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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Bell

Leeds 0–1 Burnley

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.73 fair 2.29
Draw 3.80 fair 4.06
Away ✓ 4.75 fair 3.16
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.21
Over 2.5 1.85 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Burnley
17 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
9 Corners 3
8 Fouls 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (49 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.57 – 1.30
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 2–1 9.1% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.75scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:3
Burnley before this match, all matches
1.75points / match
2.50scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 10:3
Leeds all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 2.50
0.75 Goals conceded 0.75
2.50 Total goals 3.25
14.75 Shots 9.75
5.25 Shots on target 3.50
7.50 Shots faced 11.25
6.50 Corners 4.00
3.75 Corners against 3.25
13.00 Fouls 17.50
2.25 Yellow cards 3.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.25
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
50% Draws 25%
0% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
25% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
25% Over 4.5 goals 50%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 50%
75% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 50%
50% Draws 25%
25% Losses 25%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
25% Over 1.5 goals 75%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Burnley all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 5:3
Burnley before this match, away
1.50points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 4:2
Leeds at home away Burnley

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 2.00
1.50 Goals conceded 1.00
4.00 Total goals 3.00
19.00 Shots 7.50
7.50 Shots on target 3.50
7.00 Shots faced 12.00
10.00 Corners 2.50
3.50 Corners against 4.00
15.50 Fouls 18.00
2.00 Yellow cards 3.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
50% Over 4.5 goals 50%
50% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24 Leeds – Hull 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.00 1.60 2.30
23.08.24 Sheffield Weds – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 4.103.401.91 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 West Brom – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 2.03 1.83
10.08.24 Leeds – Portsmouth 3–3 (1–2) 1.365.008.00 1.60 2.30
04.05.24 Leeds – Southampton 1–2 (1–2) 1.574.335.50 1.50 2.63
26.04.24 QPR – Leeds 4–0 (2–0) 5.004.501.57 1.67 2.20
22.04.24 Middlesbrough – Leeds 3–4 (2–3) 4.203.801.80 1.73 2.10
13.04.24 Leeds – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.62 2.30
09.04.24 Leeds – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.57 2.38
06.04.24 Coventry – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 3.603.801.95 1.62 2.30

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24 Burnley – Blackburn 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.603.80 1.80 2.00
24.08.24 Sunderland – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.30 1.90 1.95
17.08.24 Burnley – Cardiff 5–0 (2–0) 1.454.207.00 1.73 2.08
12.08.24 Luton – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.383.402.88 1.88 1.98
19.05.24E0 Burnley – Nott'm Forest 1–2 (0–2) 3.003.502.30 1.53 2.50
11.05.24E0 Tottenham – Burnley 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.757.00 1.25 4.00
04.05.24E0 Burnley – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 3.404.001.95 1.50 2.63
27.04.24E0 Man United – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.755.50 1.36 3.20
20.04.24E0 Sheffield United – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
13.04.24E0 Burnley – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24 Leeds – Hull 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.00 1.60 2.30
10.08.24 Leeds – Portsmouth 3–3 (1–2) 1.365.008.00 1.60 2.30
04.05.24 Leeds – Southampton 1–2 (1–2) 1.574.335.50 1.50 2.63
13.04.24 Leeds – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.62 2.30
09.04.24 Leeds – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.57 2.38
01.04.24 Leeds – Hull 3–1 (1–1) 1.405.007.50 1.65 2.20
17.03.24 Leeds – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.70 2.10
05.03.24 Leeds – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.00 1.53 2.40
23.02.24 Leeds – Leicester 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 1.80 2.00
10.02.24 Leeds – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.177.5015.00 1.50 2.50

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.24 Sunderland – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.30 1.90 1.95
12.08.24 Luton – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.383.402.88 1.88 1.98
11.05.24E0 Tottenham – Burnley 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.757.00 1.25 4.00
27.04.24E0 Man United – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.755.50 1.36 3.20
20.04.24E0 Sheffield United – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
06.04.24E0 Everton – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.25 1.80 2.00
30.03.24E0 Chelsea – Burnley 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.48 2.60
10.03.24E0 West Ham – Burnley 2–2 (0–2) 1.674.004.75 1.70 2.10
24.02.24E0 Crystal Palace – Burnley 3–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.70
10.02.24E0 Liverpool – Burnley 3–1 (1–1) 1.178.0017.00 1.33 3.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsBurnley wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.22E0 Leeds – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 2.053.503.50 1.72 2.10
29.08.21E0 Burnley – Leeds 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 1.72 2.10

