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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: B Toner

Leeds 3–1 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.70 fair 1.92
Draw 3.70 fair 4.17
Away 4.75 fair 4.19
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 2.10
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Middlesbrough
17 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 4
11 Fouls 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (230 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.70 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 1–0 10.6% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.74scored / match
0.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 33:13
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.63points / match
1.74scored / match
1.16conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 33:22
Leeds all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.74 Goals scored 1.74
0.68 Goals conceded 1.16
2.42 Total goals 2.89
16.26 Shots 15.63
5.58 Shots on target 5.47
6.74 Shots faced 8.47
7.05 Corners 6.21
3.26 Corners against 4.68
11.89 Fouls 8.89
1.84 Yellow cards 1.47
0.84 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

58% Wins 47%
26% Draws 21%
16% Losses 32%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
74% Over 1.5 goals 68%
37% Over 2.5 goals 42%
16% Over 3.5 goals 32%
11% Over 4.5 goals 21%
11% Over 5.5 goals 16%
26% Both teams scored 47%
58% Clean sheets 26%
26% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 37%
26% Draws 37%
32% Losses 26%
79% Over 0.5 goals 74%
37% Over 1.5 goals 47%
16% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
2.50points / match
2.20scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 22:5
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.56points / match
2.00scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 18:11
Leeds at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

2.20 Goals scored 2.00
0.50 Goals conceded 1.22
2.70 Total goals 3.22
18.70 Shots 13.22
6.80 Shots on target 5.78
5.70 Shots faced 9.56
8.80 Corners 5.22
2.40 Corners against 5.56
11.00 Fouls 9.22
1.30 Yellow cards 1.56
1.20 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

80% Wins 44%
10% Draws 22%
10% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
90% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 44%
10% Over 3.5 goals 33%
10% Over 4.5 goals 33%
10% Over 5.5 goals 22%
20% Both teams scored 56%
70% Clean sheets 22%
10% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 33%
20% Draws 44%
20% Losses 22%
80% Over 0.5 goals 67%
50% Over 1.5 goals 44%
20% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Leeds – Derby 2–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.88 1.98
30.11.24 Blackburn – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 4.203.701.80 2.00 1.85
27.11.24 Leeds – Luton 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.208.00 1.80 2.00
24.11.24 Swansea – Leeds 3–4 (2–1) 4.103.901.80 2.10 1.73
09.11.24 Leeds – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.67 2.20
06.11.24 Millwall – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 4.103.401.90 2.30 1.62
02.11.24 Leeds – Plymouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.188.0011.00 1.44 2.75
26.10.24 Bristol City – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.601.82 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Leeds – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
18.10.24 Leeds – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 2.10 1.73

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.24 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
30.11.24 Middlesbrough – Hull 3–1 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.62 2.30
27.11.24 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.106.25 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Oxford – Middlesbrough 2–6 (1–3) 5.004.201.60 1.83 2.03
09.11.24 Middlesbrough – Luton 5–1 (2–0) 1.734.004.33 1.73 2.10
05.11.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
02.11.24 Middlesbrough – Coventry 0–3 (0–1) 1.704.104.50 1.67 2.20
27.10.24 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
23.10.24 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.40 1.95 1.90
19.10.24 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 0–2 (0–2) 1.703.804.75 1.80 2.00

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Leeds – Derby 2–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.88 1.98
27.11.24 Leeds – Luton 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.208.00 1.80 2.00
09.11.24 Leeds – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.67 2.20
02.11.24 Leeds – Plymouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.188.0011.00 1.44 2.75
22.10.24 Leeds – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
18.10.24 Leeds – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 2.10 1.73
28.09.24 Leeds – Coventry 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.00 1.67 2.20
14.09.24 Leeds – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.85 2.00
31.08.24 Leeds – Hull 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.00 1.60 2.30
10.08.24 Leeds – Portsmouth 3–3 (1–2) 1.365.008.00 1.60 2.30

