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.97
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.03

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Millwall
7 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 3
8 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (311 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 10.5% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.58scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 41:33
Millwall before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.28scored / match
1.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 32:26
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.58 Goals scored 1.28
1.27 Goals conceded 1.04
2.85 Total goals 2.32
12.54 Shots 13.68
3.96 Shots on target 4.36
9.38 Shots faced 10.84
5.88 Corners 4.84
3.92 Corners against 3.64
10.08 Fouls 11.68
2.19 Yellow cards 1.68
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

42% Wins 44%
23% Draws 24%
35% Losses 32%
92% Over 0.5 goals 88%
77% Over 1.5 goals 80%
65% Over 2.5 goals 40%
35% Over 3.5 goals 12%
15% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 4%
69% Both teams scored 36%
19% Clean sheets 36%
19% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 24%
38% Draws 56%
35% Losses 20%
85% Over 0.5 goals 64%
38% Over 1.5 goals 36%
12% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Millwall all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.42scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 17:12
Millwall before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 12:18
Middlesbrough at home away Millwall

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.50
2.42 Total goals 2.50
13.50 Shots 12.42
4.25 Shots on target 3.58
8.33 Shots faced 13.25
6.33 Corners 4.92
4.25 Corners against 3.83
9.83 Fouls 12.08
2.33 Yellow cards 2.33
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

42% Wins 25%
42% Draws 25%
17% Losses 50%
83% Over 0.5 goals 92%
67% Over 1.5 goals 83%
50% Over 2.5 goals 42%
25% Over 3.5 goals 17%
17% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
67% Both teams scored 42%
33% Clean sheets 17%
17% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 17%
33% Draws 58%
25% Losses 25%
83% Over 0.5 goals 58%
42% Over 1.5 goals 33%
17% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Millwall away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.23 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.10 1.73
29.12.22 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 3.203.202.38 2.10 1.73
26.12.22 Middlesbrough – Wigan 4–1 (1–0) 1.673.755.50 2.02 1.83
17.12.22 Burnley – Middlesbrough 3–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 1.98 1.88
10.12.22 Middlesbrough – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.83
12.11.22 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 1.95 1.90
08.11.22 Blackpool – Middlesbrough 0–3 (0–1) 3.203.402.25 2.02 1.83
05.11.22 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.75 1.90 1.95
01.11.22 Hull – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–1) 3.103.302.37 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.803.002.75 2.30 1.61

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.23 Millwall – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.50 2.10 1.73
29.12.22 Millwall – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.05 1.80
26.12.22 Watford – Millwall 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.303.75 2.20 1.67
10.12.22 Millwall – Wigan 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.404.33 2.20 1.67
03.12.22 Sunderland – Millwall 3–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.87 2.20 1.66
12.11.22 Preston – Millwall 2–4 (2–2) 2.553.003.10 2.62 1.50
05.11.22 Millwall – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.604.50 2.20 1.66
02.11.22 Birmingham – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.30 1.61
29.10.22 Huddersfield – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.252.40 2.20 1.66
22.10.22 Millwall – West Brom 2–1 (1–1) 2.753.102.75 2.20 1.66

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.22 Middlesbrough – Wigan 4–1 (1–0) 1.673.755.50 2.02 1.83
10.12.22 Middlesbrough – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.83
05.11.22 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.75 1.90 1.95
22.10.22 Middlesbrough – Huddersfield 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.755.50 2.00 1.85
15.10.22 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 1–2 (1–2) 2.003.403.75 2.10 1.72
05.10.22 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 1.653.755.75 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Middlesbrough – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.75 1.98 1.88
13.09.22 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–3 (0–3) 1.703.605.25 2.10 1.72
05.09.22 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 1.723.605.00 1.98 1.88
27.08.22 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–1 (2–0) 1.753.754.75 2.00 1.85

