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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Harrington

Middlesbrough 3–4 Leeds

Full time · half time 2–3 · season 2023/2024

Home 4.20 fair 3.31
Draw 3.80 fair 3.80
Away ✓ 1.80 fair 2.30
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 1.90
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 2.12

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Leeds
13 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 5
11 Corners 4
14 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (524 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.14 – 1.42
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 0–1 11% 1–2 8.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.47points / match
1.42scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 43 played · 61:56
Leeds before this match, all matches
2.02points / match
1.77scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 43 played · 76:34
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 1.77
1.30 Goals conceded 0.79
2.72 Total goals 2.56
13.65 Shots 15.42
4.88 Shots on target 5.37
11.67 Shots faced 9.21
5.98 Corners 6.02
5.19 Corners against 4.37
10.67 Fouls 9.95
1.79 Yellow cards 1.49
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.51

How often Full Time

42% Wins 60%
21% Draws 21%
37% Losses 19%
98% Over 0.5 goals 93%
84% Over 1.5 goals 70%
49% Over 2.5 goals 51%
26% Over 3.5 goals 28%
12% Over 4.5 goals 9%
5% Over 5.5 goals 2%
56% Both teams scored 44%
26% Clean sheets 44%
21% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 42%
40% Draws 40%
37% Losses 19%
70% Over 0.5 goals 70%
37% Over 1.5 goals 40%
16% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Leeds all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
1.48points / match
1.14scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 24:21
Leeds before this match, away
1.62points / match
1.52scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 32:20
Middlesbrough at home away Leeds

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.52
1.00 Goals conceded 0.95
2.14 Total goals 2.48
14.29 Shots 13.67
5.05 Shots on target 4.90
10.62 Shots faced 10.67
6.95 Corners 5.00
4.67 Corners against 6.33
11.33 Fouls 9.43
1.57 Yellow cards 1.38
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

43% Wins 48%
19% Draws 19%
38% Losses 33%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
76% Over 1.5 goals 67%
29% Over 2.5 goals 43%
14% Over 3.5 goals 24%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
38% Both teams scored 38%
38% Clean sheets 43%
29% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 33%
48% Draws 38%
24% Losses 29%
62% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
10% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.20 1.62 2.30
10.04.24 Hull – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–1) 2.403.402.90 1.80 2.00
06.04.24 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.804.20 1.80 2.00
01.04.24 Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.83 2.03
29.03.24 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.505.25 1.48 2.60
16.03.24 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.75 2.05
12.03.24 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
09.03.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.98 1.88
06.03.24 Middlesbrough – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.08
02.03.24 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.95 1.90

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Leeds – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.62 2.30
09.04.24 Leeds – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.57 2.38
06.04.24 Coventry – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 3.603.801.95 1.62 2.30
01.04.24 Leeds – Hull 3–1 (1–1) 1.405.007.50 1.65 2.20
29.03.24 Watford – Leeds 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.331.55 1.70 2.10
17.03.24 Leeds – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.70 2.10
08.03.24 Sheffield Weds – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 5.004.201.62 1.75 2.05
05.03.24 Leeds – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.00 1.53 2.40
02.03.24 Huddersfield – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.80 2.00
23.02.24 Leeds – Leicester 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 1.80 2.00

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.804.20 1.80 2.00
01.04.24 Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.83 2.03
16.03.24 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.75 2.05
06.03.24 Middlesbrough – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.08
24.02.24 Middlesbrough – Plymouth 0–2 (0–2) 1.444.507.00 1.53 2.40
10.02.24 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–2 (0–2) 1.704.004.50 1.95 1.90
04.02.24 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.85 2.00
20.01.24 Middlesbrough – Rotherham 1–1 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.62 2.25
01.01.24 Middlesbrough – Coventry 1–3 (1–1) 1.953.753.60 1.75 2.05
23.12.23 Middlesbrough – West Brom 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.253.30 2.05 1.75

