Watford 2–1 Middlesbrough – England Championship, 5 Oct 2024

Match facts

Watford Middlesbrough

9 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 5

7 Corners 5

15 Fouls 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (100 league matches this season so far).

Result Watford to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.98

Expected goals 1.45 – 1.08

Home / Draw / Away

46% 26% 28%

WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 47%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

49% 51%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

26% 2

22% 3

14% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.5% 1–0 11.5% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches

1.63points / match

1.50scored / match

1.63conceded / match

4 1 3

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:13

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches

1.75points / match

1.13scored / match

0.63conceded / match

4 2 2

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:5

Watford all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.13

1.63 Goals conceded 0.63

3.13 Total goals 1.75

13.13 Shots 18.13

4.63 Shots on target 5.00

14.63 Shots faced 7.50

4.50 Corners 7.50

5.63 Corners against 3.75

11.13 Fouls 9.50

1.88 Yellow cards 1.25

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%

13% Draws 25%

38% Losses 25%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

88% Over 1.5 goals 50%

75% Over 2.5 goals 13%

25% Over 3.5 goals 13%

25% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

63% Both teams scored 25%

13% Clean sheets 50%

25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%

38% Draws 38%

38% Losses 38%

75% Over 0.5 goals 75%

25% Over 1.5 goals 25%

13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches

1

W

1

3

L

3

2

W

3

W

2

1

W

1

L

1

D

1

4

L

2

1

W

3

L

Middlesbrough all matches

4

1

W

3

1

W

1

W

1

L

2

D

2

W

1

D

1

L

2

W

1

W

Watford before this match, at home

2.50points / match

2.00scored / match

0.75conceded / match

3 1

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:3

Middlesbrough before this match, away

1.50points / match

0.75scored / match

0.50conceded / match

2 2

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:2

Watford at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.75

0.75 Goals conceded 0.50

2.75 Total goals 1.25

16.75 Shots 14.00

5.50 Shots on target 3.50

12.25 Shots faced 8.75

4.00 Corners 5.75

5.50 Corners against 3.75

10.50 Fouls 9.00

2.00 Yellow cards 1.25

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

75% Wins 50%

25% Draws 0%

0% Losses 50%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

100% Over 1.5 goals 25%

75% Over 2.5 goals 0%

0% Over 3.5 goals 0%

0% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

75% Both teams scored 0%

25% Clean sheets 50%

0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%

50% Draws 50%

25% Losses 50%

75% Over 0.5 goals 50%

25% Over 1.5 goals 0%

0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home

1

D

1

2

L

2

D

1

W

3

W

2

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

Middlesbrough away

2

W

1

W

1

D

2

D

1

D

4

1

W

1

L

2

W

1

L

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.10.24	Preston – Watford	3–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.75	2.00	1.80
28.09.24	Watford – Sunderland	2–1 (1–0)	2.75	3.60	2.35	2.00	1.85
21.09.24	Norwich – Watford	4–1 (2–1)	2.15	3.50	3.20	1.93	1.93
14.09.24	Watford – Coventry	1–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.40	2.70	1.83	2.03
01.09.24	Sheffield United – Watford	1–0 (1–0)	1.75	3.75	4.33	1.83	2.03
24.08.24	Watford – Derby	2–1 (1–1)	1.85	3.50	4.10	1.88	1.98
17.08.24	Watford – Stoke	3–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.70	2.05	1.80
10.08.24	Millwall – Watford	2–3 (0–1)	2.30	3.25	3.25	2.25	1.62
04.05.24	Middlesbrough – Watford	3–1 (1–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.62	2.30
27.04.24	Watford – Sunderland	1–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.20	3.25	2.10	1.73

Middlesbrough all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.10.24	West Brom – Middlesbrough	0–1 (0–0)	2.40	3.40	2.80	1.90	1.95
28.09.24	Middlesbrough – Stoke	2–0 (1–0)	1.60	4.00	5.00	1.73	2.10
21.09.24	Sunderland – Middlesbrough	1–0 (1–0)	2.40	3.40	2.80	1.90	1.95
14.09.24	Middlesbrough – Preston	1–1 (1–1)	1.45	4.20	7.00	1.73	2.10
31.08.24	Cardiff – Middlesbrough	0–2 (0–0)	3.90	3.75	1.85	1.90	1.95
24.08.24	Middlesbrough – Portsmouth	2–2 (1–2)	1.45	4.33	7.00	1.73	2.10
17.08.24	Derby – Middlesbrough	1–0 (1–0)	3.50	3.50	2.00	1.85	2.00
10.08.24	Middlesbrough – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.50	4.33	1.73	2.08
04.05.24	Middlesbrough – Watford	3–1 (1–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.62	2.30
27.04.24	Cardiff – Middlesbrough	1–4 (0–1)	3.60	3.60	2.00	1.93	1.93

