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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Backhouse

Leeds 2–1 Watford

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.33 fair 1.66
Draw 5.00 fair 4.62
Away 9.50 fair 5.54
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.24
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.81

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Watford
24 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
10 Corners 4
7 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (120 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.94 – 0.96
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 10.7% 2–0 10.4% 1–1 10.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
1.90points / match
1.70scored / match
0.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 17:7
Watford before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
1.40scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 14:17
Leeds all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 1.40
0.70 Goals conceded 1.70
2.40 Total goals 3.10
14.60 Shots 12.30
5.10 Shots on target 4.20
7.30 Shots faced 14.10
6.00 Corners 4.70
4.10 Corners against 6.10
13.40 Fouls 12.40
2.30 Yellow cards 2.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
40% Draws 10%
10% Losses 40%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 90%
30% Over 2.5 goals 80%
20% Over 3.5 goals 20%
10% Over 4.5 goals 20%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
30% Both teams scored 60%
60% Clean sheets 10%
20% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 20%
40% Draws 40%
30% Losses 40%
70% Over 0.5 goals 70%
20% Over 1.5 goals 20%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Watford all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 10:4
Watford before this match, away
0.60points / match
0.80scored / match
2.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 4:13
Leeds at home away Watford

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.80
0.80 Goals conceded 2.60
2.80 Total goals 3.40
16.20 Shots 9.40
6.20 Shots on target 3.20
6.60 Shots faced 16.20
8.60 Corners 4.80
3.20 Corners against 6.80
13.00 Fouls 13.40
1.80 Yellow cards 1.80
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

60% Wins 20%
20% Draws 0%
20% Losses 80%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
40% Over 2.5 goals 80%
20% Over 3.5 goals 40%
20% Over 4.5 goals 40%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
20% Both teams scored 40%
60% Clean sheets 0%
20% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%
40% Draws 20%
40% Losses 60%
60% Over 0.5 goals 80%
20% Over 1.5 goals 20%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.24 Leeds – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 2.10 1.73
04.10.24 Sunderland – Leeds 2–2 (1–1) 3.003.202.40 2.10 1.73
01.10.24 Norwich – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 3.903.401.95 1.88 1.98
28.09.24 Leeds – Coventry 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.00 1.67 2.20
21.09.24 Cardiff – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 5.254.001.62 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Leeds – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.85 2.00
31.08.24 Leeds – Hull 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.00 1.60 2.30
23.08.24 Sheffield Weds – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 4.103.401.91 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 West Brom – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 2.03 1.83
10.08.24 Leeds – Portsmouth 3–3 (1–2) 1.365.008.00 1.60 2.30

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Luton – Watford 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.204.00 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–0) 3.503.801.95 1.67 2.20
02.10.24 Preston – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
28.09.24 Watford – Sunderland 2–1 (1–0) 2.753.602.35 2.00 1.85
21.09.24 Norwich – Watford 4–1 (2–1) 2.153.503.20 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Watford – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.402.70 1.83 2.03
01.09.24 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.33 1.83 2.03
24.08.24 Watford – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Watford – Stoke 3–0 (0–0) 2.633.252.70 2.05 1.80
10.08.24 Millwall – Watford 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.253.25 2.25 1.62

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.24 Leeds – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 2.10 1.73
28.09.24 Leeds – Coventry 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.00 1.67 2.20
14.09.24 Leeds – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.85 2.00
31.08.24 Leeds – Hull 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.00 1.60 2.30
10.08.24 Leeds – Portsmouth 3–3 (1–2) 1.365.008.00 1.60 2.30
04.05.24 Leeds – Southampton 1–2 (1–2) 1.574.335.50 1.50 2.63
13.04.24 Leeds – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.62 2.30
09.04.24 Leeds – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.57 2.38
01.04.24 Leeds – Hull 3–1 (1–1) 1.405.007.50 1.65 2.20
17.03.24 Leeds – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.70 2.10

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Luton – Watford 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.204.00 1.73 2.10
02.10.24 Preston – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
21.09.24 Norwich – Watford 4–1 (2–1) 2.153.503.20 1.93 1.93
01.09.24 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.33 1.83 2.03
10.08.24 Millwall – Watford 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.253.25 2.25 1.62
04.05.24 Middlesbrough – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
13.04.24 Southampton – Watford 3–2 (2–1) 1.445.006.50 1.53 2.50
10.04.24 Ipswich – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.62 2.30
01.04.24 West Brom – Watford 2–2 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.08 1.73
16.03.24 Birmingham – Watford 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.253.00 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsWatford wins
4matches
2.75goals / match
75%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24E1 Watford – Leeds 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.331.55 1.70 2.10
23.09.23E1 Leeds – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10
09.04.22E0 Watford – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.72 2.10
02.10.21E0 Leeds – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.66 2.20