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Coventry – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 3.603.801.95 1.62 2.30
29.03.24 Watford – Leeds 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.331.55 1.70 2.10
08.03.24 Sheffield Weds – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 5.004.201.62 1.75 2.05
02.03.24 Huddersfield – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.80 2.00
17.02.24 Plymouth – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 6.504.751.44 1.48 2.60
13.02.24 Swansea – Leeds 0–4 (0–3) 5.254.331.57 1.67 2.15
02.02.24 Bristol City – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.801.73 2.03 1.83
13.01.24 Cardiff – Leeds 0–3 (0–2) 5.254.201.62 1.93 1.93
29.12.23 West Brom – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.70
26.12.23 Preston – Leeds 2–1 (0–0) 5.754.201.57 1.83 2.03

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsLeeds wins
1matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23E1 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 43 29 4 10 81 39 +42 91
2 Ipswich 43 26 11 6 85 53 +32 89
3 Leeds 43 26 9 8 76 34 +42 87
4 Southampton 43 25 9 9 85 56 +29 84
5 West Brom 44 20 12 12 67 44 +23 72
6 Norwich 44 21 9 14 77 61 +16 72
7 Hull 43 18 12 13 62 54 +8 66
8 Coventry 42 17 12 13 66 52 +14 63
9 Middlesbrough 43 18 9 16 61 56 +5 63
10 Preston 44 18 9 17 56 61 -5 63
11 Cardiff 44 19 5 20 50 61 -11 62
12 Bristol City 44 16 11 17 51 47 +4 59
13 Sunderland 44 16 8 20 52 51 +1 56
14 Swansea 44 15 11 18 57 62 -5 56
15 Watford 44 12 17 15 59 58 +1 53
16 Millwall 44 14 11 19 43 55 -12 53
17 Stoke 44 13 11 20 44 60 -16 50
18 QPR 44 13 11 20 41 57 -16 50
19 Blackburn 44 13 10 21 58 74 -16 49
20 Plymouth 44 12 12 20 58 69 -11 48
21 Sheffield Weds 44 13 8 23 39 68 -29 47
22 Birmingham 44 12 10 22 48 64 -16 46
23 Huddersfield 44 9 17 18 47 74 -27 44
24 Rotherham 44 4 12 28 32 85 -53 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 22 16 5 1 44 14 +30 53
2 Ipswich 22 15 6 1 57 32 +25 51
3 Leicester 21 16 1 4 42 16 +26 49
4 Southampton 22 15 3 4 54 28 +26 48
5 Norwich 22 15 3 4 41 20 +21 48
6 West Brom 22 14 4 4 35 17 +18 46
7 Preston 22 11 4 7 35 33 +2 37
8 Coventry 20 9 8 3 32 20 +12 35
9 Bristol City 22 10 4 8 29 21 +8 34
10 Birmingham 22 9 6 7 30 25 +5 33
11 Cardiff 22 10 3 9 26 28 -2 33
12 Hull 22 8 8 6 32 24 +8 32
13 Plymouth 22 9 5 8 40 35 +5 32
14 Sunderland 22 10 2 10 30 28 +2 32
15 Middlesbrough 21 9 4 8 24 21 +3 31
16 Swansea 22 8 5 9 26 27 -1 29
17 Millwall 22 8 5 9 21 29 -8 29
18 Sheffield Weds 22 7 7 8 24 27 -3 28
19 Stoke 22 7 6 9 20 27 -7 27
20 Huddersfield 22 6 7 9 25 35 -10 25
21 Watford 22 5 9 8 31 28 +3 24
22 Blackburn 22 6 6 10 27 34 -7 24
23 QPR 22 6 6 10 24 32 -8 24
24 Rotherham 22 4 8 10 19 26 -7 20
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 22 13 3 6 39 23 +16 42
2 Ipswich 21 11 5 5 28 21 +7 38
3 Southampton 21 10 6 5 31 28 +3 36
4 Leeds 21 10 4 7 32 20 +12 34
5 Hull 21 10 4 7 30 30 0 34
6 Middlesbrough 22 9 5 8 37 35 +2 32
7 Watford 22 7 8 7 28 30 -2 29
8 Cardiff 22 9 2 11 24 33 -9 29
9 Coventry 22 8 4 10 34 32 +2 28
10 Swansea 22 7 6 9 31 35 -4 27
11 West Brom 22 6 8 8 32 27 +5 26
12 Preston 22 7 5 10 21 28 -7 26
13 QPR 22 7 5 10 17 25 -8 26
14 Bristol City 22 6 7 9 22 26 -4 25
15 Blackburn 22 7 4 11 31 40 -9 25
16 Sunderland 22 6 6 10 22 23 -1 24
17 Millwall 22 6 6 10 22 26 -4 24
18 Norwich 22 6 6 10 36 41 -5 24
19 Stoke 22 6 5 11 24 33 -9 23
20 Huddersfield 22 3 10 9 22 39 -17 19
21 Sheffield Weds 22 6 1 15 15 41 -26 19
22 Plymouth 22 3 7 12 18 34 -16 16
23 Birmingham 22 3 4 15 18 39 -21 13
24 Rotherham 22 0 4 18 13 59 -46 4

