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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Hooper

Sunderland 1–0 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.40 fair 2.02
Draw 3.40 fair 4.02
Away 2.80 fair 3.89
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 2.02
Over 2.5 1.90 fair 1.98

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sunderland Middlesbrough
9 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 1
3 Corners 5
8 Fouls 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (61 league matches this season so far).
Result Sunderland to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.60 – 1.09
Home / Draw / Away
SunderlandDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 1–0 10.9% 2–1 9.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Sunderland before this match, all matches
2.40points / match
2.40scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 12:4
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
1.20scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:4
Sunderland all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

2.40 Goals scored 1.20
0.80 Goals conceded 0.80
3.20 Total goals 2.00
13.60 Shots 18.60
4.80 Shots on target 5.20
8.80 Shots faced 6.60
4.40 Corners 8.80
4.20 Corners against 4.00
11.20 Fouls 9.00
1.80 Yellow cards 0.60
1.40 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

80% Wins 40%
0% Draws 40%
20% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 20%
60% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 40%
60% Clean sheets 40%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 20%
0% Draws 40%
0% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
20% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sunderland all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Sunderland before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.50scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 5:0
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:1
Sunderland at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded 0.50
2.50 Total goals 1.50
14.50 Shots 15.00
4.50 Shots on target 4.50
6.50 Shots faced 7.50
4.00 Corners 7.00
4.50 Corners against 3.50
11.00 Fouls 7.50
1.00 Yellow cards 1.00
2.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

100% Wins 50%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 0%
100% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
50% Over 1.5 goals 0%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sunderland at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sunderland all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Plymouth – Sunderland 3–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.75 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Portsmouth – Sunderland 1–3 (0–1) 3.303.702.05 2.00 1.85
24.08.24 Sunderland – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.30 1.90 1.95
18.08.24 Sunderland – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (3–0) 2.203.303.30 1.95 1.90
10.08.24 Cardiff – Sunderland 0–2 (0–1) 2.803.302.50 2.20 1.65
04.05.24 Sunderland – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–2) 2.703.402.55 2.00 1.80
27.04.24 Watford – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.25 2.10 1.73
20.04.24 Sunderland – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.20 1.67
13.04.24 West Brom – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 2.10 1.73
09.04.24 Leeds – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.57 2.38

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Middlesbrough – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 1.454.207.00 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.751.85 1.90 1.95
24.08.24 Middlesbrough – Portsmouth 2–2 (1–2) 1.454.337.00 1.73 2.10
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
10.08.24 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.33 1.73 2.08
04.05.24 Middlesbrough – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
27.04.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 1.93 1.93
22.04.24 Middlesbrough – Leeds 3–4 (2–3) 4.203.801.80 1.73 2.10
13.04.24 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.20 1.62 2.30
10.04.24 Hull – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–1) 2.403.402.90 1.80 2.00

Sunderland at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.24 Sunderland – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.30 1.90 1.95
18.08.24 Sunderland – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (3–0) 2.203.303.30 1.95 1.90
04.05.24 Sunderland – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–2) 2.703.402.55 2.00 1.80
20.04.24 Sunderland – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.20 1.67
06.04.24 Sunderland – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.30 1.62
01.04.24 Sunderland – Blackburn 1–5 (0–2) 2.103.403.60 1.95 1.90
16.03.24 Sunderland – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.253.00 2.15 1.67
05.03.24 Sunderland – Leicester 0–1 (0–1) 3.803.751.91 1.85 2.00
24.02.24 Sunderland – Swansea 1–2 (0–2) 1.833.504.75 1.85 2.00
10.02.24 Sunderland – Plymouth 3–1 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.62 2.25