Watford at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.09.24	Watford – Sunderland	2–1 (1–0)	2.75	3.60	2.35	2.00	1.85
14.09.24	Watford – Coventry	1–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.40	2.70	1.83	2.03
24.08.24	Watford – Derby	2–1 (1–1)	1.85	3.50	4.10	1.88	1.98
17.08.24	Watford – Stoke	3–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.70	2.05	1.80
27.04.24	Watford – Sunderland	1–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.20	3.25	2.10	1.73
20.04.24	Watford – Hull	0–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.50	2.38	1.83	2.03
06.04.24	Watford – Preston	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	2.10	1.73
29.03.24	Watford – Leeds	2–2 (2–1)	6.00	4.33	1.55	1.70	2.10
09.03.24	Watford – Coventry	1–2 (1–1)	2.88	3.40	2.40	1.85	2.00
06.03.24	Watford – Swansea	1–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.25	1.93	1.93

Middlesbrough away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.10.24	West Brom – Middlesbrough	0–1 (0–0)	2.40	3.40	2.80	1.90	1.95
21.09.24	Sunderland – Middlesbrough	1–0 (1–0)	2.40	3.40	2.80	1.90	1.95
31.08.24	Cardiff – Middlesbrough	0–2 (0–0)	3.90	3.75	1.85	1.90	1.95
17.08.24	Derby – Middlesbrough	1–0 (1–0)	3.50	3.50	2.00	1.85	2.00
27.04.24	Cardiff – Middlesbrough	1–4 (0–1)	3.60	3.60	2.00	1.93	1.93
13.04.24	Ipswich – Middlesbrough	1–1 (1–1)	1.75	4.00	4.20	1.62	2.30
10.04.24	Hull – Middlesbrough	2–2 (2–1)	2.40	3.40	2.90	1.80	2.00
29.03.24	Southampton – Middlesbrough	1–1 (1–0)	1.57	4.50	5.25	1.48	2.60
12.03.24	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	0–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.60	2.40	1.80	2.00
09.03.24	QPR – Middlesbrough	0–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.60	2.88	1.98	1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 3

Watford winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins

4matches

3.50goals / match

75%over 2.5

75%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.05.24E1	Middlesbrough – Watford	3–1 (1–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.62	2.30
30.09.23E1	Watford – Middlesbrough	2–3 (1–2)	2.45	3.40	2.90	1.93	1.93
28.01.23E1	Middlesbrough – Watford	2–0 (2–0)	1.91	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
30.08.22E1	Watford – Middlesbrough	2–1 (1–1)	2.50	3.25	2.90	2.10	1.72

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sunderland	9	6	1	2	18	8	+10	19
2	Burnley	9	5	3	1	14	4	+10	18
3	Sheffield United	8	5	3	0	10	3	+7	18
4	Leeds	9	4	4	1	15	7	+8	16
5	West Brom	8	5	1	2	12	6	+6	16
6	Norwich	9	4	3	2	16	10	+6	15
7	Blackburn	8	4	3	1	14	9	+5	15
8	Middlesbrough	8	4	2	2	9	5	+4	14
9	Watford	8	4	1	3	12	13	-1	13
10	Oxford	9	3	3	3	13	11	+2	12
11	Hull	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
12	Swansea	8	3	2	3	8	6	+2	11
13	Bristol City	8	2	4	2	9	13	-4	10
14	Derby	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9
15	Stoke	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9
16	Preston	9	2	3	4	7	12	-5	9
17	Millwall	8	2	2	4	12	11	+1	8
18	Coventry	8	2	2	4	9	11	-2	8
19	Plymouth	8	2	2	4	8	12	-4	8
20	Sheffield Weds	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8
21	Luton	8	2	2	4	8	13	-5	8
22	QPR	8	1	4	3	9	14	-5	7
23	Portsmouth	9	0	5	4	9	20	-11	5
24	Cardiff	8	1	1	6	3	17	-14	4