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 10 7 1 2 19 8 +11 22
2 Burnley 10 6 3 1 16 4 +12 21
3 Sheffield United 10 6 3 1 12 5 +7 21
4 Leeds 10 5 4 1 17 7 +10 19
5 West Brom 10 5 3 2 13 7 +6 18
6 Blackburn 10 5 3 2 16 11 +5 18
7 Norwich 10 4 4 2 17 11 +6 16
8 Watford 10 5 1 4 14 17 -3 16
9 Middlesbrough 10 4 2 4 10 9 +1 14
10 Bristol City 10 3 5 2 12 14 -2 14
11 Oxford 10 3 4 3 14 12 +2 13
12 Derby 10 4 1 5 13 13 0 13
13 Swansea 10 3 3 4 8 7 +1 12
14 Hull 10 3 3 4 12 14 -2 12
15 Preston 10 3 3 4 8 12 -4 12
16 Stoke 10 3 2 5 11 13 -2 11
17 Luton 10 3 2 5 11 15 -4 11
18 Sheffield Weds 10 3 2 5 11 17 -6 11
19 Plymouth 10 3 2 5 10 18 -8 11
20 Millwall 10 2 4 4 13 12 +1 10
21 Coventry 10 2 2 6 10 14 -4 8
22 Cardiff 10 2 2 6 9 18 -9 8
23 Portsmouth 10 1 5 4 11 21 -10 8
24 QPR 10 1 4 5 10 18 -8 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 5 5 0 0 12 3 +9 15
2 Sunderland 5 4 1 0 10 2 +8 13
3 Watford 5 4 1 0 10 4 +6 13
4 Sheffield United 5 4 1 0 7 2 +5 13
5 Derby 5 4 0 1 9 3 +6 12
6 Burnley 5 3 2 0 9 2 +7 11
7 Oxford 5 3 2 0 7 2 +5 11
8 Leeds 5 3 1 1 10 4 +6 10
9 Plymouth 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10
10 Preston 5 3 1 1 5 2 +3 10
11 Norwich 5 2 3 0 12 5 +7 9
12 Swansea 5 2 3 0 6 2 +4 9
13 Bristol City 5 2 3 0 8 6 +2 9
14 Middlesbrough 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
15 West Brom 5 2 2 1 2 1 +1 8
16 Stoke 5 2 1 2 10 7 +3 7
17 Millwall 5 2 1 2 9 6 +3 7
18 Sheffield Weds 5 2 1 2 8 7 +1 7
19 Luton 5 2 1 2 9 9 0 7
20 Coventry 5 2 0 3 8 7 +1 6
21 Cardiff 5 2 0 3 6 6 0 6
22 Hull 5 1 2 2 5 5 0 5
23 Portsmouth 5 0 3 2 2 7 -5 3
24 QPR 5 0 2 3 5 10 -5 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 5 3 1 1 11 6 +5 10
2 Burnley 5 3 1 1 7 2 +5 10
3 Leeds 5 2 3 0 7 3 +4 9
4 Sunderland 5 3 0 2 9 6 +3 9
5 Sheffield United 5 2 2 1 5 3 +2 8
6 Norwich 5 2 1 2 5 6 -1 7
7 Hull 5 2 1 2 7 9 -2 7
8 Middlesbrough 5 2 0 3 4 4 0 6
9 QPR 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
10 Bristol City 5 1 2 2 4 8 -4 5
11 Portsmouth 5 1 2 2 9 14 -5 5
12 Luton 5 1 1 3 2 6 -4 4
13 Stoke 5 1 1 3 1 6 -5 4
14 Sheffield Weds 5 1 1 3 3 10 -7 4
15 Millwall 5 0 3 2 4 6 -2 3
16 Swansea 5 1 0 4 2 5 -3 3
17 Blackburn 5 0 3 2 4 8 -4 3
18 Watford 5 1 0 4 4 13 -9 3
19 Oxford 5 0 2 3 7 10 -3 2
20 Coventry 5 0 2 3 2 7 -5 2
21 Preston 5 0 2 3 3 10 -7 2
22 Cardiff 5 0 2 3 3 12 -9 2
23 Derby 5 0 1 4 4 10 -6 1
24 Plymouth 5 0 1 4 1 12 -11 1

