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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Attwell

Millwall 1–1 Derby

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.95 fair 1.89
Draw ✓ 3.20 fair 4.19
Away 4.10 fair 4.32
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 2.10
Over 2.5 2.30 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Derby
16 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
9 Corners 5
12 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (113 league matches this season so far).
Result Millwall to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.72 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 1–0 10.7% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.33scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 12:11
Derby before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 12:12
Millwall all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.33
1.22 Goals conceded 1.33
2.56 Total goals 2.67
13.33 Shots 10.67
4.44 Shots on target 3.78
10.00 Shots faced 12.56
5.44 Corners 5.78
5.33 Corners against 6.00
13.00 Fouls 13.11
2.11 Yellow cards 2.22
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

22% Wins 44%
33% Draws 0%
44% Losses 56%
78% Over 0.5 goals 100%
56% Over 1.5 goals 67%
44% Over 2.5 goals 44%
33% Over 3.5 goals 22%
22% Over 4.5 goals 22%
11% Over 5.5 goals 11%
44% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 44%
44% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 33%
44% Draws 33%
44% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 78%
33% Over 1.5 goals 11%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Derby all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
1.50points / match
2.00scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:5
Derby before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.75scored / match
2.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:9
Millwall at home away Derby

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.75
1.25 Goals conceded 2.25
3.25 Total goals 3.00
14.75 Shots 9.00
4.25 Shots on target 3.00
8.75 Shots faced 12.50
5.00 Corners 5.25
5.75 Corners against 4.25
12.75 Fouls 13.25
2.00 Yellow cards 2.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
50% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
75% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 25%
25% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
50% Both teams scored 50%
25% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%
25% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 West Brom – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.30 1.62
01.10.24 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.40 2.63 1.50
28.09.24 Millwall – Preston 3–1 (2–0) 1.903.504.00 2.38 1.57
21.09.24 QPR – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.67
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80
31.08.24 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (0–0) 2.383.302.90 2.08 1.73
24.08.24 Hull – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.30 2.05 1.75
17.08.24 Bristol City – Millwall 4–3 (2–0) 2.003.204.10 2.35 1.57
10.08.24 Millwall – Watford 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.253.25 2.25 1.62
04.05.24 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Derby – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 2.10 1.73
01.10.24 Sunderland – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 2.03 1.83
28.09.24 Derby – Norwich 2–3 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.98 1.88
21.09.24 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.50 1.80 2.00
14.09.24 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73
31.08.24 Derby – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.40 2.05 1.80
24.08.24 Watford – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
09.08.24 Blackburn – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
27.04.24E2 Derby – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.54 2.35

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24 Millwall – Preston 3–1 (2–0) 1.903.504.00 2.38 1.57
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80
31.08.24 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (0–0) 2.383.302.90 2.08 1.73
10.08.24 Millwall – Watford 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.253.25 2.25 1.62
27.04.24 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.40 2.03 1.83
13.04.24 Millwall – Cardiff 3–1 (2–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
09.04.24 Millwall – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.751.67 2.00 1.85
29.03.24 Millwall – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.102.30 2.50 1.50
09.03.24 Millwall – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.40 2.15 1.67
02.03.24 Millwall – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 2.10 1.70

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.24 Sunderland – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 2.03 1.83
21.09.24 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.50 1.80 2.00
24.08.24 Watford – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.88 1.98
09.08.24 Blackburn – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
20.04.24E2 Cambridge – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.001.55 1.90 1.95
10.04.24E2 Wycombe – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.751.83 1.98 1.88
02.04.24E2 Portsmouth – Derby 2–2 (1–2) 2.253.303.30 2.08 1.73
23.03.24E2 Northampton – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 5.753.601.65 2.08 1.73
09.03.24E2 Bristol Rvs – Derby 0–3 (0–0) 3.603.502.00 1.95 1.90
24.02.24E2 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.803.402.50 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall winsDrawsDerby wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.02.22E1 Derby – Millwall 1–2 (0–2) 2.623.102.87 2.62 1.50
06.11.21E1 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 1.833.404.75 2.37 1.57

