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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D England

Leeds 3–2 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 3–2 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.73 fair 1.96
Draw 4.00 fair 4.40
Away 4.50 fair 3.82
Under 2.5 2.25 fair 2.52
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Middlesbrough
20 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 3
12 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (218 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.85 – 1.27
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.4% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 8.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
1.94points / match
1.72scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 31:18
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.61scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 29:26
Leeds all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.72 Goals scored 1.61
1.00 Goals conceded 1.44
2.72 Total goals 3.06
16.33 Shots 14.50
5.44 Shots on target 5.83
9.28 Shots faced 11.00
6.00 Corners 6.83
4.56 Corners against 4.78
9.89 Fouls 11.22
1.39 Yellow cards 1.67
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

56% Wins 44%
28% Draws 17%
17% Losses 39%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 83%
56% Over 2.5 goals 56%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 22%
6% Over 5.5 goals 11%
56% Both teams scored 50%
33% Clean sheets 28%
22% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 11%
50% Draws 44%
17% Losses 44%
61% Over 0.5 goals 61%
50% Over 1.5 goals 39%
22% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
2.33points / match
2.00scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 18:7
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.22points / match
2.00scored / match
2.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 18:19
Leeds at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 2.00
0.78 Goals conceded 2.11
2.78 Total goals 4.11
18.11 Shots 15.44
6.00 Shots on target 5.44
7.00 Shots faced 11.33
6.67 Corners 6.00
2.89 Corners against 5.22
9.67 Fouls 11.11
1.11 Yellow cards 1.56
1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 1.11

How often Full Time

67% Wins 33%
33% Draws 22%
0% Losses 44%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 89%
33% Over 3.5 goals 56%
11% Over 4.5 goals 44%
0% Over 5.5 goals 22%
67% Both teams scored 78%
33% Clean sheets 11%
11% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 11%
44% Draws 22%
11% Losses 67%
67% Over 0.5 goals 78%
56% Over 1.5 goals 44%
22% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.23 Leeds – Swansea 3–1 (2–1) 1.365.258.50 1.53 2.40
24.11.23 Rotherham – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 7.505.001.36 1.67 2.15
11.11.23 Leeds – Plymouth 2–1 (2–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.36 3.10
03.11.23 Leicester – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.603.25 1.67 2.15
28.10.23 Leeds – Huddersfield 4–1 (4–0) 1.364.759.00 1.62 2.25
25.10.23 Stoke – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.80 2.00
21.10.23 Norwich – Leeds 2–3 (2–0) 3.003.502.25 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 Leeds – Bristol City 2–1 (1–1) 1.574.205.75 1.70 2.10
04.10.23 Leeds – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.009.00 1.60 2.30
30.09.23 Southampton – Leeds 3–1 (3–0) 3.003.502.30 1.60 2.30

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.23 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.673.605.50 2.00 1.85
25.11.23 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 3–2 (2–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85
11.11.23 Middlesbrough – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.602.30 1.70 2.10
04.11.23 Plymouth – Middlesbrough 3–3 (2–1) 4.003.601.91 1.60 2.30
28.10.23 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–2 (0–2) 1.754.004.33 1.75 2.05
24.10.23 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.15
21.10.23 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
07.10.23 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.754.00 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.90 1.93 1.93

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.23 Leeds – Swansea 3–1 (2–1) 1.365.258.50 1.53 2.40
11.11.23 Leeds – Plymouth 2–1 (2–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.36 3.10
28.10.23 Leeds – Huddersfield 4–1 (4–0) 1.364.759.00 1.62 2.25
07.10.23 Leeds – Bristol City 2–1 (1–1) 1.574.205.75 1.70 2.10
04.10.23 Leeds – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.009.00 1.60 2.30
23.09.23 Leeds – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10
02.09.23 Leeds – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 1.444.507.50 1.67 2.20
18.08.23 Leeds – West Brom 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.40 1.95 1.90
06.08.23 Leeds – Cardiff 2–2 (0–2) 1.404.508.50 1.67 2.20
28.05.23E0 Leeds – Tottenham 1–4 (0–1) 2.753.802.30 1.50 2.63