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sunderland	5	4	1	0	10	2	+8	13
2	Blackburn	4	4	0	0	11	3	+8	12
3	Burnley	5	3	2	0	9	2	+7	11
4	Watford	4	3	1	0	8	3	+5	10
5	Oxford	4	3	1	0	6	1	+5	10
6	Sheffield United	4	3	1	0	5	2	+3	10
7	Norwich	5	2	3	0	12	5	+7	9
8	Derby	4	3	0	1	7	3	+4	9
9	Swansea	4	2	2	0	6	2	+4	8
10	Middlesbrough	4	2	2	0	6	3	+3	8
11	Bristol City	4	2	2	0	7	5	+2	8
12	Leeds	4	2	1	1	8	4	+4	7
13	Sheffield Weds	4	2	1	1	8	5	+3	7
14	Plymouth	4	2	1	1	7	5	+2	7
15	Preston	4	2	1	1	4	2	+2	7
16	West Brom	4	2	1	1	2	1	+1	7
17	Stoke	4	2	0	2	9	6	+3	6
18	Millwall	4	2	0	2	8	5	+3	6
19	Coventry	4	2	0	2	7	5	+2	6
20	Hull	4	1	2	1	5	4	+1	5
21	Luton	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
22	Portsmouth	5	0	3	2	2	7	-5	3
23	Cardiff	4	1	0	3	1	6	-5	3
24	QPR	4	0	2	2	4	8	-4	2

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	West Brom	4	3	0	1	10	5	+5	9
2	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
3	Sheffield United	4	2	2	0	5	1	+4	8
4	Burnley	4	2	1	1	5	2	+3	7
5	Hull	5	2	1	2	7	9	-2	7
6	Sunderland	4	2	0	2	8	6	+2	6
7	Middlesbrough	4	2	0	2	3	2	+1	6
8	Norwich	4	2	0	2	4	5	-1	6
9	QPR	4	1	2	1	5	6	-1	5
10	Luton	4	1	1	2	2	4	-2	4
11	Swansea	4	1	0	3	2	4	-2	3
12	Blackburn	4	0	3	1	3	6	-3	3
13	Stoke	4	1	0	3	1	6	-5	3
14	Watford	4	1	0	3	4	10	-6	3
15	Millwall	4	0	2	2	4	6	-2	2
16	Oxford	5	0	2	3	7	10	-3	2
17	Coventry	4	0	2	2	2	6	-4	2
18	Portsmouth	4	0	2	2	7	13	-6	2
19	Bristol City	4	0	2	2	2	8	-6	2
20	Preston	5	0	2	3	3	10	-7	2
21	Plymouth	4	0	1	3	1	7	-6	1
22	Sheffield Weds	4	0	1	3	1	9	-8	1
23	Cardiff	4	0	1	3	2	11	-9	1
24	Derby	4	0	0	4	3	9	-6	0

Watford Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Watford	8	2	6	1.5	1.6	4	1	3	12	13	13
2	23	Portsmouth	9	3	6	1.0	2.2	0	5	4	9	20	5
3	1	Sunderland	9	4	5	2.0	0.9	6	1	2	18	8	19
4	7	Blackburn	8	3	5	1.8	1.1	4	3	1	14	9	15
5	10	Oxford	9	4	5	1.4	1.2	3	3	3	13	11	12
6	20	Sheffield Weds	8	3	5	1.1	1.8	2	2	4	9	14	8
7	21	Luton	8	3	5	1.0	1.6	2	2	4	8	13	8
8	5	West Brom	8	4	4	1.5	0.8	5	1	2	12	6	16
9	6	Norwich	9	5	4	1.8	1.1	4	3	2	16	10	15
10	11	Hull	9	5	4	1.3	1.4	3	3	3	12	13	12
11	13	Bristol City	8	4	4	1.1	1.6	2	4	2	9	13	10
12	14	Derby	8	4	4	1.2	1.5	3	0	5	10	12	9
13	15	Stoke	8	4	4	1.2	1.5	3	0	5	10	12	9
14	16	Preston	9	5	4	0.8	1.3	2	3	4	7	12	9
15	17	Millwall	8	4	4	1.5	1.4	2	2	4	12	11	8
16	18	Coventry	8	4	4	1.1	1.4	2	2	4	9	11	8
17	22	QPR	8	4	4	1.1	1.8	1	4	3	9	14	7
18	2	Burnley	9	6	3	1.6	0.4	5	3	1	14	4	18
19	4	Leeds	9	6	3	1.7	0.8	4	4	1	15	7	16
20	19	Plymouth	8	5	3	1.0	1.5	2	2	4	8	12	8
21	12	Swansea	8	6	2	1.0	0.8	3	2	3	8	6	11
22	24	Cardiff	8	6	2	0.4	2.1	1	1	6	3	17	4
23	3	Sheffield United	8	7	1	1.2	0.4	5	3	0	10	3	18
24	8	Middlesbrough	8	7	1	1.1	0.6	4	2	2	9	5	14