Millwall away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.22 Watford – Millwall 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.303.75 2.20 1.67
03.12.22 Sunderland – Millwall 3–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.87 2.20 1.66
12.11.22 Preston – Millwall 2–4 (2–2) 2.553.003.10 2.62 1.50
02.11.22 Birmingham – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.30 1.61
29.10.22 Huddersfield – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.252.40 2.20 1.66
15.10.22 Bristol City – Millwall 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.203.00 2.05 1.80
05.10.22 Rotherham – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.202.75 2.20 1.66
01.10.22 Blackburn – Millwall 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.30 2.20 1.66
30.08.22 Burnley – Millwall 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.304.75 2.20 1.66
19.08.22 Norwich – Millwall 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsMillwall wins
3matches
1.33goals / match
0%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22E1 Millwall – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.20 1.66
12.03.22E1 Millwall – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.873.252.55 2.50 1.53
20.11.21E1 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.253.80 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 26 16 8 2 52 25 +27 56
2 Sheffield United 26 15 6 5 44 23 +21 51
3 Blackburn 27 14 0 13 30 34 -4 42
4 Watford 26 11 7 8 31 28 +3 40
5 Middlesbrough 26 11 6 9 41 33 +8 39
6 Millwall 25 11 6 8 32 26 +6 39
7 Luton 25 10 9 6 31 26 +5 39
8 Sunderland 26 10 8 8 38 29 +9 38
9 West Brom 26 10 8 8 34 26 +8 38
10 Preston 26 10 7 9 24 26 -2 37
11 Norwich 26 10 6 10 32 29 +3 36
12 QPR 26 10 6 10 28 31 -3 36
13 Reading 26 11 3 12 29 36 -7 36
14 Coventry 25 9 8 8 27 26 +1 35
15 Swansea 26 9 8 9 36 36 0 35
16 Hull 26 9 6 11 32 42 -10 33
17 Birmingham 26 8 8 10 27 29 -2 32
18 Stoke 26 8 6 12 28 34 -6 30
19 Rotherham 27 7 9 11 32 39 -7 30
20 Bristol City 26 7 8 11 32 35 -3 29
21 Cardiff 26 7 7 12 20 29 -9 28
22 Blackpool 26 6 8 12 28 38 -10 26
23 Huddersfield 25 7 4 14 24 32 -8 25
24 Wigan 26 6 6 14 26 46 -20 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 13 9 4 0 29 11 +18 31
2 Millwall 13 8 3 2 20 8 +12 27
3 Blackburn 13 9 0 4 20 13 +7 27
4 Reading 12 8 1 3 18 12 +6 25
5 Sheffield United 12 7 3 2 26 12 +14 24
6 West Brom 14 6 4 4 20 14 +6 22
7 Coventry 13 6 4 3 15 10 +5 22
8 Middlesbrough 12 5 5 2 17 12 +5 20
9 Watford 12 6 2 4 17 12 +5 20
10 Swansea 13 6 2 5 20 16 +4 20
11 Rotherham 13 5 4 4 24 17 +7 19
12 Norwich 14 5 4 5 19 16 +3 19
13 QPR 13 5 3 5 16 17 -1 18
14 Birmingham 14 4 5 5 17 16 +1 17
15 Huddersfield 14 5 2 7 13 14 -1 17
16 Luton 12 3 7 2 16 13 +3 16
17 Sunderland 12 4 4 4 16 13 +3 16
18 Cardiff 13 4 4 5 10 11 -1 16
19 Bristol City 13 4 3 6 14 14 0 15
20 Hull 13 4 2 7 13 22 -9 14
21 Preston 13 3 4 6 8 14 -6 13
22 Blackpool 13 3 3 7 14 19 -5 12
23 Stoke 13 3 3 7 13 18 -5 12
24 Wigan 14 2 3 9 11 28 -17 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 14 8 3 3 18 11 +7 27
2 Burnley 13 7 4 2 23 14 +9 25
3 Preston 13 7 3 3 16 12 +4 24
4 Luton 13 7 2 4 15 13 +2 23
5 Sunderland 14 6 4 4 22 16 +6 22
6 Watford 14 5 5 4 14 16 -2 20
7 Middlesbrough 14 6 1 7 24 21 +3 19
8 Hull 13 5 4 4 19 20 -1 19
9 Stoke 13 5 3 5 15 16 -1 18
10 QPR 13 5 3 5 12 14 -2 18
11 Norwich 12 5 2 5 13 13 0 17
12 West Brom 12 4 4 4 14 12 +2 16
13 Wigan 12 4 3 5 15 18 -3 15
14 Birmingham 12 4 3 5 10 13 -3 15
15 Swansea 13 3 6 4 16 20 -4 15
16 Blackburn 14 5 0 9 10 21 -11 15
17 Bristol City 13 3 5 5 18 21 -3 14
18 Blackpool 13 3 5 5 14 19 -5 14
19 Coventry 12 3 4 5 12 16 -4 13
20 Millwall 12 3 3 6 12 18 -6 12
21 Cardiff 13 3 3 7 10 18 -8 12
22 Reading 14 3 2 9 11 24 -13 11
23 Rotherham 14 2 5 7 8 22 -14 11
24 Huddersfield 11 2 2 7 11 18 -7 8