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 3–2 (2–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85
04.11.23 Plymouth – Middlesbrough 3–3 (2–1) 4.003.601.91 1.60 2.30
24.10.23 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.15
07.10.23 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.90 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.90 1.95
16.09.23 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.252.75 1.73 2.10
26.08.23 West Brom – Middlesbrough 4–2 (2–1) 2.203.503.20 1.95 1.90
12.08.23 Coventry – Middlesbrough 3–0 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 1.98 1.88
01.05.23 Rotherham – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.302.05 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 19 15 1 3 34 12 +22 46
2 Ipswich 18 13 3 2 39 24 +15 42
3 Leeds 18 10 5 3 31 18 +13 35
4 Southampton 18 10 4 4 29 27 +2 34
5 West Brom 19 9 5 5 30 19 +11 32
6 Hull 18 8 6 4 28 22 +6 30
7 Blackburn 18 9 1 8 31 28 +3 28
8 Preston 19 8 4 7 24 32 -8 28
9 Cardiff 18 8 3 7 27 21 +6 27
10 Middlesbrough 18 8 3 7 29 26 +3 27
11 Sunderland 18 8 2 8 28 21 +7 26
12 Bristol City 18 7 4 7 19 19 0 25
13 Watford 18 6 6 6 26 22 +4 24
14 Norwich 18 7 2 9 32 35 -3 23
15 Coventry 18 5 7 6 23 21 +2 22
16 Birmingham 18 6 4 8 23 27 -4 22
17 Stoke 18 6 3 9 18 25 -7 21
18 Swansea 18 5 5 8 25 26 -1 20
19 Millwall 18 5 5 8 20 25 -5 20
20 Plymouth 18 5 4 9 29 28 +1 19
21 Huddersfield 18 4 7 7 17 30 -13 19
22 QPR 19 4 4 11 17 30 -13 16
23 Rotherham 18 2 6 10 17 37 -20 12
24 Sheffield Weds 18 1 4 13 9 30 -21 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 9 8 0 1 28 16 +12 24
2 Leeds 9 6 3 0 18 7 +11 21
3 Leicester 9 7 0 2 13 4 +9 21
4 West Brom 10 6 2 2 17 9 +8 20
5 Watford 10 5 3 2 21 10 +11 18
6 Birmingham 9 5 3 1 15 9 +6 18
7 Southampton 9 5 2 2 17 14 +3 17
8 Preston 10 5 2 3 15 17 -2 17
9 Plymouth 9 5 1 3 22 13 +9 16
10 Hull 9 4 4 1 14 8 +6 16
11 Cardiff 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16
12 Middlesbrough 9 5 1 3 11 7 +4 16
13 Sunderland 9 5 0 4 17 12 +5 15
14 Norwich 9 5 0 4 13 12 +1 15
15 Coventry 9 3 5 1 10 7 +3 14
16 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 12 10 +2 14
17 Stoke 9 4 1 4 9 11 -2 13
18 Blackburn 9 4 0 5 13 16 -3 12
19 Rotherham 9 2 5 2 13 12 +1 11
20 Swansea 9 2 4 3 11 11 0 10
21 Huddersfield 9 2 4 3 8 14 -6 10
22 Millwall 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7
23 Sheffield Weds 9 1 3 5 5 13 -8 6
24 QPR 8 1 2 5 8 16 -8 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 10 8 1 1 21 8 +13 25
2 Ipswich 9 5 3 1 11 8 +3 18
3 Southampton 9 5 2 2 12 13 -1 17
4 Blackburn 9 5 1 3 18 12 +6 16
5 Leeds 9 4 2 3 13 11 +2 14
6 Hull 9 4 2 3 14 14 0 14
7 Millwall 9 3 4 2 13 10 +3 13
8 West Brom 9 3 3 3 13 10 +3 12
9 Sunderland 9 3 2 4 11 9 +2 11
10 Cardiff 9 3 2 4 12 11 +1 11
11 Middlesbrough 9 3 2 4 18 19 -1 11
12 Bristol City 9 3 2 4 7 9 -2 11
13 QPR 11 3 2 6 9 14 -5 11
14 Preston 9 3 2 4 9 15 -6 11
15 Swansea 9 3 1 5 14 15 -1 10
16 Huddersfield 9 2 3 4 9 16 -7 9
17 Coventry 9 2 2 5 13 14 -1 8
18 Norwich 9 2 2 5 19 23 -4 8
19 Stoke 9 2 2 5 9 14 -5 8
20 Watford 8 1 3 4 5 12 -7 6
21 Birmingham 9 1 1 7 8 18 -10 4
22 Plymouth 9 0 3 6 7 15 -8 3
23 Sheffield Weds 9 0 1 8 4 17 -13 1
24 Rotherham 9 0 1 8 4 25 -21 1