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 10 6 3 1 12 5 +7 21
2 Sunderland 9 6 1 2 18 8 +10 19
3 Leeds 10 5 4 1 17 7 +10 19
4 Burnley 9 5 3 1 14 4 +10 18
5 West Brom 10 5 3 2 13 7 +6 18
6 Watford 10 5 1 4 14 17 -3 16
7 Norwich 9 4 3 2 16 10 +6 15
8 Blackburn 9 4 3 2 15 11 +4 15
9 Middlesbrough 9 4 2 3 10 7 +3 14
10 Oxford 10 3 4 3 14 12 +2 13
11 Swansea 9 3 3 3 8 6 +2 12
12 Derby 9 4 0 5 12 12 0 12
13 Hull 9 3 3 3 12 13 -1 12
14 Preston 10 3 3 4 8 12 -4 12
15 Luton 10 3 2 5 11 15 -4 11
16 Sheffield Weds 9 3 2 4 11 15 -4 11
17 Bristol City 9 2 5 2 10 14 -4 11
18 Plymouth 10 3 2 5 10 18 -8 11
19 Stoke 9 3 1 5 10 12 -2 10
20 Millwall 9 2 3 4 12 11 +1 9
21 Coventry 10 2 2 6 10 14 -4 8
22 Cardiff 10 2 2 6 9 18 -9 8
23 QPR 9 1 4 4 9 16 -7 7
24 Portsmouth 9 0 5 4 9 20 -11 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 5 4 1 0 10 2 +8 13
2 Watford 5 4 1 0 10 4 +6 13
3 Sheffield United 5 4 1 0 7 2 +5 13
4 Blackburn 4 4 0 0 11 3 +8 12
5 Derby 5 4 0 1 9 3 +6 12
6 Burnley 5 3 2 0 9 2 +7 11
7 Oxford 5 3 2 0 7 2 +5 11
8 Leeds 5 3 1 1 10 4 +6 10
9 Plymouth 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10
10 Preston 5 3 1 1 5 2 +3 10
11 Norwich 5 2 3 0 12 5 +7 9
12 Swansea 5 2 3 0 6 2 +4 9
13 Bristol City 5 2 3 0 8 6 +2 9
14 Middlesbrough 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8
15 West Brom 5 2 2 1 2 1 +1 8
16 Sheffield Weds 4 2 1 1 8 5 +3 7
17 Luton 5 2 1 2 9 9 0 7
18 Stoke 4 2 0 2 9 6 +3 6
19 Millwall 4 2 0 2 8 5 +3 6
20 Coventry 5 2 0 3 8 7 +1 6
21 Cardiff 5 2 0 3 6 6 0 6
22 Hull 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
23 Portsmouth 5 0 3 2 2 7 -5 3
24 QPR 4 0 2 2 4 8 -4 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 5 3 1 1 11 6 +5 10
2 Leeds 5 2 3 0 7 3 +4 9
3 Sheffield United 5 2 2 1 5 3 +2 8
4 Burnley 4 2 1 1 5 2 +3 7
5 Hull 5 2 1 2 7 9 -2 7
6 Sunderland 4 2 0 2 8 6 +2 6
7 Middlesbrough 5 2 0 3 4 4 0 6
8 Norwich 4 2 0 2 4 5 -1 6
9 QPR 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
10 Luton 5 1 1 3 2 6 -4 4
11 Stoke 5 1 1 3 1 6 -5 4
12 Sheffield Weds 5 1 1 3 3 10 -7 4
13 Millwall 5 0 3 2 4 6 -2 3
14 Swansea 4 1 0 3 2 4 -2 3
15 Blackburn 5 0 3 2 4 8 -4 3
16 Watford 5 1 0 4 4 13 -9 3
17 Oxford 5 0 2 3 7 10 -3 2
18 Coventry 5 0 2 3 2 7 -5 2
19 Portsmouth 4 0 2 2 7 13 -6 2
20 Bristol City 4 0 2 2 2 8 -6 2
21 Preston 5 0 2 3 3 10 -7 2
22 Cardiff 5 0 2 3 3 12 -9 2
23 Plymouth 5 0 1 4 1 12 -11 1
24 Derby 4 0 0 4 3 9 -6 0