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.24 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
23.11.24 Oxford – Middlesbrough 2–6 (1–3) 5.004.201.60 1.83 2.03
05.11.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
27.10.24 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–0) 3.503.801.95 1.67 2.20
01.10.24 West Brom – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
21.09.24 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
31.08.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.751.85 1.90 1.95
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
27.04.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
2matches
6.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.24E1 Middlesbrough – Leeds 3–4 (2–3) 4.203.801.80 1.73 2.10
02.12.23E1 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 19 12 5 2 27 11 +16 41
2 Leeds 19 11 5 3 33 13 +20 38
3 Burnley 20 10 8 2 24 7 +17 38
4 Sunderland 20 10 7 3 29 15 +14 37
5 Blackburn 19 10 4 5 23 17 +6 34
6 Middlesbrough 19 9 4 6 33 22 +11 31
7 Watford 18 9 3 6 26 24 +2 30
8 West Brom 19 6 11 2 21 14 +7 29
9 Swansea 20 7 6 7 21 19 +2 27
10 Norwich 20 6 8 6 35 30 +5 26
11 Bristol City 20 6 8 6 25 25 0 26
12 Sheffield Weds 20 7 5 8 23 29 -6 26
13 Millwall 18 6 7 5 20 16 +4 25
14 Luton 20 6 4 10 23 35 -12 22
15 Coventry 19 5 6 8 25 27 -2 21
16 Derby 20 5 6 9 22 26 -4 21
17 Stoke 20 5 6 9 21 26 -5 21
18 Preston 19 3 10 6 18 26 -8 19
19 Oxford 18 4 6 8 20 28 -8 18
20 QPR 19 3 9 7 18 26 -8 18
21 Portsmouth 18 3 8 7 21 30 -9 17
22 Cardiff 18 4 5 9 17 28 -11 17
23 Plymouth 19 4 5 10 19 40 -21 17
24 Hull 19 3 6 10 17 27 -10 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 10 8 1 1 22 5 +17 25
2 Sheffield United 9 8 1 0 14 2 +12 25
3 Watford 9 7 2 0 13 4 +9 23
4 Sunderland 10 6 4 0 17 6 +11 22
5 Burnley 10 5 5 0 13 3 +10 20
6 Blackburn 9 6 1 2 13 7 +6 19
7 Luton 11 5 3 3 16 14 +2 18
8 Millwall 10 5 2 3 13 8 +5 17
9 Middlesbrough 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17
10 Norwich 9 4 4 1 25 13 +12 16
11 Oxford 10 4 4 2 13 12 +1 16
12 Plymouth 9 4 3 2 16 13 +3 15
13 Derby 9 4 2 3 13 9 +4 14
14 Preston 10 3 5 2 10 9 +1 14
15 Bristol City 9 3 4 2 13 9 +4 13
16 Swansea 9 3 4 2 12 9 +3 13
17 Stoke 10 3 4 3 15 13 +2 13
18 Sheffield Weds 11 3 4 4 14 16 -2 13
19 West Brom 9 2 6 1 6 5 +1 12
20 Cardiff 9 4 0 5 11 12 -1 12
21 Coventry 9 3 2 4 16 15 +1 11
22 Portsmouth 9 2 4 3 9 10 -1 10
23 QPR 10 1 5 4 11 16 -5 8
24 Hull 10 1 4 5 8 12 -4 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 10 5 3 2 11 4 +7 18
2 West Brom 10 4 5 1 15 9 +6 17
3 Sheffield United 10 4 4 2 13 9 +4 16
4 Sunderland 10 4 3 3 12 9 +3 15
5 Blackburn 10 4 3 3 10 10 0 15
6 Middlesbrough 9 4 2 3 18 11 +7 14
7 Swansea 11 4 2 5 9 10 -1 14
8 Leeds 9 3 4 2 11 8 +3 13
9 Bristol City 11 3 4 4 12 16 -4 13
10 Sheffield Weds 9 4 1 4 9 13 -4 13
11 Coventry 10 2 4 4 9 12 -3 10
12 QPR 9 2 4 3 7 10 -3 10
13 Norwich 11 2 4 5 10 17 -7 10
14 Millwall 8 1 5 2 7 8 -1 8
15 Hull 9 2 2 5 9 15 -6 8
16 Stoke 10 2 2 6 6 13 -7 8
17 Watford 9 2 1 6 13 20 -7 7
18 Portsmouth 9 1 4 4 12 20 -8 7
19 Derby 11 1 4 6 9 17 -8 7
20 Preston 9 0 5 4 8 17 -9 5
21 Cardiff 9 0 5 4 6 16 -10 5
22 Luton 9 1 1 7 7 21 -14 4
23 Oxford 8 0 2 6 7 16 -9 2
24 Plymouth 10 0 2 8 3 27 -24 2

