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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: L Doughty

Millwall 1–0 Leeds

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 4.10 fair 2.52
Draw 3.40 fair 3.58
Away 1.90 fair 3.09
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.71
Over 2.5 2.30 fair 2.41

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Leeds
6 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
2 Corners 12
11 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (162 league matches this season so far).
Result Millwall to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.1% 1–0 12% 0–1 10.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.46points / match
1.23scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:12
Leeds before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.69scored / match
0.62conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 22:8
Millwall all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 1.69
0.92 Goals conceded 0.62
2.15 Total goals 2.31
12.85 Shots 16.15
4.38 Shots on target 5.38
9.92 Shots faced 6.62
5.54 Corners 6.54
5.23 Corners against 4.00
13.23 Fouls 12.46
2.46 Yellow cards 2.15
0.31 1st-half goals scored 0.77
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

38% Wins 54%
31% Draws 38%
31% Losses 8%
85% Over 0.5 goals 85%
46% Over 1.5 goals 77%
31% Over 2.5 goals 38%
23% Over 3.5 goals 15%
15% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
38% Both teams scored 31%
46% Clean sheets 62%
31% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 38%
54% Draws 38%
31% Losses 23%
54% Over 0.5 goals 69%
23% Over 1.5 goals 31%
0% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Leeds all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
1.86points / match
1.57scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 11:6
Leeds before this match, away
1.67points / match
1.17scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:3
Millwall at home away Leeds

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 1.17
0.86 Goals conceded 0.50
2.43 Total goals 1.67
14.29 Shots 13.67
4.57 Shots on target 4.17
8.14 Shots faced 7.33
5.29 Corners 3.83
4.71 Corners against 5.33
13.14 Fouls 13.17
2.43 Yellow cards 2.83
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

57% Wins 33%
14% Draws 67%
29% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
57% Over 1.5 goals 67%
43% Over 2.5 goals 17%
29% Over 3.5 goals 17%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 33%
43% Clean sheets 67%
14% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 33%
43% Draws 50%
29% Losses 17%
57% Over 0.5 goals 67%
14% Over 1.5 goals 17%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.24 Millwall – Burnley 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.102.70 2.75 1.44
26.10.24 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.88 2.20 1.67
23.10.24 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.105.25 1.80 2.00
19.10.24 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.10 2.30 1.62
05.10.24 West Brom – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.30 1.62
01.10.24 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.40 2.63 1.50
28.09.24 Millwall – Preston 3–1 (2–0) 1.903.504.00 2.38 1.57
21.09.24 QPR – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.67
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80
31.08.24 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (0–0) 2.383.302.90 2.08 1.73

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Leeds – Plymouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.188.0011.00 1.44 2.75
26.10.24 Bristol City – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.601.82 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Leeds – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
18.10.24 Leeds – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 2.10 1.73
04.10.24 Sunderland – Leeds 2–2 (1–1) 3.003.202.40 2.10 1.73
01.10.24 Norwich – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 3.903.401.95 1.88 1.98
28.09.24 Leeds – Coventry 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.00 1.67 2.20
21.09.24 Cardiff – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 5.254.001.62 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Leeds – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.85 2.00
31.08.24 Leeds – Hull 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.00 1.60 2.30

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.24 Millwall – Burnley 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.102.70 2.75 1.44
23.10.24 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.105.25 1.80 2.00
19.10.24 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.10 2.30 1.62
28.09.24 Millwall – Preston 3–1 (2–0) 1.903.504.00 2.38 1.57
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80
31.08.24 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (0–0) 2.383.302.90 2.08 1.73
10.08.24 Millwall – Watford 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.253.25 2.25 1.62
27.04.24 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.40 2.03 1.83
13.04.24 Millwall – Cardiff 3–1 (2–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
09.04.24 Millwall – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.751.67 2.00 1.85

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Bristol City – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.601.82 1.93 1.93
04.10.24 Sunderland – Leeds 2–2 (1–1) 3.003.202.40 2.10 1.73
01.10.24 Norwich – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 3.903.401.95 1.88 1.98
21.09.24 Cardiff – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 5.254.001.62 1.93 1.93
23.08.24 Sheffield Weds – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 4.103.401.91 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 West Brom – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 2.03 1.83
26.04.24 QPR – Leeds 4–0 (2–0) 5.004.501.57 1.67 2.20
22.04.24 Middlesbrough – Leeds 3–4 (2–3) 4.203.801.80 1.73 2.10
06.04.24 Coventry – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 3.603.801.95 1.62 2.30
29.03.24 Watford – Leeds 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.331.55 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall winsDrawsLeeds wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.03.24E1 Leeds – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.70 2.10
17.09.23E1 Millwall – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.402.38 2.00 1.80