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.751.85 1.90 1.95
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
27.04.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 1.93 1.93
13.04.24 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.20 1.62 2.30
10.04.24 Hull – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–1) 2.403.402.90 1.80 2.00
29.03.24 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.505.25 1.48 2.60
12.03.24 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
09.03.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.98 1.88
02.03.24 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.95 1.90
17.02.24 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.65 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sunderland winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
4matches
2.25goals / match
25%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.24E1 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.85 2.00
07.10.23E1 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.75 2.05
22.01.23E1 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 2–0 (0–0) 2.883.402.50 2.02 1.83
05.09.22E1 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 1.723.605.00 1.98 1.88

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 5 4 1 0 9 2 +7 13
2 Sunderland 5 4 0 1 12 4 +8 12
3 Blackburn 5 3 2 0 12 6 +6 11
4 Sheffield United 5 3 2 0 8 3 +5 11
5 Burnley 5 3 1 1 11 3 +8 10
6 Watford 5 3 1 1 9 5 +4 10
7 Oxford 5 3 0 2 9 6 +3 9
8 Derby 5 3 0 2 8 6 +2 9
9 Leeds 5 2 2 1 7 4 +3 8
10 Middlesbrough 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
11 Swansea 5 2 1 2 5 3 +2 7
12 QPR 5 1 3 1 7 8 -1 6
13 Hull 6 1 3 2 5 7 -2 6
14 Stoke 6 2 0 4 4 9 -5 6
15 Coventry 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
16 Norwich 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
17 Plymouth 5 1 2 2 5 9 -4 5
18 Bristol City 5 1 2 2 6 11 -5 5
19 Millwall 5 1 1 3 8 8 0 4
20 Luton 5 1 1 3 3 7 -4 4
21 Sheffield Weds 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4
22 Preston 5 1 1 3 3 9 -6 4
23 Portsmouth 5 0 3 2 6 11 -5 3
24 Cardiff 5 0 1 4 1 11 -10 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 3 3 0 0 9 3 +6 9
2 Oxford 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
3 Derby 3 3 0 0 5 0 +5 9
4 Watford 3 2 1 0 6 2 +4 7
5 Swansea 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
6 Sunderland 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6
7 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
8 Burnley 2 1 1 0 6 1 +5 4
9 Sheffield Weds 3 1 1 1 5 3 +2 4
10 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 5 4 +1 4
11 Leeds 3 1 1 1 5 4 +1 4
12 Sheffield United 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
13 West Brom 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
14 Plymouth 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
15 Millwall 3 1 0 2 5 4 +1 3
16 Coventry 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
17 Preston 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
18 Stoke 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
19 Norwich 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
20 Hull 3 0 2 1 1 3 -2 2
21 QPR 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
22 Portsmouth 3 0 1 2 1 6 -5 1
23 Luton 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0
24 Cardiff 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 3 3 0 0 8 2 +6 9
2 Sheffield United 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
3 Sunderland 3 2 0 1 7 4 +3 6
4 Burnley 3 2 0 1 5 2 +3 6
5 QPR 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
6 Leeds 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
7 Hull 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
8 Luton 3 1 1 1 1 1 0 4
9 Middlesbrough 2 1 0 1 2 1 +1 3
10 Watford 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
11 Norwich 3 1 0 2 1 3 -2 3
12 Stoke 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 3
13 Portsmouth 2 0 2 0 5 5 0 2
14 Blackburn 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
15 Coventry 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
16 Millwall 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
17 Plymouth 2 0 1 1 1 5 -4 1
18 Preston 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
19 Bristol City 3 0 1 2 1 7 -6 1
20 Cardiff 3 0 1 2 1 7 -6 1
21 Oxford 2 0 0 2 3 5 -2 0
22 Swansea 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 0
23 Derby 2 0 0 2 3 6 -3 0
24 Sheffield Weds 2 0 0 2 0 7 -7 0