Leeds   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Luton 20 8 12 1.1 1.8 6 4 10 23 35 22
2 7 Watford 18 7 11 1.4 1.3 9 3 6 26 24 30
3 10 Norwich 20 9 11 1.8 1.5 6 8 6 35 30 26
4 15 Coventry 19 8 11 1.3 1.4 5 6 8 25 27 21
5 21 Portsmouth 18 7 11 1.2 1.7 3 8 7 21 30 17
6 23 Plymouth 19 8 11 1.0 2.1 4 5 10 19 40 17
7 11 Bristol City 20 11 9 1.2 1.2 6 8 6 25 25 26
8 12 Sheffield Weds 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 7 5 8 23 29 26
9 4 Sunderland 20 12 8 1.4 0.8 10 7 3 29 15 37
10 6 Middlesbrough 19 11 8 1.7 1.2 9 4 6 33 22 31
11 16 Derby 20 12 8 1.1 1.3 5 6 9 22 26 21
12 17 Stoke 20 12 8 1.1 1.3 5 6 9 21 26 21
13 18 Preston 19 11 8 0.9 1.4 3 10 6 18 26 19
14 19 Oxford 18 10 8 1.1 1.6 4 6 8 20 28 18
15 2 Leeds 19 12 7 1.7 0.7 11 5 3 33 13 38
16 5 Blackburn 19 12 7 1.2 0.9 10 4 5 23 17 34
17 8 West Brom 19 12 7 1.1 0.7 6 11 2 21 14 29
18 9 Swansea 20 13 7 1.1 0.9 7 6 7 21 19 27
19 20 QPR 19 12 7 0.9 1.4 3 9 7 18 26 18
20 22 Cardiff 18 12 6 0.9 1.6 4 5 9 17 28 17
21 24 Hull 19 13 6 0.9 1.4 3 6 10 17 27 15
22 1 Sheffield United 19 14 5 1.4 0.6 12 5 2 27 11 41
23 13 Millwall 18 14 4 1.1 0.9 6 7 5 20 16 25
24 3 Burnley 20 17 3 1.2 0.3 10 8 2 24 7 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Coventry 9 1 8 1.8 1.7 3 2 4 16 15 11
2 14 Luton 11 4 7 1.5 1.3 5 3 3 16 14 18
3 10 Norwich 9 3 6 2.8 1.4 4 4 1 25 13 16
4 23 Plymouth 9 3 6 1.8 1.4 4 3 2 16 13 15
5 2 Leeds 10 5 5 2.2 0.5 8 1 1 22 5 25
6 17 Stoke 10 5 5 1.5 1.3 3 4 3 15 13 13
7 20 QPR 10 5 5 1.1 1.6 1 5 4 11 16 8
8 21 Portsmouth 9 4 5 1.0 1.1 2 4 3 9 10 10
9 4 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.7 0.6 6 4 0 17 6 22
10 6 Middlesbrough 10 6 4 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17
11 7 Watford 9 5 4 1.4 0.4 7 2 0 13 4 23
12 11 Bristol City 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 3 4 2 13 9 13
13 16 Derby 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 4 2 3 13 9 14
14 5 Blackburn 9 6 3 1.4 0.8 6 1 2 13 7 19
15 9 Swansea 9 6 3 1.3 1.0 3 4 2 12 9 13
16 12 Sheffield Weds 11 8 3 1.3 1.5 3 4 4 14 16 13
17 13 Millwall 10 7 3 1.3 0.8 5 2 3 13 8 17
18 18 Preston 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 3 5 2 10 9 14
19 19 Oxford 10 7 3 1.3 1.2 4 4 2 13 12 16
20 22 Cardiff 9 6 3 1.2 1.3 4 0 5 11 12 12
21 1 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.6 0.2 8 1 0 14 2 25
22 3 Burnley 10 8 2 1.3 0.3 5 5 0 13 3 20
23 8 West Brom 9 7 2 0.7 0.6 2 6 1 6 5 12
24 24 Hull 10 8 2 0.8 1.2 1 4 5 8 12 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Watford 9 2 7 1.4 2.2 2 1 6 13 20 7
2 12 Sheffield Weds 9 3 6 1.0 1.4 4 1 4 9 13 13
3 21 Portsmouth 9 3 6 1.3 2.2 1 4 4 12 20 7
4 8 West Brom 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 4 5 1 15 9 17
5 10 Norwich 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 2 4 5 10 17 10
6 11 Bristol City 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 4 4 12 16 13
7 14 Luton 9 4 5 0.8 2.3 1 1 7 7 21 4
8 18 Preston 9 4 5 0.9 1.9 0 5 4 8 17 5
9 19 Oxford 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 2 6 7 16 2
10 23 Plymouth 10 5 5 0.3 2.7 0 2 8 3 27 2
11 4 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 4 3 3 12 9 15
12 5 Blackburn 10 6 4 1.0 1.0 4 3 3 10 10 15
13 6 Middlesbrough 9 5 4 2.0 1.2 4 2 3 18 11 14
14 9 Swansea 11 7 4 0.8 0.9 4 2 5 9 10 14
15 16 Derby 11 7 4 0.8 1.5 1 4 6 9 17 7
16 24 Hull 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 2 2 5 9 15 8
17 1 Sheffield United 10 7 3 1.3 0.9 4 4 2 13 9 16
18 15 Coventry 10 7 3 0.9 1.2 2 4 4 9 12 10
19 17 Stoke 10 7 3 0.6 1.3 2 2 6 6 13 8
20 22 Cardiff 9 6 3 0.7 1.8 0 5 4 6 16 5
21 2 Leeds 9 7 2 1.2 0.9 3 4 2 11 8 13
22 20 QPR 9 7 2 0.8 1.1 2 4 3 7 10 10
23 3 Burnley 10 9 1 1.1 0.4 5 3 2 11 4 18
24 13 Millwall 8 7 1 0.9 1.0 1 5 2 7 8 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51