Leeds   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Blackburn 18 4 14 1.7 1.6 9 1 8 31 28 28
2 14 Norwich 18 5 13 1.8 1.9 7 2 9 32 35 23
3 4 Southampton 18 6 12 1.6 1.5 10 4 4 29 27 34
4 8 Preston 19 7 12 1.3 1.7 8 4 7 24 32 28
5 11 Sunderland 18 6 12 1.6 1.2 8 2 8 28 21 26
6 20 Plymouth 18 6 12 1.6 1.6 5 4 9 29 28 19
7 2 Ipswich 18 7 11 2.2 1.3 13 3 2 39 24 42
8 18 Swansea 18 7 11 1.4 1.4 5 5 8 25 26 20
9 3 Leeds 18 8 10 1.7 1.0 10 5 3 31 18 35
10 5 West Brom 19 9 10 1.6 1.0 9 5 5 30 19 32
11 6 Hull 18 8 10 1.6 1.2 8 6 4 28 22 30
12 10 Middlesbrough 18 8 10 1.6 1.4 8 3 7 29 26 27
13 19 Millwall 18 8 10 1.1 1.4 5 5 8 20 25 20
14 23 Rotherham 18 8 10 0.9 2.1 2 6 10 17 37 12
15 1 Leicester 19 10 9 1.8 0.6 15 1 3 34 12 46
16 9 Cardiff 18 9 9 1.5 1.2 8 3 7 27 21 27
17 16 Birmingham 18 9 9 1.3 1.5 6 4 8 23 27 22
18 21 Huddersfield 18 9 9 0.9 1.7 4 7 7 17 30 19
19 22 QPR 19 10 9 0.9 1.6 4 4 11 17 30 16
20 13 Watford 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 6 6 6 26 22 24
21 24 Sheffield Weds 18 10 8 0.5 1.7 1 4 13 9 30 7
22 15 Coventry 18 11 7 1.3 1.2 5 7 6 23 21 22
23 17 Stoke 18 11 7 1.0 1.4 6 3 9 18 25 21
24 12 Bristol City 18 12 6 1.1 1.1 7 4 7 19 19 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 9 1 8 3.1 1.8 8 0 1 28 16 24
2 8 Preston 10 2 8 1.5 1.7 5 2 3 15 17 17
3 7 Blackburn 9 2 7 1.4 1.8 4 0 5 13 16 12
4 11 Sunderland 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 5 0 4 17 12 15
5 20 Plymouth 9 2 7 2.4 1.4 5 1 3 22 13 16
6 3 Leeds 9 3 6 2.0 0.8 6 3 0 18 7 21
7 4 Southampton 9 3 6 1.9 1.6 5 2 2 17 14 17
8 13 Watford 10 4 6 2.1 1.0 5 3 2 21 10 18
9 19 Millwall 9 3 6 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7
10 5 West Brom 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 6 2 2 17 9 20
11 14 Norwich 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 5 0 4 13 12 15
12 16 Birmingham 9 4 5 1.7 1.0 5 3 1 15 9 18
13 18 Swansea 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 4 3 11 11 10
14 22 QPR 8 3 5 1.0 2.0 1 2 5 8 16 5
15 23 Rotherham 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 2 5 2 13 12 11
16 9 Cardiff 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16
17 17 Stoke 9 5 4 1.0 1.2 4 1 4 9 11 13
18 21 Huddersfield 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 2 4 3 8 14 10
19 1 Leicester 9 6 3 1.4 0.4 7 0 2 13 4 21
20 6 Hull 9 6 3 1.6 0.9 4 4 1 14 8 16
21 12 Bristol City 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 4 2 3 12 10 14
22 24 Sheffield Weds 9 6 3 0.6 1.4 1 3 5 5 13 6
23 10 Middlesbrough 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 5 1 3 11 7 16
24 15 Coventry 9 7 2 1.1 0.8 3 5 1 10 7 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Middlesbrough 9 1 8 2.0 2.1 3 2 4 18 19 11
2 14 Norwich 9 1 8 2.1 2.6 2 2 5 19 23 8
3 6 Hull 9 2 7 1.6 1.6 4 2 3 14 14 14
4 7 Blackburn 9 2 7 2.0 1.3 5 1 3 18 12 16
5 1 Leicester 10 4 6 2.1 0.8 8 1 1 21 8 25
6 4 Southampton 9 3 6 1.3 1.4 5 2 2 12 13 17
7 18 Swansea 9 3 6 1.6 1.7 3 1 5 14 15 10
8 5 West Brom 9 4 5 1.4 1.1 3 3 3 13 10 12
9 9 Cardiff 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 3 2 4 12 11 11
10 11 Sunderland 9 4 5 1.2 1.0 3 2 4 11 9 11
11 15 Coventry 9 4 5 1.4 1.6 2 2 5 13 14 8
12 20 Plymouth 9 4 5 0.8 1.7 0 3 6 7 15 3
13 21 Huddersfield 9 4 5 1.0 1.8 2 3 4 9 16 9
14 23 Rotherham 9 4 5 0.4 2.8 0 1 8 4 25 1
15 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 0.4 1.9 0 1 8 4 17 1
16 3 Leeds 9 5 4 1.4 1.2 4 2 3 13 11 14
17 8 Preston 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 3 2 4 9 15 11
18 16 Birmingham 9 5 4 0.9 2.0 1 1 7 8 18 4
19 19 Millwall 9 5 4 1.4 1.1 3 4 2 13 10 13
20 22 QPR 11 7 4 0.8 1.3 3 2 6 9 14 11
21 2 Ipswich 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 5 3 1 11 8 18
22 12 Bristol City 9 6 3 0.8 1.0 3 2 4 7 9 11
23 17 Stoke 9 6 3 1.0 1.6 2 2 5 9 14 8
24 13 Watford 8 6 2 0.6 1.5 1 3 4 5 12 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40