Sunderland   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Blackburn 5 1 4 2.4 1.2 3 2 0 12 6 11
2 23 Portsmouth 5 1 4 1.2 2.2 0 3 2 6 11 3
3 1 West Brom 5 2 3 1.8 0.4 4 1 0 9 2 13
4 2 Sunderland 5 2 3 2.4 0.8 4 0 1 12 4 12
5 6 Watford 5 2 3 1.8 1.0 3 1 1 9 5 10
6 7 Oxford 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 0 2 9 6 9
7 8 Derby 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 0 2 8 6 9
8 12 QPR 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 1 3 1 7 8 6
9 14 Stoke 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 2 0 4 4 9 6
10 18 Bristol City 5 2 3 1.2 2.2 1 2 2 6 11 5
11 19 Millwall 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 1 1 3 8 8 4
12 21 Sheffield Weds 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4
13 5 Burnley 5 3 2 2.2 0.6 3 1 1 11 3 10
14 17 Plymouth 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 2 5 9 5
15 20 Luton 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 1 1 3 3 7 4
16 22 Preston 5 3 2 0.6 1.8 1 1 3 3 9 4
17 4 Sheffield United 5 4 1 1.6 0.6 3 2 0 8 3 11
18 9 Leeds 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 2 2 1 7 4 8
19 10 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
20 11 Swansea 5 4 1 1.0 0.6 2 1 2 5 3 7
21 13 Hull 6 5 1 0.8 1.2 1 3 2 5 7 6
22 15 Coventry 5 4 1 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
23 16 Norwich 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
24 24 Cardiff 5 4 1 0.2 2.2 0 1 4 1 11 1
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Blackburn 3 0 3 3.0 1.0 3 0 0 9 3 9
2 6 Watford 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 1 0 6 2 7
3 14 Stoke 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
4 19 Millwall 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 0 2 5 4 3
5 20 Luton 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
6 23 Portsmouth 3 1 2 0.3 2.0 0 1 2 1 6 1
7 2 Sunderland 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6
8 4 Sheffield United 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
9 5 Burnley 2 1 1 3.0 0.5 1 1 0 6 1 4
10 7 Oxford 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
11 8 Derby 3 2 1 1.7 0.0 3 0 0 5 0 9
12 9 Leeds 3 2 1 1.7 1.3 1 1 1 5 4 4
13 10 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
14 11 Swansea 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
15 12 QPR 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
16 15 Coventry 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
17 16 Norwich 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
18 17 Plymouth 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
19 18 Bristol City 2 1 1 2.5 2.0 1 1 0 5 4 4
20 21 Sheffield Weds 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 1 1 1 5 3 4
21 1 West Brom 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
22 13 Hull 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 2 1 1 3 2
23 22 Preston 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
24 24 Cardiff 2 2 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 West Brom 3 0 3 2.7 0.7 3 0 0 8 2 9
2 2 Sunderland 3 1 2 2.3 1.3 2 0 1 7 4 6
3 7 Oxford 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 0 2 3 5 0
4 8 Derby 2 0 2 1.5 3.0 0 0 2 3 6 0
5 12 QPR 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
6 18 Bristol City 3 1 2 0.3 2.3 0 1 2 1 7 1
7 21 Sheffield Weds 2 0 2 0.0 3.5 0 0 2 0 7 0
8 22 Preston 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
9 23 Portsmouth 2 0 2 2.5 2.5 0 2 0 5 5 2
10 3 Blackburn 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
11 5 Burnley 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 0 1 5 2 6
12 6 Watford 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
13 13 Hull 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
14 14 Stoke 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 1 0 2 1 4 3
15 17 Plymouth 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 1 1 1 5 1
16 19 Millwall 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
17 24 Cardiff 3 2 1 0.3 2.3 0 1 2 1 7 1
18 4 Sheffield United 3 3 0 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
19 9 Leeds 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
20 10 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 0 1 2 1 3
21 11 Swansea 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 2 0 2 0
22 15 Coventry 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2
23 16 Norwich 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 1 0 2 1 3 3
24 20 Luton 3 3 0 0.3 0.3 1 1 1 1 1 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51