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 4 4 0 0 10 1 +9 12
2 Sheffield United 5 3 2 0 8 3 +5 11
3 West Brom 4 3 1 0 6 2 +4 10
4 Watford 4 3 0 1 8 4 +4 9
5 Leeds 4 2 2 0 7 3 +4 8
6 Blackburn 4 2 2 0 9 6 +3 8
7 Burnley 4 2 1 1 10 3 +7 7
8 Middlesbrough 4 2 1 1 5 3 +2 7
9 Oxford 4 2 0 2 8 6 +2 6
10 Derby 4 2 0 2 7 6 +1 6
11 Stoke 4 2 0 2 3 5 -2 6
12 QPR 4 1 2 1 6 7 -1 5
13 Norwich 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 5
14 Bristol City 4 1 2 1 6 8 -2 5
15 Millwall 4 1 1 2 8 7 +1 4
16 Swansea 4 1 1 2 4 3 +1 4
17 Coventry 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
18 Portsmouth 4 0 3 1 6 8 -2 3
19 Hull 5 0 3 2 2 6 -4 3
20 Sheffield Weds 4 1 0 3 4 9 -5 3
21 Preston 4 1 0 3 2 8 -6 3
22 Plymouth 4 0 2 2 2 7 -5 2
23 Luton 4 0 1 3 2 7 -5 1
24 Cardiff 4 0 1 3 1 10 -9 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6
2 Oxford 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
3 Watford 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
4 Derby 2 2 0 0 4 0 +4 6
5 Blackburn 2 2 0 0 6 3 +3 6
6 Burnley 2 1 1 0 6 1 +5 4
7 Swansea 2 1 1 0 4 1 +3 4
8 Leeds 2 1 1 0 5 3 +2 4
9 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 5 4 +1 4
10 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
11 Sheffield United 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
12 West Brom 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
13 Millwall 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
14 Sheffield Weds 2 1 0 1 4 2 +2 3
15 Coventry 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
16 Stoke 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
17 Preston 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
18 Norwich 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
19 Hull 3 0 2 1 1 3 -2 2
20 Plymouth 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
21 QPR 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
22 Portsmouth 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
23 Luton 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0
24 Cardiff 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
2 Sunderland 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
3 West Brom 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
4 Leeds 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
5 QPR 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
6 Burnley 2 1 0 1 4 2 +2 3
7 Middlesbrough 2 1 0 1 2 1 +1 3
8 Watford 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
9 Norwich 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
10 Stoke 2 1 0 1 1 3 -2 3
11 Portsmouth 2 0 2 0 5 5 0 2
12 Blackburn 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
13 Millwall 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
14 Coventry 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
15 Luton 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
16 Hull 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
17 Bristol City 2 0 1 1 1 4 -3 1
18 Plymouth 2 0 1 1 1 5 -4 1
19 Cardiff 2 0 1 1 1 6 -5 1
20 Oxford 2 0 0 2 3 5 -2 0
21 Swansea 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 0
22 Derby 2 0 0 2 3 6 -3 0
23 Preston 2 0 0 2 1 6 -5 0
24 Sheffield Weds 2 0 0 2 0 7 -7 0

Leeds   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Watford 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 3 0 1 8 4 9
2 6 Blackburn 4 1 3 2.2 1.5 2 2 0 9 6 8
3 9 Oxford 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 0 2 8 6 6
4 10 Derby 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 0 2 7 6 6
5 12 QPR 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 2 1 6 7 5
6 15 Millwall 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 1 1 2 8 7 4
7 18 Portsmouth 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 0 3 1 6 8 3
8 20 Sheffield Weds 4 1 3 1.0 2.2 1 0 3 4 9 3
9 1 Sunderland 4 2 2 2.5 0.2 4 0 0 10 1 12
10 3 West Brom 4 2 2 1.5 0.5 3 1 0 6 2 10
11 7 Burnley 4 2 2 2.5 0.8 2 1 1 10 3 7
12 11 Stoke 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 2 0 2 3 5 6
13 14 Bristol City 4 2 2 1.5 2.0 1 2 1 6 8 5
14 21 Preston 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 1 0 3 2 8 3
15 23 Luton 4 2 2 0.5 1.8 0 1 3 2 7 1
16 2 Sheffield United 5 4 1 1.6 0.6 3 2 0 8 3 11
17 5 Leeds 4 3 1 1.8 0.8 2 2 0 7 3 8
18 8 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 1 1 5 3 7
19 13 Norwich 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 2 1 4 5 5
20 16 Swansea 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 1 1 2 4 3 4
21 17 Coventry 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
22 22 Plymouth 4 3 1 0.5 1.8 0 2 2 2 7 2
23 24 Cardiff 4 3 1 0.2 2.5 0 1 3 1 10 1
24 19 Hull 5 5 0 0.4 1.2 0 3 2 2 6 3
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Watford 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
2 6 Blackburn 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 2 0 0 6 3 6
3 15 Millwall 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3
4 23 Luton 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
5 1 Sunderland 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6
6 2 Sheffield United 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
7 5 Leeds 2 1 1 2.5 1.5 1 1 0 5 3 4
8 7 Burnley 2 1 1 3.0 0.5 1 1 0 6 1 4
9 8 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
10 9 Oxford 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
11 10 Derby 2 1 1 2.0 0.0 2 0 0 4 0 6
12 11 Stoke 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
13 12 QPR 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
14 13 Norwich 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
15 14 Bristol City 2 1 1 2.5 2.0 1 1 0 5 4 4
16 16 Swansea 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 1 1 0 4 1 4
17 17 Coventry 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
18 18 Portsmouth 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
19 20 Sheffield Weds 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 1 4 2 3
20 3 West Brom 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
21 19 Hull 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 2 1 1 3 2
22 21 Preston 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
23 22 Plymouth 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
24 24 Cardiff 2 2 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 West Brom 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
2 9 Oxford 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 0 2 3 5 0
3 10 Derby 2 0 2 1.5 3.0 0 0 2 3 6 0
4 12 QPR 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
5 18 Portsmouth 2 0 2 2.5 2.5 0 2 0 5 5 2
6 20 Sheffield Weds 2 0 2 0.0 3.5 0 0 2 0 7 0
7 21 Preston 2 0 2 0.5 3.0 0 0 2 1 6 0
8 1 Sunderland 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
9 4 Watford 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
10 6 Blackburn 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
11 7 Burnley 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 1 4 2 3
12 11 Stoke 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 1 0 1 1 3 3
13 14 Bristol City 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 1 1 1 4 1
14 15 Millwall 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
15 22 Plymouth 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 1 1 1 5 1
16 24 Cardiff 2 1 1 0.5 3.0 0 1 1 1 6 1
17 2 Sheffield United 3 3 0 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
18 5 Leeds 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
19 8 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 0 1 2 1 3
20 13 Norwich 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
21 16 Swansea 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 2 0 2 0
22 17 Coventry 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
23 19 Hull 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
24 23 Luton 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40