Middlesbrough   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Blackburn 44 15 29 1.3 1.7 13 10 21 58 74 49
2 4 Southampton 43 15 28 2.0 1.3 25 9 9 85 56 84
3 6 Norwich 44 17 27 1.8 1.4 21 9 14 77 61 72
4 2 Ipswich 43 17 26 2.0 1.2 26 11 6 85 53 89
5 8 Coventry 42 16 26 1.6 1.2 17 12 13 66 52 63
6 1 Leicester 43 18 25 1.9 0.9 29 4 10 81 39 91
7 7 Hull 43 18 25 1.4 1.3 18 12 13 62 54 66
8 10 Preston 44 19 25 1.3 1.4 18 9 17 56 61 63
9 14 Swansea 44 19 25 1.3 1.4 15 11 18 57 62 56
10 20 Plymouth 44 19 25 1.3 1.6 12 12 20 58 69 48
11 3 Leeds 43 21 22 1.8 0.8 26 9 8 76 34 87
12 11 Cardiff 44 22 22 1.1 1.4 19 5 20 50 61 62
13 15 Watford 44 22 22 1.3 1.3 12 17 15 59 58 53
14 24 Rotherham 44 22 22 0.7 1.9 4 12 28 32 85 24
15 9 Middlesbrough 43 22 21 1.4 1.3 18 9 16 61 56 63
16 13 Sunderland 44 23 21 1.2 1.2 16 8 20 52 51 56
17 22 Birmingham 44 23 21 1.1 1.5 12 10 22 48 64 46
18 23 Huddersfield 44 23 21 1.1 1.7 9 17 18 47 74 44
19 5 West Brom 44 24 20 1.5 1.0 20 12 12 67 44 72
20 21 Sheffield Weds 44 24 20 0.9 1.5 13 8 23 39 68 47
21 17 Stoke 44 25 19 1.0 1.4 13 11 20 44 60 50
22 18 QPR 44 25 19 0.9 1.3 13 11 20 41 57 50
23 16 Millwall 44 27 17 1.0 1.2 14 11 19 43 55 53
24 12 Bristol City 44 28 16 1.2 1.1 16 11 17 51 47 59
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 22 5 17 2.6 1.5 15 6 1 57 32 51
2 4 Southampton 22 5 17 2.5 1.3 15 3 4 54 28 48
3 10 Preston 22 6 16 1.6 1.5 11 4 7 35 33 37
4 20 Plymouth 22 8 14 1.8 1.6 9 5 8 40 35 32
5 1 Leicester 21 8 13 2.0 0.8 16 1 4 42 16 49
6 3 Leeds 22 9 13 2.0 0.6 16 5 1 44 14 53
7 13 Sunderland 22 9 13 1.4 1.3 10 2 10 30 28 32
8 19 Blackburn 22 9 13 1.2 1.5 6 6 10 27 34 24
9 14 Swansea 22 10 12 1.2 1.2 8 5 9 26 27 29
10 15 Watford 22 10 12 1.4 1.3 5 9 8 31 28 24
11 23 Huddersfield 22 10 12 1.1 1.6 6 7 9 25 35 25