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 14 9 3 2 18 7 +11 30
2 Sunderland 13 9 2 2 23 9 +14 29
3 Leeds 13 7 5 1 22 8 +14 26
4 Burnley 13 6 5 2 17 6 +11 23
5 Watford 14 7 1 6 22 22 0 22
6 West Brom 13 5 6 2 14 8 +6 21
7 Middlesbrough 14 6 3 5 18 16 +2 21
8 Millwall 13 5 4 4 16 12 +4 19
9 Blackburn 13 5 4 4 16 14 +2 19
10 Swansea 14 5 4 5 11 9 +2 19
11 Bristol City 14 4 7 3 18 19 -1 19
12 Norwich 14 4 6 4 23 20 +3 18
13 Sheffield Weds 14 5 3 6 17 24 -7 18
14 Oxford 14 4 5 5 17 17 0 17
15 Coventry 13 4 3 6 17 17 0 15
16 Derby 13 4 3 6 16 17 -1 15
17 Hull 14 3 6 5 15 18 -3 15
18 Stoke 13 4 3 6 15 18 -3 15
19 Cardiff 13 4 3 6 13 19 -6 15
20 Plymouth 14 4 3 7 14 25 -11 15
21 Preston 13 3 5 5 14 20 -6 14
22 Luton 13 3 3 7 15 21 -6 12
23 QPR 14 1 7 6 12 23 -11 10
24 Portsmouth 14 1 6 7 13 27 -14 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 7 5 1 1 15 5 +10 16
2 Sunderland 6 5 1 0 12 2 +10 16
3 Blackburn 7 5 1 1 12 5 +7 16
4 Watford 6 5 1 0 11 4 +7 16
5 Sheffield United 6 5 1 0 9 2 +7 16
6 Oxford 8 4 3 1 10 5 +5 15
7 Plymouth 7 4 2 1 13 9 +4 14
8 Derby 6 4 1 1 10 4 +6 13
9 Millwall 7 4 1 2 11 6 +5 13
10 Burnley 6 3 3 0 9 2 +7 12
11 Swansea 7 3 3 1 7 3 +4 12
12 Cardiff 7 4 0 3 10 7 +3 12
13 Stoke 7 3 2 2 14 10 +4 11
14 Preston 7 3 2 2 8 7 +1 11
15 Sheffield Weds 8 3 2 3 12 13 -1 11
16 Middlesbrough 7 3 2 2 7 8 -1 11
17 Norwich 6 2 4 0 15 8 +7 10
18 Bristol City 7 2 4 1 9 8 +1 10
19 Coventry 6 3 0 3 11 9 +2 9
20 West Brom 6 2 3 1 2 1 +1 9
21 Luton 7 2 2 3 11 12 -1 8
22 Hull 7 1 4 2 7 7 0 7
23 QPR 8 0 4 4 7 15 -8 4
24 Portsmouth 6 0 3 3 3 9 -6 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 8 4 2 2 9 5 +4 14
2 Sunderland 7 4 1 2 11 7 +4 13
3 West Brom 7 3 3 1 12 7 +5 12
4 Burnley 7 3 2 2 8 4 +4 11
5 Leeds 6 2 4 0 7 3 +4 10
6 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 11 8 +3 10
7 Bristol City 7 2 3 2 9 11 -2 9
8 Hull 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
9 Norwich 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
10 Swansea 7 2 1 4 4 6 -2 7
11 Sheffield Weds 6 2 1 3 5 11 -6 7
12 Millwall 6 1 3 2 5 6 -1 6
13 Coventry 7 1 3 3 6 8 -2 6
14 QPR 6 1 3 2 5 8 -3 6
15 Watford 8 2 0 6 11 18 -7 6
16 Portsmouth 8 1 3 4 10 18 -8 6
17 Luton 6 1 1 4 4 9 -5 4
18 Stoke 6 1 1 4 1 8 -7 4
19 Blackburn 6 0 3 3 4 9 -5 3
20 Preston 6 0 3 3 6 13 -7 3
21 Cardiff 6 0 3 3 3 12 -9 3
22 Oxford 6 0 2 4 7 12 -5 2
23 Derby 7 0 2 5 6 13 -7 2
24 Plymouth 7 0 1 6 1 16 -15 1