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	21	Luton	4	0	4	1.5	2.2	1	1	2	6	9	4
2	6	Norwich	5	2	3	2.4	1.0	2	3	0	12	5	9
3	7	Blackburn	4	1	3	2.8	0.8	4	0	0	11	3	12
4	9	Watford	4	1	3	2.0	0.8	3	1	0	8	3	10
5	15	Stoke	4	1	3	2.2	1.5	2	0	2	9	6	6
6	17	Millwall	4	1	3	2.0	1.2	2	0	2	8	5	6
7	18	Coventry	4	1	3	1.8	1.2	2	0	2	7	5	6
8	1	Sunderland	5	3	2	2.0	0.4	4	1	0	10	2	13
9	2	Burnley	5	3	2	1.8	0.4	3	2	0	9	2	11
10	4	Leeds	4	2	2	2.0	1.0	2	1	1	8	4	7
11	13	Bristol City	4	2	2	1.8	1.2	2	2	0	7	5	8
12	14	Derby	4	2	2	1.8	0.8	3	0	1	7	3	9
13	19	Plymouth	4	2	2	1.8	1.2	2	1	1	7	5	7
14	20	Sheffield Weds	4	2	2	2.0	1.2	2	1	1	8	5	7
15	22	QPR	4	2	2	1.0	2.0	0	2	2	4	8	2
16	23	Portsmouth	5	3	2	0.4	1.4	0	3	2	2	7	3
17	3	Sheffield United	4	3	1	1.2	0.5	3	1	0	5	2	10
18	8	Middlesbrough	4	3	1	1.5	0.8	2	2	0	6	3	8
19	10	Oxford	4	3	1	1.5	0.2	3	1	0	6	1	10
20	11	Hull	4	3	1	1.2	1.0	1	2	1	5	4	5
21	12	Swansea	4	3	1	1.5	0.5	2	2	0	6	2	8
22	16	Preston	4	3	1	1.0	0.5	2	1	1	4	2	7
23	5	West Brom	4	4	0	0.5	0.2	2	1	1	2	1	7
24	24	Cardiff	4	4	0	0.2	1.5	1	0	3	1	6	3

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	West Brom	4	0	4	2.5	1.2	3	0	1	10	5	9
2	10	Oxford	5	1	4	1.4	2.0	0	2	3	7	10	2
3	23	Portsmouth	4	0	4	1.8	3.2	0	2	2	7	13	2
4	1	Sunderland	4	1	3	2.0	1.5	2	0	2	8	6	6
5	9	Watford	4	1	3	1.0	2.5	1	0	3	4	10	3
6	11	Hull	5	2	3	1.4	1.8	2	1	2	7	9	7
7	16	Preston	5	2	3	0.6	2.0	0	2	3	3	10	2
8	20	Sheffield Weds	4	1	3	0.2	2.2	0	1	3	1	9	1
9	7	Blackburn	4	2	2	0.8	1.5	0	3	1	3	6	3
10	13	Bristol City	4	2	2	0.5	2.0	0	2	2	2	8	2
11	14	Derby	4	2	2	0.8	2.2	0	0	4	3	9	0
12	22	QPR	4	2	2	1.2	1.5	1	2	1	5	6	5
13	24	Cardiff	4	2	2	0.5	2.8	0	1	3	2	11	1
14	2	Burnley	4	3	1	1.2	0.5	2	1	1	5	2	7
15	4	Leeds	5	4	1	1.4	0.6	2	3	0	7	3	9
16	6	Norwich	4	3	1	1.0	1.2	2	0	2	4	5	6
17	12	Swansea	4	3	1	0.5	1.0	1	0	3	2	4	3
18	15	Stoke	4	3	1	0.2	1.5	1	0	3	1	6	3
19	17	Millwall	4	3	1	1.0	1.5	0	2	2	4	6	2
20	18	Coventry	4	3	1	0.5	1.5	0	2	2	2	6	2
21	19	Plymouth	4	3	1	0.2	1.8	0	1	3	1	7	1
22	21	Luton	4	3	1	0.5	1.0	1	1	2	2	4	4
23	3	Sheffield United	4	4	0	1.2	0.2	2	2	0	5	1	8
24	8	Middlesbrough	4	4	0	0.8	0.5	2	0	2	3	2	6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.