12 6 Norwich 22 11 11 1.9 0.9 15 3 4 41 20 48
13 18 QPR 22 11 11 1.1 1.5 6 6 10 24 32 24
14 22 Birmingham 22 11 11 1.4 1.1 9 6 7 30 25 33
15 7 Hull 22 12 10 1.5 1.1 8 8 6 32 24 32
16 8 Coventry 20 10 10 1.6 1.0 9 8 3 32 20 35
17 11 Cardiff 22 12 10 1.2 1.3 10 3 9 26 28 33
18 21 Sheffield Weds 22 12 10 1.1 1.2 7 7 8 24 27 28
19 16 Millwall 22 13 9 1.0 1.3 8 5 9 21 29 29
20 17 Stoke 22 13 9 0.9 1.2 7 6 9 20 27 27
21 5 West Brom 22 14 8 1.6 0.8 14 4 4 35 17 46
22 24 Rotherham 22 14 8 0.9 1.2 4 8 10 19 26 20
23 12 Bristol City 22 15 7 1.3 1.0 10 4 8 29 21 34
24 9 Middlesbrough 21 15 6 1.1 1.0 9 4 8 24 21 31
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Norwich 22 6 16 1.6 1.9 6 6 10 36 41 24
2 8 Coventry 22 6 16 1.5 1.5 8 4 10 34 32 28
3 19 Blackburn 22 6 16 1.4 1.8 7 4 11 31 40 25
4 7 Hull 21 6 15 1.4 1.4 10 4 7 30 30 34
5 9 Middlesbrough 22 7 15 1.7 1.6 9 5 8 37 35 32
6 24 Rotherham 22 8 14 0.6 2.7 0 4 18 13 59 4
7 14 Swansea 22 9 13 1.4 1.6 7 6 9 31 35 27
8 1 Leicester 22 10 12 1.8 1.0 13 3 6 39 23 42
9 5 West Brom 22 10 12 1.5 1.2 6 8 8 32 27 26
10 11 Cardiff 22 10 12 1.1 1.5 9 2 11 24 33 29
11 4 Southampton 21 10 11 1.5 1.3 10 6 5 31 28 36
12 20 Plymouth 22 11 11 0.8 1.5 3 7 12 18 34 16
13 15 Watford 22 12 10 1.3 1.4 7 8 7 28 30 29
14 17 Stoke 22 12 10 1.1 1.5 6 5 11 24 33 23
15 21 Sheffield Weds 22 12 10 0.7 1.9 6 1 15 15 41 19
16 22 Birmingham 22 12 10 0.8 1.8 3 4 15 18 39 13
17 2 Ipswich 21 12 9 1.3 1.0 11 5 5 28 21 38
18 3 Leeds 21 12 9 1.5 1.0 10 4 7 32 20 34
19 10 Preston 22 13 9 1.0 1.3 7 5 10 21 28 26
20 12 Bristol City 22 13 9 1.0 1.2 6 7 9 22 26 25
21 23 Huddersfield 22 13 9 1.0 1.8 3 10 9 22 39 19
22 13 Sunderland 22 14 8 1.0 1.0 6 6 10 22 23 24
23 16 Millwall 22 14 8 1.0 1.2 6 6 10 22 26 24
24 18 QPR 22 14 8 0.8 1.1 7 5 10 17 25 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51