Millwall   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Watford 14 4 10 1.6 1.6 7 1 6 22 22 22
2 13 Sheffield Weds 14 6 8 1.2 1.7 5 3 6 17 24 18
3 22 Luton 13 5 8 1.2 1.6 3 3 7 15 21 12
4 24 Portsmouth 14 6 8 0.9 1.9 1 6 7 13 27 9
5 11 Bristol City 14 7 7 1.3 1.4 4 7 3 18 19 19
6 12 Norwich 14 7 7 1.6 1.4 4 6 4 23 20 18
7 15 Coventry 13 6 7 1.3 1.3 4 3 6 17 17 15
8 20 Plymouth 14 7 7 1.0 1.8 4 3 7 14 25 15
9 21 Preston 13 6 7 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 20 14
10 2 Sunderland 13 7 6 1.8 0.7 9 2 2 23 9 29
11 9 Blackburn 13 7 6 1.2 1.1 5 4 4 16 14 19
12 14 Oxford 14 8 6 1.2 1.2 4 5 5 17 17 17
13 18 Stoke 13 7 6 1.2 1.4 4 3 6 15 18 15
14 23 QPR 14 8 6 0.9 1.6 1 7 6 12 23 10
15 3 Leeds 13 8 5 1.7 0.6 7 5 1 22 8 26
16 7 Middlesbrough 14 9 5 1.3 1.1 6 3 5 18 16 21
17 16 Derby 13 8 5 1.2 1.3 4 3 6 16 17 15
18 6 West Brom 13 9 4 1.1 0.6 5 6 2 14 8 21
19 8 Millwall 13 9 4 1.2 0.9 5 4 4 16 12 19
20 17 Hull 14 10 4 1.1 1.3 3 6 5 15 18 15
21 19 Cardiff 13 9 4 1.0 1.5 4 3 6 13 19 15
22 4 Burnley 13 10 3 1.3 0.5 6 5 2 17 6 23
23 10 Swansea 14 11 3 0.8 0.6 5 4 5 11 9 19
24 1 Sheffield United 14 12 2 1.3 0.5 9 3 2 18 7 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 22 Luton 7 1 6 1.6 1.7 2 2 3 11 12 8
2 15 Coventry 6 1 5 1.8 1.5 3 0 3 11 9 9
3 18 Stoke 7 2 5 2.0 1.4 3 2 2 14 10 11
4 3 Leeds 7 3 4 2.1 0.7 5 1 1 15 5 16
5 5 Watford 6 2 4 1.8 0.7 5 1 0 11 4 16
6 12 Norwich 6 2 4 2.5 1.3 2 4 0 15 8 10
7 20 Plymouth 7 3 4 1.9 1.3 4 2 1 13 9 14
8 23 QPR 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 0 4 4 7 15 4
9 8 Millwall 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 4 1 2 11 6 13
10 9 Blackburn 7 4 3 1.7 0.7 5 1 1 12 5 16
11 11 Bristol City 7 4 3 1.3 1.1 2 4 1 9 8 10
12 13 Sheffield Weds 8 5 3 1.5 1.6 3 2 3 12 13 11
13 21 Preston 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 3 2 2 8 7 11
14 24 Portsmouth 6 3 3 0.5 1.5 0 3 3 3 9 3
15 2 Sunderland 6 4 2 2.0 0.3 5 1 0 12 2 16
16 4 Burnley 6 4 2 1.5 0.3 3 3 0 9 2 12
17 7 Middlesbrough 7 5 2 1.0 1.1 3 2 2 7 8 11
18 14 Oxford 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 4 3 1 10 5 15
19 16 Derby 6 4 2 1.7 0.7 4 1 1 10 4 13
20 19 Cardiff 7 5 2 1.4 1.0 4 0 3 10 7 12
21 1 Sheffield United 6 5 1 1.5 0.3 5 1 0 9 2 16
22 10 Swansea 7 6 1 1.0 0.4 3 3 1 7 3 12
23 17 Hull 7 6 1 1.0 1.0 1 4 2 7 7 7
24 6 West Brom 6 6 0 0.3 0.2 2 3 1 2 1 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Watford 8 2 6 1.4 2.2 2 0 6 11 18 6
2 13 Sheffield Weds 6 1 5 0.8 1.8 2 1 3 5 11 7
3 24 Portsmouth 8 3 5 1.2 2.2 1 3 4 10 18 6
4 2 Sunderland 7 3 4 1.6 1.0 4 1 2 11 7 13
5 6 West Brom 7 3 4 1.7 1.0 3 3 1 12 7 12
6 11 Bristol City 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 2 3 2 9 11 9
7 14 Oxford 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 0 2 4 7 12 2
8 21 Preston 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 0 3 3 6 13 3
9 7 Middlesbrough 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 3 1 3 11 8 10
10 9 Blackburn 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 0 3 3 4 9 3
11 12 Norwich 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 2 4 8 12 8
12 16 Derby 7 4 3 0.9 1.9 0 2 5 6 13 2
13 17 Hull 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
14 20 Plymouth 7 4 3 0.1 2.3 0 1 6 1 16 1
15 10 Swansea 7 5 2 0.6 0.9 2 1 4 4 6 7
16 15 Coventry 7 5 2 0.9 1.1 1 3 3 6 8 6
17 19 Cardiff 6 4 2 0.5 2.0 0 3 3 3 12 3
18 22 Luton 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 1 1 4 4 9 4
19 23 QPR 6 4 2 0.8 1.3 1 3 2 5 8 6
20 1 Sheffield United 8 7 1 1.1 0.6 4 2 2 9 5 14
21 3 Leeds 6 5 1 1.2 0.5 2 4 0 7 3 10
22 4 Burnley 7 6 1 1.1 0.6 3 2 2 8 4 11
23 8 Millwall 6 5 1 0.8 1.0 1 3 2 5 6 6
24 18 Stoke 6 5 1 0.2 1.3 1 1 4 1 8 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40