Middlesbrough   Millwall

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Middlesbrough 26 9 17 1.6 1.3 11 6 9 41 33 39
2 15 Swansea 26 11 15 1.4 1.4 9 8 9 36 36 35
3 3 Blackburn 27 13 14 1.1 1.3 14 0 13 30 34 42
4 8 Sunderland 26 12 14 1.5 1.1 10 8 8 38 29 38
5 13 Reading 26 12 14 1.1 1.4 11 3 12 29 36 36
6 16 Hull 26 12 14 1.2 1.6 9 6 11 32 42 33
7 19 Rotherham 27 13 14 1.2 1.4 7 9 11 32 39 30
8 24 Wigan 26 12 14 1.0 1.8 6 6 14 26 46 24
9 1 Burnley 26 13 13 2.0 1.0 16 8 2 52 25 56
10 11 Norwich 26 14 12 1.2 1.1 10 6 10 32 29 36
11 12 QPR 26 14 12 1.1 1.2 10 6 10 28 31 36
12 20 Bristol City 26 14 12 1.2 1.3 7 8 11 32 35 29
13 22 Blackpool 26 14 12 1.1 1.5 6 8 12 28 38 26
14 2 Sheffield United 26 15 11 1.7 0.9 15 6 5 44 23 51
15 4 Watford 26 15 11 1.2 1.1 11 7 8 31 28 40
16 17 Birmingham 26 15 11 1.0 1.1 8 8 10 27 29 32
17 18 Stoke 26 15 11 1.1 1.3 8 6 12 28 34 30
18 23 Huddersfield 25 14 11 1.0 1.3 7 4 14 24 32 25
19 6 Millwall 25 15 10 1.3 1.0 11 6 8 32 26 39
20 7 Luton 25 15 10 1.2 1.0 10 9 6 31 26 39
21 9 West Brom 26 18 8 1.3 1.0 10 8 8 34 26 38
22 10 Preston 26 18 8 0.9 1.0 10 7 9 24 26 37
23 14 Coventry 25 17 8 1.1 1.0 9 8 8 27 26 35
24 21 Cardiff 26 18 8 0.8 1.1 7 7 12 20 29 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 13 5 8 2.2 0.8 9 4 0 29 11 31
2 12 QPR 13 5 8 1.2 1.3 5 3 5 16 17 18
3 15 Swansea 13 5 8 1.5 1.2 6 2 5 20 16 20
4 19 Rotherham 13 5 8 1.8 1.3 5 4 4 24 17 19
5 2 Sheffield United 12 5 7 2.2 1.0 7 3 2 26 12 24
6 3 Blackburn 13 6 7 1.5 1.0 9 0 4 20 13 27
7 8 Sunderland 12 5 7 1.3 1.1 4 4 4 16 13 16
8 13 Reading 12 5 7 1.5 1.0 8 1 3 18 12 25
9 16 Hull 13 6 7 1.0 1.7 4 2 7 13 22 14
10 17 Birmingham 14 7 7 1.2 1.1 4 5 5 17 16 17
11 24 Wigan 14 7 7 0.8 2.0 2 3 9 11 28 9
12 4 Watford 12 6 6 1.4 1.0 6 2 4 17 12 20
13 5 Middlesbrough 12 6 6 1.4 1.0 5 5 2 17 12 20
14 11 Norwich 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 5 4 5 19 16 19
15 22 Blackpool 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 3 3 7 14 19 12
16 6 Millwall 13 8 5 1.5 0.6 8 3 2 20 8 27
17 7 Luton 12 7 5 1.3 1.1 3 7 2 16 13 16
18 18 Stoke 13 8 5 1.0 1.4 3 3 7 13 18 12
19 20 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.1 1.1 4 3 6 14 14 15
20 9 West Brom 14 10 4 1.4 1.0 6 4 4 20 14 22
21 23 Huddersfield 14 10 4 0.9 1.0 5 2 7 13 14 17
22 10 Preston 13 10 3 0.6 1.1 3 4 6 8 14 13
23 14 Coventry 13 10 3 1.2 0.8 6 4 3 15 10 22
24 21 Cardiff 13 10 3 0.8 0.8 4 4 5 10 11 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Middlesbrough 14 3 11 1.7 1.5 6 1 7 24 21 19
2 3 Blackburn 14 7 7 0.7 1.5 5 0 9 10 21 15
3 8 Sunderland 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 6 4 4 22 16 22
4 13 Reading 14 7 7 0.8 1.7 3 2 9 11 24 11
5 15 Swansea 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 3 6 4 16 20 15
6 16 Hull 13 6 7 1.5 1.5 5 4 4 19 20 19
7 20 Bristol City 13 6 7 1.4 1.6 3 5 5 18 21 14
8 23 Huddersfield 11 4 7 1.0 1.6 2 2 7 11 18 8
9 24 Wigan 12 5 7 1.2 1.5 4 3 5 15 18 15
10 11 Norwich 12 6 6 1.1 1.1 5 2 5 13 13 17
11 18 Stoke 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 5 3 5 15 16 18
12 19 Rotherham 14 8 6 0.6 1.6 2 5 7 8 22 11
13 22 Blackpool 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 19 14
14 1 Burnley 13 8 5 1.8 1.1 7 4 2 23 14 25
15 4 Watford 14 9 5 1.0 1.1 5 5 4 14 16 20
16 6 Millwall 12 7 5 1.0 1.5 3 3 6 12 18 12
17 7 Luton 13 8 5 1.2 1.0 7 2 4 15 13 23
18 10 Preston 13 8 5 1.2 0.9 7 3 3 16 12 24
19 14 Coventry 12 7 5 1.0 1.3 3 4 5 12 16 13
20 21 Cardiff 13 8 5 0.8 1.4 3 3 7 10 18 12
21 2 Sheffield United 14 10 4 1.3 0.8 8 3 3 18 11 27
22 9 West Brom 12 8 4 1.2 1.0 4 4 4 14 12 16
23 12 QPR 13 9 4 0.9 1.1 5 3 5 12 14 18
24 17 Birmingham 12 8 4 0.8 1.1 4 3 5 10 13 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40