Leeds   Watford

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Watford 10 2 8 1.4 1.7 5 1 4 14 17 16
2 23 Portsmouth 10 3 7 1.1 2.1 1 5 4 11 21 8
3 6 Blackburn 10 4 6 1.6 1.1 5 3 2 16 11 18
4 17 Luton 10 4 6 1.1 1.5 3 2 5 11 15 11
5 18 Sheffield Weds 10 4 6 1.1 1.7 3 2 5 11 17 11
6 1 Sunderland 10 5 5 1.9 0.8 7 1 2 19 8 22
7 11 Oxford 10 5 5 1.4 1.2 3 4 3 14 12 13
8 19 Plymouth 10 5 5 1.0 1.8 3 2 5 10 18 11
9 21 Coventry 10 5 5 1.0 1.4 2 2 6 10 14 8
10 24 QPR 10 5 5 1.0 1.8 1 4 5 10 18 7
11 5 West Brom 10 6 4 1.3 0.7 5 3 2 13 7 18
12 7 Norwich 10 6 4 1.7 1.1 4 4 2 17 11 16
13 10 Bristol City 10 6 4 1.2 1.4 3 5 2 12 14 14
14 12 Derby 10 6 4 1.3 1.3 4 1 5 13 13 13
15 14 Hull 10 6 4 1.2 1.4 3 3 4 12 14 12
16 15 Preston 10 6 4 0.8 1.2 3 3 4 8 12 12
17 16 Stoke 10 6 4 1.1 1.3 3 2 5 11 13 11
18 20 Millwall 10 6 4 1.3 1.2 2 4 4 13 12 10
19 2 Burnley 10 7 3 1.6 0.4 6 3 1 16 4 21
20 4 Leeds 10 7 3 1.7 0.7 5 4 1 17 7 19
21 22 Cardiff 10 7 3 0.9 1.8 2 2 6 9 18 8
22 9 Middlesbrough 10 8 2 1.0 0.9 4 2 4 10 9 14
23 13 Swansea 10 8 2 0.8 0.7 3 3 4 8 7 12
24 3 Sheffield United 10 9 1 1.2 0.5 6 3 1 12 5 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Luton 5 0 5 1.8 1.8 2 1 2 9 9 7
2 8 Watford 5 1 4 2.0 0.8 4 1 0 10 4 13
3 21 Coventry 5 1 4 1.6 1.4 2 0 3 8 7 6
4 6 Blackburn 5 2 3 2.4 0.6 5 0 0 12 3 15
5 7 Norwich 5 2 3 2.4 1.0 2 3 0 12 5 9
6 16 Stoke 5 2 3 2.0 1.4 2 1 2 10 7 7
7 19 Plymouth 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10
8 20 Millwall 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 2 1 2 9 6 7
9 24 QPR 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 0 2 3 5 10 2
10 1 Sunderland 5 3 2 2.0 0.4 4 1 0 10 2 13
11 2 Burnley 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 3 2 0 9 2 11
12 4 Leeds 5 3 2 2.0 0.8 3 1 1 10 4 10
13 10 Bristol City 5 3 2 1.6 1.2 2 3 0 8 6 9
14 12 Derby 5 3 2 1.8 0.6 4 0 1 9 3 12
15 18 Sheffield Weds 5 3 2 1.6 1.4 2 1 2 8 7 7
16 23 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0.4 1.4 0 3 2 2 7 3
17 3 Sheffield United 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 4 1 0 7 2 13
18 9 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
19 11 Oxford 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 3 2 0 7 2 11
20 13 Swansea 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 2 3 0 6 2 9
21 14 Hull 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 2 5 5 5
22 15 Preston 5 4 1 1.0 0.4 3 1 1 5 2 10
23 22 Cardiff 5 4 1 1.2 1.2 2 0 3 6 6 6
24 5 West Brom 5 5 0 0.4 0.2 2 2 1 2 1 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 23 Portsmouth 5 0 5 1.8 2.8 1 2 2 9 14 5
2 5 West Brom 5 1 4 2.2 1.2 3 1 1 11 6 10
3 8 Watford 5 1 4 0.8 2.6 1 0 4 4 13 3
4 11 Oxford 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 0 2 3 7 10 2
5 18 Sheffield Weds 5 1 4 0.6 2.0 1 1 3 3 10 4
6 1 Sunderland 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 0 2 9 6 9
7 6 Blackburn 5 2 3 0.8 1.6 0 3 2 4 8 3
8 14 Hull 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 2 1 2 7 9 7
9 15 Preston 5 2 3 0.6 2.0 0 2 3 3 10 2
10 10 Bristol City 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 1 2 2 4 8 5
11 12 Derby 5 3 2 0.8 2.0 0 1 4 4 10 1
12 19 Plymouth 5 3 2 0.2 2.4 0 1 4 1 12 1
13 22 Cardiff 5 3 2 0.6 2.4 0 2 3 3 12 2
14 24 QPR 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
15 2 Burnley 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 3 1 1 7 2 10
16 4 Leeds 5 4 1 1.4 0.6 2 3 0 7 3 9
17 7 Norwich 5 4 1 1.0 1.2 2 1 2 5 6 7
18 9 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 0 3 4 4 6
19 13 Swansea 5 4 1 0.4 1.0 1 0 4 2 5 3
20 16 Stoke 5 4 1 0.2 1.2 1 1 3 1 6 4
21 17 Luton 5 4 1 0.4 1.2 1 1 3 2 6 4
22 20 Millwall 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 0 3 2 4 6 3
23 21 Coventry 5 4 1 0.4 1.4 0 2 3 2 7 2
24 3 Sheffield United 5 5 0 1.0 0.6 2 2 1 5 3 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51