Millwall   Derby

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Watford 10 2 8 1.4 1.7 5 1 4 14 17 16
2 8 Blackburn 9 3 6 1.7 1.2 4 3 2 15 11 15
3 15 Luton 10 4 6 1.1 1.5 3 2 5 11 15 11
4 16 Sheffield Weds 9 3 6 1.2 1.7 3 2 4 11 15 11
5 24 Portsmouth 9 3 6 1.0 2.2 0 5 4 9 20 5
6 2 Sunderland 9 4 5 2.0 0.9 6 1 2 18 8 19
7 10 Oxford 10 5 5 1.4 1.2 3 4 3 14 12 13
8 18 Plymouth 10 5 5 1.0 1.8 3 2 5 10 18 11
9 21 Coventry 10 5 5 1.0 1.4 2 2 6 10 14 8
10 5 West Brom 10 6 4 1.3 0.7 5 3 2 13 7 18
11 7 Norwich 9 5 4 1.8 1.1 4 3 2 16 10 15
12 12 Derby 9 5 4 1.3 1.3 4 0 5 12 12 12
13 13 Hull 9 5 4 1.3 1.4 3 3 3 12 13 12
14 14 Preston 10 6 4 0.8 1.2 3 3 4 8 12 12
15 17 Bristol City 9 5 4 1.1 1.6 2 5 2 10 14 11
16 19 Stoke 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 3 1 5 10 12 10
17 20 Millwall 9 5 4 1.3 1.2 2 3 4 12 11 9
18 23 QPR 9 5 4 1.0 1.8 1 4 4 9 16 7
19 3 Leeds 10 7 3 1.7 0.7 5 4 1 17 7 19
20 4 Burnley 9 6 3 1.6 0.4 5 3 1 14 4 18
21 22 Cardiff 10 7 3 0.9 1.8 2 2 6 9 18 8
22 9 Middlesbrough 9 7 2 1.1 0.8 4 2 3 10 7 14
23 11 Swansea 9 7 2 0.9 0.7 3 3 3 8 6 12
24 1 Sheffield United 10 9 1 1.2 0.5 6 3 1 12 5 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Luton 5 0 5 1.8 1.8 2 1 2 9 9 7
2 6 Watford 5 1 4 2.0 0.8 4 1 0 10 4 13
3 21 Coventry 5 1 4 1.6 1.4 2 0 3 8 7 6
4 7 Norwich 5 2 3 2.4 1.0 2 3 0 12 5 9
5 8 Blackburn 4 1 3 2.8 0.8 4 0 0 11 3 12
6 18 Plymouth 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10
7 19 Stoke 4 1 3 2.2 1.5 2 0 2 9 6 6
8 20 Millwall 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 2 0 2 8 5 6
9 2 Sunderland 5 3 2 2.0 0.4 4 1 0 10 2 13
10 3 Leeds 5 3 2 2.0 0.8 3 1 1 10 4 10
11 4 Burnley 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 3 2 0 9 2 11
12 12 Derby 5 3 2 1.8 0.6 4 0 1 9 3 12
13 16 Sheffield Weds 4 2 2 2.0 1.2 2 1 1 8 5 7
14 17 Bristol City 5 3 2 1.6 1.2 2 3 0 8 6 9
15 23 QPR 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 0 2 2 4 8 2
16 24 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0.4 1.4 0 3 2 2 7 3
17 1 Sheffield United 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 4 1 0 7 2 13
18 9 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 2 2 0 6 3 8
19 10 Oxford 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 3 2 0 7 2 11
20 11 Swansea 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 2 3 0 6 2 9
21 13 Hull 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
22 14 Preston 5 4 1 1.0 0.4 3 1 1 5 2 10
23 22 Cardiff 5 4 1 1.2 1.2 2 0 3 6 6 6
24 5 West Brom 5 5 0 0.4 0.2 2 2 1 2 1 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 West Brom 5 1 4 2.2 1.2 3 1 1 11 6 10
2 6 Watford 5 1 4 0.8 2.6 1 0 4 4 13 3
3 10 Oxford 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 0 2 3 7 10 2
4 16 Sheffield Weds 5 1 4 0.6 2.0 1 1 3 3 10 4
5 24 Portsmouth 4 0 4 1.8 3.2 0 2 2 7 13 2
6 2 Sunderland 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 0 2 8 6 6
7 8 Blackburn 5 2 3 0.8 1.6 0 3 2 4 8 3
8 13 Hull 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 2 1 2 7 9 7
9 14 Preston 5 2 3 0.6 2.0 0 2 3 3 10 2
10 12 Derby 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 0 0 4 3 9 0
11 17 Bristol City 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 0 2 2 2 8 2
12 18 Plymouth 5 3 2 0.2 2.4 0 1 4 1 12 1
13 22 Cardiff 5 3 2 0.6 2.4 0 2 3 3 12 2
14 23 QPR 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
15 3 Leeds 5 4 1 1.4 0.6 2 3 0 7 3 9
16 4 Burnley 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 1 1 5 2 7
17 7 Norwich 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 2 0 2 4 5 6
18 9 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 0 3 4 4 6
19 11 Swansea 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 1 0 3 2 4 3
20 15 Luton 5 4 1 0.4 1.2 1 1 3 2 6 4
21 19 Stoke 5 4 1 0.2 1.2 1 1 3 1 6 4
22 20 Millwall 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 0 3 2 4 6 3
23 21 Coventry 5 4 1 0.4 1.4 0 2 3 2 7 2
24 1 Sheffield United 5 5 0 1.0 0.6 2 2 1 5 3 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40